🔥 Your Altcoin Can Potentially Fall MUCH Further: WARNING! 🚨In this analysis I want to take a look at a dire market outlook which is not even that far-fetched. We should talk about the possibility of the altcoin marketcap (TOTAL3) falling another 50%, which would mean that the average altcoin will lose around 50% of its value from this point until the bottom.
Back in 2018, TOTAl3 fell around 92%, while it has only fallen by 75% this bear market. The difference seems small, but if we were to fall towards a 92% top-to-bottom decline this bear market, it would mean we had to fall another 70% from this point onwards.
I'm a big believer in the law of diminishing returns when it comes to crypto, but a mere 75% decline seems too little for me.
There's some bad news on the horizon which can make the altcoin marketcap decline by another 50%.
- Rising Bitcoin dominance.
- Rising bond yields
A 50% crash from this point would bring the top-to-bottom decline to 85% (bottom yellow area). This would seem to be more in line with the diminishing returns hypothessis.
Do you think we will crash more from this point? Share your thoughts and charts.🙏
Crash!!!!!
Plug Power -> Another 10.000% PumpMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only focus on price action and market structure 🖥️
I am trading the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitaliz e on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Tesla.
Looking at Plug Power stock you can see that after the recent -90% correction Plug Power is now retesting a cluster of support zones from which we could see a decent move higher. Keep in mind that this is a very risky stock so keep your risk small on this trade.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
When the market moves where, and how, and if - these are all unknown.
The only thing which you can control is your risk.
- Philip Basic Trading -
Keep the long term vision🫡
🔥 Bonds Are Predicting A MASSIVE Crash 🚨The Bond Yield Curve, which can be calculated by substracting the US 2 Year bond yield from the US 10 Year bond yield, has been inversed for quite some time.
An inversion of the bond yield basically means that bond traders require higher returns on short-term bonds than on long-term bonds, which translates to short-term bonds being more risky than long-term ones. This only occurs when bond traders anticipate an upcoming crisis.
The inversion on itself is not necessarily bearish, but the "un-inversion" is very bearish. As seen on the white chart, once the line crosses the zero line from below, it has always predicted an upcoming crash.
With the Bond Yield Curve recently seeing a strong "bullish" move, it's likely that we're going to hit 0% in the near future. Consequently, this signals that a market crash is on the horizon.
Whether history will repeat remains to be seen. However, we had one of the strongest yield inversions in history, which doesn't bode well.
Do you think that a crash is coming? Share your thoughts and charts.
Netflix's Bullish Trend Ending: Traders, Prepare for Downtrend!Hi Realistic Traders. Here's my price action analysis on Netflix
In our close examination of NFLX, the streaming titan, a compelling narrative unfolds. Initially, a double-top pattern emerged between July 2020 and January 2022, followed by a significant breakout from the neckline. This breakout confirmed a bearish reversal, resulting in a remarkable 70% decline from its peak.
However, the plot deepens. NFLX recently revisited its double-top pattern's neckline while concurrently crafting a channel chart pattern. Adding to the intrigue, NFLX struggled to regain its former heights and descended below both the lower trendline and the dynamic support line, a classic sign of a sustained bearish trajectory.
Not to be overlooked, the Stochastic indicator chimed in with a bearish divergence, providing further validation for the impending downward movement.
Our target price? Set conservatively at under $300.
Traders, prepare for a captivating journey ahead!
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on NASDAQ:NFLX ."
Last Down Week for Stocks. Last Up Week for the Dollar.Traders,
The dollar is now starting 12 weeks of green. You can see that today it has touched the top of its channel and that has acted as resistance. Additionally, the RSI shows that the dollar strength is now over-extended. I smell a pullback coming very soon. Possibly before the weekend.
The SPY (which correlates in part with other major indexes) has this Head and Shoulders pattern in play. Target down is 410. But as I questioned in one of my last videos, is it possible that the target down will be cut short - held up by the 200-day sma which closely correlates with the bottom of my channel? This will act as a huge area of confluence and give the SPY good support. It is possible that the SPY is held up from falling further at this point and this makes sense when looking for clues from our dollar chart.
A fall in the dollar would likely correlate to a bounce in stocks. I believe it is reasonable to conclude that stocks will end their pullback soon and we can expect a bounce upward at either the channel bottom OR our target down of 410. Though, I am not sure that the SPY will maintain its posture within the ascending channel, I do not believe this is the end of our upward movement and blow-off top in the stock market ....YET.
