Get started

Crashcycle

Clown Economy 2021Small caps (SLY) on the continual decline. Large Cap (SPY) Tech going to the moon. (Large consolidation of wealth in very few companies) WTI price declining due to lowering of consumption and reflecting long term industrial slowdown in economy. M2 Monetary supply effectively driving stock price growth, seen especially in March (notice the deltas between M2 and Spy are quite identical). Velocity of said M2 growing in inverse relationship. You're witnessing the creation of mega monopolies, at the cost of the decimation of nearly all small and medium sized business. The unfortunate reality is the market cap of these mega monopolies is being exaggerated by the growth in M2 stimulus. This is a zombie economy that only exists largely by government stimulus. A scary future is ahead. The Times They Are A Changin'
AMEX:SPY
by Noodley
Crash Happening?With many outlets warning of a crash this could push sentiment towards a bearish market. COVID cases rising in Europe could indicate a similar fate for the U.S. The stimulus checks not coming as promised and an election that could change the monetary policy and increase taxes on the wealthy that influence the market. This could mean trouble with an eviction crisis coming soon too. The only thing I see getting us out of this is a massive distribution of a vaccine that works. People aren't trusting the idea of a rushed vaccine (wasn't that the plot of I AM LEGEND?) Anyways based on this information, I'd like to submit my analysis of the SPXS which in the heat of the lockdowns rose 150%, and based on this information I will see price targets of 11.10-11.50 which is where I will start a trailing stop. Then I may consider the price 16.60-16.75 based on technical analysis and price action. The trailing stop may hit prior but either way, I will profit while the market tanks. I hope you do too
AMEX:SPXSLong
by JakeBrandonCastro
3
Eerie Similarity: 1987 > 2020; Crash unfolding?Correction over 26 days; bounce for 14; then 9 bars to doom. 1987 crash sequence began a week earlier, on 26 Aug 87. This sequence started on 3 Sep 20; so termination would be expected on or about Mon/Tues 26/27. The time sequence and chart pattern are virtually identical, down to the number of bars, the retracement level, the 'W' sharky pattern. Oddly enough, 19 October is again on a Monday... I anticipated a normal correction and resumption of uptrend until now; looking at this pattern unfold is really creepy, sure makes you wonder. Not investing advice; just an idea and observation. GLTA!
TVC:SPXShort
by DaddySawbucks
22
Special Analysis: Could the U.S. Market going make a crash???In this special analysis for you. the index S&P 500 turn in warning that the U.S. market it's going to crash of -25%. So, in the ultimate news, Wall Street have a scandal of the growing up of the covid-19 in the United States, Also, investor's need to read all fundamentals in index if this crash is inminent, beause if that happening soon, the U.S. Stock Market going to crash too, the futures, CME and fundamentally, Bitcoin is correlated with S&P 500 and Bitcoin could make another financial crash together with the S&P 500, So in the next week, I will going to read fundamentals and keys fundamental to updated this analysis in Daily key, to know the trend, becuase guys, the financial market is going to crash and I believe. Now, technically we see that S&P 500 is doing a bearish divergence in RSI and MACD show an inimient cross of sell signal!!!. I makr a two channels to know, and we see that we need to take a short confirmation to entry with fundamnetals!!! So, I ask you for you: Are you prepare of the next crash in the Stock Markets???
