CPI
A new low on EURUSD EURUSD rejected the sell zone pretty strong
Now, we are looking for a continuation down and a new low.
All entries made at the sell zone could now go breakeven and expect further development of the trade.
Any new entries could be made below 1,0060.
We can see another push down on London open but this time, we are not expecting an impulse.
[09/14] Beast Trading _ Today's Bitcoin Analysis Beast Trading _ Today's Bitcoin Analysis
Before the CPI announcement yesterday, Bitcoin continued to renew its high point, showing a strong rise.
However, the CPI announcement was above and the source Cpi was twice as high as expected, resulting in a strong fall
Coincidentally, after rebounding to the edge of the downward trend line from 69k, that's exactly where the very big drop started.
In an instant, it fell more than $1,000, and NASDAQ also began to fall strongly, eventually, NASDAQ fell more than 6%, and Bitcoin fell nearly 13% as it reached 19.8k.
In terms of transaction volume, it occurred stronger than when it rose steadily, reaching the top line of triangular convergence that was formed before, and is supported in the section.
It's showing a little short-term rebound, but it's resisting in the Fibonacci 0.236 position of the decline, and I don't think we should predict the direction hastily.
The support line hanging below is likely to be supported on each line of the triangular convergence upper line and the lower line, and if this section is broken, it will be 18.5k and then 17.6k.
Bitcoin's one-day candle 533 Stocastic came down strongly, bending its head from the top, but it hasn't come down half yet.
The same goes for NASDAQ Stocastic 533.
(Stocastics is an auxiliary indicator such as RSI.
If the index value is at the top, it is likely to fall, and if the index value is at the bottom, it can be interpreted as overselling (highly likely to rise)
I think we need to check the closing of the main salary.
If last week's beekeeping peak appears, I think we should keep in mind the 17.6k low point renewal.
PowerHou$e SPY TARGETS 16.9.22 Reverse Gamma continuedIdea continued of successful CPI trade. PPI tomorrow 830am EST , sideways and down market action predicted, reverse gamma squeeze, ultimate 3 standard deviation move to downside this week. potential place to load up on further puts tomorrow to price target for Friday.
US03MY increases more, Markets surprised at CPI data !?😲CPI the Core inflation, which is the focus of most traders, rose 0.6 percent in August, a larger increase than in July.
Although the US inflation decreased in August; But it was still higher than economists had expected, signaling that the US Federal Reserve will remain aggressive in raising interest rates.
Also Eight days before the new Federal Reserve interest rate meeting, the 3-month bond yield has increased by 0.75% in the transactions so far.
After announcing the inflation data, the yields of government bonds with different maturities increased by +6%.
The point being that the 3month is highly correlated to the federal funds rate,
It seems ,the Federal Funds Rate continues to rise , likely at a more modest pace and maybe with less regularity.
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Bond Yields:
The yield on a government bond is the interest rate that the government borrows at. Government bonds, because they are safe, therefore tend to have a lower yield because investors are not demanding a high rate of interest for lending to the government.
Bond yield is the return an investor realizes on an investment in a bond.
A bond can be purchased for more than its face value, at a premium, or less than its face value, at a discount .
The current yield is the bond's coupon rate divided by its market price.
Price and yield are inversely related and as the price of a bond goes up, its yield goes down.
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This Economic informations update is provided for informational purposes only .
✌️ Good luck with your trading and investing and remember: Trade smart…OR JUST DON’T TRADE!
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NASDAQ Island Reversal on HourlyPicture perfect island reversal following higher than projected CPI figures. I'm thinking the bear market relief rally is complete.
Bought a little SQQQ on Friday 9/9 which was a day too early.
I think we'll have a strong downtrend in the near term at least until the Sept FOMC meeting.
CPI Data collapses US markets - Watch For Rally/Reversion higherCycle patterns indicated a GAP/TOP for Monday/Tuesday. Then, they indicate a potential reversion/rally for Tuesday/Wednesday.
After watching the deep selling related to the CPI numbers, I would not be surprised to see a very strong rally/recovery over the next 48 hours in the SPY and other US Indexes.
News-based reactive moves like this are often erased over the next 24 to 48 hours as traders realize the true capacity of the future economic trends.
Stay tuned.
USDCAD Short from Resistance!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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EURUSD It will rise from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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XAUUSD : Target Reached ✅ +380 Pips ✅Well, Guys , as you can see, the price entered our appealing supply range ($ 1735) and started to fall exactly from the same range! The total profit of this analysis has so far been more than 380 pips ✅ , Cheers 🥂
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📅 09.13.2022
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eurusd Euro has the target of 1.02031 and above.
but its the matter of timing because of CPI news driver
1st scenario: if before before news we didnt get up there and CPI shadowed down , after punishing sellers expect rally to 1.02031
2nd scenario: if before news or at news release we got there , we can expect significant lower prices
caution: expect lots of volatility at CPI news driver
Groundhog DayIt feels like groundhog day whenever CPI prints roll around.
Last time on our game of "Has Inflation Peaked?" the Fed was confident inflation was going to decline MOM.
But we see things outside the FEDs box and realize that inflation is in fact sticky
I'm still counting on 4005 to remain supportive.
There is a gap back down to 3905.
Should 3905 fall, big hedges like JHEQX could flip negative gamma and accelerate a decline to ~3200 and a VIX ~40.
DXY Weakens, Awaits CPIThe US dollar has edged lower, breaking through 108.50. We are now in the (fairly wide) vacuum zone to 107.20. It does look like we are finding support just above 107.20. It is expected that CPI today at 8:30 AM EST will suggest that inflation is plateauing, therefore the Fed can ease their hawkish rhetoric. Easier monetary policy would hit the dollar hard, as its been benefiting from higher yields this quarter. If we can rally, 108.50 will be a target, if we reject current levels 107.20 should provide support.
Where are commodities heading to? Beyond 2022Where are the meat or commodity prices heading?
Meat prices have been rising at a rate of about 3% per annual over the last 40 years.
Meat is what I classified as an edible commodity, so is corn, wheat and rice. And as these commodities start picking up in prices, they are the one that will give the central banks a huge headache and to consider to hike its interest rates than the other commodities in the CPI basket.
Why is this so?
In short, people can still live with some inconvenience without cars or petrol, but not without food. Therefore, there is an urgency for the policy makers to first take care of the basic needs of the people.
Content:
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A little hack here to project the coming CPI data and also to know how aggressive the Fed will be with interest rate hike - you may consider to track the development of these edible commodity prices, if it is still trending up, we should be expecting a higher CPI and interest rates.
Example on Live Cattle Futures:
0.025cts = US$10
0.10cts = US$40
145.00 = 1450 x US$40 = US$58,000
From 144 to 145 = US$400