EURUSD's Bullish Run on Weekly ChartDiving into the EURUSD action, the weekly chart indicates a continuing bullish trend. 🐃 However, before diving into a 1-hour buying opportunity, let's pump the brakes for two crucial reasons:
RSI Not in Oversold Territory ❌
Bearish Bias on 1-Hour Chart 📊
This pair now ranks as my lowest priority. 📉
Countertrend
Bearish Momentum Continues!📉 Monthly Chart:
- Support at 0.6160, but no end to bearish trend.
- Consider countertrend moves carefully.
📉 Weekly Chart:
- Market near resistance, but don't miss the bigger picture.
- Be cautious with countertrend trades.
📉 Daily Chart:
- Strong bearish movement.
- Market shows weakness at previous resistance.
📉 Four-Hour & One-Hour Charts:
- Potential countertrend opportunities, but be cautious.
- Look for confirmation before engaging in trades.
💡 Trading Strategies:
- Weekly chart: Gartley pattern at 0.6173 for patient buyers.
- Daily chart: Bullish crab pattern at 0.6191 for buying opportunity.
- One-hour chart: Counter trend buying opportunity around 0.6400 if market breaks lower.
Bearish Signs Emerging!📊 Weekly Chart: Overall bullish, but watch current candle.
📈 Daily Chart: Bearish movement, key level 1.0766.
🕓 Four Hour Chart: Sensitive period, focus on 1.0766.
⏳ One Hour Chart: Multi-timeframe analysis.
🔍 Higher Timeframes: Confirm breaks below key levels.
🚀 Aggressive Short Opportunity:
Wait for trend line retest.
Look for break below 1.0705 or 1.0651.
📉 Weekly Chart Analysis:
Trend line broken.
Set alerts for retest.
Consider aggressive shorting.
📊 Daily Chart:
Wait for retest for aggressive short.
Potential 130 pips opportunity.
🦈 Four Hour Chart:
Shark pattern may be invalid.
Customize chart for accuracy.
📈 One Hour Chart:
AB=CD movement.
Wait for 3-bar reversal for buying.
Double bottom with RSI divergence.
A Twist in the Bullish Trend?Despite the prevailing bullish movement on Dollar Yen, a shift in strategy beckons this week. Embark on this journey with me. On the weekly chart, a slight break and closure above the prior high is evident. The magnitude of this "bit" rests upon your filters – will the subtle breach be overlooked? An RSI divergence, however, raises concern. This divergence surfaces as the market forms a matching or higher high, prompting my consideration for a shorting prospect. ⚖️📊
Transitioning to the daily chart, the market once again surges beyond the previous high. While it fails to breach the previous RSI level, the prolonged nature of this movement merits contemplation. Could these statistics indicate a formidable resistance? Food for thought. 🗞️🤔
The four-hour chart illustrates the market's ascent, setting the stage for a potential shorting opportunity upon a retest at 146.40. Zooming in further to the one-hour chart, a structural standpoint reveals potential trading setups. Amidst this, the buzz about the Bank of Japan's potential market intervention simmers. As a prudent trader, I advise cautiousness, keenly observing the hard facts and policy shifts that could impact the Japanese Yen's trajectory and consequently, Dollar Yen. 🏦🌐
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Returning to the weekly chart, trading strategies come into play. A bearish bat pattern at 149.29 piques my interest, a setup I've been highlighting for weeks.
The daily chart offers parallel setups, including the aforementioned bearish bat pattern and a bearish crab pattern that could emerge around 150.44. The latter's fate rests upon the strength of the Bank of Japan's intervention and policies. 🦀📈
Within the four-hour chart lies a counter-trend opportunity at 147.76, rooted in the ABCD pattern setup. For trend-oriented traders, a potential buying entry hovers at 144.02 upon retest, drawing support from established levels.
However, my focal point remains the one-hour chart, spotlighting a potential shorting opportunity through the shark pattern. Should the market reach 146.30, I envision an enticing entry. As the specter of Bank of Japan intervention looms, my exit strategy might involve one week post-intervention for potential profits, grounded in years of market observation and trading experience. ⏰📈
Will the BoJ intervene...The USDJPY trades with choppy price action between the 145 and 146 price range.
With increasing comments about the weakness of the Yen and the possible invention from the BoJ, the longer the USDJPY stays at this price level, the higher chance we are likely to see an intervention.
