BTC Don't Get Too Excited - Not The Bottom YetLooking at the fear and greed index for BTC, you can see that even though BTC didn't really have a rally yet, just broke a downtrend it has return to almost neutral. That is a MASSIVE increase from yesterday when it was just 26, now is 45 and BTC has only rose 5%. This is a clear indication that market behaves very irrational. People get excited on the small rise very quickly and vice versa. Because of this there are going to be a lot of fake outs, weather those are to the upside or downside, but mainly upside as BTC is clearly in a bear market. Don't get too excited on the pump that may happen in the next week, and just know that this is to be expected when prices loose that much value in such short time without providing any relief rally.
Still i expect BTC to reach 55k area (significant resistence before another leg down most likely starting with a 4 smaller waves and then 7 larger as we go steeper to the bottom. This is just a guess based on how those last legs end playing out.
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be Well.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Crashpattern
CRASH HAS COME AS EXPECTED💥 WHAT CAN WE DO NEXT?✅PREVIOUSLY ON GOLD
There're 9 waves from 1750 to 1800. So we were expecting the crash after 9 waves.
✅WHERE WE ARE
If today's low(1764) is A, we should recognize B to be bearish again.
B would be 1778 - 1786.
It's too late to be bearish for now. Better wait for a pullback as usual, if you wanna sell.
💡TIP💡
Some people asked me how to predict the crash. Normally it's almost impossible to predict the crash if you don't know about the characteristics of waves, but if you can count well, it's not that difficult.
Also, we have to care about meaningful TLs while counting waves.
It doesn't make any sense to randomly draw TLs anyways. We have to make them sense.
*As long as 1800 remains unbroken, this idea is valid.
💡The absolute principle for trading💡
BUY - as low as possible
SELL - as high as possible
PLEASE DO NOT FORGET TO SMASH LIKE👍🏻 AND FOLLOW ME❤ IT MOTIVATES ME TO THE NEXT IDEA! THANK YOU 🎉
Change Your Mindset to Profit from the Upcoming Market DipAt this stage of the game, there are genuinely too many things to list that would back up the idea of an impending drop in the market.
Instead of eating, sleeping breathing FUD and living in the fear based, scarcity mindset and focusing on how “the market is going to crash” I encourage everyone to see the clearance buffet we are about to have in front of us.
We are about to have an opportunity for generational wealth transfer style profit making. Many missed the ultimate BTFD moment (COVID) but I believe we’re in for a mini round 2. The bigger the dip, the bigger the rip and I’m being a bit facetious here but I mean it.
If you’re gonna rob a bank, are you gonna plan how to do it ahead of time, or just walk in? You know the phrase get away with murder? Well, the people who get away with it are the people who plan it and not the ones who do it impulsively in the moment!
So get ready for the murder of the market that brings a traditional Christmas pump. If you're uncomfortable trading chop, spend this time:
1. Charting High Time Frame on Fundamentally Sound Tickers
2. Setting Alerts at Buy Zones
3. Waiting
Spend this time making all of the money you can OUTSIDE of the market so when opportunity presents itself (massive fear and a drop) to be bought you have the opportunity to do so.
Bitcoin Fractal Pattern Playing Out With Possible Drop To $36KIn this video I share how this BTC fractal pattern is playing out that mirrors the Accumulation / Distribution pattern that we saw earlier this year.
Per the video, this would create a compelling buying opportunity for us to get back into Bitcoin and the Tier 1 as well as L2 coins that we have seen strength from earlier this year.
Let me know your thoughts below!
DXY double bottomA dohble bottom has been formed in the DXY, this is a classic pattern that indicates change in the trend.
This asset is very technical, so I expect it to respect the classic patterns
If this breaks to the upside to the .38 Fibonacci level (94USD), we may see everythig traded against it will crash.
I am expecting this movement by mid September.
Alice, Alice...you nasty Alice! ALICE/USDT Analysis.We can see how deep can be some token without future.
Or Alice is our future? This token is in negative price discovery mode, so we can go deeper and deeper. No reason for growing!
