I've laid out the likely paths for the total crypto market. For each spread graph analysis, I recommend zooming out and potentially comprehending the flows of capital from crypto to other markets. The correlation coefficient (top pane) shows the correlation of dollar/gold with the intrinsic relative value of BTC. If you are unsure how these spread graph...
Gold has been moving steadily higher in an upward sloping channel since late November 2022, when price was near 1732. On January 12th, the yellow metal broke above the top trendline of the channel near 1890. The next day, XAU/USD broke above horizontal resistance and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the highs of March 8th, 2022 to the triple bottom...
I'll cover fibonacci, volume range, general trend, macro correlation coefficient and MA analyses. This spread graph pins BTC against safe heaven assets, which include: Commodities (SP:SPGSCI), the U.S dollar (DXY/M2SL) and U.S Bonds (1/(TVC:US03Y+TVC:US02Y+TVC:US05Y+TVC:US10Y+TVC:US30Y)+1). Given representation of BTC's price accounts for various...
The selloff in USD/JPY has pulled the US Dollar Index lower with it. Could this be the year-end trade? Selling US Dollars? Notice in the bottom panel of the chart that the correlation coefficient between Gold and the US Dollar Index. The current reading is -0.92. Readings below -0.80 indicate a strong negative correlation between 2 assets. Therefore, if the...
The US Federal Reserve Open Committee (FOMC) meets Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The hawkish monetary policy that has been fostered by the FOMC has put pressure on risk assets for much of this year. The Federal Reserve, along with other central banks around the globe, have been attempting to tackle sticky inflation that has been running at high levels not seen...
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫 In today's video analysis, I share with you the SECRET of the USDT.D chart, that otherwise seems irrelevant in...
China's Large Cap ETF (FXI) is showing notable bullish Relative Strength (RS) compared to the Nasdaq (0.26 on the Daily RS, using a 50 period timeframe). The typical RS between these two fluctuates between -0.15 - 0.10. FXI also tends to have quite a strong correlation coefficient vs. NDX, but we're finally seeing that break down (0.24 on the Daily w/ a 50 length...
How U.S. Stock Prices Correlate to the Value of the U.S. Dollar 2009-2021 1/ Only about 35% to 40% of the stock indexes' movements are associated with the movement of the U.S. dollar. 2/ Scenario # 1. Your portfolio is made up of shares that rely heavily on imported raw materials, energy or commodities to make money. A substantial portion of the manufacturing...
As you probably know, BTC and ETH are correlated which can be seen in the CC indicator below. Based on the drop in the BTC line on the chart, we will start tracking ETH for a short opportunity.
The correlation coefficient between gold futures and Bitcoin started out negative for a few years, but after Feb '14 they began to move together. BTC and gold have now been in a five year cycle where the correlation will jump to +72, then drop to a higher low, then up to +72 again, over and over. It seems reasonable that the correlation could soon become stronger...
As you can see in the chart, the historical volatility percentile of the vix is crushed and when it expands with positive correlation (which is the bottom indicator), vix tends to go up. Who says volatility cant be used to trade direction. It absolutely can, thanks to balipour. no RSI no Stochastics needed here. TVC:VIX
Bitcoin : The correlation with bonds & stocks cannot predict if it will deliver 20k soon! In response to :
What Is the Correlation Coefficient / CC ? The correlation coefficient is a statistical measure of the strength of the relationship between the relative movements of two variables. The values range between -1.0 and 1.0. A calculated number greater than 1.0 or less than -1.0 means that there was an error in the correlation measurement. A correlation of -1.0 shows...
BTCUSD Correlation Coefficient 200D with USBIDEN / USTRUMP I see no correlation.
Just a quick thing to note. Presently the treat of government shutdown in the US and the looming election is creating uncertainty in the market, leading to mass liquidation back into USD -- as irrational as that may be considering the present debasement of the USD (and of other currencies around the world, including the Yuan, and the Pound, etc). See previous...
Not much has changed, If you missed the last decent entries on the 50/61% levels of the Fibonacci, I would suggest to be patient and wait.The current positions are only good for scalping in my honest opinion. As we know this formation can be broken either way, and its overdue for a decent pullback for OANDA:XAUUSD . We got as low as 1860s. That was an...
Will it break resistance? We are inside the the trendline channel (yellow line) we can see strong resistance and price rejection from previous attempts of breaking. I won't be surprised if we break downwards again at this resistance marked with red line and Pivot Standard. Last decent entries here once again were at 50/61% levels of the Fibonacci at around...
Hi friends hit the like/follow button to motivate me to continue. Check my previous ideas to keep up to date. We went over USDJPY and EURUSD that have move similar, now USDCHF is the pair they’re opposite trend. Now this is not always 100% due to volatility and Fundamentals impact. We can observe the inverted cup and handle was respected, also we can see how the...