Best,
Stew
The start of a crash for COPThis is one of the biggest signs of a market crash for the stock COP. There is significant divergence on every timeframe, including a daily head and shoulders. this trade has multiple patterns the main one being on a Daily timeframe. Expecting this stock to drop to $112 with a decently tight stop loss, We have already taken this trade at $124.
📈 Crash History RepeatsIn the dynamic world of cryptocurrencies, history often offers valuable lessons. Recent market events have some intriguing parallels with previous years, shedding light on Bitcoin's remarkable resilience. 🪙📜
2019: The COVID-19 Era
In 2019, the crypto market faced its own challenges amidst the COVID-19 outbreak.
Bitcoin initially experienced a price drop due to the uncertainty surrounding the pandemic.
The 2020 Resurgence: Learning from the Past
What followed the 2019 dip was a stunning resurgence.
Bitcoin not only recovered but soared to new heights, demonstrating its ability to weather storms.
2022: The FTX Incident
Fast forward to 2022, when the market faced turbulence due to the FTX incident.
Once again, uncertainty gripped the crypto space as prices took a hit.
2023: A Familiar Pattern Emerges
In a fascinating twist, 2023 seems to echo the past.
Similar to 2019 and 2022, Bitcoin is displaying resilience in the face of adversity.
Bitcoin's Tenacity: A Lesson in Adaptation
Bitcoin's history is a testament to its ability to adapt and overcome challenges.
The crypto giant has repeatedly bounced back from setbacks, surprising skeptics.
The Future: Navigating the Crypto Landscape
As we navigate the ever-changing crypto landscape, history reminds us that market downturns can be followed by remarkable recoveries.
Staying informed, maintaining a diversified portfolio, and practicing risk management are crucial.
Conclusion: History as a Guide
History has a way of offering guidance in uncertain times. While we can't predict the future with certainty, we can draw inspiration from Bitcoin's resilience.
As we witness Bitcoin's tenacity once again, remember that the crypto market is ever-evolving. By learning from the past and staying adaptable, we can navigate the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead. 🌐🚀
❗See related ideas below❗
Feel free to like, share, and share your insights in the comments. Your active participation fuels our crypto discussions and fosters a collective understanding of this exciting space. 💚🚀💚
Will this H&S on the SPY play out?Traders,
In yesterday's post, I hinted at the fact that it looks as though SPY's upward trend, irrational as it may seem, will continue, fulfilling my blow-off top thesis. I still believe this to be true. However, along the way up, there will be obvious pullbacks.
We now have what looks to be a completed H&S pattern formed on SPY. Currently, we are testing this neckline support. Need confirmation to know whether it will be a break or not. Tomorrow we should find out. Till then, I am watching this along with the DXY (dollar) closely.
If the dollar breaks its overhear resistance, we'll also have our answer here. This head and shoulders pattern on the SPY should then continue to play out. Watch both of these indicators closely to find more clues on further price direction in U.S. stocks and crypto.
Until the next update, best on all of your trades!
Stew
SPY (Stocks) looks to continue uptrendTraders,
For the last year you have heard me preach this blow-off top. So far, we've nailed it. Today, the FED decided to continue the pause. No surprises here and it turned out to be a non-event in the market. The FED knows that they are "this close" to breaking everything. Macro-economically, we are on the brink of disaster both nationally and globally. Many people know this both logically and instinctively. Still the market will go against all odds and price stocks irrationally. This is happening. And my blow-off top is playing out perfectly!
The dollar has had 9 straight weeks of green candles. Time to take a rest.
The VIX hit a two year low this last week and remains suppressed.
Dollar down + VIX down = Markets UP!
Additionally, you can see from a technical perspective indicators that continue to support my blow-off top thesis:
Notice Elliot Wave. We are on the final wave now.
Notice that trendline (wave 5). We are still above that.
Notice Ichimoku cloud is green and beneath us.
Notice the 50 candle moving avg below us giving us support.
Notice the green area of support below us.
I am not telling any one of you that you are wrong if you believe we will eventually go down. I agree with you. But before that? BLOW-OFF TOP!
