3 Reasons the Bear Market Could be Over/x/FnsT4SVq/
Increase in Volume
MACD divergence on the hourly chart
High levels of panic and pessimism
Crash!!!!!
ETH Bear marketSupport has broken and we are definitely in bear market. Last bear run was 70% with 300% + bull, this bear is already at 60% and I think it will go 70% to 80% and have a 400% bull run but we can't ignore the world economy. Defiantly a hard call right now. I'm in and holding as the drop has forced me to hold in order to not take a missive loss. Hold tight, let it ride, add more at this low price is how i'm going to deal with this crash. Lets wait and see what patterns come next week. Good luck everyone. I have marked the support lines I am paying attention to. Each must hold to avoid dropping to the next lower one. how that helps some of the newer traders and investors out here. ity's not dead, this is not the end, we are simply doing a bear run and it will take some time to climb back up.
Wait for the buy….As I told you months ago of the crash happened it just happened.
If you are still waiting for the buy .. please wait for the buy.
This is the most brutal drop I have ever seen in my life.
Its possible will go negative; watch the dip for the bullish reverse.
NASDAQ 10012000 target very close, expecting the level to print today.
Whats next? - 11750 level sounds reasonable.
why? Everybody thinks the bottom is in, which is a great opportunity for fund managers to offload more assets to retail.
plus we still have high inflation, with CPI printing more than expected today. The higher reading on CPI was already indicated yesterday when Biden released a press message that he will speak on inflation today after the release of the numbers. The only reason why he would do that is that he knew yesterday that the numbers would be bad..
they are playing games with one.
Let's see how it plays out, I could be wrong.
Happy trading :)
Bitcoin CME Futures Market view | 30k$ -> 36k$ -> 25k$ | BTCUsing CME Futures Bitcoin chart, we can see how gaps worked perfectly in the past.
CME Gap for those who don't know, is the difference between the trading price of Bitcoin futures contracts when the market opens on Sunday and when it closes on Friday.
Bitcoin tends to move to these gaps like a magnet most of the time.
Also I applied trend following indicator on the chart which helps us better predict what movements we can expect in the market in the near future.
There are still 2 days till futures market closes but I don't personally think Bitcoin will rally up above 35.000$ and not create a gap.
Plan is simple. Bounce to ~36k$ -> 25k$.
Stay safe
The Market Is Crashing and We Are All Doomed - Or Are We? TLDR: A market crash of 50% is not as unlikely as you may think, probably probable actually. Buy gold, buy land, buy commodities. Gather your cash, so you can deploy it on cheap stonks after and become a gazillionaire.
I'm about to break down why the largest crash in history may happen very soon. A lot of very interesting events culminating right now, and if you plan on investing throughout your life, moments and times like this are important for your future self, as it wont be the last time a correction or crash happens. Paying attention now means more mula later.
First and foremost, its clear there's a correction happening. There's no argument there. I'm not typically a bear, nor am I typically a bull. I try my best to stay neutral and go with whatever flow the market takes me. BUT...
Many of the same aspects from previous crashes are showing here such as:
Frenzied investor spending - Multi Million Dollar NFTs, Exploding New "wacky" Cryptos (Doge, Shib etc), The takeoff of "meme" stocks
Extremely high growth in emerging markets - (SPY grows 90% in 3 years, has one of its best performance years ever (2021), (look at AAPL, MSFT, FB charts) The same happened in the previous three crashes of the last century (1929 crash, previous year saw 80%+ in growth)
High deviation from the mean (price always reverts back to mean!!) Looking at the S&P, the past 3-4 years has seen quite the deviation compared to price average in the past 100 years.
Why might this one be the worst so far in history? Just as price goes exponentially higher as time goes on, so do the price dumps. Also, the FED has always been there in the past to buy assets and keep companies afloat. However, this time, inflation may keep that dragged down, limiting the FEDs buying power. Not to mention the economy is currently "fake" in a way, as the FED for the past 20 years has been bailing and supporting the economy after every (even small) correction.
