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SE ~ Lower Lows incoming? Buying Opp incoming?SE, Sea Limited has been suffering massive losses ever since its peak in the fall of 2021. This massive bull run was led with the Tech & Growth Stock boom that's bubble has recently bursted through out the current Bear Market of 2022! Sea Limited owns multiple varieties of Business in the South-Eastern Asia Region. Businesses Like : Shopee - Ecommerce Giant Garena - Gaming + Esports & Much more smaller companies Sea Limited has grown a massive amount of revenue, but has most definitely struggled with its debt and spending to make a profit. Nonetheless, let's get to Technicals! SE has suffered such huge losses, many wonder where is the bottom!? My thesis for this Stock is a short / mid term short position, followed by long term accumilation. Short : SE has 2 major gaps to still be filled from back before COVID, and the gigantic Rally that took place on SE. I see huge potential for this company's future growth, but I think more downside is to come to give SE fair value. Along with fair value, and these gaps SE has been unable to reclaim any weekly moving averages, and the TTM_SQUEEZE Momentum Indicator shows more bearish momentum coming. The monthly chart will get to the point of being oversold, probably near these gap fills. At these gap fill areas, and the way down would be a proper time imo to be covering short positions. The market also seems to have some more pain ahead, and interest rates will only hurt this company and the markets more, driving the stock down fundamentally. Long : I do believe in this company's long term outlook and performance. I do think that this will take a while to turn around... But if these gaps get filled, the Risk/Reward on SE will be favorable if the company has only grown. I am going to be extremely patient on SE but will be ready to hunt the discount if these gaps do become filled. I Will also keep my eye on the TTM_Squeeze on the MONTHLY chart, as the Monthly chart has been getting extreme momentum to the bearish side, and will look extremely oversold in the coming months with more downside. Thesis : Short to Gaps ; Long @ Gap Fills
NYSE:SE
by ZachSap
One or two more huge crashWe all could see bitcoin is very struggling near 20K but emerge to be under 19K.. very bad news for bitcoin should expect the huge crash. We are NOT Bottomed.. don’t be foolish.. the bear market isn’t over. The bottom is around 10K that has a huge amount of volume of the last cycle since 2018. Even so the erase of the inflation data then the update of the inflation is 8.2% which will effect bitcoin as well to amid that US is in the risk of the recession and second the Feds will go aggressive to increase higher rates. If you are waiting for a buy please buy at the 10K mark I had this prediction since the begin crash and my prediction is getting there. As the bottom hits 10K then the target will be over 120K in the merge of 2023-2024.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JoyBoyVegae
4
Stock Market fast crashing 35-40% next week?We are currently seeing a pattern which happened in the 1929 and 1987 crashes. The idea is based on the correlation between stock patterns with Jewish holidays. Both times in 1929 and 1987 we saw a local bottom at the Rosh Hashanah holiday. The local bottom caused a bounce towards the Yom Kippur holiday, forming a local top. Following Yom Kippur the stock market started a strong downtrend. However after 6-7 trading days a bounce was observed. Now in 2022 we are seeing the same pattern! We even got a bounce yesterday fitting with the crash pattern. This would conclude that based on the pattern, a fast crash of 35-42% could happen within days with a bottom end October - Early November. A 42% crash would cause a sweep of the covid crash lows which is a very significant level. This is a very speculative pattern but worth keeping an eye on! Just get some cash ready to buy the crash if it actually happens... Trade safe! 1987 chart:
DJ:DJIShort
by TradingJoker_
3
Bitcoin crashing to 11k next month?What if Bitcoin´s fractal from Summer of 2018 is playing out? Bitcoin price action on this *bottom* is looking identical from the past 2018 summer-fall trading period before crashing to its 3.2k level, if this fractal plays out, it would lead to a weakening in price the rest of October to finally capitulate to reach the real bottom around 11k, this could leading to the next bull run after a consolidation on those levels. Of course this is just a speculation but a possible scenario for Bitcoin if 20k is not rejected again this month.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AMCryptoTrading
10
NVIDIA Corp., Monthly, The Cisco Analogy and demand zonesAs with Tesla stocks, such increases were unsustainable. In my opinion, Nvidia is a very qualitative company, so after potential drops under the Cisco analogy ( CSCO ) from the dotcom bubble, it may be worth buying. Cisco ( CSCO ) during the dotcom bubble grew by 1500% from March 1997 to March 2000 (35 monthly bars) and then decreased by 90.10% (in 31 monthly bars). According to the analogy, the low would form in 2024 (March - August), but it may also be in about April '23, when, referring to the bearish analogies on the S&P 500 , the bear market may end. Bouncing off the green "buy" line will be a very strong bullish signal for me, but it needs to be aware of the price action after entering the first demand zone . The post-crisis price rebound should be over 150% in just over 440 days.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MichaelFX_ICT
