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CPI

Strifor || GBPUSD-US CPIPreferred direction: BUY Comment: The British currency is also expected to boost amid the publication of US CPI data . This is the most likely scenario and is indicated on the chart as scenario №1 . Login is expected just before the data is published. One can especially consider buy-position through pending orders if the price immediately falls to 1.25396 . Near this level, one can accumulate a buy-position with a target at the level of 1.27000 (scenario №2). Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
3
Strifor || GOLD-US CPIPreferred direction: BUY Comment: Before the publication of today's data on the US CPI , on gold , we have been following the previous trading idea that we gave at the beginning of the week. The price has already begun to move according to our scenario, but we must not forget about potential volatility amid the publication of today's data from the US. For this metal, we expect an approach to the historical maximum at the level of 2431.590 , and most likely, in the very near future, we will easily approach this target. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Strifor
1
Strifor || EURUSD-US CPIPreferred direction: BUY Comment: It didn’t take long for us to realize our previous trading idea for the euro . At the moment, we have the fact that the target has been fixed. Today, the market's focus will be on the US CPI , against the backdrop of which we expect another short-term growth in favor of the main competitors of the US dollar. The most likely scenario is an increase immediately after the publication of US inflation data (scenario №1). One can also consider buy-deal below current prices near the level of 1.07800 (scenario №2). We mark the target for short-term growth near the level of 1.09000, where the nearest resistance is located. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
Strifor || SILVER-14/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY Comment: Against the backdrop of the upcoming news week, metals in particular are best viewed from a medium-term perspective. Here, for silver , the most likely scenario seems to be the formation of accumulation and then growth towards a local maximum of 30 exactly ( scenario №1). We also designate Scenario №2, and it is mainly necessary as a plan B in case of increased volatility, which is likely to happen. The best thing, in our opinion, would be to find a long entry point using a breakout strategy at the level of 28.69664. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Strifor
1
Levels discussed on 16th May Livestream16th May DXY: Retracing, needs to stay below 104.50. If support 103.990 broken, could trade down to 103.40 NZDUSD: Buy 0.6145 SL 20 TP 70 (Hesitation at 0.6180) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6710 SL 25 TP 50 USDJPY: Sell 153.55 SL 35 TP 75 GBPUSD: Sell 1.2655 SL 30 TP 80 (DXY recovery) EURUSD: Buy 1.09 SL 30 TP 70 (DXY weakness) Sell 1.0850 SL 30 TP 60 (DXY recovery) USDCHF: Sell 0.8960 SL 20 TP 65 USDCAD: Sell 1.36 SL 30 TP 50 Gold: Consolidating, needs to break 2400 to trade up to 2415
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
USD/JPY jumps as US inflation drops more than expectedThe Japanese yen has posted gains on Wednesday. The yen gained as much as 1% but has given up about half of those losses on the day. At the time of writing in the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 155.73, up 0.45%. US headline inflation didn’t drop by much, but it was enough to send the US dollar down against the major currencies. Headline inflation rose 0.3% m/m in April, just below the 0.4% gain in March and the market estimate of 0.4%. Annually, headline inflation dropped to 3.4%, matching the market estimate and down from 3.5% in March. The 3.4% gain marked the first time in four months that inflation was not higher than expected. Core CPI dropped from 3.5% y/y to 3.4% y/y and 0.4% m/m to 0.3 m/m. Both readings matched the market estimate. Investors liked what they saw from the inflation report. Prior to the report, the likelihood of a September rate cut was 64% and rose to 71% after the report. The markets have fully priced in two rate cuts before the end of the year, but are they being too optimistic? There wasn’t anything in the inflation release that would point to inflation falling to the 2% target in the near-term and Fed Chair Powell said on Tuesday that the Fed plans to maintain rates in restrictive territory. It will be interesting to see how Powell reacts to today’s inflation report. Japan releases first-quarter GDP on Thursday and the economy is expected to bounce back. The market estimate stands at 0.1% q/q, compared to -0.4% in Q4 2023. Annually, GDP is expected to climb 0.4% y/y, after a 1.5% decline in the fourth quarter. USD/JPY tested support at 154.83 earlier. Below, there is support at 153.72 There is resistance at 156.88 and 157.99
by OANDA
CPI Index Rises over 43% per decade on Average - Don't be Fooledby the Politicians, Talking heads and Bankers. Governments can only Tax, Borrow & Spend Central Banks can only Print & Lend. If this index were to rise by the average of 43% You are looking at the CPI Index hitting 372 by Jan 2030 There is every likelihood this decade, will be a higher than average inflation rise. You must save in scarce Assets #Gold & #Bitcoin You must continue to in invest in #Technology #ETH & #LINK come to mind.
