Improve Forex TradingWhen I was learning how to trade and when I was watching and reading different trading educators, these words naturally pissed me off. What the hell are you talking about? What confirmation?
It was a full-blown mystery...🤯
Then, once I started to mature in trading and trade full-time, I became an author on TradingView.
Posting my forecasts and trading setups, I frequently mentioned the confirmation.
And now the newbies that are reading me and learning from me are pissed off...🤬
That is so funny I guess.
But the truth is that the confirmation must become a fundamental part of your trading strategy. It is your key to successful trading.
What exactly is the confirmation?
It depends on many many different things, in this article I will discuss with you the 4 main types of confirmation and give you detailed examples.
1️⃣ - PRICE ACTION CONFIRMATION
That is actually what I prefer.
Analyzing different markets and searching for decent trading opportunities often times we find some peculiar instruments to watch.
Identifying the market trend and key levels we find the potential spots to trade from.
But do we just open the trade once the "ZONE" is spotted?
I wish it could be that simple...
Trading just the zone, without additional clues brings very negative figures. We definitely need something else.
Price action & candlestick patterns can be those clues.
Accurate reflection of the current local market sentiment makes the patterns a very reliable confirmation.
Dodji's, pin bars, double tops/bottoms ...
Proven by history, the skill of identification & reading the patterns will pay off quickly.
Being in some sense the language of the market, the patterns are the fundamental part of my trading strategy.
2️⃣ - FIBONACCI LEVELS
Fibonacci levels are a very popular technical tool. Being applied properly it helps the trader to confirm or, alternatively, disqualify the identified "ZONE".
With multiple different methods like confluence trading, fibs are applied in hedge funds and various banking institutions.
The main problem with the fibs, however, is complexity and a high degree of subjectivity. Meeting different traders and watching different posts on TradingView I noticed that all traders tend to have their own vision. There is no universal system to apply here, a proper fib.confirmation technique can be built only with long-lasting backtesting and practicing.
3️⃣ - FUNDAMENTAL NEWS
The figures in the economic calendar, news, tweets. Actual fundamental news can become your best confirmation tool.
However, the main obstacle right here is the promptness, validity and reliability of the data that you get.
The information shouldn't be delayed and it must be objectively true.
The search for such a source is by itself is a very time-consuming and labor-intensive business not even mentioning its potential costs.
And that is not all. Knowing how to make sense of that data, its proper perception, and understanding requires a solid economical and financial background and experience.
At the end of the day, becoming an expert in fundamental analysis , the trader can easily sort the trading zones and trade only the ones that are confirmed by a decent fundamental trigger.
4️⃣ - TECHNICAL INDICATORS
I believe all the traders apply some indicators. From a simple moving average to some complex composite algorithms, indicators play a very important role in trading.
Being 100% objective and providing up-to-date real numbers and figures, they are our allies in a battle against subjectivity.
For many traders, the various signals from indicators are considered to be accurate and reliable confirmations.
Many algotrading solutions are operating simply relying on such signals and being able to bring consistent profits proves the power of technical indicators.
What confirmation type should you rely on?🧐
I guess the main rule right here is that the confirmation must MAKE SENSE to you. You should feel the logic behind that. It must make you confident in your action, even in case of the occasional losses, it must keep you calm and humble.
Let me know in a comment section what confirmation do you prefer!
Course
IMPROVE YOUR TRADING | 4 TYPES OF TRADE CONFIRMATION ✅👌
"Look for a confirmation!"
"Wait for a confirmation!"
When I was learning how to trade and when I was watching and reading different trading educators, these words naturally pissed me off. What the hell are you talking about? What confirmation?
It was a full-blown mystery...🤯
Then, once I started to mature in trading and trade full-time, I became an author on TradingView.
Posting my forecasts and trading setups, I frequently mentioned the confirmation.
And now the newbies that are reading me and learning from me are pissed off...🤬
That is so funny I guess.
