How to Profit Regularly with SPY Weeklys Playing the SwingsThere are numerous opportunities every month to profit from the swings in the minute charts if you can find those trading
entry and exit points. If you know if you are looking at a top or bottom of a swing you greatly increase the odds you are trading in the right direction and knowing when you at the other end of your trade can help you maximize you profit.
Whatever you are trading knowing when the conditions technically ripe for a change can be monumental to your success. the attached charts show how the charts show entry and exit points and what kind of success you can have.
I have numerous example of signals and trades on website for you to checkout.
topandbottomtradesignals.net
Credit
High - Low Bollinger Bands These work better than the standard Bollinger Bands for setting extreme ranges.
What I use these for is to use an oscillator to find an buy / sell signal then take that to the H L Bollinger bands and mark the spot. Most of the time, you will find that the price does not exceed this spot for the duration (length) of the H L Bollinger bands.
This makes them good for doing Credit Spreads such as Put Vertical Spreads and Call Vertical Spreads. Since the price will normally not exceed the bands at the extreme point, the trader can profit from the time decay and other factors.
High Yield in Trouble... AgainI want to start this year with a market I have been watching closely recently, and for good reason. The HYG, which is the most liquid high yield corporate bond exchange traded fund, has taken a beating over the past few months and looks ready to make another move lower. Not only is this trade attractive from a technical perspective, but the fundamentals are on our side as well given rates are poised to move higher this year.
We can see on the hourly chart below that a breakout over 81 failed to materialize and we are now coming off of near term resistance on a pivot bar. Additionally the momentum indicators are showing more room for downward movement, while volume profile needs to be filled in to the downside.
Based on the technicals, I would like to get short at current levels with a stop up at the bottom of the supply area at 80.68 and a target of 79.00 (3:1 r/r). I will give this trade no more than a week.
@AKWAnalytics
CVX Bull Put Spread and or sell putsCVX has made a strong bullish moved from it low about 102.36 close on 1/30/14 There has been a strong gap and is trading above 10 20 and 50 EMA , and just closed above the 100 SMA. The gap at 107.37 should offer a strong support for a BPS 107/106 EXp 2/27 for .11 or 3/6 for .16.
Should your want to own the shares a 101 put sale will bring in .65 approx.
When Credit Goes, So Does EquitiesWhat makes anyone think this time is "different." The SPX decoupled from high yield credit (HYG) in 2013 for the first time since 2007.
The onslaught of poor US economic data will continue to weigh on equities regardless of the desperation to hold onto the feel good story of growth.
I expect a 20 percent pullback to the 200-week EMA at 1,810.
BBY Earnings Play; Unbalanced Iron Condor W/ $0 Upside RiskBestBuy has been consolidating since the beginning of July. Earnings are due tomorrow before the opening, and our IV% is at 56%, so I am looking for a play here to collect a credit.
Historically looking at BBY we can see usually see a slightly bullish move after earnings (EPS, which is usually beating estimates). Because of this, and being at the top of this range with our other indicators showing bullish momentum as indicated on the chart, I want upside protection, while I expect the range in BBY to continue through expiration this Friday.
All that being said, and what is shown on the chart, I am selling for a $0.50-$0.55 credit the 25/29.5/34.5/35 Put/Put/Cal/Call. This means if we break out from here, not only will I likely be putting on another bullish trade to take advantage of the breakout, but I will still have a small (VERY small) profit. That however beats a loss.
Ideally, we would like volatility to collapse and BBY to stay between $29.00 and $34.50, but anything above $29.00 would be acceptable.