Price litte bounced now, but from where? There is any reasonable level for bouncing. We are ready for SHORT :)
R.I.P. you nasty Alice :P
Crucial moment for EthereumGood day everyone! Today I'm going to talk about the special yet crucial moment we all are seeing right now with Ethereum!
As I mentioned yesterday ETH was ripping through every ATH and ready to go further it seemed like and ready to break out of the channel as I showed yesterday. Yesterday I talked about how Ethereum might look for a healthy correction that is very needed in this very extended pump. Today we may be able to confirm whether ETH should go down or continue upwards. The head and shoulder finished but it continues to move sideways maybe consolidating or confirming a new support line at 3100-3300.
So if ETH goes below 3100$ we might correct further going below the 23,6% FIB retracement gives us the next support line back down at 2500-2700 as I illustrated in yesterdays analysis!
Lastly what do you guys think about ETH right now, leave a comment down below, like if you agree and follow if you want to see more ETH charts!
REMEMBER TO ALWAYS TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK AND I AM NO FINANCIAL ADVISOR.
Big dip at 58000 euroHere is what I think will play out when the next big correction happens, which still looks like will happen on march 25th. If it gonna play out similar to the previous big correction. We now will have a slow run up to the march 25th if no bigger update or news happen that cause bitcoin to hit the crash line earlier we will still expect 25th be the day we see the big dip. The last few days of lows we could see where most of the support lines are and combining with some of the data of the previous run I think this be a possible scenario.
25th of March we will hit 58000 euro and start the decent down
26th due to contracts ending speed of fall increases
27th hit bottom at 49000 - 48000euro
28th we will get a small recover going up after people buying back after hitting bottom
29th Hit next bottom of 47000-46000
30th start rise because next day many crypto have updates on 31st
31st and 1 april be going up and depending how fast we go up we could see the start of next run up or if not will will go down
2nd April if still going down hit 46000 before going up again, to start the next run up to April 27 and hit 68000
I personally set a limit sell a alarm at 57000 and also a limit sell at 57900, after that I suggest keep eye on bookings list and depth to see where most bookings for it to dip down to.
Extra tip Never be too greedy when setting your limit for buy or sale, if you set at precisely with large volume of booking there are chance you might only get a partial sell so I alway set the slightly lower to make sure it get sold and set buy limit slightly higher to make sure have a buy also.
End of volatility? Yields continue to rise. Spy could crack.Hello. Despite this weeks amazing rally, I believe it's too much too soon. The yields are continuing to rise and could be as high as 1.7% by late Monday/Tuesday. How could it affect the market? Some economists are predicting that a 2% yield on the 10 Year will result in a 20% correction in stocks. This is in line with the bearish megaphone that has formed. There's a possibility that we are approaching a peak. The rejection could take us quite close to the economists warning of -20%. 350 could happen which is around a 18% correction.
What do you think? Leave your comment below. I believe we have 1 more dip before truly breaking out of this. For now, I remain short and will load more puts should we try to push past 395 to reach 400. At 400, I will go all in on puts.
Currently holding puts for 390 strike by friday.
A circulating idea has been that we will have >2% yield by June.
Trade at your own risk.
10 Year Treasury / 3 Month Treasury Yield Inversion & RecessionNot my idea, but it does seem to hold some water. Note the orange spikes above the 10 Yr T Bill and pull up history 1990/2000/2008 serious corrections
6-18 months after the 3 Mo/10yr treasury rates invert, the US economy goes into recession
1991 was a 33% drop, 2001 - 83%, 2008 - 54%
I've seen longer data sets that hold true even farther back from FRED
*NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE - NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR*
BTC in for Big Crash before Full MoonWe've got a pretty obvious fib backspiral nearly confirmed. Buckle up, the tumble is coming. Stay with me.
The waves have been building and the hype is here. It's another short bull run as the infrastructure will take years to catch up to the hype in order to absorb the capital needed for bitcoin to moon (100k). Also, ppl r dumb.
