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Crisis

It might be over for Sweden but for occupied EU it just started"Back to normal" will be short lived. The economy already lies in ruins... Populations of dictatorship countries are at the moment extremely weak, and they are getting released in the wold. Adolf Merkel, Adolf Macron, Adolf Trump, Adolf Johnson, and so on, have destroyed people's lives to delay a couple thousand deaths. They are not going anywhere, they're happening, and soon. Sweden is going to be just chilling, while the rest of the world might even get more deaths than usual. Hospitals could be full. So usually the cold season ends in April, but here is a little list of common summer diseases, and you just know the media is going to jump on those to fearmonger: Wow quick media! They are already fearmongering! "There are many reports of the very rare Kawasaki disease" www.euronews.com english.kyodonews.net Ye it could be linked to covid-19. As I said many times for the past 2 months: covid-19 -> lockdown -> new diseases and problems. So that's the link. Basically they report that the number of cases is rising. Now they throw in the word coronavirus in just to attract clics typical bs. Ignore whole paragraphs that contain the word coronavirus or covid and just look at the rest. Or just the title, whole media articles contents are irrelevant anyway. Just wait and see 😉 People are going to keep criticizing speculators, even the good ones that keep being right because they're smart not because laws of big numbers, and politicians will keep saying no one could have predicted no one bla bla bla and "if only we knew in advance we could have done something". They can't even fathom that it's not just about predicting the exact future with certitude with every detail but rather good prevention and awareness of what might or probably will happen and weighting the pros and cons correctly. They just imagine cristal balls and fortune tellers. So dumb. Do you often see people bulldoze their way into military camps? I don't. Why? Maybe they won't get into trouble who knows. All those people that don't charge military camps with bulldozers are just speculators that think they know the future and that they will get into trouble. Who knows, maybe the soldiers there want to play and will happily welcome any trouble maker? How about spitting on an antisocial mafia boss in international waters? No one can predict the future, maybe he will respect your courage and you'll have a good laugh about it. It's really all a matter of intelligence. If people were smarter alot of this "crazy speculation" would be common sense and "crazy speculation" would be something more complex. Every one is "smart enough" to not charge a military camp. Guess what? Your dog is not. To him there is no way to predict what will happen... And most dogs see it as "obvious" not to charge crocodiles. But not all. Ever seen the video of the little dog barking and charing the alligator until...? So clearly, it's just a matter of intelligence, what some see as obvious others see as "crazy conspiracy weirdo fortune telling". History is very kind to those: "Globe earth? Hahaha idiot! How ridiculous. Everyone knows earth is flat 🤤" Brace yourselves for more panic, volatility, huge moves, big crashes. As Jesse Livermore used to do, trade with the trend, against the “suckers” who were trying to average down. If he knows or cares about earth today he's pissing himself at Robintrack. We are very fortunate to live in a day where we can see what they are doing. A bit about what JL has said in the past, I find reading this very enjoyable (confirmation bias emotional reaction) Some sources, you might want to take a look at some of the descriptions I wrote (can't link 1000 articles): Intrinsic Photosensitivity Enhances Motility of T Lymphocytes www.nature.com Motility not mobility: mobility means can be moved, motility means can move itself. Killer cells (virus & bacteria killing) need sunlight for energy to move. Deficiency in vitamin D is associated with increased autoimmunity and an increased susceptibility to infection www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov Vitamin D supplementation to fight influenza www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov The Pivotal Role of Vitamin D during an Episode of Common Colds www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov Psychological Stress and the Human Immune System: A Meta-Analytic Study of 30 Years of Inquiry www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov Diet and Immune Function ... this is a very wide subject ... www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov Data support a clear inverse relationship between moderate exercise training and illness risk. Exercise improves defense activity and metabolic health. In a study 5000 participants were injected a virus, and separated in 2 groups, we looked at how many people died in the group doing exercise compared to jk was testing you are you paying attention? www.sciencedirect.com Problem drinking soars in the UK (what else to do?) I didn't invent that one www.theguardian.com Alcohol destroys the immune system: "significantly weaken host defenses" www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov Drinking alcohol makes people more likely to catch respiratory infections, and makes them more severe. I think most studies have focussed on the flu since it is the most serious of the 3 common types of cold. No one cared about coronavirus until the recent extraordinary mass delusion and madness of crowds. (People might be getting more paranoid and nuts from spending too much time at home in front of the tv & PC...personal opinion) www.sciencedaily.com Obesity increases vulnerability to infection www.cell.com(19)30346-8.pdf