FRED:CPIAUCSLLong
by BallaJi
XAUUSD Demand and Supply Zone | 4H TimeframeXAUUSD Demand and Supply Zone | 4H Timeframe HEY Traders ! hope you are doing well - This prediction is based on Technical Analysis - Supply and Demand Zone path elaborated - Gold touched the supply zone and clearly rejected to now in a bearish circle - Usd High Impact news are Waiting to moving gold volatile - Our Target and Our Trend as Shown in our Analysis - We decided to stick with our idea until gold touched the points 2350-2345-2340.00 - Stick with Trend - Don't be opposite from Trend
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by professionaltradersfx
GOLD FORECASTGold New Forecast The price of XAUUSD (Gold) is expected to be volatile today due to the release of the CPI news. The movement will depend on the results: if the CPI is higher than expected, it typically indicates rising inflation, which could lead to increased interest rates and potentially cause gold prices to fall. Conversely, if the CPI is lower than expected, it suggests lower inflation, which might result in lower interest rates and potentially drive gold prices up. The price will respond accordingly to the CPI results. So, if the CPI is higher than expected, the price will try to reach 2364 & 2357 & 2344 then 2331. otherwise if the CPI is Less or equal to expectations will try to do a Bullish trend which is 2384 & 2392. and the expectations are more positive, so it will effect a bearish trend to OANDA:XAUUSD Key Levels Bullish Line: 2384, 2392. Pivot Line: 2374 Bearish Line: 2364, 2357, 2344, 2331
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RojBarwari
⭐️ XAU/USD : CPI is coming , Bull or Bear ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we observe that after the price drop to $2332, there was a demand surge, allowing the price to rise to higher levels as expected. After the price entered the Bearish BB zone at $2372, we saw a price drop to $2368. Currently, the price is trading around $2370, and in a few hours, we will have the important US CPI data. If the actual rate is higher than the forecasted rate, it could lead to a further drop in gold prices. Conversely, if the rate is lower than the forecasted rate, we might see a rebound in gold prices to levels above $2400. The supply zones are $2372 to $2378, $2389 to $2399, and $2409 to $2418. The demand levels are $2356 to $2361, $2332 to $2337, and $2306 to $2315. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
10
Strifor || NZDUSD-14/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The short-term strengthening of the US dollar's main competitors is relevant, and the New Zealand dollar is no exception. It should even be noted that this currency pair is among the top for short-term growth today. Strengthening of the NZDUSD is expected towards the level of 0.60713 , as well as in the case of the Australian dollar, there is a possibility of more significant growth, however, there is no need to raise the target too much since in the medium term there will most likely be a downward reversal. According to our main scenario №1 , we expect growth from the current ones, and we can safely consider buying right now. Scenario №2 is extremely unlikely, but nevertheless, we highlight it as an alternative. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
Strifor || AUDUSD-14/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY Comment: The current week will be the most intense compared to the previous one, as a number of important economic data are expected to be published. The focus will certainly be on the US CPI. Against this background, we still adhere to the buy priority for the Australian dollar and expect growth to the maximum level of 0.66460 from current prices (scenario №1) . This level is the main target, although you can expect a slight rise a little higher as part of a false upward movement. In the longer term, we also believe that the currency pair will turn downward. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
Strifor || GBPUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY Comment: According to the British pound , buyers continue to fight for the support area at the 1.25000 level, which is the key area at the moment. For the coming week, the buy-priority will remain relevant, but you need to be careful, especially in the middle of the week, when US inflation data will be published. The likely best option for entering a long position is a trade on a breakdown of the level of 1.25396. This level is a local resistance, and if it is overcome, buyers can count on growth at least to the level of 1.26300 (scenario №1) . An alternative option is scenario №2 , where exactly the same breakout transaction is expected after testing the area of 1.24500 . Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Long
by Strifor
1
SPX500: Price discussion pre-US CPI dataToday's focus: SPX500 Pattern – Continuation Support – 5211 Resistance – 5267 Hi, traders. Thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at SPX500 on its daily chart. Today, we wonder if the SPX500 can maintain its current bullish bias and possibly test or break all-time highs. Yesterday, buyers fought back after the PPI data, helped by comments from Fed Chair Powell. Will we see retail sales and US CPI match or drop below data that is mainly expected to come in lower? Will this back up comments that maintained buyer hopes yesterday? On the other side of the coin, if data comes in higher, could this set off some sharp selling as buyers may find themselves in a bull trap? It could be an interesting CPI data today. Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:SPX500
by Eightcap
What did Powell say and what did gold do? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed reservations about the trajectory of disinflation in the US during his recent remarks, stating, "My confidence in that is not as high as it was." Despite this, he indicated that further rate hikes were unlikely based on the data from the first quarter of the year. Powell's comments largely echoed those made during his last press conference following the Federal Reserve's previous meeting. Market sentiment regarding the Fed's rate decisions appears to be slightly adjusting though, particularly after the release of new data showing faster-than-expected increases in producer prices in April. Traders are now considering a 60% chance of a rate cut in September, down slightly from the 64% chance before Powells remarks and the Producer Price Index (PPI) report. Following the release of the PPI data, the XAU/USD pair climbed nearly 0.8% to $2,357, with potential for further gains in upcoming trading sessions. Technical analysis indicates that the next obstacle for gold prices lies near trendline resistance at $2,370, while immediate support rests close to $2,320, followed by the 50-day Moving Average. Market attention now turns to the release of consumer price data for April, scheduled for Wednesday.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