TVC:SPXShort
by harisonhbn9718
2
[BTC THE GRANDE BTC FINAL 2020 Q2 - PART 4Hello Everybody! This is a Great day! The Whales are super nice today and giving us the P E R F E C T SHORT! And we do not even have to hurry! BTC have been at this price point between EMA 55 on the daily chart and EMA 21 since 02:00 AM. This trade is pretty much the best one we can get on Bitcoin. If btc goes down below EMA 55 it is game over, officially. Upside? Not really realistic. If whales begin to throw their fortunes into BTC now it would be russian roulette. And no wealthy person with a brain plays russian roulette at former top like this after like 5 rejection/tries on breaking 10.500. IT IS DOWN MY FRIENDS! The chart says it, the indicators, history says it, The perfect short is what we got handed right now, today. Last time we had this chance was like 3-4 months ago. And I ofc also got that one right =D Remember to use a stop loss! - Whales may make a fake move to hit everybody's stop-loss so be prepared for that. But I dont think the price can go over EMA 21 TBH. So a stoploss just on the other side of EMA 21 should work. A stoploss above the last lower high would ofc be perfect and cirka a 35-40% stoploss with a 5x margin/leverage. "This Is Not Financial Advice!" - but it is a crazy ass trade with a downside of 20-30% at a realistic minimum if not 50% ! Like & Follow for more trade ideas and insights like this. Have a lovely day everybody! - Stay strong! Confucius_The_Great
Short
by Confucius-The-Great
12
Another Crash Immanent?I noticed that the current rally in the S&P 500 shares fractal like similarities to the pre-crash market. Running through some trendline analysis with support becoming resistance on both the pre-crash and post crash rally it appears that we could see a similar February like crash coming to the new rally. Obviously markets aren't always the same but there is a great deal of symmetry throughout the market, in patterns like head and shoulders for instance. Something to watch out for as the market gives us more clarity in the next few days. Who can honestly say the current rally is representative of the fundamentals in the real economy right now? Another crash might be unavoidable.
AMEX:SPY
by Breed83
The Next fall of BitcoinAfter careful analysis i believe that bitcoin is setting up for another big drop within the next 2 weeks or so. Been Studying Bitcoin for a while now and Ive noticed that bitcoin Likes to follow a series of cycles before a big move. That isn't new to anyone. Some says that it is just consolidation and some call it accumulation. Although both are true some might not notice that If you study carefully you could recognize the cycle that it is in at the moment.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by DCMckethan
AMERICAN AIRLINES IS GOING TO HELL !??Dear Traders, For my first stocks analysis i would like to show you what could be a nice opportunity with AAL ! Really simple chart but we don't need more ! Back on the 02th June 2008, remember it was the period of the World financial crisis (2007-2008), AAL hit its first lowest point at 2.36 $. 1 year later, AAL hit its second lowest point at 2.29 $. From these two lowest points till the 1st February 2018 with a top at 52.98 $ ALL had a nice Uptrend ! But since this top AAL has been crashing & it seems it is going to hell now... What thinking about this !?? Is it the right moment to buy the stock or is it better to wait a little more & find a better opportunity ? In my opinion, I see 3 different opportunities to buy the stock with a long-term vision. And one bad scenario that i don't really want but which is possible too ! 1st opportunity : If AAL extend its Downtrend & hit the first white line which is our first target with a low point at 6.99 $. You could buy at this price level ! 2nd opportunity : If AAL hit the second white line with a low point at 4.45 $, You could check to buy the stock around this price level ! 3rd opportunity : AAL maybe could crash deeper and reach its lowest area between 0 $ & 3 $. If this happen it will be the best entry point ever to buy the stock ! Now the bad scenario : Ok so, if buyers decide to buy the stock massively in the next days or weeks. I'm fucked LOL ! But let's be (optimistic) because of the COVID CRISIS, and the situation nowadays all around the world for the Airlines company, I really don't believe that AAL could rally soon again. Remember also that Warren Buffet likes AAL (it's an undervalued company) ! In short, AAL could bring you a nice opportunity to buy it in the next months ! So, be patient & ready for a nice opportunity ! I hope you'll like it ! Please don't forget to support me by a following & a like ! Take care ! Thanks & see you !
