Gold: 1680-1690 short term target !Hi all,
The bull run of the gold price in nov dec 2019 was due to the highly overprices stockmarket. Anticipating of a sell-off of the stockmarket was inevitable (macro-economic figures are coming out now).. For example: the PMI index dropped to a low of 2015. Yes.. nasty things to come..
Some reasons for the gold prices to surge in nov/ dec 2019:
* Highly overpriced stock market
* Very low interest rates
* Very high credit exposure in the consumer market (3 times higher than in the last recession)
* Dangerously inflation
* Housing market at top pricing level
* Marco economic data pointing to recession (PMI/ GDP)
The Coronavirus just gave it the push it was waiting for (stockmarket can fall of a cliff with exposure downwards between 15-20%)
If/ when the Coronavirus takes much longer, the market and the economies will suffer harder and longer. (stockmarket can fall of a cliff with exposure downwards between 30-40%)
LONG: Gold
SHORT: S&P500
Place your bets..
Happy trading.
Crisis
USA will cause new World Financial Crisis, again. 1) FED Repo QE 2019/20 (higher than 2008 financial crisis)
2) Nearly 80-120% gain in TSLA & AAPL in 3 months
3) Mysterious Trade Deals/Talks
4) Rising GOOD price since months
5) Lemmings on buy a great fake economy is here
6) Indicators are overheating
We really don't see good, yearly economic gain.
Soon we will face a new financial crisis, created by USA, possible caused by repo-Market or Jerome Powel.
Have fun as long as the party goes on.
$TTNP - Set up for a Growth Stock in 2020 5 X + CandidateI will update this article I just wanted to get the idea down because this is capable of 2-4 x in short amount of time..
So rough notes but wanted to have it documented real time
Analyst have maintained a .75 and 1 target here which is at the very least 3-4 x from current prices.
$TTNP - Going to be a 5-10 X candidate 2020
For a swing trade .
2020 will be the first year company will become a growth stock
Major analyst have a 1 target on this as unlikely FINRA will allow for another RS so soon.
So they have 1 option get the stock over 1... Remember even company has the option doesn't mean FINRA will approve.
Analyst have also maintained a .75 and 1 target here which is at the very least 3-4 x from current prices.
The last Bio tech i posted on went 10x in a short amount of time and $TTNP has tremendous upside going forward as much of bad news is behind them. They laid down the infastructure for growth in 2019 so 2020 should be a growth year.
Sadly, the Opioid crisis isnt going away. $TTNP is positioned to help the fight against the epidemic and should also profit with that endeavor.
$TTNP has 5-10x + potential chart has lots of gaps up
Do your DD , recent board appointment and all the ground work laid in 2019 for it to become a growth stock in 2020.
My thoughts ..
TTNP is at .20 now
Expectations for 2020 Caution is required from the thin market perspective also we expect an increased likelihood of volatility explosions on the market.
As we turn to 2020, the year promises to be extremely difficult and eventful. Whether this year will be a year of crisis, we will see, actually we would bet on a crisis. In this regard, we expect massive sales on world stock markets, which will be accompanied by an increase in demand for safe-haven assets. So purchases of gold and the Japanese yen in 2020 will continue to remain relevant.
"Deal of the Year" for us will be sales in the US stock market. But on this occasion, we have another review, where we describe in as much detail as possible why 2020 should be the year of the collapse of the US stock market (well, or at least, the time for a full correction on it).
As for the foreign exchange market, a lot of trades will depend on the actual development of events: what the Fed will want?, whether a full-fledged crisis or recession will occur in the world?, how the elections in the USA will end?, etc. Therefore, for now, we will not make any guesses, but we will note one deal that has, in our opinion, the maximum chances to get profit. It's about buying the British pound. 2020 should be the year when Brexit “ends”. And according to the “soft” scenario. Accordingly, the growth potential of the pound is measured in hundreds of points, and according to our estimates, pared with the dollar, it may well exceed 1.40. That is, from current prices it is about 1000 pips.
