Starbucks COVID 19 Analysis June 2020Still not convinced the growth isn't just a pullback to test again the $50 price or to even fall beyond $50. Now, $50 looks like a strong resistance zone. More like a reasonable price. Being not a essential commodity, there may be a stronger hit to the stock price if unemployment affects their clientele at a level in which they would have to further restrict their spending on nonessential items. Still very interested to see what happens once 2nd quarter of this year closes and earnings are disclosed.
Covid-19c
5/17: Gold makes new high, bullish leg likely to continueWhat is up boyz -- back at you with another video for this upcoming week of May 18th.
Don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW, and comment below what you want to see in my next video ;)
Take it easy, take some profit, and I'll catch you next week.
- RAY
GOLD XAU/USD UPDATE, LONG/SHORT IDEASReview from last post
Gold last week break ABCDE triangle to upside. This break is very good signal for more upside from GOLD in coming weeks. Gold closed on Friday with price 1742$. Upper resistance is at 1748$.
1 Option
First possibility for Gold is Truncation of wave 5 which means Wave 5 coudnt break top of wave 3. I think this scenario wont play out. I will not look for sell positions on Gold.
2 Option
Confirmation for buy position for me will be break of 1748 level, possible retest of the 1748 level, which brings us to very nice buy opportunity.
So wave 5 could finish in 1850 area. Proper Risk managment is very important because market is very volatile.
In times of crisis just like now in global economy price of Gold always rises. Time will tell us will history repeat itself.
BITCOIN long breakout possible if this current trend holds!There is a potential long breakout possible on bitcoin if this current trend holds and higher highs are made to break the near term fib resistance. A break of 10k is not enough to send bitcoin surging. A higher-high is needed and we will need a run to break 12k~ in order to make real gains. On the other end of the spectrum, we can see support levels at 8.7k~, and 7.9k~ and if both of these levels are broken down, we will have a few weeks/months before a real uptrend begins.
With the halving that just took place, if past trends continue, we should see a long breakout within 3 to 6 months. According to passed halvings, we should see a slight dip after the initial miners that can't stay on anymore begin to turn off. Some people believe the halving price was already factored into the current price of bitcoin. There is a lot more money in the system right now with every country printing money to help stabilize the economy. There are also many more people that are paying attention to bitcoin then there ever have been before in the past. This could be a potential moon landing for bitcoin but it also can really hurt it at the same time. People having the option to short bitcoin was one of the biggest contributors to the last bitcoin fall from 20k. There are a lot of whales in the game on standby and we are just fish in their ocean. If we do see a huge surge in bitcoin, there may be whales that will attempt to dump their bitcoin, which will cause major pullbacks during the rise. These pullbacks, if large enough could ignite a bear market for Bitcoin. If those dumps started happening now, I don't know if bitcoin will be able to recover for a long time.
In regards to COVID-19, we have noticed that as usual, when the market takes a downturn, people invest in gold as a safe haven for their money. As a result, gold has surged. There is the possibility that bitcoin can fall due to COVID uncertainty and market instability. There is also the possibility that people may finally start investing in digital gold as a safe haven, but not enough government regulation scares investors from getting involved. The recent surge we have seen in bitcoin could be the same reason we have seen a surge in gold, but it also could be a result of speculation with the halving. Only time will tell.
I am long on bitcoin because of the trends that are displayed in the chart and the real world. It is not a matter of why we need bitcoin and crypto, we know we need it. The market is not big enough yet. We are still just at the start of the race. I consider bitcoin digital gold and unlike the rest of the world, bitcoin has a set inflation rate and supply. Since we are still at the start though, it is possible for whales to influence the direction of the market, hence why I am giving the potential for both directions of bitcoin to ensue. The trends and indicators point up, but we will have to see what institutional investors think about the market.
Covid-19: EU and NA countries have the hugest death ratesLooking at how many people got infected and how many died, seems like countries that used cheap drugs to treat this cold have slowed the spread most and also have much less deaths.