However, we cannot rule out a continuation of the upside, especially if the DXY recovers in strength.
I would avoid further trades to the upside, and wait for possible counter trend reversal. But speculative counter-trends setups have a higher likelihood of failing (the trend is your friend)
Chart vs. HeadlinesLet's debunk some headlines like "The Dollar is Bearish!" and dig into the real chart dynamics. On the weekly chart, a bullish trend is evident, despite a retracement that might seem bearish. Always consider the bigger picture. The recent retracement is a mere blip compared to the overall uptrend.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch 🔍
Zoom out and observe the retest happening on the previous high. Keep a close eye on whether the market breaches 145.24. The next crucial level to watch is 152.02. Chart analysis trumps online articles. Don't just read, define your levels strategically.
💡 Daily Chart Insights 💡
Approaching the previous high on the daily chart, counter-trend traders might eye shorting opportunities. However, wait for candlestick confirmation before executing. Personally, I see a breakout trading opportunity, not an aggressive short.
📊 Four Hour Chart Dynamics 📊
New highs surpassing previous structures on the four-hour chart indicate the bullish trend persists. This trend isn't over. One hour chart mirrors this pattern—a break of prior resistance.
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Returning to the weekly chart, counter-traders might spot a shorting setup at 149.28 for a Fib-3 Bat setup. On the daily chart, a crab pattern at 150.39 forms, with a Bat pattern completion at 149.16.
⚙️ Shorting Opportunities ⚙️
For those inclined towards shorting, the ABCD pattern on the four-hour chart sets a stage at 147.80. My focus? Buying opportunities. A pullback to 144.02 holds potential for a buying window.
🔎 Immediate Insights 🔎
On the one-hour chart, a closer level of interest stands at 144.46—a promising buying opportunity within the buy zone.
📈 Navigating Euro-Dollar Trends: Trading Insights 📉Greetings, fellow traders! Let's delve into the Euro-Dollar trends and identify some potential trading opportunities. 🌍💱
📊 Weekly Chart Insights 📊
The bullish trend continues with a notable pullback, keeping our attention on the upswing. The market's pullback has tactfully avoided breaking crucial support at 1.0637. Transitioning to the daily chart, we find ourselves back in the buy zone.
🔍 Spotting Entry Points 🔍
For those eyeing a buying opportunity, a bit of patience might be wise as we await further confirmation before engaging the trade. The four-hour chart showcases an enticing support level at 1.0921, primed for a potential buying entry. Similarly, the one-hour chart hints at a possible pullback setup.
🔎 Charting Trading Prospects 🔎
Weekly Chart: Trend traders might consider a shorting possibility on a retest at 1.1232.
Daily Chart: Watch for confirmation at 1.0913 for a buying opportunity.
Four-Hour Chart: A bearish bat pattern completion at 1.1134 could intrigue shorting enthusiasts. For buyers, a bullish bat setup may require a magic candle confirmation at 1.0883.
One-Hour Chart: An AB=CD movement completion at 1.0914 offers a potential entry point.
📅 Seizing Opportunities 📅
This week presents an array of trading prospects. The key is clarity in your trading intentions. Are you pursuing a trend trade, a counter-trend pullback, or simply capitalizing on setups as they arise? Planning using the A.P.E framework—Analyze, Plan, Execute—can be your compass to success.
🚀 Ready for Trading Success? 🚀
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Bearish Shark Pattern with RSI Divergence🦈📉 Bearish Shark Pattern with RSI Divergence 📉🦈
Finally, the trade I've been patiently waiting for on EURJPY is here! 🚀 This one calls for a shorting opportunity, treating it as a pullback trade, a retracement trade.
Now, it's time to keep a close eye on how the market reacts when it reaches our first target at 154.25. 🎯 If the market respects this level and chooses to rebound upwards, we have our answer. But if it bashes through the blue box, then we know there's a higher chance of hitting our second target.
Make sure to follow my only account @raynlim for more updates and insights on the financial markets. Let's trade smart and seize the profit opportunity together! 💪💰
Nasdaq on the Verge of Retracement
📉🚀 Nasdaq on the Verge of Retracement - Bearish Shark Pattern & RSI Divergence Pointing Downward! 📉🚀
I've spotted a Bearish Shark Pattern with RSI Divergence on the Nasdaq, signaling a potential retracement ahead. I've entered the trade with precise stops and targets in place. Let's keep a close eye on how it unfolds.
