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Crashcycle

THE PREDECTED 'FLASH-CRASH' WEEK IS UPON US!As I've stated in a previous post, I believe that a massive, market-wide liquidation event is coming within the next trading week (September 9th–15th). This chart pertains to what I believe we will see in XRP during this timeframe. As predicted previously, I believe we will see a drop below $0.3838, between 33% and 50%, but it likely won't last too long before the price recovers and starts the beginning of the next bull run cycle. Many people falsely believe that we are already in the bull run, but that's simply not true. The gains we have seen so far in some cryptos have just been a precursor to what is about to occur over the next 9 to 14 months in the new appreciation cycle. Anyone who says we're already in the bull market is just flat-out wrong. But never fear; it is about to start, though only after a major liquidation event occurs to fill the coffers of the market makers, who will sell all the way up, providing the needed liquidity to drive the price to new all-time highs. Good luck, and enjoy the ride! Becoming a multimillionaire will be the best part. Once you get there, you won't even know what to do with all that money! Hopefully, something good for your community and the people in your life! Always be charitable and create the change that you would like to see in the world; don't wait for it—make it happen!
BINANCE:XRPUSD
by MetaShackle
3
Federal Reserve is Behind the Curve, Recession is 100% CONFIRMEDHello everyone, The federal reserve has kept interest rates at near zero and printed the MOST money in US history back in 2020 and this has caused one of the worst inflation in 40 years. Jerome Powell decided to fight inflation by giving us the fastest rate raising campaign in history. He has kept rates too high for too long and we are now guaranteed a recession. Jerome Powell will find himself in a position to cut rates very fast due to the cracks in the job market. It is already too late we will be witnessing a huge spike in unemployment. Who knows how high this can go, back in 1929 unemployment hit 24.9%.
FRED:UNRATE
by justaturboman44
Will BTC repeat its history?When prices begin to range away from the mean when dealing with up trending movements, power is lost in many indicators. When this happens, it usually means that price is currently in a bubble. In contrast to a ticker like the SP:SPX price usually doesn't behave in this manner. It's actually quite easy to understand why this is the case. If one was to make Monte Carlo simulations using a geometric Brownian motion, you would see some processes behave in a manner of a bubble. But if we take the aggregate of all movements and average them, or calculate a present value, the value tends to be around the center. Well an index does quite the same but through different methods. By aggregating important tickers, they form an average based on different criteria, therefore are more susceptible to following the central limit theorem. Meanwhile, individual stocks, commodities or cryptocurrencies are more susceptible to violent movements which completely ignore technical indicators. This has led me to believe that the more a ticker is dependent on external factors the more it will follow traditional statistical and probabilistic methods. I have no proof for this claim, It's just what I believe based on experience. When looking at central metric indicators, it's important to conciser there are two point in which these become unreliable. When price action completely ignores your distribution, such as it does here. And when the price is consolidating in the mean. When prices consolidates in the mean, it can be seen as a reset or as a very serious sign something is wrong. However, when minimums become unreliable then that is when one should really be scared, because that means something is seriously wrong. I will look for examples of this for you in the future. When prices behave in this manner, I don't feel confident making predictions because when a ticker is more susceptible to speculation then price action behaves erratically and patterns become harder to find.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by DarkMessiah777
2024 SPX Thought ExperimentIn my previous post on AMEX:SPY , I presented the argument for a potential 30-35% market crash in 2024, following new all-time highs. This updated chart incorporates worst-case scenarios and draws parallels with the DOT Com bear market of 2000-2003. > Utilizing the year 2000 as an analogy for comparing market cycles. This provides valuable insights into similarities and differences in behavior. > While each market cycle is inherently unique, the adage holds: history doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes. Outlined Scenarios: Scenario 1: Anticipating a 35% decline to 3200. This projection is grounded in the analysis of dark pool positioning and technical patterns, with support identified around the 2019 highs. Scenario 2: Contemplating a market crash mirroring the severity of the 2007-2009 Great Financial Crisis, featuring a potential 57% decline. Such an event could be triggered by a credit event, with precursors observed in 2023, including the failure of some prominent banks. Scenario 3: Pondering a drastic market meltdown akin to 1929, with a conservative estimate of a 70% decline. This scenario would involve a significant credit event and possibly multiple unforeseen shocks, such as global conflict (WW3), loss of USD reserve status, or other speculative events (BLACK SWANS). While Option 3 appears highly unlikely, recent years have seen several unprecedented events, reminding us to stay vigilant as traders. Monitoring price actions and adjusting strategies accordingly is crucial. Always prioritize risk management to safeguard your positions in the ever-evolving market landscape.
