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Costco

Costco Long - trend tunnel low pointTaking Costco to the long side. Got to know about the downgrade from Cramer's Mad Money, so thought to do technical analysis. Cramer suggested buy at this level and technicals are supporting partially. I prefer to see divergence in RSI but thats not there. So taking this trade by giving more weightage to fundamentals shared by analysts as Costco is least affected by Trade war of all retailers and usually in economic slowdown Costco do well good. MACD is crossing above red Target price is 300 Entry price is 288 Risk:Reward is 1:2
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by thedrtrader
1
Congrats to Subscribers: Costco Up Over 26% After Alert!It is very easy to read price action if you have a reference point. These support/resistance lines are there to help you read where the buyers and sellers are likely to make a stand. MasterChartsTrading Price Action Indicators show good price levels to enter or exit a trade. The Blue indicator line serves as a Bullish Trend setter. If your instrument closes above the Blue line, we think about going Long (buying). For commodities and Forex, when your trading instrument closes below the Red line, we think about Shorting (selling). For Stocks, I prefer to use the Yellow line as my Bearish Trend setter (on Daily charts ). Be sure to hit that Follow button! Please find me on social networks via the link on my profile page for more ideas from MasterCharts!
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by mastercharts
COSTCO... another Amazon's victim? Last reporting data was ok, net sales for the quarter increased 10.8 percent, to $32.28 billion from $29.13 billion last year. Net sales for the first 24 weeks of fiscal 2018 increased 12.0 percent, to $63.40 billion from $56.60 billion last year. The Company gained an incremental sales day in the quarter due to the shift of Thanksgiving, however pre-Thanksgiving and Black Friday holiday weekend sales fell in the first quarter this year, versus the second quarter last year. This negatively impacted this year’s second quarter sales by approximately 1.4% in the U.S., and slightly less worldwide and negatively impacted E-commerce sales by approximately 7-8%. However, my expectation for COST is around $220.00, even after rose $170 per share at the end of 2018. Have a Good Trading Week, Learn how to beat the market as Professional Trader with an ex-insider! Cream Live Trading, Best Regards!
NASDAQ:COST
by wildcreamlife
COST: Sell Short Potential but Strong Support at 200The Daily Chart of COSTCO Stock shows that there is some sell short potential on the short-term trend IF the stock breaks to the downside below the low of around 216. At this time, it appears that is more likely given the lack of large lot buyers in the chart patterns. Support levels show the point gain potential moving down from the current range-bound pattern. However, COST is less likely to collapse all the way down to 50% from its all-time high. Why? Because it was never speculated to extreme highs, far from a strong support level. The furthest it can go before reaching strong support is around 200 for a bounce and 190 for serious support and risk of rebound price action.
NASDAQ:COST
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
COST: High Risk for Long Term BuyConsidering your risk is something that all investors and traders should do before trading or investing in any stock. Often when a stock displays this much risk on the long- and intermediate-term time frames, it also warns of risk for short-term trading as well. The Weekly Chart provides better perspective of the risk of buying the stock at this new all-time high price. There is no support nearby. See how many points are at risk if a correction occurs? Trade Wisely, Martha Stokes, CMT
NASDAQ:COST
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
October 5 Earnings: Costco- Will eCommerce Ware Off Competition?Costco reports on Thursday, October 5th after the closing bell. Heading into earnings, the company has a fairly straight forward R/R portfolio: - Costco enjoys being a major retailer in the US with a wide array of products in multiple markets. - The company's eCommerce capabilities are picking up steam and contributing meaningfully to revenue. eCommerce global expansion is aiding sales growth. - Costco's membership club is expanding and drawing in customers in the US and globally. - The overall market is a fierce competitive one, with giants like Wal-Mart $WMT and Target $TGT, among others, fighting for every consumer. - Consumer spending, although picking up from highs, remains at a sluggish growth rate, hurting industry prospects. I believe the pros will outweigh the cons for the expected quarter and Costco will beat expectations. Starting Costco with a $178.00 Price Target for the post-earnings price action.