But the truth is that the confirmation must become a fundamental part of your trading strategy. It is your key to successful trading.
What exactly is the confirmation?
It depends on many many different things, in this article I will discuss with you the 4 main types of confirmation and give you detailed examples.
1️⃣ - PRICE ACTION CONFIRMATION
That is actually what I prefer.
Analyzing different markets and searching for decent trading opportunities often times we find some peculiar instruments to watch.
Identifying the market trend and key levels we find the potential spots to trade from.
But do we just open the trade once the "ZONE" is spotted?
I wish it could be that simple...
Trading just the zone, without additional clues brings very negative figures. We definitely need something else.
Price action & candlestick patterns can be those clues.
Accurate reflection of the current local market sentiment makes the patterns a very reliable confirmation.
Dodji's, pin bars, double tops/bottoms ...
Proven by history, the skill of identification & reading the patterns will pay off quickly.
Being in some sense the language of the market, the patterns are the fundamental part of my trading strategy.
2️⃣ - FIBONACCI LEVELS
Fibonacci levels are a very popular technical tool. Being applied properly it helps the trader to confirm or, alternatively, disqualify the identified "ZONE".
With multiple different methods like confluence trading, fibs are applied in hedge funds and various banking institutions.
The main problem with the fibs, however, is complexity and a high degree of subjectivity. Meeting different traders and watching different posts on TradingView I noticed that all traders tend to have their own vision. There is no universal system to apply here, a proper fib.confirmation technique can be built only with long-lasting backtesting and practicing.
3️⃣ - FUNDAMENTAL NEWS
The figures in the economic calendar, news, tweets. Actual fundamental news can become your best confirmation tool.
However, the main obstacle right here is the promptness, validity and reliability of the data that you get.
The information shouldn't be delayed and it must be objectively true.
The search for such a source is by itself is a very time-consuming and labor-intensive business not even mentioning its potential costs.
And that is not all. Knowing how to make sense of that data, its proper perception, and understanding requires a solid economical and financial background and experience.
At the end of the day, becoming an expert in fundamental analysis , the trader can easily sort the trading zones and trade only the ones that are confirmed by a decent fundamental trigger.
4️⃣ - TECHNICAL INDICATORS
I believe all the traders apply some indicators. From a simple moving average to some complex composite algorithms, indicators play a very important role in trading.
Being 100% objective and providing up-to-date real numbers and figures, they are our allies in a battle against subjectivity.
For many traders, the various signals from indicators are considered to be accurate and reliable confirmations.
Many algotrading solutions are operating simply relying on such signals and being able to bring consistent profits proves the power of technical indicators.
What confirmation type should you rely on?🧐
I guess the main rule right here is that the confirmation must MAKE SENSE to you. You should feel the logic behind that. It must make you confident in your action, even in case of the occasional losses, it must keep you calm and humble.
Let me know in a comment section what confirmation do you prefer!
💝Please, support my work with like and comment!
Thank you for reading.
This is ALL you need to be Profitable in TradingGood morning traders! Today we will make an educational post about something that generates many doubts in many people:
That is, what are the tools that I should use to trade correctly? Do I need indicators? do I need extremely complex strategies? The answer is DEPENDS.
Why does it depend? It depends because there are many ways to see and trade the market, and just as there are thousands of traders, so there are also thousands of strategies since there are many ways to combine the different tools that we have. That said, it is worth clarifying that this post is made 100% from our experience, and the objective is not to discredit or downplay other trading methods. This is simply what we use, and for a long period of time, it has served us well.
We will divide this post into two parts, first, a theoretical explanation of each tool, and second, show how we apply the previously explained concepts.