TVC:SPXShort
by SuperDaveG
Will BTC Experience a 50% Crash Based on Ichimoku 2021 PatternI am sharing a critical analysis regarding the potential future of Bitcoin (BTC) based on the Ichimoku Cloud 2021 pattern. While it is essential to approach such predictions with caution, I believe it is crucial to consider the indicators and make informed decisions. According to the Ichimoku Cloud 2021 pattern, BTC's current trajectory raises concerns about a potential 50% crash in the near future. This pattern has historically demonstrated some reliability, making it worth taking into account. However, it is important to remember that no analysis can guarantee exact outcomes, as the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and influenced by various factors. Considering this pattern, it may be prudent to evaluate your trading strategy and consider the possibility of shorting BTC. Shorting allows traders to profit from falling prices, providing a potential hedge against significant market downturns. However, please note that shorting involves risks and requires careful consideration, as losses can occur if the market moves against your position. I encourage you to conduct your own research and consult with trusted advisors before making any trading decisions. It is vital to consider multiple indicators, market sentiment, and other factors that may influence BTC's price movements. Remember, the cryptocurrency market can be unpredictable, and it is always wise to exercise caution and implement risk management strategies. In conclusion, the Ichimoku Cloud 2021 pattern suggests a potential 50% crash for BTC in the future. While this analysis provides valuable insights, it is essential to approach it with caution and conduct thorough research before making any trading decisions. Shorting BTC may be a consideration, but please assess the associated risks and consult with trusted experts. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and make well-informed decisions. If you have any questions or would like to discuss this analysis further, please feel free to comment below.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by bryandowningqln
THE REAL CRASH starts after the next new highThe chart posted is the NYA for my whole life in the trading and advising for over 41 year this is and has been the true market see my work in jan 2018 the true market peaked in sept 2021 and we have had classic wave structure since the oct low is the end of wave A and we have been in what looks to be the ABC rally to end WAVE B on a super cycle degree I still have us making one last gasp into sept 10 TH . if you look close at the nya chart you can see we are in the same place on 8/16 2023 as you were on Aug 16 Th 2022 BTW those were my major spirals called another panic drop into oct 10/20 focus on th 16 low was oct 13 target 3511/3490 low 3491 in the Sp and Nyse hit too the tick its target . we are nearing the end so be Patient .I have talked a lot about a panic into mid to late Aug . we are going to bottom within hours of this post and we will then rally in wave5 to end the ABC rally to mark super cycle wave B .
TVC:NYA
by wavetimer
4
PSA#1 - Early 🤕(Crashing Warnings) for day and swing traders.This is a head's up to anyone who is a day trader or swing trader and wondering when and if it's going to crash, let me say this now. Please do me a favor and reframed from asking that cause I can't call it when the 4 hour chart is not at a peak high. This thing will kill your wallet in a day and take away over 30% or more of what you gained, but the best way for me to call it - is when it's at a peak high, no where else. I get it, you want to turn a profit with a day trade, take my opinion I will be giving a lesson soon on - but don't day trade with crypto, it's to volatile and can rapidly change in mere moments, so day trading crypto in my opinion is a death trap for your money. Swing trading however; has a better chance of making gains in this scenario. I try to warn everyone one day ahead of the suspected 4 hour chart and day chart crash, giving you time to save yourself from loses, I'm not always on point but the best I can do is warn you, it is up to you if you want to take the risk of selling. Once the day reach a peak high - it's coming down, I literally will warn everyone a day before - that drop is coming and there is hardly anything outside a whale or rally can do to stop it. This thing creates panic selling issues which adds on to the problem and makes it drop even worse. But once it starts to recover those that sold either get back in before it grows to fast gaining more shares in return, or miss out and be stuck with a lost. An even calling that can be hard to do when this 4 hour chart is rapidly crashing and a stopping point is just as hard to determine, you can over shoot the target for a rebuy or under shoot and take on loses with everyone else. So remember when the Day is announced as having a peak high and I see red on the 4 hour chart peak - be ready to sell and don't buy back in for at least 1 full trading day or even 2 - it'll be none stop crashing even with support. Anywho Happy Trading everyone.