Countries with really lots of deaths have went full lockdown and GDP took a huge hit, like -15% projections.
15% of GDP... could buy a WHOLE lot of drugs with this...
Right now, governments of the countries with the most authoritarian measures and the most deaths, due to slow and incompetent bureaucrats, have their approval ratings gone sky high. The bureaucrats are pretty happy about it due to their ignorance. A whole lot of average people are strongly defending their "heroes", approval ratings have gone up 5-40% (of total, not of how much they had before)
This is of course due to the population limitless ignorance, combined to hilarously low intelligence. Fear makes them more stupid also, create more herd mentality.
"Standard deviation becomes lower the larger a group gets" I just made up this quote btw. I'm certain it is true: The larger a group gets, the dumber it gets and opinions vary less! Plenty of reasons for that.
In gambling timing is everything: Filth tier MBS were absolute crap in 2005 yet the price kept going up.
The mistake made is as soon as they realized the things were absolute trash tier and overpriced they rushed in they FOMO'd like Bitcoin dogs, Michael Burry went all in and held the bag for years with his clients losing their minds. Don't get me wrong these guys are smart, maybe even genius tier (depends on the definition if above 130 then the odds are high if above 160 the prob not lol), and they are money smart, still FOMO'd like noobs the second they saw the mispricing.
So here, first GDPs are getting decimated, at that point I'm even going to go long the SEK probably even thought I kept saying it would go to zero :p. It will go to zero but europe and the usa will go to zero faster!
And then this approval spike... Won't last long. So depends when elections are. If (probably) and when the information reaches the brain, is when people will get pissed and everything. Plus they are going to understand very fast the great depression when it breaks their jaws. Pain is an understanding accelerator.
Predicting in advance, understanding what others don't is essential, but then it is necessary to know that the market and the world isn't a reflection of the truth, it moves when info reaches people brain. Something obvious for years will have no effect and then the second, literally second, the information reaches the herd brain they will rush (for the exits?) at lightspeed (why in such a hurry? The info was available and obvious for years).
People are going to be pissed at certain pharma companies possibly? People will be pissed at governments? Dumb people don't think alot but they get angry alot. Expecting rioting. Well no point speculating too much there is plenty of time. Took me a few minutes to figure it all out, so should take the herd a couple of years.
Some countries numbers:
I tried comparing countries with similar climate and similar populations or confirmed cases if possible.
Israel got 2.4 million doses of experimental coronavirus drug (chloroquine) and more:
www.jpost.com
Japan has been using an antiviral:
www.theguardian.com
Russia since march has been producing and using an anti-malaria drug (Mefloquine)
www.aa.com.tr
Europe and North America have been fighting treatments and promoting expensive patented drugs that don't work.
They have thought drugs that work for what? Protecting idiots that self medicate?
And what a surprise, they have the biggest death rates. Poor countries are doing much better than rich ones except sea ones.
Weird since french army stockpiled chloroquine "in case it does work".
Making sure they have something to offer to an invading country to help negotiate surrender.
Business owners have imported chloroquine to give to their workers and got in trouble (stupid people that self medicated have died).
There all sorts of treatments, here is something "A single treatment able to effect ~5000-fold reduction in virus at 48 h in cell culture."
www.sciencedirect.com
In france our main ID expert in the spotlight said
"We have with my team made some of the greatest virology discoveries of the XXI century"
"Scientists are not equal just like Lebron James isn't equal to amateur players" (something like that)
"I am one of the greatest experts in the world but I avoid herd meetings" (avoiding the herd like Tesla)
"Avoid at all costs consensus and political correctness"
And my favorites
"People criticizing me are children!"
"I don't care about their critics/opinions. I refuse to debate with people that have a too low level of knowledge"
A little too polite. I prefer the Dan Pena style.
And from now on I refuse to argue with the typical Bitcoin & Tesla bulls.
Warren Buffet in March said he wouldn't sell any more airline company but he dumped everything (on retail bottom chasers btw).
The perma bull white knight of the USA stock market ran for the exit, and he has the biggest cash position ever seen.