🔸Price action:
This is the first concept that we must cover since it incorporates everything in a certain way. The price action, basically, is the behavior of the price. Depending on the market situation (trend, either bearish or bullish or in range), we may see different price actions. The technical analysis starts from the basis that the price action discounts everything necessary to decide on an asset; therefore, everything that is happening, the price is transmitting in its behavior. For example, if the price is in strong support, and we see that a candle with a lot of volume appears, and it forms a candlestick pattern (suppose bullish engulfing), clearly the price action tells us that there is strong buying interest. This applies to all scenarios; we can also consider a breakout of a structure or correction that closes with a strong candle above the previous high, and so on with infinite cases.
Example of price action in support (real situation in USD / CAD in Weekly Chart):
🔸Trendlines/channels:
This will be a determining tool when defining a trend. Depending on which market or timeframe we trade, we will see more or fewer trends, but they are a very comfortable visual way of marking them. In the case of an upward trend, the concept is based on joining the increasing lows with a line and the same with the increasing highs. Same situation for a downtrend, but with the highs and lows in reverse. The price tends to respect these lines very well, bouncing off them every time it touches them.
Example of trend lines in channel form in EUR / USD Daily Chart (Real example):
🔸Support / Resistance Zones:
The Support and Resistance zones are horizontal and static supply and demand zones. As we saw previously in the trend lines that the price reacts (these are considered dynamic supports and resistances since the value changes as time progresses), the same thing happens here, since they are specific places where there are many buy or sell orders. The key is to wait for a reaction in the price in that area to confirm the movement. When the price moves for a long time between support and resistance, we can say that it is within a range. This usually happens after periods of a powerful trend, where the price begins accumulation/distribution consolidation processes that last a long time.
Here, we have an example on Amazon (AMZN):
🔸Corrective Patterns:
This is a particular concept since it is focused on momentum/trend traders. This trading style is characterized by taking positions that are always in favor of the trend, and corrective patterns are an exciting time to join the movement. These patterns happen after impulses; if we have a strong upward movement, then once the price starts to retrace, it will form a correction pattern in the opposite direction of the trend. They are very useful to be able to join the next trend.
Real example on Facebook (FB):
🔸Risk Management:
The basic idea of risk management is to be able to earn as much as possible but always keeping losses as low as possible, and of course, avoid destroying an account. It is very common to see traders who try to "duplicate" accounts or obtain exorbitant results in very short periods of time. Is this possible? Of course, YES, but we must ask ourselves whether this is functional in the long term, and the answer is NO. OBLIGATORY, if we take high risks, we will lose a lot of money after a certain period of time. This is very simple, trading is a game of statistics, and streaks exist either for better or worse.
There are certain basic rules, such as the % risk of the total capital in each trade. For example, if we have an account of $10,000, a conservative and correct risk to assume, it would not be more than $300 per trade, which implies 3% of the total capital. We recommend risking that value as much as possible, and even the optimum is a little less. We handle ourselves with risks between 1-2%.
Assuming real situations, there are bad streaks of trades that can reach 10-15 consecutive negative trades. Assuming a risk of 2% per operation, we would have a maximum loss of capital of 30%. In this way, we can stay in the game for the long term. Never forget that capital is the raw material of labor, and rule number 1 is NOT TO LOSE IT.
🔸Psychology:
When it comes to trading, thousands of emotions appear that go through our heads, both positive and negative. We will feel fear, euphoria, anxiety, greed, depression, excitement, happiness, and infinite emotions depending on the situation in which we find ourselves. The objective of working on psychology is, obviously, to reduce these sensations, but more importantly, it is to ensure that they do not affect us in our daily work. In the end, we are human, and we will always feel emotions, but the goal is that they do not negatively influence our trading.
In the first place, to reduce negative emotions, we must necessarily know perfectly the statistics of the strategy that we are carrying out. This implies knowing what your return is, what period, maximum loss, how long it will take me to recover it, etc.
On the other hand, it is necessary to perform a backtest to know how it behaved over time and if what I see at the moment is correct. In this way, we will have peace of mind when operating.
We must never forget that this is a business, and expectations must be long-term. Do not measure the result in days or weeks. Look at it in months, quarters, or years. In this way, the results will be more representative.