TESLA ~ MONTHLY Chart Bearish!!!Tesla, an absolute beast of a company, an investors dream stock to have been holding the last few years, and one that everyone wants in their portfolio. Tesla has actually help up surprisingly well in this Bear Market thus far. Tesla has outperformed many other beaten down tech stocks with soaring growth in deliveries, and revenue. Tesla has solid fundamentals, but is definitely still priced at its future growth projections rather than its current value… which most of us already know. Tesla did recently miss on deliveries, but that’s not what we’re diving in to today. Today we’re diving In to the Technicals of Tesla, and what the monthly chart may be indicating for the stocks’ future. TSLA has quite the bearish monthly chart in my opinion. We are seeing a head and shoulders on the monthly including a shooting star candle for the month of September, possibly signaling a bearish reversal from its recent month rally. Added on to the Head & Shoulders pattern we are witnessing, the TTM-SQUEEZE momentum indicator is signaling a momentum shift from bulls to bears. The first time on TSLA monthly chart since Summer 2019… showing Tesla may need a breather anyways. There is no better time for the breather on TSLA than now in my opinion. I think a medium/large downshift has been waiting on the stock, and now is perfect time for this to occur. All technicals are leading to this, bearish momentum, the shooting star candlestick, and the monthly head and shoulders. Overall my thesis is bearish on TSLA, we will probably be seeing a test of the trend line / neckline for the Head & Shoulders in the coming days or weeks. A break below that could result in seeing a dump to support area of $165, and lower to early pandemic levels. Thesis : Short Tesla thru Technicals, and buy the crash. Long term thesis : Tesla is a 5 star company, and a crash would be bought up fast and aggressively. Price Targets : (NeckLine), $165 area, $110 area, $65 area
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ZachSap
2
Why Good News Crashes Markets"But the news wasn't that bad, why is the market falling??" When news or economic data hits the wire, markets move. Many traders are left scratching their heads, trying to come up with an explanation for why the market tanks on good news or rallies on bad news. Don't waste your time. It turns out, news is usually just a catalyst that allows momentum traders to profit off of a position they've already established, or lays the groundwork for their next trade. As an example, take the overnight session preceding this morning's PPI print. First, size traders accumulated (bought) under VWAP. Then, they drove the price up around 12am, and proceeded to distribute (sell) for a profit above VWAP. Look at where the majority of volume was transacted, the VPOC. When this moves above VWAP, it tells you distribution may be done. What happens next? Size traders have made their money for the night, and no longer provide a bid. As soon as news or data comes out, they allow price to fall and may even sell into it. And the cycle starts over again, now at an even better (lower) price. Understanding this has helped me immensely; I sincerely hope it helps you too. Questions? Hit me up in the comments.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by gr8fultrading
2
Bitcoin Worst crash in history is near Need y’all to take a second. Don’t say we are Bullish ( FALSE ALARM) , especially don’t say we are bottom .. FALSE ALARM. Biggest Crash for bitcoin will be far worse than the Covid-19 crash back in 2020. The bearish downtrend is becoming aggressive further more the more depth to it so listen up. The bear market isn’t over as far we know it’s over, the Feds still will continue to increase rate hike to fight off the inflation and this is bitcoin biggest challenge that never happened before but the very first time this year. Recession started since June of this year and again more than twice the Feds decline that USA is in the Recession.. this will be the worse case scenario. The central bank , CEO’s and global that Recession will take Full effect in the year of 2023.. things will get very ugly. Also Russia is using nukes , Ukraine using nukes , North Korea is using Nukes and USA will be using Nukes.. as Biden said about the starting of. Nuclear war is coming and will fight and use Nuclear weapons FYI WORLD WAR III is around the corner. As for bitcoin we aren’t bottom but still in the huge downfall, 19K area down to 17690 area can’t hold it much longer as the crash is coming. Still expecting the buy at 10K area but there’s more to it it’s possible high possible will drop pass deeper than that the strong support zone floor was been found from between 6000-5000 area. Only if 10K support bottom don’t hold. Don’t trust any short buy opportunity otherwise you will get spiked off very quickly because it’s very volatile. Trade safe and opinion of your comments and thanks for the 1K opportunity let’s hit 1.5K or 2K as the next milestone. See you the bottom zone for bitcoin and please save money and recession will be a lot worse than 2008.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JoyBoyVegae
1
Shorting EUR again, now on the pullback.The euro, as well as all its correlated currencies and related products, crossed critical support levels a few weeks ago and right now is in a pullback within the mid-term downtrend. The mid- and long-term trend are in phase 4 (bearish), and the RSI on the monthly chart is 23.32, which make it unreasonable to hold it. After our shorts and currency strategies a few weeks ago, right now we are 50% in EUR and 50% in USD (take into account we are, mostly, European based), but we will advance everything to USD to follow the trends of the world economy and the recession in the next months. Trade: Financial engineering: cash, not derivatives. Time horizon: >6 months. Risk mgmt: +20% of our treasury Exits: We do not contemplate exits for now, but we are active quant traders and monitor the market daily.