(edited)
Also, the ongoing supply problem China is about to bring, with it shutting down factories and continuing lockdowns. The Ukraine debacle, Russia being one of the largest exporters of Oil, this could put a huge damper on the U.S (that doesn't even include Russia being mean to the U.S because of the U.S sanctions to be placed by these actions.) In super high speculation, if this begins to escalate, China would take the side of the Russia, and China is the largest exporter for U.S goods - period. This would not be like WW2. ( I don't just mean fighting, I also mean sanction wars - taxing etc)
We also have a super old president. This isn't a jab at Biden. He's the oldest in history, and assuming he has no health scares from now till election, I doubt he will run again. If he does, we have even more reason to be concerned about his health. God only knows what would happen if something happened to a U.S president in this hyper-informational world, and with events like this going on. If Biden doesn't re-run, we will be dealing with another election in the U.S. High disinformation and political polarization, all while this is going on and our historic enemies are doing no no's that NATO does not like.
Now, with all of this being said. I, am, not, a, bear. I love things going up. Just seeing things for what they are right now. Take the information above as you will, and form your own hypotheses. Hopefully all will be well in the short and long run, and we can all make some money from this - lets not forget history's richest men appeared in the most turbulent times.
LUNA is Rekt - The How and Why Terra UST was the 3rd biggest stable coin and lost its $1 peg causing LUNA to spiral
Once UST lost its peg from $1 to for example $0.50, someone could buy 100 UST for $50
and redeem it for $100 of LUNA and then sell that to USDT — making money on the arbitrage.
This essentially is what triggered the Death Spiral for LUNA because the price of LUNA is
dropping with the peg, it became race to redeem for LUNA before the value drops below
the redemption price
The UST peg failed for two main reasons:
Curve pool imbalance (On Chain Selling)
$350m UST was swapped for USDT using the Curve protocol. This left a disproportionate amount
of UST versus other stablecoins in the pool for users to swap against, thus lowering the
value of UST "on-chain"
Curve is a crucial piece of the DeFi ecosystem, allowing users and dApps to swap stablecoins efficiently.
The massive selling of UST on Curve created an imbalance in reserves, leading to the value of UST falling below the peg on the protocol.
The remaining portion of UST withdrawn from Anchor protocol was sold on centralized exchanges
like Binance driving down the value on those markets as well (Off Chain)
Peloton: Pedalling all the way down!!Peloton
Short Term - We look to Sell at 14.90 (stop at 21.60)
The primary trend remains bearish. The continuation lower in prices through support has been impressive with strong momentum and shows no signs of slowing. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 15.00 resulting in improved risk/return. Worse than expected earnings will add to bearish confluence.
Our profit targets will be 0.00. (Technical Crash)
Resistance: 15.00 / 17.00 / 19.00
Support: 10.00 / 8.00 / 6.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
TERUSD: The Anatomy of a Crash!!!!TERUSD
Intraday - We look to Sell at 31.98 (stop at 44.80)
The primary trend remains bearish. Price action continued the aggressive move lower and looks set for follow through selling today. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. Further downside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 1.30 and 0.00 -This is technically a market crash!
Resistance: 10.00 / 20.00 / 30.00
Support: 0.00 / -20.00 / -40.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
What if this time isn't different? A 2 year scenario projecting the financial crisis of 2008-2009 into the future
Chart (W, LOG):
Stocks: The averaged futures for SPX, NAS and DJ were weighted so that a 1 point change will imply the same change in $ terms. (For weights see www.barchart.com
200MA, 50MA, and 21MA
Today's price and date: at the intersection of the cross.
Financial crisis: Purple box on the left
Implied scenario: Purple box on the right. Left edge starts 10/5/2022 ("Today" .. for the next 10 min)
Methodology:
The scenario is a scaled up copy of the box at 2008-2009. It is stretched to fit the current price, and it's 3 MA's.
For simplicity the price / time aspect ratio was preserved.
Criteria for 'best fit' (using IEI ) were the absolute level and curvature of the 3 MA's. In other words, the distance between the MA's, their slopes, and the speed each slope was changing.
Main Implications:
The scenario implies a crash (ripped from Feb 2009) beyond the March, 2020 COVID low, as far as the highs of 2015. This is after the end of QE, when Greece went into default and the Yen was devalued overnight .
"Bottom" of the implied crash is one year from today (10/5/2022).