Another promising trade in the foreign exchange market, the sale of the Russian ruble. Its current strengthening of the ruble should not be intimidating or perplexing. On the contrary, this is just a great opportunity for sales. Yes, probably you will need to hold the position for more than one week or even a month. But we have practically no doubts about its positive outcome.
And a few words about oil. Its growth potential due to the new OPEC + deal is not fully exhausted. But in general, we tend to begin to build a medium-term short position, starting the first round of sales already at current prices. Why? the expectation of serious problems in the global economy. Recession or toward recession will be a serious blow to demand in the oil market, which will invariably provoke a drop in quotations. Also, on the supply side, 2020 could be a watershed. Russia is talking about a possible exit from OPEC + due to the need to fight for market share. If this happens, then sales on the oil market can not be avoided. Therefore, those who are ready to be in a position for several months can join us and start selling oil.
Pressure on pound intensifies & apocalypseDespite the Christmas holidays and general calm in the forex market, the pound is dropping. Going below 1.30 is a very bad sign, but given the importance of the level zone 1.2950-1.3000, there is a serious risk of a full-fledged downward to 1.20. If the markets continue to believe in the impossibility of signing a trade agreement between the EU and the UK until the end of 2020, then exactly 1.20 is the mark to which the pound will be lead.
Our position on the pound is unchanged: a critical reason for a “soft” Brexit is available and it will be extremely illogical to cross out the results of the efforts of the last three years at the last moment. So, in the medium-term purchase, buying pounds with each 100-point drop makes it more attractive, as the risk level is decreasing and the profit potential is growing.
As for intraday trading, while the pound is below 1.30, bears control the situation. Accordingly, there is no desire to go against the market. Therefore, while the pound is below 1.30, we will trade on the intraday basis in both directions. Note that in the “thin” market, taking important levels is often false, so you should be prepared for a turn at any time.
Now most pairs have quite interesting entry points. EURUSD, for example, a purchase from support 1.1070-80 with stops below 1.1040 and profits in the region of 1.1150 seems to be a very balanced trade (30-80 risk points account for 70-80 points of potential profit).
USDJPY: all bull attempts to gain above 109.50-60 failed 2 times in a row. And if so, then it seems logical to decline to 108.50 region. That makes it possible to open a profitable position. Sale from 109.50 with stops above 109.80-90 and profits of about 108.50-60. The ratio of profit to risk is almost 3 to 1.
Let’s back to the information background. World Bank experts frighten of the scale of the new crisis (debt crisis): the debt burden is growing rapidly, both in the private and public sectors, and this is happening not in individual regions, but around the world at the same time. The undisputed leader is China so that it can become the epicentre of global problems.
We have been waiting for a crisis for a long time and every day its probability, in our opinion, is becoming higher. So buying safe-haven assets continues to be one of our favourite trading ideas.
Crash 2020 - End of the bull marketSince 2008 we have had no real recession. 21 December 2019 we just hit the top resistance of ascending wedge on the monthly chart.
Coincidence? I think not.
Add the repo crisis like we had in september, trade war risk, and election uncertainty, brexit uncertainty, housing market bubble and dept buildup and we have are at more then enough to make this technical perspective come true on fundamental basis.
Profit targets set at support levels, demand zones.
Time for another UAH crisisI live in Ukraine and look at the chart regularly, I have decided to share my thoughts on USD/UAH pair
Fundamental Analysis
Ukraine's economy keep on shrinking and our country must pay USD debts to IMF and so on. My country will lose gas transit money, as soon as south stream and nord stream are fully launched and that's a big hit to our economy.
Recently UAH had been strengthening as we had presidential campaign, now running a parliament campaign, which is coming to an end. Politicians spent millions of their USD, converting it to UAH spending on their campaign, so they could go through to a parliament. As it is coming to a finish line, I'am looking bullish on USD and bearish on UAH!
