1980 Scenario taking place. Inflation to Deflation.1980 Scenario taking place. Inflation to Deflation. 5% inflation was a big issue in 1980 and got a biggest rally of all time in dollar and inflationary
products crashed hard. We are in same situation now and maybe worse. This is fundamental and technical. FED have always been a step behind the curve.
The war has just paused everything that was going to happen in January. But its in play again. Recession is here.
Crash!!!!!
Potential crash of BTC/USDAs you can see, my two charts are USDX and BTCUSD. Using the monthly timeframe we can see a resistance level on USDX which has been respected twice. Price is coming up to this zone very soon, and on HTF, USDX is overbought using Stochastic RSI .
BTCUSD has been respecting this upwards trend line since around July 2020, becoming more volatile in recent years. As we can see, both are coming to test their respective zones in the near future. Bulls will be looking for the BOS with US Index and for BTCUSD to respect the trend. Bears will be looking for US Index to respect resistance, and for BTCUSD to push down.
What we saw in 2020, on the second rejection of support, was a small crash of around $7000 dollars in BTC price (highlighted in red). Now the market has a larger volume, and higher volatility, should USDX respect resistance, we could see a crash in BTC.
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US100 Crash SymptomsHello traders!
There are crash symptoms in Nasdaq/US100.
Joe Biden Govt failed miserably in all aspects and now the US economy is dropping without leaving any evidence of recovery.
Whenever there is a crash market always leaves evidence of recovery and that evidence can be used as a hope of recovery after a crash but in the current case, i am not confident about any major gains in US100.
The true reversal point is at 11136. The true reversal point is a strategy that tells a pinpoint reversal number.
Hope It will not welcome 7900 soon but there is a chance it will be there within no time.
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Nasdaq Extreme Bearishness WeeklyWe have three bearish weekly candles...
This weeks candle is specially nasty.
This one peaked in November 2021... It has been dropping for almost 5 months.
Twitter, Facebook, Apple, Tesla, Microsoft, etc.
They are all going down... Or at least that is what the charts are showing for the past few months.
See the "Related Trade Ideas" to know what I mean.
Be prepared.
I am... What about you?
Namaste.
Did we just bearishly flag on Bitcoin ?If we just saw a major bearflag in bitcoin, and this measured move plays out, the world will turn into a crazy bitcoin is worth 12k place...
88% retraces in bear markets are nothing out of the order for bitcoin, and both the .886 and the measured move point to 12k,
and looking left, you couldn't even say, that 12k doesn't make sense, that was the one big resistance, BTC topped out there once in 2020 before we went berserk in crypto space.
Let's hope TA is wrong here :D
SPX Monthly Head and ShouldersSet Up for a Multi-Month/Year (16-24 Months) Decline in the Stock Market, the forever wait may finally be here,
Monthly Setup to Wipe Out all the lows that have not been taken out, $$$$
This will require a catalyst of some sort, something BIG, if you wake up to something massive on the news, refer back to the charts, the price is already fixed in.
3 Lines Below are areas I believe we will fall to if the chart comes into play,
Good Luck.
US30 coming big crash soon You hear this everyone crash is coming the big one .. way back in the years worse crash was back in the Great Depression in 1929. But we should see the very very low price soon.. about 29600 area or 32000
The inflation went to 40 year high.. that’s 8.5% and that is not good for the economy will cause a slow down.. gas prices going up , rent is going up , grocery and much more and the war is escalating very quickly too at ukraine because russia had used there nuclear/chemical weapons.
Trade safe and be careful of your trading. THE CRASH IS COMING!
THIS IS MY CHEAT SHEET DRAWN IN JANUARYSTILL WORKS LIKE MAGIC
TRADING IS EASY
Ok It aint easy but it is possible
I DREW THOSE 2 BOTTOM LINES BEFORE THE PRICE WAS ANYWHERE NEAR THOSE LEVELS
LEVELS TO THIS F*CKN GAME HUH?
Spot buying later this year (10-15k)
BECOME A MILLIONAIRE IN 2025
OR DIE TRYING
@Tradersweekly check this again
LUNA IS CRASHING Luna is now crashing….
The support had been broken if the 70-75 support zone area breaks then it will melt throughout the month.