by Grandmaster_Oz
Nasdaq -> -20% Massive Drop Ahead!Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nas100 💪 Looking at the macro view on the monthly timframe you can see that at the moment the Nasdaq is retesting massive resistance of the 10+ years rising channel formation so I do expect a monthly push lower. With the recent strong rally on the Nasdaq it is quite likely that we will see at least a retest of the 0.382 weekly fibonacci retracement level which is then maybe acting as a first strong support area. My last analysis on the Nasdaq perfectly played out with the Nasdaq breaking below the daily bullish trendline and creating a double top in the process - therefore everything is currently looking quite bearish and I do expect more daily downside. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by basictradingtv
42
DJI yearly CRASH or Sideways incoming??Looking at past times on DJI yearly time frame where Stoch rsi has crossed below the 80line it has resulted in major market crashes or dead sideways markets for long periods.. With how the economy is world wide at the moment id say things are about to get pre ugly for the markets. Monthly time frame also trying to set a Lower High.. Not feeling too optimistic Any thoughts on subject is welcome and would love to hear others opinions on the current state
TVC:DJI
by Wen2TradeOfficial
Alert: Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. Anticipates 8.67% DeclineTechnical Analysis Update: In correlation with the previous Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd post, here are the latest insights for riding the upcoming bear trend: 1. Currently, we are in a crucial 1-hour Key Supply Zone. 2. Typically, supply zones result in rejection. To confirm its effectiveness, we need to observe the 1-hour CHOCH/BOS. Alternatively, we can rely on 1-hour candle closes below the 9 EMA, but with tight stop losses. Keep in mind that the CHOCH/BOS has a higher success rate. You can adjust your stop loss above this level based on your risk management strategy. 3. Personally, I prefer riding the one-minute CHOCH/BOS with stop losses based on the respective Supply & Demand zones. However, this approach is risky without professional guidance. Feel free to ask for dynamic stop loss and target information in the comments or other platforms that suit your convenience. 4. As discussed in the previous post, the key breakout has changed due to recent trading activity. Although the current move may not be as smooth, the bears remain still dominant. I will provide updates on the new key breakout to capture a 12.7% bearish move. For now, focus on the current situation. 5. Exit strategy: If you notice a one-hour candle closing above the red supply zone shown in the picture, it is advisable to exit. However, such a scenario seems unlikely at the moment. Your support in sharing this post helps strengthen the network and encourages us to provide technical insights for our inclusive growth. Please follow us on our various platforms and share it with others to make a difference.
