GBPJPY - Potential Reversal TradeHey Traders! Today we're taking a look at a bearish trading opportunity on the GBPJPY. At heart this trade is a structure-based reversal trade but as you'll see in the video, to find our entries we're actually taking a continuation trade type of approach. -
More reasons to throw out the names "continuation" & "counter-trend"
Anyway, I hope you guys enjoy & if you have any questions or comments please leave them below.
Your Trading Coach - Akil
Countertrend
A retest of support and Safe House is nearThis particular trading structure may be viewed as an aggressive approach, but it presents a compelling setup for counter-trend traders. The first target is in close proximity, affording the opportunity to adjust our stop-loss to entry once the market reaches that level. This grants us a Risk-Free Trade, providing a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for traders who employ this tactic.
Why News Headlines Can Be MisleadingIn recent times, we have been bombarded with headlines such as "Dollar Slide", "US Debt Ceiling Closing", "US Bank Failure", "19 Countries show interest in joining the BRICS".
While these news items may give the impression of a weakening US Dollar, it is important to take a closer look at the chart.
Contrary to these headlines, the US Dollar is actually appreciating! Smart traders know it is important to analyse chart patterns and not rely solely on news headlines.
For trend traders, a buying opportunity could arise when the market retraces and sits on the blue trendline.
Meanwhile, counter-trend traders may need to adopt an aggressive approach by waiting for the 3-bar reversal to appear within the red box for a potential counter-trend trading move.
Remember, don't be misled by news headlines, always analyse the chart and make informed trading decisions.
Profit in Both Bull and Bear MarketsThe EURUSD demonstrates a clear bullish trend based on the current market conditions. As a result, trend traders may seek to capitalize on potential buying opportunities at the support level of 1.0967.
Conversely, counter-trend traders may be interested in shorting the currency pair at the resistance level of 1.1035-1.1044 while placing initial stop-loss orders above 1.1067 to minimise risk. With a well-defined plan, traders can confidently approach the market from either direction and potentially reap substantial profits.
$BTC and its bear market rally.It's a bear market rally.
But first, where are we in CRYPTOCAP:BTC 's wave cycles?
Cycle wave V underway, cycle wave IV completed.
With these wave counts, we can validate that we have already seen the bottom.
Rejoice!
Looking deeper into its primary wave counts and its fractals..
Ongoing: Primary wave ① > Intermediate wave (4) > Minor wave ⓑ
I slant towards these wave counts as I see strong and clear counter-trending wave movements.
Counter-trending waves tend to fluctuate (violent moves) and can play out in deep triangles.
But we are also yet to see clear structure forming.
In the coming days and weeks zig-zags, double-threes or even triple-threes formations can play out.
In the meantime, I see testing $30k as a good probability.
For now though, a clear signal that the bottom for counter-trend wave (4) structure would be a break of FWB:27K support.
While I'm really looking forward to its completion, I dread the news that will bring us there.
>.<
Seize the Day: Aggressive Traders Can Short GBPAUD with 5-0Despite the current bullish trend in GBPAUD, the market is showing signs of a potential shorting opportunity on the 5-0 pattern, with the 3-bar reversal pattern. This presents a unique trading opportunity for aggressive traders to engage in a short-term trade at 1.8577, with a stop loss set above 1.8605 and an appropriate buffer.
What's even more enticing about this setup is when executed correctly, this trade could yield a profit factor of 2, making it a potentially lucrative opportunity for savvy traders looking to capitalize on market movements.
Aggressive Trader could considerIf you are an Aggressive Trader, you may consider shorting the AUDCAD on the 1-hour chart at a market price of 0.9044.
Conservative trader might want to wait for a 3-bar reversal or a retest at 0.9055 on the 4-hourly chart based of the retest of previous resistance and of a sideway bounce trading setup.
Great Trading Opportunity147.42 is the level of the Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern completion point. It is excellent for counter-trend traders to wait for a shorting opportunity at that level.
Trend Traders and Trend Continuation Traders could wait for a buying opportunity once the market touches the trendline and doesn't close below the trendline or the support level.
The Big ShortThe Big Short came in on the Weekly Chart with a Triple Top RSI Divergence. Currently, there isn't any opportunity for me to engage in the shorting opportunity.