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by TraderDanER
86% probability trade on Costco (Ratio Spread) After last earnings Costco had a 14% down move. If we take into consideration last year, we have a CVPOC at around $150 Price, and in the shorter term the VPOC is around $167 (2017). That means that those prices are the ones that have traded the most and considered fair for the stock. With an IV Rank at 67 we can sell some premium, so given the down move I sold a 3:1 Ratio spread for $1.66. This gives us a max profit of $665 at the $150 level and if it stays above $155 price we would be making $166 at expiration. Our probabilities of profit are very high at 86% The trade: Sell (3) AUG18 155 PUT Buy (1) AUG18 150 PUT
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by AlexanderGotay
4
Buy This Costco (COST) Dip Before It Shoots UpCostco has been in an overexuberant decline since news of the Amazon and Whole Foods merger. Fortunately, this decline in the stock has brought it in-line with recent support levels and should begin to move upward once again. The stock has been in a consistent bullish trend since 2010. The recent decline seems to be part of the natural cycle for Costco. This cycle points upward next and also has other factors correlating to this move. On multiple occasions through the long bull trend, three of the technical indicators discussed below have been at similar levels in which they are now. These instances have resulted in gains for the stock. I have also conducted further analysis based on other historical information and readings that confirm a pending gain for Costco which are laid out below. When we look at technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 30.7171. RSI tends to determine trends, momentum, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI is moving upward from recent oversold levels. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 0.7644 and the negative is at 1.1780. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. The positive and negative levels have been moving in a manner consistent with upward movement for the stock The stock and indicators had been bearish for the past three weeks, but that trend is starting to end. The stochastic oscillator K value is 5.0897 and D value is 6.4898. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic well oversold and the stock should begin to move upward soon. I have created an algorithm (called the SAG gauge) which signals when stocks are truly overbought and oversold. The algorithm indicates when a particular stock meets multiple criteria culminating in an oversold or overbought signal. That signal will occur within a few trading days after the stock has begun to move upward. Recognizing this movement and pending signal can increase gains by entering early. Upon back-testing this indicator, it has signaled oversold status 25 times dating back to 1986. The stock always gains at least 0.75% over the following 35 trading days after the indicator date. Eighty percent of the time the stock gains at least 8.75% and seventy percent of the time gains 9%. Since 1998, this stock always gains a minimum of 1.76% when the RSI, positive and negative VI are simultaneously at their current level and moving in their current direction. This additional study requires the stochastic at the bottom of the chart above to be oversold as it is today too. Ten similar instances were found. The median move is 15.20% over 20 trading days. The last two times the stock bounced off its support line (which it did on July 11), the stock has achieved a minimum gain of 8.30% over the following 22 trading days. Three of the ten instances we just covered occurred at the same time or within days of an oversold signal on the SAG gauge. These instances resulted in a minimal gain of 6.10% and median of 16.25%. Considering the RSI, VI, stochastic levels, SAG gauge and historical similarities, the stock should see upward movement over the short to intermediate time period. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the SAG gauge, the stock could gain at least 6% over the next 35 trading days if not sooner.
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by StockSignaler
1
Bullish On Costco, But Earnings FirstOn May 17, Costco bounced off of its reoccurring support level. This has been solid support since August 2015. Costco also has earnings in focus this week. The estimated EPS is nearly where it was during the previous quarter's EPS which was a massive miss. A similar massive miss this time around will yield the analysis contained herein almost worthless. However, positive earnings and forecasts should easily meet the projection in this article. When we take a look at other technical indicators, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 47.4805. RSI tends to determine trends, overbought and oversold levels as well as likelihood of price swings. I personally use anything above 75 as overbought and anything under 25 as oversold. Currently the RSI is relatively neutral and it could go any direction. The true strength index (TSI) is currently 11.2060. The TSI determines overbought/oversold levels and/or current trend. I solely use this as an indicator of trend as overbought and oversold levels vary. The TSI is double smoothed in its calculation and is a great indicator of upward and downward movement. The current reading declares the stock has been moving down for the past two weeks. The positive vortex indicator (VI) is at 0.9097 and the negative is at 0.9696. When the positive level is higher than 1 and higher than the negative indicator, the overall price action is moving upward. When the negative level is higher than 1 and higher than the positive indicator, the overall price action is moving downward. Currently the negative and positive indicators are moving closer together, with the positive moving up. With continued upward movement of this indicator the stock will go with it. The stochastic oscillator K value is 16.3099 and D value is 9.6028. This is a cyclical oscillator that is highly accurate and can be used to identify overbought/oversold levels as well as pending reversals and short-term activity. I personally use anything above 80 as overbought and below 20 as oversold. When the K value is higher than the D value, the stock is trending up. When the D value is higher that the K value the stock is trending down. The stochastic is currently oversold and should move up soon. Considering the RSI, TSI, VI and stochastic levels, the overall direction favors a move to the upside. Based on historical movement compared to current levels and the current position, the stock could gain at least 3.33% over the next 19 trading days if not sooner. The major hurdle for this movement will be from the earnings released this week.
NASDAQ:COSTLong
by StockSignaler