NASDAQ:AALLong
by UnknownUnicorn4544564
9
(Modern Economic History) The Crash before the Crash? There are several types of "Crashes before the Crash" Types of "Crashes before the Crash" Include: 1. "Fundamental Collapse" A foundational collapse where everyone is suppose to learn an important economic or philosophical "lesson". An entire Era and "economic school" collapses and "students (traders)" never return to class for at least a semester? Considered an "essentially" collapse where everyone knows something was going wrong and yet they still allow the collapse!? 2. "Popular Crash" or "Sudden and Quick Collapse". (which also includes sudden computer or mathematical algorithms high frequency collapses) 3. Controlled Crash (slow economic collapse) 4. Euphoric Collapse (blips and glitches) "Economic Echos" and "general taps and reminders from god" All of these types of Crashes or Collapses can be very painful over a long period of time. Sometimes for 20 to 30+ years like the "Great Depression" that lasted into the middle 1955's (and all grandparents still remember). These types of crashes can also be about "food" and "all life on earth". Simple Controlled Crashes can also last 2 or 3 years like in ones that started in 2000 and 2008. "crash before the crash"? :(
TVC:SPX
by idasuperman
Back to the past - 2008 - is this our future?In this educational post, I look back to 2008 to get a rough idea what may be in store for us in 2020. This is a cautious exploration because what happened in 2008 was very very different to what's happening today (though there are many similarities). This post does not exclude the possibility that the US and other stock markets may recover totally and head to the moon. Possibility is not the same as probability. How? It's possible that the sun may rise in the West tomorrow morning, but that is highly improbable. Technical analysis is a good thing, but relies totally on historical price movements. Ultimately technical analysis is not immune to the real-world issues that affect price. The world is moving into a 50-75 year cycle for depressions - which is very different to the 10 year cycle for recessions. Do NOT be influenced to make trading decisions based on this post. You have been told.
OANDA:US30USDEducation
by Captain_Walker
Major resistance - market short opportunity Thursday, April 9thI think the stock market will peak again tomorrow Thursday April 9, 2020... and come Monday once Q1 (Jan-March) corporate earnings come in, we will see strong selling and the next wave down start. I plan to pile on the shorts tomorrow by market close over long weekend as market is coming. DYOR. In the S&P 500 index chart shown, there are three areas of critical resistance: 1. the 36 month moving avg (yellow dotted line) which was the most critical support long term structure of the market to begin with I warned about 2. the bottom of the channel in yellow now resistance 3. the 23.6 Fibonacci from macro move from 2008 lows to recent highs. (4. and less important is the closer in 50% fib retrace at 2790 from all time highs to recent low.) Here is my stock market outlook. I see bottom of $670 on SnP by december 2023 The only thing I see that will change this outlook roughly is if the fed prints enough money to buy up all failing debt (somewhere between 20-47 trillion dollars work) and 50% of the current 20 Trillion stock market or whatever takes the place of all the share buybacks since that was the largest net purchaser of the US stock market last 10 years.
SP:SPXShort
by DropDead_Fed
1
UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial recession is a fact!"UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial recession is a fact! Depression is coming!" Feb 19 UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial markets will goes into years of recession!" Financial market is going to prepare itself for a long-term downward movement. Some financial experts will call this an economic depression the coming period! Mar 02 Trade active: #IEX #AEX #coronavirus is being misused by the financial market to justify correction that has long been established! It will take approximately 10 years for the financial market reach the bottom.
EURONEXT:AEXShort
by EvertLenos
S&P 500 Long Term Bottoms (& Historical Trends)Historically there have always been crashes (downtrends) and the S&P 500 TVC:SPX has recorded them quite well. This chart takes a look at some of those crashes in the past 20 years and measures their decline and subsequent recovery time in order to better gauge where a bottom (new uptrend) may lie in the current trend. Now, aside from economic recessions or financial crisis most markets are considered healthy when there are sharp price movements. Nevertheless when there are bubbles, the results are crashes and very steep declines which can wipe away ALL gains for (long term) investors. In 2000, we had the technology bubble crash which resulted in a 50% drop/decline in the market that took approximately 3 years to culminate, with losses estimated at over $40BN and 48% lower valuations for dot-com companies of the era. It took a buy level from 1996 for a price reversal to take place (uptrend). Nevertheless, it took 4 years for the market to recover. Then in 2007, we had the 'housing market crash' or financial crisis which resulted in a 60% drop with a $2 Trillion dollar loss for about 2 years, according to Moody's