Bearish Crab Visible on the Crypto/Blockchain ETFBLOK is an ETF aimed at holding many Crypto and Blockchain related stocks, some of its top holdings include COIN, MSTR, MARA, RIOT, and SBI Holdings. There was a time in late 2021 where it had topped out at the PCZ of a Bearish Gartley/Bat confluence zone depending on how you plotted it and it has since gone down over 66%, however in recent months, we've seen the price of the stock begin to recover as it has made a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from the all-time high to the most recent lows. The original level it bounced from was the 0.886 of a Bullish Shark, however we may now see this shark turn into a Bearish 5-0 as the 0.382 aligns with the PCZ of a more local Bearish Butterfly and this could result in BLOK making a lower low and would overall be a more profitable and slightly indirect way to get bearish options positioning on Coinbase and Microstrategy without buying into the overpriced puts of the underlying assets.
I will leave an link to the previous 2021 bearish setup on BLOK which resulted in the top for reference as well as a link to the bullish setup that has just played its course on COIN in the related ideas section below.
Crab
Bitcoin is ready to go higher to 48600 USDT. Here is whyBitcoin is ready to go higher. The price is inside this ascending parallel channel, and the bullish uptrend is intact. Usually, when you see an ascending channel on Bitcoin during a huge uptrend, it breaks to the upside. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bitcoin is the first decentralized, peer-to-peer digital currency. One of its most important functions is that it is used as a decentralized store of value. In other words, it provides for ownership rights as a physical asset or as a unit of account. However, the latter store-of-value function has been debated. Many crypto enthusiasts and economists believe that high-scale adoption of the top currency will lead us to a new modern financial world where transaction amounts will be denominated in smaller units.
The smallest units of Bitcoin, 0.00000001 BTC, are called Satoshis (or Sats in short), in a nod to the pseudonymous creator. At Bitcoin price now, 1 Satoshi is equivalent to roughly $0.00048.
The top crypto is considered a store of value, like gold, for many — rather than a currency. This idea of the first cryptocurrency as a store of value, instead of a payment method, means that many people buy the crypto and hold onto it long-term (or HODL) rather than spending it on items like you would typically spend a dollar — treating it as digital gold. Let me know what you think about my analysis, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bullish Outlook with Retest OpportunityIf you caught the short opportunity on the previous Fib3 Bat I mentioned months ago, congrats on the 836 pips (~8,360 USD/lot) gain! (Link to related analysis available in post)
My overall stance on USDJPY remains bullish. For those eyeing buying opportunities, keep an eye on the daily chart for a potential market retest at 142.47 (refer to the left chart).
What's your strategy or trade plan for USDJPY? Share your thoughts below!
BTC SHORT/CRAB, LET GO.BTC looks to be in a short term distribution phase, with a likely top already in ~47k on CME.
Expect moderate volatility this quarter, where I expect constant violent 10% swings in either direction between 46k and 41k until the ETF approval. Afterward, expect a drop to ~38.5k by the end of January. Note, January EOM has the highest likelihood of dropping the furthest beyond the "Q1 High probability range noted on the chart" towards 34.5k.
Breaking out the Q1 Range will likely result in continued momentum to follow until the next line of support/resistance, noted at 50k or 34.5k.
The last line of defense will be ~31.6k in the event of a full liquidation cascade as it supports the previous sideways structure we had between 32k and 25k since March last year and acts as the 0.5 fib from the ATH to this cycle low. If we drop further under 30k, than you must accept the increased probability of 46k being a bull trap and being the largest rug pull to occur and we head toward revisiting 20k, 15, and even 10k.
RWI (Random Walk Index) and LS (Liquidation Screener) are the indicators used. RWI is printing bearish divergences along with starting to crossover toward bearish trend. LS probably has shown the top as it has hit the red bearish territory and recently dropped out of it and heading over the median line currently at 33.7k (but is rising and i could see it bottom out toward the lower side of Q1 probability range by EOM JAN or even EOQ)
Overall, I believe the ETF may be a sell-the-news event that will in the grand scheme of things crab between 46k and 41k, until the end of Q1, but with a short visit to 38.5k. Breaking out the expected range of 46k-38.5k, begets continued momo in the same direction. Take note this is likely due to lowered overall volatility of BTC maturing as a whole. But alts may push forward after the expected flush.