But sure don't worry, every thing will be alright.
I hope the USA will go for Stalin rather than Hitler, kill his own people rather than start a huge war and kill others. The USA are "terrified" of "the far right", and there's lots of marxists there. Excellent. BurgerLand will become a godforsaken hellhole, they'll kill each other, and the stock market will go to zero, while I'll be chilling. Don't want far right guys like Trump that threaten foreign nations and do trade wars (Trump+ does more than trade wars). Gogo democrat socialism.
Burgerland is in dire need of socialism and more antifa. Please god, please let them kill each other and ignore us and not nuke anyone.
"Buuut you are wishing ill on the usa" ... actually no I'm not going to lower myself to explain.
Ahem * clears throat *
DOWN DOWN DOWN DOWN! EVERYTHING WILL CRASH! DOWNTREND FOR YEARS! ONLY DOWN! ECONOMIES WILL NEVER RECOVER!
EVERYONE WILL LOSE MONEY EXCEPT BEARS! MASSIVE UNEMPLOYEMENT AND POVERTY! HUGE EXTREMISM! US STOCKS ARE DOOMED THEY WILL NEVER GO UP AGAIN!
When COVID-19 will be gone?This analysis represents the trend of the rate of change of confirmed COVID-19 cases.
The positive change in the confirmed cases is expected to be negative in the beginning of May, and then 90% of the cases should be recovered by mid-july.
MBX.TO -- Attains Health Canada License for COVID-19 TestingMicrobix Attains Health Canada Establishment Licensing
MISSISSAUGA, Ontario, April 21, 2020 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Microbix Biosystems Inc. (TSX: MBX, Microbix®), a life sciences innovator and exporter, announces that it has attained medical devices establishment licensing from Health Canada, enabling the immediate usage of its quality assessment products (QAPs™) by clinical laboratories, including its QAPs to help ensure the accuracy of COVID-19 disease testing.
It has been widely reported that the recently-deployed tests for the virus causing COVID-19 disease are providing results of questionable accuracy – sometimes giving “false negative,” or “false positive” results. Microbix’s QAPs are designed to increase the reliability of test results and this licensing from Health Canada will allow their use in testing labs across the country.
At present, Microbix has capacity to make 5,000 units per week of room-temperature stable COVID-19 QAPs exclusively on COPAN® FLOQSwabs®, and 10,000 units per week in a liquid vial format. Such QAPs can be shipped as early as April 30 to support the verification of new testing methods, the validation of newly-placed test instruments, training of technicians, lab proficiency accreditations, and by clinical labs for systematic quality control. By way of example, at usage of one per hundred tests, such QAPs can help ensure the accuracy of 1.5 million COVID-19 tests per week.
Cameron Groome, President and CEO, stated, “We thank Health Canada for its review and acceptance of the application provided by Microbix on April 13th. Such prompt action is precisely what is needed to get leading-edge tools like Microbix’s QAPs into the hands of Canada’s front-line healthcare providers. Microbix will now engage with procurement authorities in Ontario and other provinces and territories to make certain that Canadians can benefit from Microbix’s products that help to ensure test accuracy.”
The Microbix COVID-19 QAPs have been shown to work with multiple nucleic-acid based test (NAT) methods used to detect the SARS-CoV-2 virus that causes COVID-19 disease, specifically those targeting E, N, and RdRP genes, and on protocols requiring human RP housekeeping gene presence. These Microbix products are being made available as REDx™FLOQ® SARS-CoV-2 for swabs, and as REDx™ SARS-CoV-2 for liquid aliquots.
As for all Microbix QAPs, these COVID-19 QAPs are whole-genome workflow support tools that include 100% of the genetic sequences of the virus and emulate real patient samples while being consistent, non-infectious, and stable. As such, the COVID-19 QAPs contain all possible NAT viral targets – ensuring compatibility across current and future NATs. This broad compatibility and guaranteed utility is particularly relevant in the context of testing during a pandemic, when multiple test protocols and instrument systems are being newly-called into use.