If we look at history on the graph (vertical lines), after government election's UAH only suffered! Especially last election
Technical analysis is on the graph. 5th wave is at 41.77 or even 47 UAH per USD
I really don't want that to happen to my local currency, as it will only mean everyone in my country including me will earn less and have another crisis! So I hope it doesn't happen, but that's my view
PS
Vertical Lines
Black lines - president election
Red lines - parliament election (forgot to mention 2014 election)
Blue Line - world crisis
My twitter @CryptoWolfy7
Tweets are my opinions, not financial advice
S&P500 prediction from Time TravelerI public this Idea from a man which i met at train station. He definied himself as time traveler . He is very mysterious and speak using many analogies.
Watch this forecast carefully it will be probably best prediction.
At first this predition will be a "long" category but in time... "short" are noticeable...
BITCOIN COULD REPLACE BANKSIn this video I show a key level of support for BTC. It coincides with a 3-day ATR trendline for the north. I'm not saying Bitcoin can't go south.
I deal with a far bigger issue, where in the heat of a financial crisis banks close. This has happened several times before (and Google is your friend on this point).
There is a lot of chatter out there from very reputable experts about a serious banking crisis approaching. Stop - I don't listen to sensationalist nonsense.
The 'big reset' is now a realistic probability for people in the know. I'm talking about people who understand the global financial system to the core. The reset will mean that not only stock markets meltdown but the money system globally is frozen. What are you gonna do when there is no money? Well, history has shown that people went back to bartering.
At the moment Bitcoin functions as a store of value - even if unstable. The banks can't lock down Bitcoin. When the banks freeze up people will exchange BTC value for goods and services. That's just common sense. Not everybody will have Gold to exchange and physical gold is not available to everybody. But BTC is available to everybody right now.
In the lead up to the banking crisis you will see BTC rocket north. How? Insiders always know and leak what's coming.
Get prepared. I'm not saying that 'you' should put all your money into BTC. I'm saying a reasonable store of BTC is a good back up plan if worse comes to the worst.
Disclaimers: This is not financial advice - even if so construed. It is opinion only. Your losses are your own. Sue yourself if you lose your money.
WALL STREET (DJI) - IN CRISISBRACE! Anything can happen in the next few days. The DJI is at a critical zone on the weekly. 'Everybody' is waiting for more QE and lowering of interest rates. In other words the FED is likely to blow the bubble even harder.
But there are crises in the bond markets and currency markets that weigh on this market. So fear is not just about stocks in the market itself.
Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation or encouragement to trade securities. Your losses are your own.
Amazon: Signs of a Dot Com Bubble burst.This study is intended to point out some very obvious similarities of Amazon's current trading action with that of the stock's Dot Com crisis period.
Our sole purpose is not to spread panic to a stock market that is currently strong and trading on All Time High territory but to keep investors on their toes and make potential buyers check and double check by looking on all possible angles before investing on AMZN.
Even though the price action now and then share many common features, it is of course common sense that it takes more than just similar candle action to justify such a bubble burst like the Dot Com collapse and that comes on a certain fundamental framework of a very negative series of events that shake a part of the economy as a whole (even a recession). Some can argue that the U.S. - China trade war is such an event and they do have a valid point. But it is too early to tell.
Can this be an end of an era for Amazon? Hard (and as said early) to tell, but it certainly provides a certain structure that investors may follow in order to limit the risk of such a potential price blast. In our opinion it is safer to either buy AMZN once the All Time High breaks or if by any extremely negative turn of events approach 1,300 again.
Use this information at your own discretion but certainly be very skeptical of this tech giant.