Short
by blockmas
Macro Bear Market JUST beginning??BTC is in a very dangerous spot right now, people aren't losing their jobs fast enough (unemployment at 3.5%!!) and Netflix keep on raising subscription prices in Ukraine (war!!!) The FED might have to issue more hikes all the way to 2024, mid terms are also coming which is historically bearish for extreme risk assets (BTC??!!) TA wise, BTC is forming an extremely BEARISH descending triangle (explosive move?,!!) which could see 3k target in no time Trade wisely and close any longs, cut your losses if required as this will get MUCH much worse Macro-economical factors seem to be pointing to a structural bear market could take up to 111 months for full recovery (according to Goldman Sachs) Please share this idea as I will be providing more tips on how to navigate a full blown financial collapse!! CAREFUL
Short
by deathtotrade
5
Deflation has started 2022. Dollar on the rise to previous highs WTI: Deflation has started 2022. Dollar on the rise to previous highs WTI has no room to be in Extended Range any longer. With Stocks and inflational products keeps going lower. Dollar domination is just getting stronger and VIX is still supressed relative to history. All this is about the breakout to the upside. Oil will reach 65 WTI price this month because of producers price is at 65. This price will get consumer back in rough times. Consumer spending in oil/gas is at lowest level. Remember supply and demand. Oil has been trading in static trading range, meaning oil price will go lower in time not higher. There is too much oil stored and prices are just pumped by inflation and war. Everything that has inflational status will go down hard still. See 50-70% drop still in stockmarket and so with energy prices. 10x natural gas is not sustainable either. Be ware and take care. Best Regards R.B
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by PivotX
3
S&P and DJIA bearish flag to come?Stock market has still stayed in a bearish market structure. Observing multiple bull rallies throughout since February/March 2022. And bull rallies will continue so long as market sentiment continues to expect a more negative month/quarter than it actually is, although still in a decline versus previous month/quarter. We can tell bearish market sentiment from the recent economic data releases where: Forecast < Actual < Previous Forecast is lower than the actuals, and actuals being lower than previous We are in a decline, but expectations were that of a faster decline which is not happening. The economy remains resilient, and this will mean the FED needs to do more to hamper down on inflation. Expecting more aggressive rate hikes, where on the announcements, stock market is expected to make a move lower.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by geneAnalytics
A1000x True reversal Point 21429Hello Trader! Welcome back with another episode with Analyst Aadil1000x. Yesterday I was expecting a crash from 20625 but after looking multiple times I have figured out a strong reversal point, Yesterday I told you the surety of the trade was not more than 75% but this time the surety is more than 90%. Normally I don't take entries until I am 100% satisfied but yesterday's decision was quick as there was a trendline breakout. A trendline breakout is a great opportunity for short. There is a trendline breakout that is starting from the peak and a trendline breakout towards the upside is not a good opportunity for buyers but it is the best opportunity for the sellers. After detecting trendline breakout we just have to figure out the perfect short position and the perfect short position is from 21429 A1000x True reversal point. I am expecting the reversal with pinpoint accuracy. Don't forget to hit the like button and follow to stay connected.
Short
by Aadil1000x
BTCUSD BEAR MARKET IS NOT OVERStop trusting short buys especially good buy zone that you will never know will cause a major “ BULL-TRAP” just an FYI. We are still in a bear market and we are not bullish yet.. if you put your big money in please get in a sell out you will go negative ..Zero, you don’t need that. The relief rally that the Feds send and nobody never seen that coming. 1: RUSSIA IS USING NUKES 2: NORTH KOREA USING NUKES 3: FEDS WONT EASE UP AGAINST INFLATION 4: WAR IS HAPPENING AT TAIWAN. We are going to see the biggest crash In crypto history and this will be very ugly because… In 2023 RECESSION WILL GO FULL EFFECT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JoyBoyVegae
1
25% Crash incomingHello Traders! Welcome back to another episode with Analyst Aadil1000x. First of All, we are Closing our Previous buy holding which is CHRusdtperp(+8.8%x10), WOOusdtperp(+6.5%x10) & BATusdt at the entry position. After A long time Market broke the trendline starting from the peak. The Breakout towards upward is never a good idea to go long. I am posting the Examples below so that you can see what happens after the breakout. Selling exactly at the trendline is also not a good decision. The perfect time to sell/short is to let the market break the trendline and then find a perfect position to sell or look at your indicators to turn red to short the trade. There is a true reversal point at 20625 where we will short the trade. The true reversal point is the point that is supposed to work with pinpoint Accuracy. This means i am not expecting a strong drawdown but in case the market does not move down then for safety we have a stop loss and the stop loss is small so that we don't lose big. The accuracy of the True reversal point is 60-70%, so don't put big in this. Previously I gave 100% surety of moving up in 'WOO' and 'CHR' because that was a different kind of strategy and its accuracy is 100% but this trade is cracked using a true reversal point whose accuracy is less than 75% so take your risk Accordingly. Don't forget to hit the like button and follow to stay connected.
Short
by Aadil1000x
7