Get started

Covid-2019

MALAYSIA COVID-19 situation snapshotLooking at the MACD projection model for Malaysia, it is rather alarming... The current wave is Wave 2 for Malaysia and it is accelerating at a faster pace than previously. suggesting that the plateau for this wave is further out, being months at least. Unless, a lot is done to control the situation pronto. As I am not privileged to the local happenings, I can only see from the chart that there is a bigger wave in Malaysia compared to Singapore. Being close neighbours, it would be a while before clearance, and may even affect Singapore in some not so direct way in the future as well. Take care everyone!
C
by Auguraltrader
SINGAPORE COVID-19 Wave 3 Projection Update IIILast week, an update was made and projected that this Wave 3 was to be more significant and previous, as well as longer in duration. The days passed with events that corroborated with the projection, and in fact, surpassed the projection. The MACD histograms had crossed sooner than expected and the MACD lines show the momentum of the up trend. What this translating into is that this Wave is growing and becoming larger as the days go by. The previous projection was still underestimating the amplitude of the wave; which now looks larger and longer to contend with. By estimating the the momentum, together with virus infection dynamics and including measures imposed, it may be reasonable to expect at least 6-8 weeks before we see the plateau. This would bring us into July 2021. Check in again next week... meanwhile, stay safe, seriously.
C
by Auguraltrader
COVID-19 analysis. Please be hyper viggilant.For public awareness void of media or political bias. I wish not to scaremonger but to provide an analysis where early signs of another wave are evident, as per my civil duty. Analysing this set of data is very different in approach due to how complex measurement of a pandemic is, and the various metrics and other substantive data to contextualise. However, I simply explain as I did in the previous analysis - where such an area is 'broken' (significance of area is validated by trend line applicability contasted againt last area of concern and the correlation between the two) there is an increased risk of accelerated transission plus the latency period, on average 3-5 days but up to maxium of 10 days. My apprehension regarding the MA 50 and how it currently presents is indicative, based on previous methodology in analysis of COVID, that we may be in the early phase of another wave. Don't fall victim to complacency, increase measures to keep yourself safe and raise awareness where appropriate.
C
by UnknownUnicorn6513259
UK COVID-19 Next Wave ProjectionI was just having a conversation with a Singaporean good friend who lives in London, and called this afternoon upon learning about the (earlier expected) stricter measures that was just announced this afternoon. We were exchanging views on how the countries differ in the management of the pandemic, and the consequent success and failures. Then mentioned that UK may be next... and I offered to use the same MACD system to project for the UK from the current known status. In the chart above, the MACD corroborates that the situation in the UK had somewhat stabilized over the last two months after their Easter lockdown. Thing is, there appears to be a levelling off, and the arc drawn is projecting how it might turn out over the next weeks... and projection made that the start of a spike is at the end of June, into July. IF this projection is on point, then outnbreak news should be seen in the latter part of July. Let's test this system again! Meanwhile... do take care, stay safe, stay healthy, especially if you are in the UK.
C
by Auguraltrader
Humanigen ($HGEN) with a lot of potentialThe COVID-19 pandemic is holding the world, the economy and our health in a tight grip. So far Biontech/Pfizer have been successful with their vaccination, but as the virus mutates, it is unclear how effective the vaccination is. Many COVID-19 infected patients have to be hospitalized with a need for mechanical ventilation and that is where Humanigen plays a major role. Humanigen reports positive Phase 3 topline results demonstrating that their drug under the name Lenzilumab™ improves survival without need for mechanical ventilation. These news are really huge and better yet: Humanigen has requested an Emergency-Use-Authorization (EUA) from the FDA. Now looking at the price development of the share, there were some nice intraday profit taking (PT) opportunities, but the stock has actually a potential to grow much more. Look at the trading range and monthly levels to set your PT levels. There was a nice retest of the support level (at 15$ and a bit below), which had provided and excellent opportunity to buy in cheap, but catching a falling knife takes a lot of practice (I rarely succeed myself, but I was lucky with this particular trade). Have your PT goal in mind, because most of the times people lose money, because they become to greedy or don't cut losses (had to learn this the hard way myself :D). Other than that, I am really optimistic on the upwards potential of this gem. - This is no financial advice, so trade with care - For transparency: I am invested in $HGEN with 1/3 of my stock portfolio and usually keep 2/3 for dollar cost averaging.