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Why partial trade agreement won't help China in a long/termSince the trade war started, investors were anxious to see an agreement between USA and China. But there is one huge problem, if we analyze SHCOMP behavior since 2015.mid, it will become quite obvious that China has overdebt problems. Earleir this year Chienesee Central Bank had to bail out at least 3 major banks.. Since 2018 major newspapers were publishing articles about upcoming recession in china. In order to prevent this from happening, they began injecting billions of dollars in its economy. However, the results were minimum, meaning that collapse is not so far. Eventually chinese debt bubble will burst and it will affect nmot only the asia/pacific region but the world's economy.
All i say is that in a short term this tradeagreement may help chinese markets but there are problems to be solved on internal level..
REPOCALYPSE NOW!This is serious. Find out what 'REPOCALYPSE' is about. Protect your positions very carefully.
Get real - I don't know when it's happening nor does anybody else.
REPOCALYPSE is not just doom-saying stuff, though it might appear sensationalist. This is reality mates.
Those who keep there heads in the sand and do not take protective actions will be flushed out.
DISCLAIMER: All statements here are over-simplifications of very complex issues, and are speculative opinion. This is not constructed as advice for making decisions about trading in securities. Your losses are your own.
Declaration : This post is consistent with Tradingview's house rules on text-based analyses.
Its time for the next GREAT DEPRESSION and the end of BANKSTERS.this is not an analysis based on fancy indicators or crazy theory, this is common sense, simple view of the inevitable coming catastrophe...
Here we can see the SP 500 chart for the last 2 decades and the last 2 recessions, here we can appreciate the last economic growth witch every one known is artificial growth made by central banks, BANKSTERS and quantitative easing by the FED and all the modern gangsters involved on this crime approved by the government of the United States.
We all know how this is going to end, and is not going to be well, now the question is when.
I personally believe we are at the beginning of the collapse, we are already cutting the interest rate not only in US but almost everywhere, the economy worldwide is declining rapidly to a point the when the common people realize is going to be too late to protect their self from what is coming..
what I don understand is how there is people that still believe in eternal growth with a system that is broken?? again common sense!
ok here is what i see what is going to happen in the next coming years, don't take this as an advice but as a warning, get safe there is different ways like bitcoin and gold, make your own research.
if you like this, please hit the like button and share this information thanks for stopping by.
AGE OF CURRENCY WAR
The entire industrialized world is engaged in a form of economic warfare known as inflation.
The idea being that if you can make your currency less valuable it makes your export more attractive for the foreign nations than if your currency was more expensive. So this has to do with fluctuations in currency prices. What you can buy stuff for in your country versus what you can buy stuff for in my country.
The more inflation we cause, the more attractive our exports become to other countries.
If you managed to destroy your economy through regulations, through taxation, through bad management and bad government and you don't really know how to create economic growth to pay for all the special welfare programs like UBI. If you don't have a way to do that through an actual growth, because you hamstrung your economy, how can you get more growth???
The way they do it is through currency inflation. So every industrialized nation in the world has figured this out. Now they all fighting a battle to make their currency as cheap as possible so their exports could be more attractive.
How to create inflation?
Well they reduce interest rates, making bonds less expensive, and then they end up issuing a lot of debt and printing a lot of money. They put money into circulation and they incentivize consumption.
They put extra trillions of dollars into circulation because they know people will spend each penny every single year. It is gonna create a lot of inflation.
They go further. What we see now is governments reducing its interest rates to negative.So if interest rates are negative it is no more reasonable to save money because it is costing you money to just put them in the bank.
If saving money costs you, so you should spend your money as fast as you can and that is what these countries are doing. They are offering things like: negative interest rates on the mortgage to buy a house in Scandic nations. They are trying to stimulate a massive amount of consumption to pay you so you consume.
In the beginning, it sounds like a great idea to you because you can purchase a 100000 home for 95000 by the time you done paying it because you have a negative interest rate.
Over the long term though this is going to destroy an economy because it denies a very simple truth about the time value of money, about the way economics works. If they are manipulating the system for short term benefits it will end up crashing us.