🔸With the concepts explained, we will see how we can unite them all to take a trade. Although they are all useful, individually, they do not serve us to take a trade. We must unite them in an organized way to use them to our advantage.
We will show you some positions we have taken over the last few months (some already closed, others active).
Bullish Trade on INTU:
In this trade, we see a clear uptrend. The price, after making a maximum, was consolidating for a few months. We detected a clear corrective pattern and took a bullish position once it was broken to the upside. The entry was above the previous high, the stop loss behind the low, and the target in the Fibonacci extension (this concept is not explained, but we can make an informative post later if you want). The risk assumed was 1% of the capital, with a potential gain of +2.5%. The position is open but near the take profit.
Bullish Trade on FB:
Similar scenario to the previous one. Price builds bullish momentum and then corrects. We operate the correction breakout, assuming a risk of 1% with a potential gain of +2.4%.
Bullish Trade on FB (short-term):
This is a trade that we take in addition to the previous one; it is an internal trade. Here, we also incorporate the concept of support/resistance. There was a broken resistance to the upside, and then the price generates a throwback (retest). This setback forms a corrective pattern, which gives us a good opportunity to enter the market—assumed the risk of 1% with a potential gain of +2%.
Bullish Trade on GOOGL:
In this trade, the price breaks the upper end of the bullish channel and begins to correct at the edge. We see a clear consolidation, and we trade the bullish breakout. This trade is already closed with a profit of +1.75% with an assumed risk of 1%.
Of course, not everything is so nice, and there are also stop losses.
Bullish Trade on TLRY:
In this trade, the price breaks the descending trendline and the resistance zone (then support). It generates a corrective structure, and we take a bullish position at the break. The price was a bit in our favor, but then everything turned against us, and we jumped our stop loss.
🔸 This is a small sample of certain technical analysis concepts and how they can be applied to the market. There is no complex science here, no confusing indicators. Simply clear trends, trade-in that direction, and interesting profits with limited risks. That's all it takes to make money on this.
🎓 EDU 6 of 20: What Market Indicators do I Need to Follow?Hi traders, it's time for a new part of our educational series. This series aims to equip new traders with all the necessary tools to trade the forex market. Most of these tools are also used by large market participants in their daily analysis, and for making trading decisions.
Getting started with trading isn't easy, mostly because the internet lacks quality when it comes to trading education. Yes, there are some great posts out there, but how are you supposed to know where to find them, and how to distinguish bad trading practices from good ones? This is why I created this educational series, to equip you with the main tools used by institutional investors and banks in trading.
Alright, let's move on with the sixth part: What Market Indicators do I Need to Follow?
Capital chases yield. Investors will move their capital to markets that offer better yields, be it in the USA, Europe, or Asia. Central banks play a huge role in determining yields when they hike domestic interest rates to fight inflationary pressures (making the domestic currency relatively more attractive), lower yields to support economic activity (making the domestic currency relatively less attractive), or keeping rates unchanged. To recap how this works, visit my previous post (EDU 5 of 20).
Central banks follow market indicators to determine what is the correct monetary policy for current economic conditions. Just like traders, central banks follow CPIs, PPIs, industrial output, PMIs, and labor market numbers, to name a few. And if central banks follow them, you should too.
1. CPIs - Since most central banks have a specific inflation target they want to reach, Consumer Price Indices (CPIs) are one of the most followed market indicators. CPIs measure the change in the prices of goods and services at the retail level over a specific period of time (usually one year), and compares that change to a base period (in the US, the base period is 1982-1984, where the value of the CPI is set to 100.) However, markets are mostly focused on the annual rate of change in the CPI.
2. PPIs - While the CPI measures the change in prices at the retail level, PPIs do the same at the manufacturing level. For example, the PPI would catch changes in the prices of manufacturing input, such as raw materials or labor. Since most of the price changes are spilled over to the retail level, traders often follow PPIs to get early clues on where the CPI could be heading.