While waiting for a tested strategy like the Bearish 5-0pattern to appear, I will look out for other trading opportunity like buying on the demand zone or a Bullish Shark Pattern in taking the conservative targets.
DOLLAR CRASH!? NOPE! NOT NOW!!If you are on the Media, you would have heard that the DOLLAR is CRASHING, countries are ANTI-US DOLLAR, etc, etc...
I don't see any crashes happening on the chart. It is important for independent traders like ourselves, not to get swayed by the news headline; see it for yourself.
What I'm seeing right now, saddens me more than the crashes; the market is going into the consolidation phase.
How do I know that?
A series of Bat Patterns, that's it. The market reflects on what market participants felt.
If you are looking for shorting opportunity, you are in luck.
On Daily Chart(left), Bearish Bat Patterns completing at 136.96 and on the 1-hourly Chart, we have the Bearish Crab Pattern completing at 132.54 and Bearish Bat Pattern completing at 132.87.
EURO-DOLLAR, Counter-Trend Opp.EURO-DOLLAR has a Counter-Trend Trading Opportunity(left). Traders looking for a counter-trend trading opportunity could wait for the market to retest to 1.0975 for a shorting opportunity. This is possible not because of the Bearish Shark Pattern Trading Opportunity, but a retest of resistance on the Weekly Chart.
If this is not for you, then perhaps the Bullish Bat(red)(right) or the Bullish Shark(right) gives you, a trend trader, an opportunity to engage.
So, what is what? If you have that question, focus on 1 and not engage on both.
459pips or 89pips of profit, which will you choose? If you have to choose only one trading setup, it is understable you would be choose the 459pips setup. But as a thinking trader, we have to be aware of what kind of trading setup provides such trading opportunity. The 459pips is from a counter-trend trading opportunity on the daily chart(right). I'm looking to short at 1.2395 and exit at 1.1937, for that to happen a restest at 1.2395 is required.
On the flip side, Trend Traders could wait for a buying opportunity off the Bullish Bat Pattern on the 1-hourly chart(left), the entry price is at 1.2308, candlestick Pattern confirmation is required.
Which side would you choose? The Bear 🐻 or The Bull 🐮?
Biggest Profit Potential of the WeekThe Bearish Shark Pattern has been completed on the Daily Chart (right), but it will be crazy to trade off the Shark Pattern on the Daily Chart.
A better way is to engage it off the 1-hourly chart(left) using the Bearish Crab Pattern at HOP at retest with an RSI Divergence.
Hooooooo! It's a mouthful, but that's what I need to engage the trade. Even if it sounds like a perfect heist, there's a chance that we get multiple stop-out before hitting our first profit, but that's the trade I'm willing to take.
This GBPAUD trade almost synchronises with my GBPJPY trade, links at the bottom of this TradingView post. The only thing is that the trade is traded in an opposite direction, which creates a perfect hedge on the UK Pound.
As much as my brain loves to think 1 of them will hit stop-loss, not only does it create a perfect hedge, but I do see trades like these worked out.
That is why I'll trade once the market confirms my entry, regardless of what other traders might think.
Safe Haven CurrencyIf you are in trading for a good 10 years, you would understand the effect of the Safe Haven Currency. I'm waiting for the market to retest at 130.05 for the RSI Divergence on this counter-trend trading setup.
Many traders would see the USDJPY as going on a Bearish movement, but it is merely a retracement.
Furthermore, the Bull run on the USDJPY has not ended, so I'm looking for the opportunity to keep buying the USDJPY trade.
GBPUSD resisted at 1.22GBPUSD met resistance at the psychological price action level at 1.2200. Traders looking for a counter-trend trading opportunity could consider and observe how the market reacts at the resistance level at 1.2192 for a shorting opportunity like a Double Top with RSI Divergence.
Failure to hold at that level, traders can wait for the Bearish Shark Pattern completion at 1.2237 for a shorting opportunity.
This candle closed will determined everythingThis candle closing price would determine whether I will aggressively engage in this trade.
I need to see a long shadow candlestick pattern formation by our school definition.
Do not that if I decided to engage the trade in the next 3minutes, it means that this trade would be an overnight risk trade.