When the global economy crashes the traditional wallstreet dopes will drop BTC first because well, they could probably buy Apple for $4 or mineral land in Australia for pennies. So BTC will take a big hit when the global market transition will begin.
Once all this settles and the depression hits bottom and the once heralded "early" investors (SQR/MicroStrat/Etc) are made to look like fools, BTC will moon as the strong hands and world gov'ts/cabals/freepeople begin dealing between themselves with a contraband currency to circumvent the new IMF decrees.
My plan is to DCA until I cant.
see you in the future
S&P 500 short position/SPX SELL and DROP=SHORTSPX shows signs of serious weakness having on mind technical side of the story.
TECHNICAL PART:
- DAILY MACD BEARISH
-WEEKLY MACD BEARISH
-DAILY STOCH RSI BEARISH.
-WEEKLY STOCK RSI BEARISH
From technical side i don't have doubts that stock market will experience one more crash which will be followed by inflation of USD towards 1,26 and 1,35 instance over EUR.
From fundamental side, S&P 500 had three technical years historticaly (continual growth since 2008-nowdays) followed by a big crash on January 30.th when index fell from 3400-2200 index points.
THATS 12 YEARS OF CONTINUAL GROWTH APROXIMATELY, since 1 technological year equates to 4-5 calendar years.
USD MADE TRIPLE JUMP IN TECHNOLOGICAL SECTION BRINGING TECHNOLOGY to 5 NM.
THEREFORE, I DO EXPECT SIMULATIOUS DROP ON NDAQ AND DJI.
Now, after this " butterfly pattern" manifests, index of this unsustainable price will bring #SPX index to 2400 points and lower levels including very top of it at 1867 level.
GERMAN ECONOMY WILL FOLLOW, I've stated it in the other chart of mine :
CLEAR YOUR POSITIONS.
Cheers
1987 Redux: Crash Pattern Projection?See related post and scroll left to see the 1987 markings. Remarkable similarity in time course, periodicity, wave duration, retracement level.
Seasonal timing also coincides, correction sequence started exactly a week later, on 3 Sep 20, vs 26 Aug 1987. 19 October is again a Monday!
Just an idea, not investing advice; GLTA!
MINI CRASH JUST AHEAD 10/10- 10/20/ ALT 11/7I AM NET SHORT 66% FROM 3391 TO 3409 AND WILL MAINTAIN THE SHORT TILL THE TIME CYCLES ARE TURNING . THE RALLY TODAY IS THAT OF AN ALT MINOR WAVE 5 UP OR A WAVE B UP .ALL CYCLES ARE DOWN VERY HARD TILL NOV 7 CYCLES GOLD IS NEARING A FINAL WASHOUT LOW AND BONDS ARE NEAR THE END OF A MAJOR LOW IN TLT NEAR 157 TO 158 I WILL BE GOING LONG TLT AT 75 % INTO THIS TARGET . BEST OF TRADES ! WAVETIMER
Epitome of a BubbleThis chart is unbelievable. This isn't a penny stock, this is Apple. This is Apple during the worst economic crisis of our lives which is in some ways worse than the Great Depression. What are investors buying at these highs thinking? Are they thinking unemployed people buy expensive phones? Are they thinking the collapse of so many businesses means it's a great time to buy into the market? Or that when equities are even more overvalued than at the peak of the tech boom/crash of 2000, it's the best time to buy into tech? The answer is simple: nobody is thinking.
This is a very odd time when people have started to herd... to act like lemmings running toward the cliff. They've lost the ability to think as individuals and just follow whatever the person next to them is doing, no matter how absurd. On the news, in the streets, and in the markets we see mob-mentality run amok. When the pain comes, and it will come, we will look back and wonder what the hell everyone was thinking. Let me assure you, nobody is thinking. People don't think when they are in a mob.
Don't bother now, but after this has all imploded, google: blow-off-top, the dotcom bubble, the Dutch Tulip Bubble, or the South Sea Bubble. You'll recognize what you find, and you'll learn something.