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Crashpattern

Summer BummerRally is done folks. Fascinating how perfectly the 21 April bars pattern fits onto the weak retracement rally to right shoulder. DJI gone off 1K is NOT bullish. SandP down 4%, NQ just tanked > QQQ gave up 15 bucks in a day. Can you say CRASH?! Yet I still see folks putting out ideas about new rallies to test ATH. Buying this 'dip' will only disappoint, lol. Do not be a bagholder! So many talking about "where it goes now the bottom is in" is pure delusion. This is a BEAR Market. Bottom is NOT in. Possible local Low in October? How long it takes and where the final low comes is pure guesswork. Might be... April?! Worst is yet to come IMO. Gotta have monster gaps down, trip limitdown halts, -3K days with true capitulation, VIX spike. This is NOT a good time to invest in risk assets folks. If you are not a shortseller then GTFO this nutty market. Big boys WILL take most or all of your money if you try to buy this beast.
TVC:SPXShort
by DaddySawbucks
44
NIFTY/S&P ratio and what NIFTY did before!Long term view is bearish! Key points to note - 1. Ongoing Russia - Ukraine war! 2. Highest Inflation after 40 years in most part of world! 3. FED expected to do QT to overcome inflation from September 2022! 4. China Taiwan war (US) tensions! 5. China Real Estate crisis! 6. Economic slowdown of Global markets! What else required? Gradually if corporate leaders start under performing to market estimates, and that'll be the last card to fall! Please do like, share & subscribe! Also do comment your views for upcoming days!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BlueChipStocks
ETHEREUM PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE VERY SHORT TERM (LANDSLIDE!)Total evaluation for the ETH asset is completely bearish. I repeat, bearish. Its quite obvious where we are going at this point. I don't see any particular bounce until we hit the previous support which is around 1500$ and even then depending on the current situation for Jack Powell's speech, we might see a more bearish approach. Lets tune in together at this very important day because there is a huge chance whatever happens today will reverberate all throughout our low volume weekends which is hugely prone for manipulation pumps either way. ----- Like the chart? Save it! Bookmark it, boost it, comment on it you go for it -- its completely free and yours!
BINANCE:ETHUSDShort
by Wamses
BITCOIN MASSIVE UPDATE FOR THE SHORT TERM (SHOCKING REVEAL)Please be mindful of your risk management as always, we are in a bearish adam and eve and will continue to break down to 20400-20600 before we see any light of retracements. Do not forget to keep following the stocks, we have already dumped from stock futures, but market opening is not even near yet. My best recommendation is to low leverage short until you can deduce a trend change, until then I do not see any sign of bullishness. A confirmed bearish adam and eve would break beyond 21,400$ and retrace back to this level. Do not forget to like, share and comment! :D
Short
by Wamses
Bitcoin - For Trading Not for InvestingWhen Bitcoin was trading at around 60,000 level in late 2021 and before that year, whenever friends, acquaintance and participants asked my opinion about investing into cryptocurrency, immediately I knew they may not know much about cryptocurrency. To clarify, I am not an expert in cryptocurrency, but I know its intrinsic value could not be calculated then and even today, therefore it is an instrument not for investing but for trading. Let me elaborate, as long as we cannot define its intrinsic value to any so-call an asset, it is not an asset, but an instrument for trading. When we get into trading, meaning, we have to acknowledge the getting in and out, out also represent to exit the market with either a profit or a loss, it is part of the deal in trading – we have to be quick when we make a wrong decision. However, if you position yourself as an investor in crypto, you will either always perceive it will break new high or hope that it will someday go back to its former glory. Throughout the whole tutorial, I will do a recap on how I have spotted this top here in November 2021. I have done this in another personal forum I have back then. I will go through that and it may seem like a hindsight view, but I will apply the same strategy to the current market using just trendline and divergence. Bitcoin Futures Minimum Tick: $5.00 = US$25 or $1.00 = US$5 Contract Value: 20,000 x US$5 = US$100,000 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME:BTC1!Education
by konhow
2
Follow through US30 analysis against 2008 crashCould it be that market cycles are shorter now, versus back then in 2008? Also, we probably have more participants in the market now compared to prior years. More investors, traders as it has become more accessible. More people learnt from 2008 crash to buy the dips on indexes like the S&P as there is a very high probability of it only going higher. But, here's what I mapped out on the 1D chart from 2008 crash versus the 1D chart now. Could we be in a period of consolidation at point 6? or are we only at the tail end of point 5? Could market take a turn for the worse with recession? Or are all the scares just not coming through in numbers? Indeed, we came close to a key level of pre-covid highs. But, I would still be calling for sells based on technical analysis, but will have to wait for confirmation. There is also a probability for continued upside.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by geneAnalytics
1
Repeating market crashes...Hey guys, If you look very closely, I think GES is repeating the same pattern it made in 2008, with some similarities to what it did in 2000. Today, the stock noticeably held its most critical support level just above $16, and I think it is likely it will rally into mid-late July. That being said, I fully expect that rally to be faded and a violent markdown phase to occur as it did in 2000/2008. Keep an eye out on this one bears as this could move down very fast when the time is right.