Notes:
1. IEI : I eyeballed it
2. Gann would not be happy and the result could be different on a RENKO or equivalent treatment of time (a great follow up idea)
3. The night the Yen was devalued I held positions in gold in bond futures (GC and ZB). I have used stops without exceptions from that day on.
best graphics:
Bitcoin.... We Buy Fear & Sell Greed.For everybody that wishes they bought Bitcoin at $30,000 when it was a $69,000 well now is your chance to get in at a super discount! Don't be that guy or gal wishing they bought Bitcoin when it was low and didn't take action. We're very oversold on the Relative Strength Index registering at 17. Since the 2020 global shutdowns from Covid-19 the RSI has registered this low only 5 times in the past two years. This is a pristine opportunity to consider entering. Just saying..... I've personally been shopping myself these past 24 hours. Remember don't ape in and buy everything all at once! We could always go lower!
Much peace, love, health, and wealth!!!
Bitcoin overview marketDuring these days, Bitcoin made a crash during days as U.S. Federal Reserve made a hike interest rates a signal of tightening the U.S. Dollar in Forex market.
So, I was worrying in the Daily timeframe because broke down the EMA 200. And I suppose a possible bearish movement in Bitcoin price below $30,000 USD. But notice one thing that we're in the demand zone on weekly timeframe and it's important to know how the price action will make reaction in that key zone to watch out.
For example: in weekly timeframe it's look bullish, until doesn't broke down this market structure, we couldn't to confirm a change of trend. But fundamental analysis speak us that U.S. Dollar it's taking strengthening as global currency and more power
But it's important to watch out this key level of supply demand right now
I hope that this idea support you.
So, as I'm bearish in altcoins like Cardano and NEO, that expectative could to point that Bitcoin could to crash more than we expect. I have a clear mind that Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies it's in the bear market.
SPX us500 s&p 500 Please don't take this as financial advice, but let me tell you THE CRASH IS COMING.
Sincerely, L.E.D In Spain on 05/11/2022
Luna can tank upto $19After the Luna crash, the whole cryptocurrency community is an awe and shock as the UST being the stablecoin, lost its value, hence, depleting the trust factor of crypto holders from UST and other stable coins.
Technically, we anticipate Luna tanking upto $19, and then take a buy position from the support.
Outlook on S&P5004000 was a major support level, the other key suppoort levels for the next 12 months are 3500 and 2600, I don't think we would go lower than COVID crash but manage your risk accordingly,
S&P 500 Index ShortMultiple fractal signals are in alignment (1969-1929 price action very closely resembles that of 2000-2022), and monthly support may be flipping into resistance, suggesting a move down to the logarithmic support trend line. A fractal/repetition of the crash in 2008 would almost perfectly align with the expected support, acting as further confirmation.
BTC Chart Updates *NEWHello TradingView community and my subscribers, please if you like ideas do not forget to support it with your like and comment, thank you so much and we will start.
Today I want to share my opinion with you about btc / usdt
QQQ Nasdaq Trust ETFPlease don't take this as financial advice, but let me tell you THE CRASH IS COMING.
Sincerely, L.E.D In Spain on 05/10/2022
Don't trust hopium sellersIt is a good thing to learn caution from the misfortunes of others. What's not as often discussed by all those crypto promoters (Youtube, Twitter, Telegram ...etc) is the great number of people who have lost significant sums trying to become rich by investing in crypto.
I hope everything is going well for you or at least you have some spare cash for the black Friday sales.
THE VIX IS BREAKING OUT (way too early)The VIX broke out of that major downtrend structure on a daily basis today for the first time in this whole correction. This is a pretty sign for now, Volatility could rallye exremely hard from here... Watch out, things could get somewhat bumpy from here on..
Ideas for $QQQ in months aheadDon't think crash is coming (yet). Or any real correction.
Earnings are too bullish for that, Fed is still keeping rates high.
I think we still have room for an impulsive blow off (again) out of a historical resistance to 400s range on QQQ before speculators will start taking profits, rates rise and this comes crashing down.
There is too much fear in markets now for there to be a real crash. Crashes occur at peak exuberance, and we have not reached that stage (yet).
I bet 2022 will be a bear market.
