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Crab

BTC SHORT/CRAB, LET GO.BTC looks to be in a short term distribution phase, with a likely top already in ~47k on CME. Expect moderate volatility this quarter, where I expect constant violent 10% swings in either direction between 46k and 41k until the ETF approval. Afterward, expect a drop to ~38.5k by the end of January. Note, January EOM has the highest likelihood of dropping the furthest beyond the "Q1 High probability range noted on the chart" towards 34.5k. Breaking out the Q1 Range will likely result in continued momentum to follow until the next line of support/resistance, noted at 50k or 34.5k. The last line of defense will be ~31.6k in the event of a full liquidation cascade as it supports the previous sideways structure we had between 32k and 25k since March last year and acts as the 0.5 fib from the ATH to this cycle low. If we drop further under 30k, than you must accept the increased probability of 46k being a bull trap and being the largest rug pull to occur and we head toward revisiting 20k, 15, and even 10k. RWI (Random Walk Index) and LS (Liquidation Screener) are the indicators used. RWI is printing bearish divergences along with starting to crossover toward bearish trend. LS probably has shown the top as it has hit the red bearish territory and recently dropped out of it and heading over the median line currently at 33.7k (but is rising and i could see it bottom out toward the lower side of Q1 probability range by EOM JAN or even EOQ) Overall, I believe the ETF may be a sell-the-news event that will in the grand scheme of things crab between 46k and 41k, until the end of Q1, but with a short visit to 38.5k. Breaking out the expected range of 46k-38.5k, begets continued momo in the same direction. Take note this is likely due to lowered overall volatility of BTC maturing as a whole. But alts may push forward after the expected flush. Let go. Relax. Q1 Ranges: High probability 46k-38k Moderate probability 52k-30k Max probability 54k-18k Trades: Short @ 44k TP 41k, 39k, (may carry it down to 30k depending on PA under 39k) SL 47k Short @ 50k ( if expected range breaks out) TP 40k, 35k, 32k SL 54k Long @ 39k TP 44k, 50k SL 37.5k Long @ 35k & 32k TP 40k, 50k SL 29k
CME:BTC1!Short
by linebands
Convergence of PatternsTraders, I've spotted a compelling shorting opportunity on AUDCAD, presenting itself differently across various timeframes. Specifically, the daily chart indicates a trend trading setup, showcasing the convergence of both the Bearish Shark and Bearish Crab Patterns in the same region. My strategy involves waiting for the market to reach the 0.9000 region before considering engagement. At this level, I anticipate price action traders joining in, amplifying the trade potential. What are your thoughts or trade plans for AUDCAD? Share your insights or potential strategies below!
Short
by RaynLim
1
Other see this as Coal, I see this as DiamondA retest of previous resistance on the daily chart combined with a strong bullish candle movement (an engulfing candle) is an intriguing setup. The observation of RSI Divergence at these levels serves as a significant indicator for a potential reversal. Regarding the recent deviation from the PRZ zone of the crab pattern on AUDUSD, it seems it hasn't reached the HOP (Harmonic Optimal Price) level before reversing. This deviation could be a point of interest for observation on the H4 chart. Your decision to take an aggressive shorting opportunity due to the attractive profit factor is noted. However, as you rightly mentioned, managing risk is crucial in such trades. Wishing you success in your trade management and strategy execution!