HLong
by RedFoxTrading
2
USOIL - THE MAIN PROBLEM IS STILL INCREASING COVID !SHORT DESCRIPTION: - Nothing has changed! We are still inside DOWN TREND channel (long and short term)! - During Monday trading a huge "HANGING MAN" candlestick has formed, which is a BEARISH SIGNAL! - (Bloomberg) "Oil slipped with the rapid resurgence of COVID-19 in India and other countries casting a cloud around a return to normal consumption, even as OPEC+ projected a strong global demand recovery this year." - (Bloomberg) "Indian Oil Corp. is looking to sell gasoline into the spot market -- a potential indication of weak domestic demand. The country’s refiners are being forced to postpone planned shutdowns for maintenance at some plants as workers are either fleeing or falling ill." - Overall we are still VERY BEARISH! GLOBAL OUTLOOK (nothing has changed): - Record COVID cases in INDIA (the world’s third-largest oil importer) could threaten Global Oil Demand! - The biggest cities in INDIA are on lockdown again this month! - India’s combined demand for diesel, the most used fuel in the country, and for gasoline is set to plunge by as much as 20% (!) this month compared to March, officials from refiners and fuel retailers told Bloomberg. - Also rising COVID cases in JAPAN (the world’s fourth-largest oil importer)! - Japan has declared a state of emergency (shutdown) for Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto and Hyogo from April 25 till 11th May to stop people from travelling and spreading the virus during Japan’s Golden Week holidays from late April through the first week of May! - And last but not least GERMANY (the world’s sixth-largest oil importer) faces lockdown (curfew) until June as curbs fail to push down cases! - And not to forget, on April 1, OPEC+ said it would gradually lift daily oil production by 350,000 barrels in May, 350,000 barrels in June, and 441,000 barrels in July and holding back around eight million barrels a day of output! - All in all, globally it don't look good for oil demand within the next months!
TVC:UKOILShort
by dresipent
USOIL - THE MAIN PROBLEM IS STILL INCREASING COVID !SHORT DESCRIPTION: - Nothing has changed! We are still inside DOWN TREND channel (long and short term)! - During Monday trading a huge "HANGING MAN" candlestick has formed, which is a BEARISH SIGNAL! - (Bloomberg) "Oil slipped with the rapid resurgence of COVID-19 in India and other countries casting a cloud around a return to normal consumption, even as OPEC+ projected a strong global demand recovery this year." - (Bloomberg) "Indian Oil Corp. is looking to sell gasoline into the spot market -- a potential indication of weak domestic demand. The country’s refiners are being forced to postpone planned shutdowns for maintenance at some plants as workers are either fleeing or falling ill." - Overall we are still VERY BEARISH! GLOBAL OUTLOOK (nothing has changed): - Record COVID cases in INDIA (the world’s third-largest oil importer) could threaten Global Oil Demand! - The biggest cities in INDIA are on lockdown again this month! - India’s combined demand for diesel, the most used fuel in the country, and for gasoline is set to plunge by as much as 20% (!) this month compared to March, officials from refiners and fuel retailers told Bloomberg. - Also rising COVID cases in JAPAN (the world’s fourth-largest oil importer)! - Japan has declared a state of emergency (shutdown) for Tokyo, Osaka, Kyoto and Hyogo from April 25 till 11th May to stop people from travelling and spreading the virus during Japan’s Golden Week holidays from late April through the first week of May! - And last but not least GERMANY (the world’s sixth-largest oil importer) faces lockdown (curfew) until June as curbs fail to push down cases! - And not to forget, on April 1, OPEC+ said it would gradually lift daily oil production by 350,000 barrels in May, 350,000 barrels in June, and 441,000 barrels in July and holding back around eight million barrels a day of output! - All in all, globally it don't look good for oil demand within the next months!