Let go. Relax.
Q1 Ranges:
High probability
46k-38k
Moderate probability
52k-30k
Max probability
54k-18k
Trades:
Short @ 44k
TP 41k, 39k, (may carry it down to 30k depending on PA under 39k)
SL 47k
Short @ 50k ( if expected range breaks out)
TP 40k, 35k, 32k
SL 54k
Long @ 39k
TP 44k, 50k
SL 37.5k
Long @ 35k & 32k
TP 40k, 50k
SL 29k
BTC 12HR etc High Time Frame Bearish Deep Crab and BATI've been looking at this pattern for a while now, waiting to see if price would get to this point. It has. There is a Bearish Deep Crab and Bat on High time frames on BTC. Oscillators in conjunction with these patterns are a sign of a reversal soon. With the Fed meetings next week, this seems all too well timed. Be prepared. Thank you for viewing.
GOLD ADVANCE HARMONICS TRADING Hello traders and welcome. Today we are taking a look at gold, presenting a great trading opportunity. The price has formed an advanced harmonic pattern, specifically a crab bullish pattern, on its hourly chart. The price is currently trading above the long entry level at 1994.72.
To manage risk, we place the stop below point 'D' at 1990.89.
Target 1:
38% AD: 2009.98
62% AD: 2021.36
BitCoin What's you see on Chart after the sharp bearish market and receive hard resistance we can have the
the Crab pattern i think that will be complete.
Convergence of PatternsTraders, I've spotted a compelling shorting opportunity on AUDCAD, presenting itself differently across various timeframes.
Specifically, the daily chart indicates a trend trading setup, showcasing the convergence of both the Bearish Shark and Bearish Crab Patterns in the same region.
My strategy involves waiting for the market to reach the 0.9000 region before considering engagement. At this level, I anticipate price action traders joining in, amplifying the trade potential.
What are your thoughts or trade plans for AUDCAD? Share your insights or potential strategies below!
Other see this as Coal, I see this as DiamondA retest of previous resistance on the daily chart combined with a strong bullish candle movement (an engulfing candle) is an intriguing setup. The observation of RSI Divergence at these levels serves as a significant indicator for a potential reversal.
Regarding the recent deviation from the PRZ zone of the crab pattern on AUDUSD, it seems it hasn't reached the HOP (Harmonic Optimal Price) level before reversing. This deviation could be a point of interest for observation on the H4 chart.
Your decision to take an aggressive shorting opportunity due to the attractive profit factor is noted. However, as you rightly mentioned, managing risk is crucial in such trades. Wishing you success in your trade management and strategy execution!
Take-off Nikkie and Yen Together to Skythe detail is shown in the above chart.
I made this Idea based on Candlestick Analysis and Fibonacci Tool .
buyers are burned in rectangle (0.5- 0.618 golden level retracement)
therefore ,we can expect that JP index decreases step by step to 1.27 and 1.618 .
Yen Is ready for Take-Off based on this published Idea
Bullish Crab Harmonic Pattern Will start at 29.5k.
Japan Is Best.
Good Luck
Technical Analysis of GBP/USD - Bearish Crab PatternHello traders,
I would like to do detailed technical analysis of GBP/USD currency pair and the potential presence of a bearish crab pattern. The bearish crab pattern is a harmonic chart pattern used by traders to identify potential reversal (correction) points in the market. Let's examine the key aspects of this pattern in GBP/USD, including the retracement levels and extension ratios.