If you want to buy LUNAUSD for 2022-2023.. highly suggest buy at 20-15 area somewhere there in between.. the bear is very strong and in a bearish zone market.
Anyways the support zone isn’t far away.. big crash is hitting on luna
(NAS100 1D) THIS COULD BE CRAZY.. The big short crazy Nasdaq Pretty big stock exchange ranking number two in market capitalization in the United States could be going down...
Nitty Gritty we just made a lower high on 4 hour and daily time frame. If we hold current structure price is going to want to create a lower low and continue down until we reverse.
Yes... A downtrend in a market this size could be a crash coming up...
Bright side after 08 we*re at 1300% gains so at the end of the day it*s not the worse thing that could happen. This will allow others to get into positions for very cheap prices.
KEY LEVELS:
SUPPORT - 13743
MORE SUPPORT - 12514
RESISTANCE - 15500
If we cannot break above 15500 in the next week or two I expect price to fall to one of these support levels.
The market is funny and could easily fake everyone out and continue up in the future, but market structure usually tells you the most probable direction for the future or current state.
Happy Trading
Stock market crash incoming!!!This chart purposely hides the candles that you are not suppose to buy and only shows candles that are "buys". There are other indicators that clearly state "buy". With SQQQ being the inverse of S&P 500, this means that now would be the ideal time to think about protecting your portfolio by buying put options.
I have vertical lines above the dates that have "buy" on the indicator. As you can see, the indicator is correct most of the time.
NIFTY bad news on the way?harmonics.app
www.investopedia.com
Read and learn about these topics its very useful
Check out the recent Gartley on BTC that played out perfectly.
How is this supposed to move?
when everyone is bullish on the trend line break im expecting a bad news to pop up and taking market all the way down 16% completing the gartley.
Do not blindly take short at that level (its risky but stoploss will be at 1%), instead follow a supertrend or some other trend reversal strategies at this level.
Do not open a long at resistance.
DJI: Get ready - probable trend change for the southSee the video. No more hear on the video. I'll just share my opinions, which is not advice.
The DJI proves me more wrong more times than I am right. So what?
The issue is about limiting how wrong I am - not how many times I am wrong.
New traders - and I was one - struggle to get that idea right. Why? Because in ordinary life one is praised for performance by how many times you're good.
Well in trading it's very different. You can be wrong far more times than you are right, and it wouldn't matter. How is that?
It's because you limited carefully your loss on the many occasions your were wrong, and you really milked it when on the occasions you were very right. In the end a sound trader in any methodology will find that profitable.
Methodologies don’t work 'for you' - get it right; you work the methodology. That means a high level of discipline - which normally comes after much pain and loss. I never avoid talking about losses, because it is 'the most important thing' to control.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
Its time to sell - Stocks start to fail bigThis chart still shows exactly what price levels and trends the DJI didn't achieve.
Yesterdays close, and the continuation overnight show a pretty clear path down. Also watch the volume. It was significant.
It's Time To Pay Attention - Crude Oil + SPXThe last time stocks and oil prices started performing like this for months on end was prior to the 2008 financial crisis. If Oil prices have already topped, does this mean a precipitous decline is soon to come? Or, will markets simply shake this off? Not so sure. Inflation encourages people to return to the workforce, and even work multiple jobs to stay afloat. Will this be enough, and will things just sort themselves out? The yield curve just inverted, yet many investors are still assuming there's more upside to be hard, even if a recession is on the horizon. Just as I'm not so sure, the market doesn't appear to be so sure either. This is a uniquely confusing environment. So, what do??
Zoomed in, you can see that as Oil rose in 2008, markets had already topped out. The stock market decline only accelerated once Oil itself topped out. Once oil bottomed, that was when stocks finally reversed back to the upside:
Zoomed in during the present, this is what could happen if history repeated almost exactly. Things are unlikely to play out this way, but this is all speculative anyway. I find this pretty interesting:
Another question - will Gold continue to hold as a market hedge in this environment. Looking back to 2008, Gold performed against the market as it declined. Once Oil topped, Gold declined initially with stocks but then recovered and broke out much faster:
Present day with speculative trajectory:
What's also relevant to note is that cryptocurrencies have NOT been correlated with Gold, but with traditional markets. This presents evidence to show that Bitcoin is not operating as a safe haven asset, while Gold is performing how it has in the past.