3. PMIs - The Purchasing Managers Index is a major leading indicator that catches trends in the overall economic activity. It's based on a survey of purchasing managers in 19 industries, who are asked to assess the current conditions on five major survey areas: new orders, inventory levels, production, supplier deliveries, and employment. Currencies often react with great volatility to PMI releases, making it an important market report to follow.
4. Labor Market Conditions - When talking about labor market conditions, we are actually referring to all the indicators which cover the labor market, including unemployment rates, unemployment claims, non-farm payrolls, average hourly wages, employment change, etc. Many central banks closely follow labor market numbers, as their mandate can also be to target full employment (in addition to an inflation target.) Labor market numbers can also provide some leading insights into the future economy, as the creation of many new jobs usually leads to higher economic output and GDP growth.
Besides the mentioned reports, there are many more reports that can have a significant impact on the forex market. Some of them include retail sales and core retail sales, consumer confidence indices, GDP growth rates, etc. Check them out if you want to get a deeper understanding of the major market reports.
What's important to mention is that markets are focused on the actual number vs the forecasted number. For example, if non-farm payrolls come in at 500k but expectations were set at 350k, this will usually lead to a strong positive reaction in the US dollar. Also, the reaction is stronger is the surprise comes in the direction of the central bank policy (for the example above, if the Fed is hawkish and the NFP comes in stronger, the reaction in the US dollar will be stronger than in the case of a dovish Fed and strong NFP.)
If you find my educational series useful, please consider hitting the "LIKE" button to share the word. Thanks!
ETH plotted course for this fall then rise then fall.I believe we rise from here.. the weekly pivot we are testing. and during the week reach the H3 just over 2k. When this monthly closes it will have a steeper retracement to low 1700 area.
Using weekly and monthly camarilla pivots and CPR
Ignore the time scale. I expect the bounce in the coming week. and the fall on or around monthly close
"Risk Management" (Traders) vs "Right or Wrong" (Analysts)In this video I explain you with a real time trading context, what the major difference is between a trader and an analyst. Because that's how you'll easily make the difference between the one that actually trade and manage its risks, and the one that just talks and do nothing ! Always remember that if you want to learn how to analyse a market, the follow analysts ! If you want to learn how to trade and manage the risks, follow traders... ! Because being right or wrong is nothing but bullshit in a speculative prospective !
Bests,
Phil
Technical Analysis 101!!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Technical Analysis 101!!
Interpreting the candlestick
This type of chart is an extension of the bar chart as discussed and is actively utilised by
the investors in China for more than 500 years of time period. It helps in providing the
information regarding open, close, low and high in the dimensional format. It can be seen that
the vertical axis of the chart helps in providing information on the prices of the FOREX whereas
the horizontal axis represents the time period. The white candles are the representation of the
advances of the currency and the black candles, on the other hand, represents the decline in the
value of the FOREX. Moreover, the body denotes the thick portion of the candle, and the vertical
line represents the wick. This chart helps the investor to forecast the future price movement of
the FOREX.
b) Charting systems
In the mind of a few people, charts are the exemplary image of the trader’s speciality. The
experienced eye can make ups and down. Charting is a questionable piece of the fund. Future
research is probably going to reveal things about outlining that would amaze people today. All
things considered, even individuals who eagerly restrict the training are ought to be acquainted
with the essential techniques of charting.
Follow your Trading plan, Remain disciplined and keep learning !!
Please Follow, Like,Comment & Follow
Thank you for your support :)
This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
Elements of a Successful Trading Plan 106SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Elements of a Successful Trading Plan 106
The last Element that i will explain is Trading edge.