📊 If this trade turns out profitable, brace yourself, US stocks might be heading for a bearish ride that could last for weeks to months.
⚠️ US Stocks Traders, get ready for possible impact!
📈 Follow my only account @raynlim for timely updates and trading insights. Let's navigate the markets with confidence! 📈🚀
Time to Plan Your Currency Exchange!If you're planning a trip to Australia in the next few months, consider changing some Aussie dollars now. For counter-trend traders, it's a great opportunity to look for a buying opportunity in the AUD. Let's analyze the charts!
📊 The market hit resistance and is now in consolidation, making it a concern for buyers. The daily chart shows an M Formation, with the 0.6600 level as a critical watch. It's likely to be violated before any potential reversal. On the four-hour chart, wait for a buying opportunity with magic candle confirmation.
⏰ On the four-hour chart, a bullish bat pattern has already completed, signaling a potential shorting opportunity. Set alerts and observe the Monday market opening for further confirmation.
📈 The setup is clear and objective, leaving no room for subjectivity. Engage your trade with defined stops and targets in mind.
💡 Trade smarter and save time! Spend just 15 mins a day on market analysis, setting alerts, and enjoying life. DM me to learn how.
💹 Follow my only account @raynlim for insightful analysis and updates. Let's trade with confidence! 📈🇦🇺
Forex Journal #1- GBPUSD Counter TradeIn my journal, I'm noticing GBPUSD made a new lower low on the 4 hour timeframe. Although price in in an uptrend as clearly seen on the daily and weekly timeframe, any sells taken will be a countertrend trade.
I prefer to trade down to my weekly estimation zone 1.27585 and entering on the 4 hour timeframe to keep the stop loss small.
Trade at your own risk and risk level.
I'd love if you can reply your thoughts and like the video for more.
Tricky Times, I'm Counter-Trend Now!💲 Despite my Dollar Bias, all eyes are on US Secretary Treasure, Ms. Janet Yellen's upcoming speech in Bloomberg. Analyzing her insights could confirm the dollar's bullishness for the year ahead.
📈 On the Daily Chart (right), there's an outside bar on the support line. Patient traders await one more day's candlestick before deciding their next move.
📉 If you're determined to short USDJPY, keep an eye on the 1-hourly chart (left) at 138.89, as long as the market stays within the sell zone. It's worth considering.
📈 On the other hand, if you're bullish, pay attention to the key level at 138.21 for a potential head and shoulders pattern, indicating a buying opportunity.
⚖️ If you're torn between shorting and buying, observe how the market behaves at 138.21. A violation confirms your short, while no violation means a tough decision awaits.
Overall Bullish, But I'm Countertrending This Trade💹 GBPUSD is currently experiencing an overall bullish trend, as evident from the Weekly Chart (right) showing bullish movement within the Buy Zone.
⛔️ However, as a Counter-Trend Trader, I'm eyeing a potential shorting opportunity on GBPUSD based on the setup on the daily chart.
🔍 My trading approach will shift to bullish once it hits the key support level or the bullish trendline.
📊 Stay tuned for more trading insights and updates!
Still Looking to Short!⏳ This week marks my last opportunity to go short on EURUSD. The Weekly Chart shows a violation of structure, forming higher highs and higher lows.
🦋 A Bearish Butterfly setup is visible on the Daily Chart, pending confirmation with a candle close at 1.1195 or below.
💪 Aggressive traders, like me, may choose to wait for a market retest to the previous resistance at 1.2420 on the 1-hourly chart.
📊 Stay tuned for further updates and trading insights!
#EURUSD #ShortOpportunity #BearishButterfly #TradingInsights #StayInformed #TradeSmart
EURUSD I Starting to consolidate I Will head downWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Counter-Trend on USDJPY📉 This week, I'm keeping a keen eye on a counter-trend trading opportunity for USDJPY. I'm patiently waiting for a potential shorting opportunity at the Key Resistance Level of 142.96.
⚠️ However, it's important to note that despite this shorting opportunity, my overall bias remains bullish on the US Dollar. This week appears to be a retracement week in the market.