TVC:USOILShort
by dresipent
5 Strategy - To help you towards your long term Financial Goals!Hello Traders, Newbies & Fellow Friends! Today I decided to post this Educational & Motivational Post for Everyone to Read! I hope your Enjoy this Journey with me! Before we start! Id like to mention a few Things: Financial Freedom is Not an amount of money , Its a state of mind! Trust Your Brain, Not Your Gut - "When things are going well, people think it’s going to be springtime forever,” & “When things are dark and stormy, they think it’s going to be wintertime forever. But I’m a student of history, and it’s always cyclical." Cultivate Patience - Mastering your finances is just like mastering your mindset—it doesn’t happen overnight. It takes years, if not decades, to see a true transformation. “I think the secret to patience is knowing what your outcome is and focusing on still making progress, It’s about momentum and being a student of what works.” These five strategies can help you stay on track toward your long-term financial goals: 1. HOME in on what matters! Be strategic about the financial news that you consume. If you are trading on the Forex Market, there’s no need to check your chart every 10min. You will only drive yourself crazy. Instead, spend those 30 minutes doing something valuable like reading a book or watching a YouTube channel (Global Fx Education) about a financial strategy. “We’re drowning in information but starving for wisdom,” “The only way to stay strong and centered is to be clear on what you want to serve, stand guard at the door of your mind, and make sure you’re feeding your mind something besides Nonsense. - invest in yourself!! 2. LEARN to be comfortable with risk! Even the safest trading conditions have a level of risk—tolerating it is simply part of the game. “Risk is the secret to success,” “If you want to succeed at any level— in Forex Market, in your contribution to the world—you have to learn how to deal with this four-letter word.” Trading should be based on goals and what we’re trying to accomplish,” 3. FOCUS on what you already have! High achievers always tend to focus on self-improvement! But if you’re always focused on what’s missing, you’ll never be able to attain true happiness. 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲 𝘆𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗺𝗶𝗻𝗱𝘀𝗲𝘁 to focus on what you do have: Perhaps you don’t possess enough money to travel and donate as much as you would like to charity, but you do possess enough to pay for a sizable share of your child’s college For Example. That’s big! 4. DON’T MAKE impulsive decisions. If you find yourself tempted to make rash decisions with your money, you’re not alone. “Humans aren’t really wired to be great investors; it’s just not the way we are built,” we often make decisions based on emotions or intuition rather than facts.” 5.KNOW your limits! The world’s most skilled investors didn’t make it big due to one or two lucky investments—they’ve spent their lives learning how to be the best at what they do.! Like an wise man always Told me - Rome wasn't Built in a Day, Take careful consideration in everything you do. Notes - Adjust Your Worldview With the volatility of the Stock market & Forex Market, political division across countries and unpredictability of the pandemic, it can often feel like we’re living during a terrible time in history. But a little dose of perspective can remind us that’s not necessarily the case. It’s human nature to see things with a negativity bias, But it’s important for Investors / Traders to have an optimistic outlook on the world. “If you accept that it’s a great time to be alive—life expectancy is going up, the population is growing, we’re innovating and we’re getting better every year—then that’s the kind of place where companies / Assets / Markets can thrive,” “And if they thrive, you’re going to do well as an investor / Trader.” Those who choose to view the world through an optimistic lens will prosper, Remember this - “Some people freeze to death in the winter,” while “Others learn how to snowboard and spend time with their family by a warm fire because they know winter is not forever.” Thank You All For Reading This Motivational / Educational Post! I hope it Has changed Your View / Trading Psychology For the future! I have Left my Previous Educational Posts Below! Something Great to do today - Like, Share this Post, Leave me a comment Below! Global Fx Education Stay Safe!
SAXO:XAUUSDEducation
by Global_Fx
3
Pound rebounds as retail sales sparklesThe British pound has reversed directions on Friday and posted gains. In the European session, GDP/USD is trading at 1.3881, up 0.32% on the day. The pound has shown considerable movement this week. The currency started the week in fine fashion, climbing 1.11%. This marked its best one-day performance since January. After pushing above the symbolic 1.40 line, the pound proceeded to retreat and fell back into 1.38 territory. On Friday, GBP/USD has gained ground, buoyed by strong economic data out of the UK. Retail sales were outstanding in March, with a gain of 5.4% (MoM). This reflects the easing of Covid-19 restrictions on consumer spending. At the same time, retail sales for the first quarter of the year were down by 5.8% compared to Q4 of 2020 - again, this is reflective of the lockdown that was in place for much of Q1, which curbed consumer spending. As the government continues to reopen the economy, with another easing phase scheduled for mid-May, we can expect pent-up demand to translate into robust consumer spending in the coming months. Aside from Retail Sales, there was also positive news from the manufacturing and services sectors, which showed strong growth in March. Manufacturing PMI for March improved to 60.7, up from 58.9. It was a similar story for services, as the PMI rose from 56.3 to 60.1. Both PMIs beat the forecast of 59.0 points. These releases show significant growth across the UK economy, but the British consumer remains quite pessimistic about economic conditions. GfK Consumer Confidence came in at -15 in April, almost unchanged from the previous reading of -15. Taking the "glass half-full" approach, this reading was the strongest since the Covid-19 pandemic began, as the index has been moving higher as the government reopens the economy. GBP/USD is putting strong pressure on resistance at 1.3898, followed by resistance at 1.3956. There is support at 1.3726, followed by a support level at 1.3612