Short
by RaynLim
Technical Analysis of GBP/USD - Bearish Crab PatternHello traders, I would like to do detailed technical analysis of GBP/USD currency pair and the potential presence of a bearish crab pattern. The bearish crab pattern is a harmonic chart pattern used by traders to identify potential reversal (correction) points in the market. Let's examine the key aspects of this pattern in GBP/USD, including the retracement levels and extension ratios. Bearish Crab Pattern Overview: The bearish crab pattern is a reversal pattern that typically forms after a strong bullish trend. It consists of four key points: XA, AB, BC, and CD. In the context of GBP/USD, the pattern has the following characteristics: 1. AB retraced XA by 0.598: The first part of the crab pattern is the AB leg, which retraced the XA leg by 0.598. This retracement level indicates a moderate pullback after a strong initial move. 2. BC retraced AB by 0.799: The BC leg of the pattern retraced the AB leg by 0.799. This level of retracement is deeper than the typical Fibonacci retracements, suggesting a more substantial correction. 3. CD is an extension of BC by 3.172: The CD leg is an extension of the BC leg by a ratio of 3.172. This means that the final leg of the pattern extends significantly beyond the BC leg. A 3.172 extension is a common feature of the bearish crab pattern and signals that the reversal is likely to be strong. 4. CD terminates at 1.24285: The CD leg terminates at the price level of 1.24285. This is a crucial point for traders, as it is where the pattern suggests a potential reversal in the GBP/USD pair. Technical Analysis and Implications: The presence of a bearish crab pattern in the GBP/USD currency pair with the described characteristics is a bearish signal. I will be considering the following implications: 1. Reversal Signal : The bearish crab pattern is a reversal/correction pattern, suggesting that the bullish trend in GBP/USD may be losing momentum, and a bearish trend could develop. 2. Resistance Level : The termination point of the CD leg at 1.24285 serves as a significant resistance level which emanated from the rejection of price on the 11th and 12th of October. Having seen a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern at this zone, we anticipate reversal around this price. 3. Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Levels : We are setting 1.24550 as our invalidation zone, while our potential profit areas are 1.22990 and 1.22400 respectively. 4. Confirmation : This pattern is further confirmed by our elliott wave count. The reversal point seems to coincide with the end of impulsive wave 3, confirming that the drop may be a wave 4 correction. And if wave 4, our target should not be big (maybe 1.23006) as the trend is bullish. Conclusion: The presence of a bearish crab pattern in the GBP/USD currency pair with the described characteristics suggests a potential reversal (correction) in the bullish trend. We have seen further confirmation using Elliott wave and price action analysis, but remember no trading idea is foolproof hence the need to manage risk properly. Cheers!!! Chart to EW Analysis:
Short
by Samuel124
Potential Bearish Setup on Weekly ChartAs anticipated, the Bullish Shark Pattern has initiated its move on the Weekly Chart—a prediction I shared as early as October 8, 2023. For visual confirmation, refer to the chart within this Trading View post. Now, attention shifts towards the potential emergence of the bearish 5-0 pattern on the Weekly Chart. On the Daily Chart, there's a convergence of Bearish Shark and Bearish Crab Patterns, both culminating at the same completion level, 0.9015. This sets the stage for a potential shorting opportunity upon market retest at these levels. Alternatively, consider a shorting opportunity on the 1-hourly chart, targeting the retest of the resistance level at 0.8908. The pivotal question arises: What's your trade plan? Your insights carry weight. Please share your perspective below!
Short
by RaynLim
Potential Short-Term Bullish MomentumThe GBPUSD is currently exhibiting a Weaker Bullish Trend on the Weekly Chart. Upon closer examination of the Daily Chart, it appears that the completion of the Bullish Shark setup may have eluded us. The current resistance level holds pivotal importance. A close above it would prompt traders to await a buying opportunity. Conversely, if the market respects this resistance, the formation of a double top might signal a shorting opportunity. For those inclined towards a shorting stance, my focus lies on the formation of a double top pattern at the Bearish Crab Pattern, projected at 1.2441 on the 1-hourly chart. I'm curious about your perspective. What's your take on the GBPUSD? Please share your insights below!
Short
by RaynLim
Amazing Shorting OpportunitiesUpon careful examination of the chart, it's apparent that the majority of retail traders are poised for a buying opportunity, making any talk of shorting seem unconventional. Yet, a different perspective emerges upon closer inspection. Observations: I've discerned indications that suggest a contrary approach may be prudent. Trading Strategy: I'm personally awaiting a shorting opportunity on the forthcoming completion of the Bearish Crab Pattern, projected at 1.3926. This stands in contrast to the previous crab pattern, offering a fresh tactical choice. For those still inclined towards a buying stance, a retest of the trendline on the 1-hourly chart might present the awaited opportunity. Now, the crux of the matter: What's your call? Your insights carry weight. Please share your perspective below!
Short
by RaynLim
Navigating Bullish Momentum Amidst Potential Caution SignsIf you caught my last week's analysis, along with the accompanying article on Trading View, you can dive deeper into the details by clicking the link. In my previous analysis, I emphasized the significance of waiting for the Bearish Crab Pattern confirmation on the Daily Chart before considering a shorting opportunity. Now, let's delve into why this is crucial: It enables you to distinguish between astute analysis and a sales-driven approach often seen in the financial world. If you happened to miss the initial shorting opportunity, there are three viable options to consider: Option 1 : A retest on the Bearish Crab Pattern on the daily chart at 150.43, presenting another potential shorting opportunity. Option 2 : A retest on the Bearish Shark Pattern on the 4-hourly chart at 150.45. These levels may appear close, but they entail different timeframes for trading confirmation. Option 3 : You might opt to await a retest of the trendline on the 4-hourly chart before engaging in this counter-trend trade. The critical question now arises: Which of these three options aligns best with your trading strategy, and why? I'm eager to hear your thoughts. Share your insights below!
Short
by RaynLim