Stay tuned as we navigate through market movements and identify potential trading setups. Let's make the most of this retracement period! 💪💼
#USDJPY #CounterTrendTrading #ShortingOpportunity #RetracementWeek #StayTuned
Finally, Shorting Opportunity📉 After a week of waiting, the market has finally retested my preferred entry price for a short position on the Bearish Crab Pattern(daily chart), which complements the Bearish Shark Pattern(weekly chart) at the 88.50 level. Check out the link article in the TradingView post for a refresher on last week's discussion.
💼 Trading is all about minimizing initial stop-loss and maximizing profits sensibly.
🔄 A retest of the key resistance level at 88.60 on the 1-hourly chart would confirm this trading idea for me.
🔝 This trade holds the highest priority for me in the upcoming week.
Share your highest priority trade for the week! 📊💭
Dollar-Yen Remains Bullish📉 The analysis on USDJPY remains bullish, but for now, we're on the lookout for counter-trend trading opportunities. 🔄
📉 The Bearish Fib-3 Bat Pattern at 149.15 offers a potential shorting opportunity, although it may take some time to validate.
📉 Alternatively, a break of the trendline on the 1-hourly chart could provide a more immediate shorting opportunity. We're watching for a retest without violating the trendline.
⚠️ However, the trendline hasn't been convincingly broken yet, as the candlestick failed to close below it.
🔍 USDJPY is currently of lower priority for trading this week.
Share your trade plan! 📊💭
Aggressive Buying🔍 Current Situation: No favourable buying opportunity on GBPUSD, but counter-trend trading possibilities exist.
🔴 Retest of Double Top: Watch for a retest of the double top pattern completing at 1.2745 on the 4-hourly chart. Traders eyeing a reversal will be attracted. #DoubleTopPattern
🦈 Bearish Shark Pattern: Keep an eye on the Bearish Shark Pattern completing at 1.2743. Short-savvy traders may join in. #SharkPattern
💥 Market Reaction: As two trader groups converge at 1.2745, expect heightened volatility and rapid movements. Stay prepared! #VolatilityAlert
📊 Trade Strategy: Exercise caution with counter-trend trades. Set conservative targets and manage risk effectively. Scale in wisely. #RiskManagement
👀 Stay Vigilant: Continuously monitor price action and adapt your approach as the market unfolds. Protect your capital! #StayAlert
Shorting Opportunity🔍📊 Current Market Overview:
I'm closely monitoring the EURUSD pair for a potential shorting opportunity on the higher timeframe. However, at the moment, two buying opportunities have emerged, which deserve our attention. Let's dive into the details:
🦋 Bullish Butterfly Pattern:
On the daily chart, we have identified a Bullish Butterfly Pattern with completion anticipated at 1.0355. This pattern suggests a potential buying opportunity, indicating a reversal in the price action. It's crucial to keep a close eye on the price as it approaches this level.
🦈 Bullish Shark Pattern:
Another interesting development is the Bullish Shark Pattern observed on the 4-hourly chart. This pattern is expected to complete around 1.0764, signalling a potential buying opportunity. However, it's important to remember that these patterns occur in the context of a counter-trend trading strategy.
💼 Trading Strategy:
Given the absence of a clear shorting opportunity, I will adopt a conservative approach and focus on the identified buying opportunities. I will set conservative targets for these trades while remaining vigilant for a suitable shorting opportunity to align with my overall strategy.
USDJPY retracement at the highAfter a few indecision candles at the high, followed buy a volume push up to a major resistance, I became alert that a bearish setup might present. Friday closed off with a variation of a bearish engulfing. When price closes beyond a price then closes right back beneath it its a sign that this price is being rejected. Naked analysis tells us that the 1hour chat has already began its downward momentum. A minor double top formed. My short entry was based on the high volume bearish engulfing re-test at the neckline. The 30MIN chart has begun creating its lower highs and lower lows. This is a short scalp. the buy will likely present later in the week.
Correlation Matters No More
For the longest time, I've been saying that the correlations between the currency pairs have been weakened.
Traders have asked me why I have NZDJPY and NZDUSD in my portfolio. Doesn't it move in the same direction?
Over the years, these correlated pairs move pretty differently. And recently, the WTI and Gold have no longer moved in an inverse relationship.
So yeah, I'm treating them as their own.
Although both the 4-hourly and 1-hourly charts show buying opportunities through a potential Bullish Bat Pattern and a Bullish Shark Pattern, I'm more interested in waiting for a shorting opportunity on the 5-0 Pattern.
What's your take on the NZDUSD?