NYSE:GESShort
by MichaelEugen1
AAPL redistribution before next leg lowerHey everybody, I've been noticing that the patterns leading up to the fakeout rallies in March have been repeating themselves in numerous market-moving names- namely NVDA, MSFT, and AMZN. I think there's a strong possibility that AAPL goes to test new lows in the next two weeks, only to be met with tremendous buying pressure that will subsequently lead to a fakeout rally that could take it to around $150/share before the next leg lower(redistribution). I think this could push AAPL to the low 100's and possibly double digits by the end of Summer. I am expecting to play this both ways- I will buy any 52-week low made on AAPL in anticipation of a large countertrend rally, and I will subsequently sell the rip and possibly short it in anticipation of the next leg lower. Mind you AAPL is still very high up relative to some other names. Disclaimer: I do believe we're at the end of a market cycle(a crash) and are simply redistributing before the next leg lower which should begin sometime around late July or early August.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by MichaelEugen1
5
Nasdaq end of market cycle(crash)Hey guys, it's been 14 years since the last true end of market cycle crash(though I could argue 2016 was a crash of sorts). Taking a look at the previous 2 market cycles leading up to the 2000 and 2008 crashes, you can see the logarithmic trendline highlighting the euphoria phase of the stock market prior to the subsequent crashes. All in all, there is little to suggest that this breakdown of the log trendline that marks significant moments in the market will not lead to a stock market crash as it did in 2000 or 2008, especially considering inflation, high valuations, excessive margin, speculation(even though the speculative growth bubble is largely popped), and the simple fact that the Nasdaq has been up 13 consecutive years. Though many sectors are beaten down, I expect future legs down to be more violent as more and more sectors enter downtrends that previously weren't(namely agriculture) that will plummet the indices with them. In the immediate term, I expect there to be whipsaws both to the downside and upside, but I expect the resolution to be significantly lower by the end of summer.
TVC:NDQShort
by MichaelEugen1
BTC chart pattern Now thru Nov Calling it as I see it happening. This is only my opinion and gut feeling on what is going to happen. I'm calling it now. 34k BTC soon, easy ride to test for support to go up, then after braking it we go to 38K hit real resistance and we could go flat right there for the rest of the year but because of Economic crash coming this fall and start of next year, I think all the markets will crash, wall street included. A great depression is coming In My opinion. in order to go to 80K we must brake 46500 and hold over 50k for a week, if we do 80K will be top. and then down like you have never seen before. Market crash October or November 2022 BTC down to 12K This is my official perdition and we will see if I'm right. Play this right an make some cash, take your profit by buying the longs this summer as bulls try to push to 100K but will not make it, then sell the fake out and cash in . That is my plan. I can't tell you or advise you how to invest and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose. I am basically telling you how I will be investing. Good Luck to us all. God speed. PS call your relatives and say Hi, I have lost some that I did not get the chance to talk to before they died. Not a good feeling. Just a note to take time off to see the ones you would miss if they were not here anymore. Now back to this Texas 100F 38C heat Yuck.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by bigfootInvestments
Unfolding Bear Pattern: Measured Move Incoming? CrashingPattern reminiscent of the Christmas Crash 2018. Although seasonality usually favors price in April this was the Cruelest month ever. Dec was an unseasonal bear four years ago, a crash can happen at any time. Worst selloff since COVID today, more coming IMO. This big selloff day is unlikely to be followed by another, but anything is possible. The whole thing could just unwind next week. But if the pattern repeats, a second, weaker and shorter rally to lower high may appear next week. Second failed rally MAY NOT appear. Price can decline at any time but shorting from here is inadvisable considering oversold condition reaction rally likely. DYODD; GLTA!