analytics . It also took 4 years to recover from. Notwithstanding, it was another buy level from 1997 that reversed the trend. But since then, the economy has been in its Hey day, which includes a couple of small bear markets and pullbacks. The difference in this current crash (Coronavirus-driven 2020 crash) however, is the fact that while other crashes in the past 20 years have taken anywhere 2 to 3 years to culminate or reach major lows, we have thus sustained a decline of 30% , in less than 30 days. And while those other previous crashes have had 3-4 legs (#Dropbasedrop) in its decline, we've seen only 1 or 2. According to S&P Dow Jones Indices, U.S. stocks have so far lost about $4 Trillion of its value and globally, $6 Trillion. Now the question is where is that bottom? When looking at Trend Analysis markers, we see that in the past, resistance lines (Fibonacci) have not been good indicators for price reversal, as they have historically under-performed as targets. Then more so, traditional indicators actually show that this market is considered overbought (RSI) and that the trend was unsustainable (ATR) and needs to come back to average range. Therefore, a better indicator of possible price reversal is to simply see where price levels actually began (trends). After all, as most traders know, market patterns are synonymous w Trends. Generally speaking buy levels are different than resistance levels because they have historically been zones of price trends representing alot of buying power. And this is not from the retail side but rather from institutional buying. And as we know when institutions buy (or sell) they move the market. So if we know where a previous level of buying power occurred, we can consider it a good zone for price reversal. Basically it means price at that target was ideal to buy, and most likely buy again. Although this is not a full strategy, I've identified some 'buy levels' where price and trend will reverse. Nevertheless, we also have to consider other factors. This particular crash has also triggered major drops in worldwide stock markets. Governments around the world have partially shut down and not for economic reasons. This is s global scale crash, one that many economists warned about. The real question is, will the market do what it does, or are all in for a long and arduous financial blackout?
TVC:SPXShort
by EdProTrader
there are always opportunities and then there are greedy foolsplease don't buy the dip and be a greater fool. commodities are looking to explode with a supply shock incoming, good commodities are the next gold rush not over valued commodities and excessive PE ratios or unicorn companies but real tangible assets To everyone Now is not a bad time to buy oil price at 25-27(20)dollars a barrel is an amazing price historically speaking near a 20 year low. even 30$ is not bad, also oil refineries are not a bad option but as of currently I do not know any, as a result I only sticking to commodities, in this case, nyse:wti which u can sell at 60 easy or hold or longer-term higher profit around 300 percent gain. There’s a lot of info coming out about the opec+ coalition as Russians don’t wanna play ball and us fracking and sweet oil production and expansion is crushing the market prices, Russia and Turkey are at tensions with each other that could result in conflict. If you are holding gold good for you, it will fall a bit as companies sell there position to cover there losses to get cash in their accounts. Silver and gold will continue to climb higher as gold/silver ratio briefly touched 100 which is a historically high meaning silver is really cheap as a relation to gold. History was made with a circuit breaker that was triggered at the stock exchange, meaning trading was suspended, along with a .75 rate cut incomming, and dont forget the rate cut that they introduced bedfore it actually was announced oops. meaning we might hit 0 percent fed rate. Which means the market if it does stabilize will have no ammunition to stop the further stock decline, negative interest rates are a deadly possibility but unlikely. Stocks could drop 50 to 80+% from top hold. I will have more info for you all as the events become more clear keep cash. coronoviris is the the pin for the bubble maybe. enjoy ur week and if you didn't see this coming.that's a shame will update gold/silver soybeans maybe som other stuff too Thank you - MR MR
FX:USOILLong
by infusion
1
Ladys and Gentlemen: The great FOMO depression of 2020-2022. Hi, as i´m professional lazy i will not write too much, The corona virus is a catalyst for the great FOMO depression of 2020-2022. As you can see, we have the same pattern like the great depression at the beginning of the 19th. century. Please also watch my Bitcoin Chart Version of "The great FOMO depression of 2020-2022" Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies will solve the liquidity crisis, bring new value into the world via smart contracts and a new decentralized financial system through Ethereum and other great blockchains... The estimated high of BTC will correlate with the estimated low of the Dow Jones. So open up an international broker account and learn to pick the solid companies which will prosper. The world will not end. The Dow Jones low of 2008 is not the end. It is a new start. A once in a lifetime opportunity. I wish you all the best
TVC:DJI
by gsdgeweg
1