Best in all your trades,
Stew
Neo 50-60% crash 🩸 incoming It's failed 📌 breaking and closing postive on recent top 🔝
Expecting pump towards $8.5-10
Possible wick towards $12-14
if wick turned as closing above $14 weekend postive sign ☢️
Then this article invalid 📌 my long term article get's invalid 📌
If this get valid my long term article get's invalid 📌
But present I am completely bearish 📍
Expecting qick pump towards $10
Drop 🩸 towards $3.2-4.3
Based on drop we can confirm bottom present target's are not bottom target 📌
I will update you
Just follow article idea 🙂 💡 give boosting 🚀
ETH Ethereum Price Target after Court approves FTX LiquidationGiven the recent developments in the crypto space, there are several factors that point towards a bearish outlook:
FTX Liquidation of $3.4 Billion in Crypto Assets: The approval by the Delaware Bankruptcy Court for FTX to liquidate $3.4 billion in crypto assets is a significant event. This influx of a substantial amount of cryptocurrency into the market could potentially lead to an oversupply situation. When a large amount of assets is dumped into the market at once, it can put downward pressure on prices.
Limited Sales in the First Week: The imposed limit of $50 million for the first week indicates a controlled release of these assets. This may imply that FTX anticipates potential market disruption if a large volume is sold at once. However, even with controlled release, the market could still experience downward pressure.
Potential for Increased Limits: The provision for increasing the limit with the approval of the creditors’ committee and ad hoc committee, or potentially even up to $200 million weekly with court approval, shows that there's room for further selling pressure in the coming weeks.
Binance US CEO Resignation: The resignation of Binance US President and CEO, Brian Shroder, could potentially signal internal challenges within the exchange. Leadership changes in major crypto exchanges can lead to uncertainty and can impact market sentiment.
Asset List: The assets listed for liquidation include some of the major cryptocurrencies in the market such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, WBTC, WETH, USDT, SOL, XRP, STG, APT, BIT, DOGE, MATIC, FTT, TON and more. If a significant portion of these assets are sold off, it could have a widespread impact on the market.
Market Sentiment and Confidence: These events combined might lead to a loss of confidence in the crypto market, especially if investors perceive them as signs of instability or potential oversupply.
Regulatory Considerations: The fact that a bankruptcy court is involved in this process highlights the regulatory environment surrounding cryptocurrencies. Heightened regulatory scrutiny or intervention can have a dampening effect on the market.
Considering the above, my Price Target for ETH Ethereum is $1310.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
BNBUSDT: Prepare for a Severe Drop, Potential to Fall Below $150Hi Fellow Traders,
BNBUSDT has broken out of the symmetrical triangle pattern and is possibly heading for a crash. The price is plummeting below the lower trendline and has crossed below the EMA 200 line, signaling a strong bearish trend. To make matters worse, a Bearish Inverted Hammer has appeared after bouncing off the base pattern. This deadly combination of technical factors suggests a sharp decline to the first target area. Then, we might see a brief rebound to the blue zone area before another dive to the second target area.
Negative Sentiments
1. lawsuits filed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) against Binance and Coinbase
2. The SEC accuses Binance of selling unregistered securities and Coinbase of offering a lending program that violates securities laws.
3. These lawsuits are part of a broader regulatory crackdown on the crypto industry and they could have significant implications for the future of cryptocurrencies. The possible outcomes of the lawsuits, such as settlements, fines, or bans, and how they could affect the crypto market and innovation.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered as a recommendation to take a long or short position on
BINANCE:BNBUSDT ."
DXY - Bear flag formed! pivotal point..DXY - showing signs of a pivot. reaching the 0.702 multiple times without able to close above this level. this is a strong resistance.
I dont see the DXY breaking this level. expecting a bearish reversal!
*De-dollarisation doesn't need much explaining if your keeping up with the latest BRICS progress.
*DXY - will no longer be the main reserve currency but likely still play a huge role.
(becoming very obvious)
Bear flag formed, indicating a crash in the price of the US dollar index.
busy week ahead, dxy is due a huge drop, from being over valued due to its king currency status
record breaking inflation figures for all countries due to the US Dollar dominance..
(simply using other countries currency's as collaterol)
intersting times ahead, this would be very bullish for markets all around if this bear flag played out!
huge relief rally for all equitys, commodities and crypto.
Interesting times ahead!!..
let me know your thoughts below..
Nasdaq -> Sell Everything Now!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of the Nasdaq 💪
Looking at the macro view on the monthly timframe you can see that at the moment the Nasdaq is retesting massive resistance of the 10+ years rising channel formation so I do expect a monthly push lower.
With the recent weekly rejection of the major previous structure zone, everything is looking like Nas100 will also break the current support level and simply drop further towards the downside.
And you can also see that there is the possibility that Nas100 will create a regular head and shoulders in combination with a double top on the daily timeframe which is a massively bearish reversal pattern suggesting that we might see a harsh move lower on Nas100.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
🔥 Bitcoin Dominance Incredibly Bullish: Alts Will Get REKT 🚨If you enjoy this analysis, please like and follow.