Bearish Crab Pattern Overview:
The bearish crab pattern is a reversal pattern that typically forms after a strong bullish trend. It consists of four key points: XA, AB, BC, and CD. In the context of GBP/USD, the pattern has the following characteristics:
1. AB retraced XA by 0.598:
The first part of the crab pattern is the AB leg, which retraced the XA leg by 0.598. This retracement level indicates a moderate pullback after a strong initial move.
2. BC retraced AB by 0.799:
The BC leg of the pattern retraced the AB leg by 0.799. This level of retracement is deeper than the typical Fibonacci retracements, suggesting a more substantial correction.
3. CD is an extension of BC by 3.172:
The CD leg is an extension of the BC leg by a ratio of 3.172. This means that the final leg of the pattern extends significantly beyond the BC leg. A 3.172 extension is a common feature of the bearish crab pattern and signals that the reversal is likely to be strong.
4. CD terminates at 1.24285:
The CD leg terminates at the price level of 1.24285. This is a crucial point for traders, as it is where the pattern suggests a potential reversal in the GBP/USD pair.
Technical Analysis and Implications:
The presence of a bearish crab pattern in the GBP/USD currency pair with the described characteristics is a bearish signal. I will be considering the following implications:
1. Reversal Signal : The bearish crab pattern is a reversal/correction pattern, suggesting that the bullish trend in GBP/USD may be losing momentum, and a bearish trend could develop.
2. Resistance Level : The termination point of the CD leg at 1.24285 serves as a significant resistance level which emanated from the rejection of price on the 11th and 12th of October. Having seen a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at this zone, we anticipate reversal around this price.
3. Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels : We are setting 1.24550 as our invalidation zone, while our potential profit areas are 1.22990 and 1.22400 respectively.
4. Confirmation : This pattern is further confirmed by our elliott wave count. The reversal point seems to coincide with the end of impulsive wave 3, confirming that the drop may be a wave 4 correction. And if wave 4, our target should not be big (maybe 1.23006) as the trend is bullish.
Conclusion:
The presence of a bearish crab pattern in the GBP/USD currency pair with the described characteristics suggests a potential reversal (correction) in the bullish trend. We have seen further confirmation using Elliott wave and price action analysis, but remember no trading idea is foolproof hence the need to manage risk properly.
Cheers!!!
Chart to EW Analysis:
XAU __ possible moveHello traders 🖐🏻
Gold is in a very important area.
💎⚠️Note that the support range of gold is $1970 to $1974, and if we lose this area, we can consider a deep crab pattern for gold, which becomes the daily support range of $1930 to $1910.
🚨So, note that the condition of this corrective move is that gold destroys the $1970 support .
(Destroy 😂)
2018 to 2022 is also major demand 😉
Trade save and good luck.
Potential Bearish Setup on Weekly ChartAs anticipated, the Bullish Shark Pattern has initiated its move on the Weekly Chart—a prediction I shared as early as October 8, 2023. For visual confirmation, refer to the chart within this Trading View post.
Now, attention shifts towards the potential emergence of the bearish 5-0 pattern on the Weekly Chart.
On the Daily Chart, there's a convergence of Bearish Shark and Bearish Crab Patterns, both culminating at the same completion level, 0.9015. This sets the stage for a potential shorting opportunity upon market retest at these levels.
Alternatively, consider a shorting opportunity on the 1-hourly chart, targeting the retest of the resistance level at 0.8908.
The pivotal question arises: What's your trade plan? Your insights carry weight. Please share your perspective below!
Potential Short-Term Bullish MomentumThe GBPUSD is currently exhibiting a Weaker Bullish Trend on the Weekly Chart.
Upon closer examination of the Daily Chart, it appears that the completion of the Bullish Shark setup may have eluded us. The current resistance level holds pivotal importance. A close above it would prompt traders to await a buying opportunity. Conversely, if the market respects this resistance, the formation of a double top might signal a shorting opportunity.
For those inclined towards a shorting stance, my focus lies on the formation of a double top pattern at the Bearish Crab Pattern, projected at 1.2441 on the 1-hourly chart.
I'm curious about your perspective. What's your take on the GBPUSD? Please share your insights below!