If interest rate is a price of money just think about it: if someone is paying you to take money from them, what does it tell you about future value of this money???
I will stop here.
I will be happy to know your thoughts on a current situation. Feel free to share in a comment section.
Euro and pound weakness, dollar strength and US crisisThe political scandal in the United States and Trump's coming impeachment proceedings. So the US stock market was falling against this background, the dollar was striving for multi-year highs.
Such behaviour could be explained by the weakness of competitors. The euro, for example, received a number of painful hits both from the weak data on the Eurozone (consumer confidence fell to the lowest levels since 2015) and Germany (according to experts at the DIW Institute, Germany's economy is heading into recession), and from the ECB’s chief economist announced the possibility of a further rate cut by the Central Bank.
The British pound also suffered losses in the foreign exchange market. The main reason is Brexit, or rather, the lack of progress in the negotiation process between Britain and the EU, as well as a statement by Bank of England representative that the Central Bank could reduce its interest rate even if it would be possible to avoid Britain's exit from the EU without a deal.
Despite the existence of reasons to dollar strengthen, we still consider it anomalous (in the end, the Fed has already lowered the rate twice this year and most likely will do it one more time). Therefore, this week we will continue to look for points for its sales. However, there is no need to look for for a long time - the current dollar prices are close to ideal sales points.
Given the global vector of monetary easing by the Central Banks gold as an object of interest is strengthening. So this week we will continue to look for points of asset purchase. While gold is above 1485, we see no threats to its purchases.
Last week, selles trend was dominating on the oil market. The main reason was information on Saudi Arabia return oil production to its previous level. Data on oil reserves in the United States (reserves rose), as well as updated IEA forecasts, showing a slowdown in the growth of demand for oil in the world. In this light, our recommendation to sell oil this week remains relevant. Remember oil might be corrected any time, that means that small stops must be placed with every open position in oil.
With regard to macroeconomic statistics, attention should be paid primarily to statistics on the US labour market (traditionally it is published on Friday), the decision of the Reserve Bank of Australia on Tuesday (expected to reduce rates by 0.25%), UK GDP on Monday as well as consumer inflation in the Eurozone and US business activity indices.
WAR WITH IRAN AND SLOWING US ECONOMY || The Higher We Climb...I could've titled this one as "what goes up must come down" and all that BS.. But the point is clear, RECESSION is not a possibility anymore.
FED lowering rates just to keep economy afloat.
FED had to make emergency injection of more than $125B over the past 3 days. JUST TO KEEP THOSE RATES BELOW 2.25%!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
RECESSION fears keep on rising.
Strange shit is going on with Middle East (more strange than usual).
If war with IRAN won't start till the end of the year, U.S. economy is fucked. I think it's not a secret that the key basis of U.S.' economy is WAR, proxy-war for natural resources kept U.S. economy and all your precious indexes up and going for almost two decades.
It's time for U.S. to double down on their way of doing business by starting yet another WAR or rip the consequences...
A man make the strike hungry until BTC repump to 13000$A man make the strike hungry until BTC repump to 13000$. He started on 24 of septembre since the recent dump after the opening of Bakkt. He is really motivated. What BTC will do... poor guy !
I'll do the trade ! I won't see this guy dying because of me shorting.
DJI - GET READY!What's moving this market north? Like the Fanny Mae fiasco back around 2008, the 'implicit guarantee' is at play. Go read up what that is about. In essence this is about an idea that the FED will bail out big corporations. The top industry analysts can find nothing of real substance in the fundamentals to move the DJI (and S&P) north.
I explore the 4H and 1D time frames for opportunities to short. Make no mistake, nothing I do or say is a prediction. All my analyses are probabilities based. I look carefully at price action and I am not tied by what indicators are telling me.
Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation to trade securities. For every estimate of probability north, there is a residual probability for the south (and vice versa). If you lose your money sue yourself.