Ever since BTC fell through the 2023 bull-market support line, things area looking bad for the market. I've made several bearish bets recently, which have been playing out great. Some investors like to flip-flop their bias constantly, but it's much more beneficial to approach the market from a IF-THEN perspective.
Generally, the Bitcoin dominance rises during periods of:
- Bitcoin-only run-ups, like in the first half of 2019.
- Periods of fear, investors exit risky assets and move to a less-risky one (BTC).
With Bitcoin looking bearish, it's great news for the bears that the BTC Dominance is showing incredible long-term strength.
- The BTC.D is currently trading in a falling wedge pattern, which is generally a bullish reversal pattern.
- The BTC.D has retested a previous area of resistance as support. This often happens in markets and is generally accepted as a confirmation of the trend, which in this case is up.
Personally, I'm expecting the markets to go down over the next months. Sure, we can have some bullish days here and there, but it's likely that the 2023 top is already in. Remember that pre-halving years are generally half green, half red, and we're due to some red!
As a result of a bullish BTC.D, alts will lose value against Bitcoin. So, when BTC drops 10%, alts can drop much more than that. As seen on the chart below, the overall altcoin marketcap (ex ETH) is just a mere 10% away from making new bear-market lows.
Are you bearish or bullish? Share your thoughts in the comments 🙏
TWO GAPS to FILL. Which one comes first?Traders,
Our CME BTC Futures chart now shows (2) two gaps to fill. We know that over 90% of all gaps are eventually filled. Usually, this occurs sooner rather than later. The big question is which one of these gaps will be filled first if we assume they will both be filled? Post your best guess in the comments below.
The other thing I am looking at on this chart is a possible retest of our previous channel. Previously, the top of this channel acted as resistance. The market likes to come back and test previous resistance as support. Will it do so this time as well?
Stay tuned,
Stew
Elon's Bitcoin Crash, Spy Bounce Coming, Crypto Longs, and More!Traders,
What an unexpected set of events in the crypto world! At least from my perspective. We are going to discuss what just happened with the Bitcoin crash, where we now stand from a price perspective, and what needs to happen for us to recover again.
We'll also be discussing the usuals. I think I have found a target bottom for the SPY? If I am right and the market bounces a bit, this should also help out crypto.
Timestamps are provided below:
00:00 - Intro
06:45 - Dollar
09:45 - VIX
10:15 - SPY
13:45 - KRE (Regional Banks)
14:39 - Bitcoin
20:00 - All of my recent trades including: stop outs, re-entry prices, what my targets will be, what my new stop outs will be, and why I am still long all trades.
Unfortunately, Tradingview limits the time of these videos to 20 minutes. Apologies to my TV friends.
Best,
Stew
$1B In Liquidation As Bitcoin Rising Wedge Pattern Breaks😱OVER $1B REKT!
Turbulence engulfs the market today as Bitcoin shatters critical support thresholds, unleashing reverberations that resonate throughout the entire financial landscape. This precipitous decline coincides with the revelation of Chinese real estate giant Evergrande's Chapter 15 Bankruptcy filing in a U.S. court—a development that has sent shockwaves through the economic sphere. The precarious financial state of this corporate behemoth, coupled with the potential domino effect on the world economy, has become a subject of fervent examination and unease among investors.
Price Target $19xx - $20000
TSLA: Hit Major Resistance Area, Correction is Incoming?Hello Fellow Stock Traders, Here's a Technical Analysis of TSLA!
TSLA has demonstrated noteworthy price development, reaching a significant resistance level and resulting in a price gap. Subsequently, a bearish divergence has emerged, implying the possibility of a trend reversal or downward movement. Moreover, TSLA is presently forming a double-top pattern, which may signal a potential breakout scenario, indicating further downward movement toward the initial target area near the EMA200 Line. Subsequent to this, a probable pullback to the neckline area is expected, followed by a continuation of selling pressure towards the second target area.
Considering these technical factors, the current price action, and the indicators, a negative outlook is projected for TSLA. This suggests a potential downward trajectory in the near term.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
Disclaimer:
Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered as a recommendation to take a long or short position on NASDAQ:TSLA .
Bitcoin Just Died: sub $15k incomingIf Bitcoin loses FWB:25K , the bear market will be renewed for another 430 days.
The last time bitcoin lost critical FWB:25K support, it took 270 days to get back above it. The last time bitcoin lost FWB:25K support was 430 days ago.
If FWB:25K does not hold, sub $15k is extremely likely and we may not get back above FWB:25K until November 2024.