6. Trading Edge
The season, in which the currency will exchange, it is beneficial to hold the exchanging edge
down to maybe a couple setups when beginning. The more systems one plans to ace, the more
troublesome it will progress toward becoming reliably profitable in the market. The following
are the points of interest of exchanging edge:
• Early Range Breakouts
• High Volume
• Tight Spreads
• Combination preceding the breakout
Follow your Trading plan, remained disciplined and keep learning !!
Please Follow, Like,Comment & Follow
Thank you for your support :)
This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
6 Things That Separate The Pro From The Amateur Trader!! Ben SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
6 Elements of a Successful Trading Plan
1. Test
The test is considered as the start-up element of the successful trading plan. It refers to the
successfulness or failure of any currency involved. In most organisations, time is the primary
driver for assessing execution. The assessment period is constructed with respect to the quantity
of exchanges put and not by the measure of time passed. You should distinguish the correct
number of exchanges for the assessment, however, this number should be sufficiently high that
an individual has a nice example set, yet sufficiently low where it keeps you from going on a
damaging exchanging.
More elements will follow... Like, share, Comment and follow us to keep updated on our professional trading ideas and education :)
Follow your trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning :)
Achieve Financial Security through Self DevelopmentSELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Achieve Financial Security through Self Development
What skill set will you further develop over the next 90 days?What books will you read? What courses will you take? State specifically your personal development action plan for the 90 days...(your personal development is an ongoing process)............................
Strengths and Weaknesses
1. What are your skills?
...................................................
2. Do you tend to be compulsive?
...................................................
3. How much social contact do you need?
...................................................
4.Can you work by yourself day after day? Do you need other people around you?
....................................................
5.What are your psychological strengths and weaknesses? In terms of trading system development?
....................................................
6. Do you have deadlines to meet in your trading?
....................................................
7. And lots more..............................
Please let me know if you have any questions or would like to know more
Happy trading :)
"Invest 3% of your income in yourself (self development) in order to guarantee your future" Brian Tracy
How does Bitcoin work? | Introduction to Bitcoin and BlockchainIntroduction
Bitcoin, the world largest digital currency, was launched in 2009 and currently reached a market cap of over 200 billion dollars. But still, most of the people don’t understand how it actually works, so this is why we are here.
Unlike the fiat currencies that we are familiar with, owned or controlled by central banks, Bitcoin has no central authority. But what happens when I don’t have a central authority to verify that everyone is actually doing his job and following the network rules?
How to prevent the double spending without the central group? How to automatically keep tracking of all balances and transactions?
How it works:
Bitcoin as a network runs on a protocol known as the blockchain. Each blockchain is unique to each individual user and his/her personal bitcoin wallet.
To get a digital network we need accounts, balances and to make a transaction. Until now it is easy to understand. One big problem every payment provider needs to solve, its own name, Double Spending.
The same amount spent twice, usually prevented and monitored by a central group, that keeps track on the balances. In a decentralized network, you do not have this group, so everyone who is related to the network has a job to do.
All bitcoin transactions are logged and made available in a public ledger and must be verified by miners on the blockchain, helping ensure their authenticity and preventing fraud; prevent transactions from being duplicated and people from copying bitcoins.
While every Bitcoin records the digital address of every wallet it touches, the bitcoin system does NOT record the names of the individuals who own wallets.
Current status
Satoshi Nakamoto was the first one, not only to answer all of those questions – but actually to make others thoughts into a reality. His system has been proven in achieving consensus without any central group.
The confirmation is a critical concept in the cryptocurrency system. The transaction is known in the whole network almost in the same moment it placed. However, only after a specific time, it will be confirmed.
It can not be reversed and it becomes officially part of the blockchain.
The only one who can confirm the transactions are the miners, that’s their role in the cryptocurrency-network.
They receive the transactions, verify them and spread them in the whole network. The miners get rewarded with a token of the crypto-network they are involved in, for example with Bitcoins in the Bitcoin network.
New Crypto Course: readbtc.com
Buy Bitcoin via Credit Card: readbtc.com
Need a Plan? Get an Expert: readbtc.com