SP:SPXShort
by DaddySawbucks
6
US30 Following 2008 Crash PatternI was watching the patterns in 2008 crash, and how it might translate into today's situation. Although there are quite some differences between the 2 events. We are having a "war" at this point, and hoping it doesn't escalate. Pray for peace in Ukraine. That aside. I have the image of the 2008 Weekly candle chart pasted for easy reference against the present market candles. If you look up my previous ideas, I have mentioned the same. In 2008, it was a head and shoulders, a break of the neckline, a re-test of the neckline and a further dive down. In the current market, it is not as obvious, but we are making a lower low, on the weekly today (although there is about 6 hours left 'till market closes for the week). As with a couple of weeks prior, a strong rejection bearish candle (1) led to a fall in 4 consecutive weeks. 2 weeks ago, we had a strong rally but held barely under the close of the strong rejection bearish candle (1) shown in orange highlights. With a couple more hours before market closes, I do expect that current momentum holds the candle bearish. Next week, we'll see how the market reacts. Should another bear candle follow, I would anticipate for price to reach lower into a key demand area around 33200.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by geneAnalytics
Is the Evergrande crisis over?The looming collapse of China Evergrande Group (HKG:3333), the world’s most indebted property developer, has roiled financial markets for months, threatening a contagion with far-reaching implications on China and the wider economy. In the early months since Evergrande’s financial crisis came to light, Beijing stayed mum on the issue, although the People’s Bank of China pumped billions of yuan in liquidity in what was seen as an attempt to quell liquidity concerns. Over this time, Evergrande’s stock price slipped 95%, from ~25HKD to ~1.5HKD, where it has stagnated for all of 2022. Evergrande’s massive debt pileup Evergrande, once China’s second-largest real estate developer, is drowning in more than $300 billion in debts to suppliers, contractors, creditors and investors. The company’s crisis partly stemmed from the introduction of Beijing’s "three red lines" rule in 2020 that made it harder for developers to seek bank financing to fund their projects. Another Lehman Brothers moment The large exposure of Chinese banks like Minsheng Bank, Ping An Bank and Everbright Bank to Evergrande prompted many financial watchers to predict that Evergrande's debt crisis could extend beyond China’s property and financial markets, warning that it could spill over to the global markets similar to the Lehman Brothers collapse that resulted in the 2008 global financial crisis. These fears intensified as Evergrande missed payments on a number of onshore bonds. The world’s three major credit rating agencies have already declared the developer to be in default after missing on its bond interest payments late last year. However, some analysts have played down concerns of Evergrande being the next “Lehman moment,” as they expect Beijing’s policymakers to prevent the crisis from being a systemic risk. Beijing steps in to limit fallout To minimize the potential impact of Evergrande’s looming collapse, Beijing has stepped up its efforts, but without a state-led bailout in sight. Back in October, the Chinese central bank said the risk of Evergrande’s liabilities spilling over to the country’s financial sector is "controllable,” while confirming reports that relevant government agencies and local governments have been carrying out risk disposal and resolution work to mitigate a potential contagion. In recent weeks, a number of news outlets reported that some banks in China have lowered mortgage rates, offered subsidies and allowed developers to access their funds on escrow in an attempt to revive the housing market. Beijing also started urging state-owned developers to acquire some projects of troubled builders to help ease the sector’s liquidity crunch. Fitch Ratings recently said Chinese developers are poised to see more small-scale mergers and acquisitions and the impact on buyers’ leverage are predicted to be small "as they select projects with promising returns." Light at the end of the tunnel It may take months or years for the property sector to recover as developers continue to struggle with a cash crunch that prevents them from meeting their debt obligations. However, with Beijing’s subtle approach in reviving the property market, Evergrande’s recovery may be drawing near. In February, new home prices in 100 cities in China rose for the first time in two months, further recovering from the slump in November when prices contracted for the first time since 2015. Policy reforms could encourage home-buying this year as the government included the healthy development of the real estate sector in its government work report unveiled by Premier Li Keqiang over the weekend. Li said authorities will seek to promote the commercial housing market and stabilize house prices this year. Foreign investors that purchase bonds and other securities from Chinese builders should closely monitor developments surrounding Beijing’s policies for the sector.
HKEX:3333
by BlackBull_Markets