BSE:HALShort
by UnknownUnicorn14930146
So much similarity - 1929 stock market and today I have broken it into 2 parts. Part 1 – we can associate it with the sequence then. Part 2 – we can take reference as the situation unfolds. Part 1 - 1929 sequence that seems familiar today: a) Crisis triggered by several factors b) Stocks rose rapidly c) Chain reaction of events d) Bank had invested heavily e) Bank failed Part 2 - As it continued in 1929: f) Decrease in the money supply g) Decrease production & employment i) Decline spending & investment j) The cycle continued Following the video comparing the 1929 stock crash followed-by the great depression and the recent years, there are many similarities between its technical and fundamental developments. Trading & Hedging in Nasdaq - E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
1929 Stock Market & Today The story of 1929 - The Great Depression was a severe worldwide economic depression that lasted from 1929 to the late 1930s. There were several factors that contributed to the trigger of the Great Depression, but the key trigger is often attributed to the stock market crash of 1929. In the 1920s, there was a period of economic growth and prosperity in the United States, also known as the "Roaring Twenties." During this time, people invested heavily in the stock market, and the prices of stocks rose rapidly. However, in September and October of 1929, the stock market began to decline, and on October 24, 1929, known as "Black Thursday," panic selling began, causing the stock market to crash. The stock market crash led to a chain reaction of events that contributed to the Great Depression. Banks had invested heavily in the stock market and had also made loans to individuals and businesses that were unable to repay them. As a result, many banks failed, leading to a loss of confidence in the banking system. The collapse of the banking system led to a decrease in the money supply, which caused a decline in spending and investment. The decline in spending and investment led to a decrease in production and employment, which caused a further decline in spending and investment, and the cycle continued. In summary, the key trigger for the Great Depression was the stock market crash of 1929, which led to a chain reaction of events that caused the collapse of the banking system and a severe decrease in spending and investment. I am seeing similarities between its technical and fundamental. My view on technical as a study into "Behavioral price movement" , it refers to the fluctuations in the price of a financial asset that are caused by the collective behavior of investors, traders and events. And they tend to repeat itself. Trading & Hedging in Nasdaq - E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
2
Nasdaq Fractal Blackswan Cycles 📈📉The average citizen lacks any real understanding of Central Banking all they know are uneducated talking point from 🐑 that have the same or less power over their lives & the system as a whole that gave rise 2 them at leverage while they are none the wiser they are referred to by the architects of the system as... 🤓👉 ( working class / human capital) Scandals like Enron, Madoff, & now FTX are just bi-products of easy money policy that gives risk to excessive risk seeking behavior by the 🐑 which the FED understands most be corrected out of the system in order to maintain the 100 yr + trajectory they have done with the United States of America & ensure the survival of the livestock in the farm so the country has a stable to growing labor pool to remain an ongoing concern. There is a reason Steve Jobs didn't care what the peeps in the mailroom complained about and that is cuz its not their system and they have no idea how lucky they are to even be part of it 🧐 This cycle with FTX is just one more demonstration of just how much The Federal Reserve is the market & really knows what they are doing. As painful as the de-risking process the Fed puts the country through can be we can see on the macro that it is indeed a necessary evil to flush out back actors that form during easy 💰 policy cycles ♻️ & before they can grow even larger & more damaging to the system as a whole 🤓 Bear 🐻 markets end in mass graves 💀 so these events are 🔑 2 bringing aboutthe depression phase of the cycle & bottoming out the market before the Fed engineers new growth 📈 Patiently waiting for 2024 💡
NASDAQ:NDX
by Kazonomics
7
$SPX 3 Day Chart 2008 GFC Crash OverlayHistory never repeats but sometimes rhymes right? 2008 MBS bubble dropped the S&P 500 56% from the ATH, assuming we have an everything bubble after 6+ Trillion QE injection since 2020, I see similarities to the Great Financial Crises. Powell made it very clear yesterday, more hikes for longer if inflation is not brought down to 2% target so how will they ever pivot without dropping inflation quickly? Inflation YOY around 7% "according to CPI" assures corporate earnings collapse going forward IMO, so I think the market is over priced Early Pivot or no Pivot. Laszlo, MMGinvest 12/15/2022
SP:SPX
by Laszlo-MMG
4
DXY setting up for huge bounce to coincide with crypto crash pt2Interesting chart here on the DXY daily we can see the sharp pull back to strong support line so that’s one more clue that things are about to get uglier in the crypto space. This past week‘s events have cast the block shadow on the entire industry and likely will put increased pressure on institutions and big investors to further limit exposure. In the life cycle of investor emotions, were seeing capitulation but I haven’t quite seen the final stage of despondency that ear marks the true bottom. So I think we have further to drop, likely to $14,000, or $12,500 which would be the 100 month moving average. There is also still the unfilled CME gap between 9750 and 9780 so a $10,000 bitcoin could still be in the cards for this is all over.
TVC:DXYShort
by BrettFogle
3