SPY huge losses with wrong adjustmentsSo many bad decisions here, how to unpack it.
had the 280 calls that the market absolutely obliterated, was way in the money. instead of doing like I learned and NOT moving the challenged side, I sold MORE calls at 285 which is also went through. I then sold puts at 283 which expired OTM but suffered a major loss. Lesson learned, don't adjust the challenged direction!!
SPY 26 credit , sold for 198 = $172 loss
Creditspread
Chart of the Day: $HYG under pressure$85.50 is the key neckline support for $HYG as it bounces off the top boundary of wedge pattern. The neckline can be seen with multiple previous SSR levels. The downward bias is reinforced by the current SSR level for which price action is firmly pinned under.
With an earnings recession in progress and oil demand in question, it is inevitable to see some stress emerging in the junk bond segment which has a fairly high representation of US shale players.
NFLX Call Credit spread "Shorting"Shorting Netflix due to the uncertainty in the market due to SPY sell off. Netflix is overall a great company however it is very closely effected by the SPY much like last october a sell off lead Netflix down to the bottom and consequently is also uplifted the stock due to its latent rise. Of course earnings also were a catalyst.
My Move is more near-term which makes it all that much risky.
345/350 Call Credit Spread Fill price $2.56 + commission Max loss 2.44 EXP May 31st
Depending on SPY movements I may manage my position and take a gain for $1.25 if the position allows due to near-term risk.
This is a journal entry and not trading advice.
Apr 18 - COUPCOUP 18-Apr-19
IV30: 84.2, IVR: 100%
Call Credit Spread
+0.14D Long 1 Call: 115 Strike @ $1.15
-0.19D Short 1 Call: 110 Strike @ $1.75
-0.05D Credit: $0.60
PCR=84:16
Bullish Trade of the Week Part Two EA credit spreadWell the Big Hands knew we were looking to get into SO this week so they took the market down and kept Utilities strong...I take full responsibility for this !! ;) ;)
No matter EA IVR % just posted 100 and the new Call of Duty will be in full swing come XMAS time 72d 100/95 p cr spread looking for 1.40
Tasty stats 65% POP 82% P50 theta .50 with a delta of 9.32
VIX Double Vertical Spreads for a move higher in VolatilityAfter reaching a low of 11.10 today, the VIX closed at 11.57.
Having been in a low Vol Environment for a while, I believe that this bounce off of the S2 Pivot Point intraday today, can be a potential low for the index.
I have chosen a synthetic long position to play this out, over the next 60 days.
More specifically, I sold the Nov 2018 14/12 put credit spread for $1 per contract and bought the same expiration 15/17 call debit spread for $0.50 per contract, in one order. This gives me a 2R (2 times the risk I assume in potential profit), since I can lose $0.50 for every $1 I can make, as my max profit.
I will close my position when any one of the following conditions come true:
1)My position gets to $0.90 per contract
2)The VIX reaches 20 (as this is a Fib level that will act as a resistance point, or
3)The spread gets cut in half, or $0.25 per contract.
Happy Trading
Lindosskier
$XLY Bearish Credit SpreadXLY Bearish Credit Spread - Opened. XLY leaning very bearish this morning (Monday) with a possible movement to test the 115 area as expected.
Entry 116.11.
Break Even 116.68.
1.7:1 r/r
Even with the heightened volatility this week, we will let this spread expire as it has a defined risk and reward.
'Set It And Forget It' Trade In XLBXLB (Materials ETF) has been consolidating for weeks and looks like it's getting ready to make a move higher. With Squeezes on both the Weekly and Daily Chart this looks like a 'set it and forget it' type trade:
In a perfect world, I'll be looking for a pullback tomorrow where I can pick up the 58/57 Put Credit Spread:
Put Credit Spread
Sell 58 Jan Monthly Put
Buy 57 Jan Monthly Put
At the current price, you can nearly get a 1x1 spread is what I like doing. In this case (once again at the current closing price) risking $51 to make $49/contract. This is a trade I want to be able to put on and not have to worry about too much. Ideally, the trade will be near max profit far before the contracts expire. If you'd prefer to play an underlying, you can also trade DWDP which makes up 22% of the ETF. It too has a Weekly Squeeze setting up and its chart looks nearly identical to XLB:
Playing the ETF is just an easy way to play to movement of the entire sector which as a whole looks bullish. With the ETF you're less susceptible to things like news based moves that can affect an individual stock without affecting the entire sector.