We could be catching the market at a moment of complacency. Things seem to be shifting in a positive direction in Ukraine. Biden has unlocked oil supply reserves to keep prices low in the US. COVID seems to be having less of an emotional grip on certain populations. Stocks have roared back, memes are printing, Ethereum is gonna hit $10k; markets are invincible. Not even nuclear war could send them spiraling, right? Well....history tells us that things can turn at any moment, and it doesn't have to be the result of a particular event. Eventually, put society through enough stress and something has to give.
A volatile, uncertain market increases the probability of rash, irrational decision-making.
Linked below are some of my previous posts that present some thoughtful, in-depth analysis on the potential asset/debt bubble.
Call me a permabear, but I'm really not anti-growth. I'm also not completely anti-capitalist, as I think people need to be able to exchange goods and services in order for society to sustain. But I AM anti-neoliberalism, which is a certain KIND of capitalism that encourages exploitation, and it does not make the assumption that all participants are useful.
Not gonna lie, things have gotten better over the 20th century in terms of our average quality of life. But since things have changed so quickly, and out biology/emotions have yet to adapt....I think we're headed to a pretty dark place if we cannot take a pause and slow down. If anything, I don't think we can see healthy growth for humanity into the remainder of the 21st century without a re-evaluation of our priorities. And I do not think this is possible without a major market shift. If markets really take a turn for the worse - meaning a multi-year bear market - what does the government do? Many people's retirement accounts will be wiped out, so who do they turn to? They must inevitably tax the wealthy and corporations quite heavily, if they want the society to begin a new broader economic cycle and start over again. We've seen these before. The wealthy are the ones who need to invest in the future, rather than hoarding.
This is just my opinion, and should not be taken as financial advice.
-Victor Cobra
The Greatest Economic Collapse Is A Year Away!hello everyone,
for several months i have been warning you guys that a possible economic collapse is going to happen... ive made posts in the past talking about this crash and how 36k will be the top! we are seeing price consolidate around the 36k target meaning it could be ready to come down!
if you want to look at those charts i posted, feel free. i also made a 120 page white paper talking about the economic collapse, feel free to check it out here:
docs.google.com
one major key indicator i talked about in this paper is the yield curve, the yield curve has predicted every single major stock crash, here it is now:
as we can see, everytime it goes into negative territory the yield curve inverts, meaning the 2 year bond rate is higher than the 10 year bond rate. this means that investors think the economy will slow down and dont think we are in a good shape in the longer term.
we have seen this happen before the covid crash and before the housing crash... now we are seeing it again.
there is 1 problem..... we arent in the best situation for anothe crash.
right now we do have interest rates nearly at zero meaning if markets do crash lowering interest rates wont help anything.
here are interest rates vs yield curve:
we can see the yield curve inverts everytime intest rates get raised. we did see a rise in interest rates but it wasnt all that much. brining interest rates higher will just make the future crash even worse.
we can see on the chart above that intrest rates are usually high when the yield curve inverts, but this time.....
i truly think the fed has lost control and wont be able to help America come back from this next crash.
i think we will see a crash like no other. we have seen crazy money printing over the last few years which will cause hyperinflation! i expect inflation to reach well over 30% in the upcoming years;
if you want ways to battle inflation i due recommend you reading my white paper (link at the start)
there will be other things happening due to this huge crash including: riots, famine, panic, etc.... if you want all the senarios that will happen do read my whitepaper since i think your life will depend on it.
ETH BEAR FLAGI think this is the top and now down we go market wide. Bottom mid summer and then record high for ETH and BTC, ETH may still hit 3500 this week but I think it will fall by this weekend or next week. Tradable shorts only at this point until it hit's bottom, and that will be a great entry point for any long. I don't like the low volume yet price getting pumped, Never a good thing. I also see next year or 2 a world wide crash from all markets. The great depression of 2024 is well in the making, Covid, War, inflation, cost of living way up, supply's way down and no end in sight until 2025 or 2026. Play it safe and never invest or trade what you can't afford to lose and never take anything I say or post as financial advice. I am only sharing my thoughts and what I see. Good Luck, Crazy times we are living in.