AUD/USD gains ground ahead of wage growthThe Australian dollar has posted gains on Tuesday. AUD/USD is up 0.19%, trading at 0.6620 in the North American session at the time of writing. Australia’s wage growth for the first quarter is expected to remain unchanged. Wages rose 4.2% in the fourth quarter of 2023, the highest since 2009, with most categories showing increases. On a quarterly basis, wage prices rose 1.9%, which was the lowest gain in three quarters. If the release is not within expectations, we could see a reaction from the Australian dollar. Is the Reserve Bank of Australia considering a rate cut? The central bank hasn’t shown any rush to shift policy and held rates at 4.35% for a fourth straight time at last week’s meeting. The RBA has stressed that rate policy will be data-dependent and has made the battle against inflation its top priority. A rate cut isn’t coming until inflation falls and the RBA doesn’t expect inflation to fall within the target range of 2-3% before 2025. Inflation has come down to 3.6% but the last phase of getting inflation within target could be the most difficult part, as the Federal Reserve has discovered. Unless inflation surprises with a sharp drop in the coming months, a rate cut is unlikely before November or early 2025. Federal Reserve Chair Powell speaks at an event in Amsterdam later today and the markets will be looking for hints regarding a rate cut. The Fed has delayed plans to cut rates as the US economy remains resilient and inflation has unexpectedly accelerated. The US releases April inflation data this week and a drop in inflation would increase the likelihood of a rate cut in September. The US releases PPI is expected to remain unchanged at 2.4% in April while CPI is projected to ease to 3.6%, down from 3.8% in April. AUD/USD tested support at 0.6602 earlier. Below, there is support at 0.6559 0.6645 and 0.6688 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
Gold analysis for 13/05/24 & 14/05/24According to my analysis and according to what you taught me, Tamas : Scenario 1 : If CPI comes negative on Wednesday, it could lead to deflation concerns, which might prompt the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates to stimulate economic activity and prevent deflationary pressures. A negative CPI could indicate a decrease in the general price level of goods and services, potentially signaling weak demand or economic contraction A decision by the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates could weaken the dollar, as lower interest rates typically make a currency less attractive to investors seeking higher yields. This could lead to a depreciation of the dollar index, which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of other currencies Gold prices may rise in response to a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates typically decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets like gold, making it more attractive to investors. Additionally, concerns about inflation and currency depreciation amid monetary easing measures could further support gold prices , Gold may Target 2394-2400 Scenario 2: A positive CPI indicates an increase in the general price level of goods and services, suggesting inflationary pressures. This could lead to concerns about the purchasing power of the currency and potential future interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to curb inflation If the PPI also shows an increase on Tuesday, it could reinforce inflationary expectations, indicating rising costs for producers. This might further support the case for potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve to address inflationary pressures Technical Analysis : We're currently in Correction Wave , and Expecting Price to Pump for Gold target 2394-2401 Advice : please always use a propre risk management this is my analyse and good luck Make sure if you like my Analysis to boost up my post and Comment
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderFa9ir
EUR VS. USD, Traders @ Equilibrium?? Lets Navigate!Here I have EUR/USD on the Daily Chart! This Spring of 2024 we can see Price of EUR/USD has kind of been "trapped" where you can see the Highs in March begin to follow a subtle Falling Resistance from the Local Resistance Zone, then CONFIRMED by the test of said trendline early April and NOW early May where we see Price has come to rest just below our Falling Resistance. Countering that is the Rising Support from the Local Support Zone where Price tested three times in April. Altogether, forming what looks to be a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern!! -Basically showing us that traders are unsure where price may go, creating a point of equilibrium to where we eventually see a BREAK either BULLISH -or- BEARISH! __ In the Event that the Symmetrical Triangle is BROKEN, I suspect we could see a potential 3%+ Price move in the direction of the BREAK given it is a TRUE BREAKOUT and not a FAKEOUT! **This prediction sees Price testing the JULY/OCT levels of 2023 depending on which way we see the scale tip in strength between EUR and USD, making these levels our 1st Areas of TP! Zones of Value: July 2023 High Resistance ( 1.12298 - 1.11404 ) Local Resistance ( 1.10426 - 1.09812 ) Oct. 2023 Low Support ( 1.05167 - 1.04503 ) Local Support ( 1.07238 - 1.06601 ) Now fundamentally, DXY started this month with HOTTER than expected ADP Non-Farm Employment Change numbers and remarkable Manufacturing Prices but ended the first week with EXTREMELY poor Non-Farm Employment Change and Services PMI then to end last week with disappointing Unemployment Claims and UoM Consumer Sentiment BUT What's left to come this week may give us a clearer map to help us navigate this pair!! USD- PPI (Tues), CPI & Retail Sales (Wed), Unemployment Claims (Thur) EUR- ECB Financial Stability Review (Thur) *More for EUR following week for news*
by Novi_Fibonacci