Microbix supplies a broad range of white-labeled QAPs, including other viral respiratory pathogens, to support the proficiency testing (PT) programs of laboratory accreditation organizations in North America and Western Europe. Under its PROCEEDx™ brand, Microbix provides RUO (research-use-only) QAPs to support the test validation/verification and operator training objectives of test developers and clinical labs. Full QMS support of clinical laboratory patient sample testing is provided by Microbix’s Health Canada licensed, FDA registered, and CE mark certified REDx™ Controls or REDx™FLOQ® brand QAPs.
About Microbix Biosystems
Microbix develops proprietary biological and technology solutions for human health and well-being, with approximately 80 skilled employees and sales now usually exceeding $1 million per month on average. It makes a wide range of critical biological materials for the global diagnostics industry, notably antigens for immunoassays and its laboratory quality assessment products (QAPs™) that support clinical lab proficiency testing, enable assay development and validation, or help ensure quality control of clinical diagnostic tests. Microbix antigens and QAPs are sold to many customers worldwide, at present primarily to multinational diagnostics companies and laboratory accreditation organizations.
Microbix also applies its biological expertise and infrastructure to develop other proprietary products and technologies, most notably Kinlytic® urokinase, a biologic thrombolytic drug used to treat blood clots.
Microbix is a publicly-traded company, listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and headquartered in Mississauga, Ontario, Canada.
Covid19 potential topping patternWhen charting Covid19 US Deaths over Confirmed cases, the Pandemic is beginning to show weakness. After weeks period of increasing infections, those who had become infected have either died or recovered. That ratio, if near, is a "Lower High" than the one set in Early March. If we begin to see a trend of "Lower highs, Lower Lows", the pandemic is being contained. This chart will show the end.
COVID-19 Technical Analysis Chart and There are No Resistance Guys This chart Is very Bearish for Humans and World wide public.
You can see in chart there are non stop ride by COVID-19.
And no any Stopage.
this is only bullish Way for Death and your Mistakes.
So guys there are no Resistance Level.
only Resistance is GOD and Your Self Care
so guys Please Stay at home and Stay safe and stay Healthy.
its My humble Request Guys.
Your one mistake is equal to Your death and Also Your family Death.
So please Stay home and Save your family and friends also.
And you can also aware your all friends and relatives.
its my Very humble request guys.
COVID-19 is not Any religion or any Particular Country so we hate.
so spread love and Take care.
C-19 8 months predictionSo as we all know, probably there is censorship in some countries and also only a small percentage of sick people we see in official stats, because it is not possible to test everyone or even 1/20
But probably we see most of the deaths, at least in in the western countries. And I think death rate should be around 1% with the right numbers . ( So that means the real number of "Coronavirus Cases" are the number is many times higher )
So I want to share this prediction based on my calculations.
I added UK from April 2 for comparison, to show why i think deaths number on official stats in western countries are close to reality.
30 Days Later – Italy vs. USAs the Coronavirus continues to spread throughout the globe without any cure or treatment, researchers have been left with nothing but data to help predict and counter the disease. This being a novel virus, even our data sets are tremendously lacking.
We must make do with what we have, and 4 months into this global pandemic it seems that Italy has been taking the blunt of this disease; Creating a benchmark for other countries to compare.
There are numerous articles out there comparing the United States to Italy, many of which only compare the total number of cases. Based on that factor alone, the US is in far worse shape than Italy being approximately 8 days behind on the outbreak.
At the time of writing this article, Italy is at 110,574 cases while the US is nearly doubled at 209,071 cases of the COVID-19 virus.
Comparing the two countries should not end at the total number of cases. There are far more ways to analyze the available data to see how the United States and other countries compare using Italy as a precedent.
Population Factors
One of the largest factors to consider are the two counties populations. Italy’s population is ~60.5 million people while the United states is over 5 times the size at about ~330 million. Right there you can see that comparing the two countries based on the number of cases is not enough. The case comparison above shows the total percentage of the country’s population affected by the coronavirus. Offsetting Italy by 8 days, you will see that the United States is fairing much better when it comes to the total percentage of the population affected. Using Italy as a precedent, Day 33 of the outbreak Italy was at 0.123% of their total population infected, while the United States was at 0.074%. Today Italy is at 0.19%.