by OANDA
Singapore COVID-19 Wave 3 UpdateSo... Technical analysis is not the orthodox tool for Pandemic infection monitoring, BUT it appears that IF we can look beyond the box, we can see more, and get ahead of the curve a little more. This is the SECOND time the Singapore COVID-19 charts are giving us about 6-8 weeks heads up of an imminent spike in COVID-19 cases. Much could have been done IF we looked closer and took appropriate actions. Last post on this matter, on 5th March, it was clear and present danger that a 3rd wave spike was to happen in April... and now, we are in the onset of a spike in cases in Singapore. It should be about another 8 weeks before things we under control... This is NOT chance, but high probability (though unusual) projection of the dynamics. You see, the RPM in the middle panel shows that it is not as powerful a run up this time (as previously expected); and the MACD histograms correctly warned of this imminent spike, now indicating that it is probably nearing a peak out. This predictive model also works for other countries. So it is robust. Till next time, stay safe and stay healthy! PS... see related ideas below for the historical tracking
C
by Auguraltrader
ECB meeting in spotlightEUR/USD is having a rare day in negative territory. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.2006, down 0.24% on the day. The euro has been in fine form in April, racking up gains of 2.3%. The currency has made up most of the ground lost in March when EUR/USD fell by 2.8%. The direction of the US dollar has, to a large degree, been dependent on 10-year US Treasury yields. In March, yields moved higher and provided the dollar with a lift. Conversely, with yields retreating in April, the dollar has suffered broad losses. The ECB holds its policy meeting on Thursday (11:45 GMT), and the central bank is widely expected to hold the course on monetary policy and leave the main financing rate at 0.00%. With the developed economies expected to show significant recovery in 2021, there have been rising concerns about taper tantrums, once central banks change their ultra-accommodative stance, which has been put in place in order to deal with the severe economic downturn caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. This is unlikely to be an issue with the ECB, which appears determined to continue fiscal and monetary support for the eurozone until the recovery is well underway. Once that occurs, the ECB can be expected to reduce purchases under its emergency pandemic programme (PSPP), while continuing its traditional QE programme, under which the ECB has been purchasing bonds in the amount of EUR 20 billion/month throughout the Covid pandemic. With the upcoming ECB meeting expected to be a"snoozer", the meeting could well be a non-event for the euro. It has been a good week for the euro, which punched past the symbolic 1.20 level this week for the first time since March 4th. The currency could get a bit of a boost if ECB President Christine Lagarde's comments after the meeting are more optimistic than expected. EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.2027. Above, there is resistance at 1.2073. On the downside, there is support at 1.1903 and 1.1825
by OANDA
Has CAD run out of gas?The Canadian dollar has reversed directions on Thursday. Currently, USD/CAD is trading at 1.2577, up 0.13% on the day. Since the start of 2021, the Canadian dollar is up about one percent against its US cousin, but there are signs that the currency may have touched bottom. The province of Ontario, the largest in Canada, is expected to announce an expansion of lockdown restrictions throughout the province. Ontario is expected to announce that the lockdown will be in force for 28 days, in a bid to curb soaring Covid rates. Canada's number of Covid cases has doubled compared to the beginning of March, but the vaccine rollout has been very slow, with only 2% of the population fully vaccinated. Another factor is the oil prices hit their most recent peak on March 5th and have been on the decline, even with the spike due to the Suez Canal closing. The unexpectedly strong GDP gave the Canadian dollar a boost on Wednesday, but the negative impact of Covid on the economy and falling oil prices could mean a bumpy road ahead for the Canadian dollar. Will US Nonfarm Payrolls crush the consensus?  The ADP Employment report for February came in at 517 thousand, shy of the estimate of 552 thousand but a huge rise from the previous read of 117 thousand. We'll get a look at official employment numbers on Friday, with nonfarm payrolls the highlight (12:30 GMT). The street consensus stands at 652 thousand, which would be a sharp rise from the January read of 379 thousand. However, given the impressive US recovery and an aggressive vaccine rollout, NFP could outperform by a wide margin. Barclays Bank sent a note with a forecast of 900 thousand, and some analysts are predicting a gain of above the one-million mark. If NFP is unexpectedly strong, we can expect some volatility from USD/CAD on Friday. 1.2641 has some breathing room in resistance after USD/CAD dropped considerably on Wednesday. This is followed by resistance at 1.2713. On the downside, there is support at 1.2486, followed by a support level is at 1.2403. Below, 1.2365 is both the 1-month low and the 52-week low.
by OANDA