Transmission Rate
Based on the total percentage of the population, the data shows that Italy is in far worse shape than the United States. However, this could change at any time based on how quickly the disease is spreading throughout each country and how each country manages the spread. The Transmission Rate is generated by the number of new cases each day compared to the day before. Looking at transmission rate data above, you can see that the United States has been greatly higher than Italy over the last two weeks. Though the US transmission rate seems to be dropping a considerable rate, it is still at 14.1% compared to Italy’s 4.2% which seems to be leveling off. Getting this factor as low as possible will be key to controlling the spread around the globe.
Breaking the data down, the chart below shows the number of new COVID-19 cases, recoveries, and deaths per day between Italy and the United States. Looking at this data we can determine that Italy’s number of new cases seems to be dropping each day from their peak on March 22. This shows that the measures the country is taking to battle the Coronavirus could be working. IF the United States similar measures as Italy, they should start to see a decline in the number of transmissions per day. “Flattening the curve” to say.
Mortality Rate
One of the scariest data sets to compare is the COVID-19’s mortality rate. Currently the United States has a 2.55% mortality rate which is well below the global average of 5.23%. These factors are based on confirmed cases and deaths. Italy, however, is at a whopping 12.25% mortality rate. Meaning more than 1 out of 10 people who contract the disease is expected to die. The most chilling thing about this is that all three averages have been increasing each day. Clearly after seeing these values we can see that the United States is fairing off much better than Italy for the time being. Knowing this, there are three major factors to consider:
This data is based on ‘Confirmed’ cases and deaths. Meaning there could be numerous positive COVID-19 cases that have not been tested.
Italy’s median age is significantly higher than the United States. Unfortunately, this disease is known to target older, immuno-compromised adults.
The United States is 8 days behind Italy, meaning only a small percentage of the current Covid-19 cases have had time to mature enough to result in an outcome. Therefore it is possible to see a sudden increase in this value.
Recovery Rate
This data is petrifying, however, there is some light at the end of the tunnel. Recovery rates around the world are on the rise. Currently it is estimated to take 2-3 weeks to recover from this disease, meaning the current data available is only a small reflection of what has yet to come. The chart below shows both Italy and the United States’ recovery rates as of today. Italy being 8 days ahead of the US, has a significantly higher recovery rate. Within the coming months I expect both values to increase greatly, better reflecting true recovery rate of COVID-19.
I would like to thank TradingView for making the COVID-19 data available on their platform. This has allowed script writers like myself to break the data down, analyze, and share information through this global pandemic.
During this global pandemic, there is limited information available on the COVID-19 disease itself. However one thing we do have is data; and we get more of this every day.
The indicator referenced in this article will be made available to the public so that you can tract this data in real time. You will find it under the scripts tab on my profile page.
*Case comparison is based on the previous days data.
El oro retoma su dirección alcista.Este será el primero de mis posts, voy a ser lo mas eficiente posible.
Buenos después de una prolongada recuperación (38% en el retroceso de fibo) en el XAUUSD ya el precio empieza a posicionarse en puntos cada vez mas altosn Vamos a empezar a ver el precio con miras alcistas dejando en objetivo el nivel 16.4244.
Recordemos hoy el reporte de nominas no agrícolas de U.S. que de por sí no tienen aire para nada alentador.
Covid-19If we keep spreading Covid-19 at the rate it is currently at. By May 11th we should have almost a half a million confirmed cases and over 4000 deaths.
www.worldometers.info
12:33 AM CT March 27th, 2020 - 104,256 confirmed case in the US.
COFID_19 TOTAL CONFIRMED CASESES(i hope I'm wrong) but most likely this will be because of the new devices that are in the making, these devices will allow more people to test that virus, the result will b more tested and more confirmed cases