Obesity, inflammation and the immune system www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov Obesity and respiratory diseases www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov Obesity induced T cell dysfunction and implications for cancer immunotherapy www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov 2 articles about astronauts www.sciencedaily.com www.telegraph.co.uk Since I have to end on a rant about stupid people, here we go, but I'll make it original and won't rant about the paranoia surrounding the scaaary common cold that killed hundreds of people! You also have all the anecdotal evidence of astronauts getting sick after returning to earth, but don't even bother searching for it on internet search engines, it's pages and pages of "pipi poopoo space zombie virus" and "can astronauts get sick in space" and "what happens if astronauts get sick in space it could be a huge problem". Typical story, 90% of users and 100% of journalists lack the mental abilities to even think of what can happen when they return to earth. 😉
D
by MrRenev
8
Dow Jones.Alright for all these people who have no idea what actually happens right now. We are at the beginning of the biggest recession we've ever seen. We have roughly lost 55% on the DJ after the housing bubble popped. So my estimation with about a 50% decline in DJ doesn't seem far stretched off right?! We even have a big support line there?! Coincidence? I don't think so. So my target for a healthy correction would be about 15k DJ If you draw a fiblevel from 2009 low to 2020 high. You can even see 0.618 around that target. Then again we have many factors to take in. Will covid-19 magical disappear or will it mutate and get even more dangerous. I'm no doctor, but if we need at least a year to finde a vaccine I could see us drop even more crazier. Perhaps to 2nd support level. Until then with best regards Health is more important than wealth (I prefer to make videos so I don't forget everything I have in my mind. I edited this text like 5 times after release. Gonna stick to videos for the future)
TVC:DJIShort
by Juba1337
$TNP can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited provides seaborne crude oil and petroleum product transportation services worldwide. Due to the oil price lowering, the demand for oil tanker transport companies rose. Their clients use the tankers for oil storage. The demand for shares of the company looks higher than the supply. These and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days. So I opened a long position from $4,05; stop-loss — $3,90. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NYSE:TENLong
by KozakHlib
$CPA can fall in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger and cargo services. The company said on Monday it may not have enough liquidity to survive the coronavirus crisis despite cutting costs, becoming the second major Latin American airline to suggest that it may cease to exist due to the outbreak — finance.yahoo.com The demand for shares of the company looks lower than the supply. This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price in the next days. So I opened a short position from $41,08; stop-loss — $43,32. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NYSE:CPAShort
by KozakHlib
The Ethereum is money of the futureAt the monday we will check the unemployment rates and it will be high. The first week will be almost calm, but when the people will see the government can't do anything with it or release carantine from the economy - it will produce new wave of COVID sick and new panic wave at the finance sector. The highest pick of COVID would be at the middle of the may. Also BITCOIN hardfork, and the planning Berlin hardfork at ETH Summer 2020. All this point soon fall of the eth after the little growth in the correlation of the bitcoin. I think the whales will take their positions at 50-60$ per ETH Be calm, save your money, keep bright
Long
by lexxstorm
8
USOIL - It is time for the next bullmarketHello everyone, first of all, we have been in such a long bear market, since July 2008 147$, we haven't made a new higher high, but we managed to make lower lows, which means that we are currently in a 12 year bear market. We have been moving inside a falling wedge, and even though we could go to the top of the wedge and then make another fall like the one we had now, I really don't think we will fall again to 10$ . We fell so much, because of the virus, that caused the lockdown, the price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia and also the fact that we are in a 12 year bearmarket, made the effect even more devastating. Such events happen probably once in a lifetime, so because of all those reasons, I do think that we have reached the bottom at around 10$-13$ and that we will break through the falling wedge and make higher highs and go into a bullmarket. Good luck to everyone!
FX:USOILLong
by donaitelo
USOIL - This is the bottom!Hello everyone, first of all what a time to be a trader and investor! USOIL has reached the lowest support levels it has ever reached in history! We have 3 level to look out for the big bottom. The first is 13.60, which we have already hit. The thing is that I think that we have a little bit more space to move to the downside, judging by the RSI. I think the most likely supports for the bottom are on the chart, these are supports, that have been previous bottoms and I really doubt we will reach bellow 10$. I do think that the bottom is going to be today, because with this much selling, I just don't see a big player or anyone selling at -25%, given the price we are right now. This is just my opinion, I think that even if you buy now, in a year time, everyone will envy our chance to buy at 13.80$ WTI.
FX:USOILLong
by donaitelo
UNDERSTAND THE EURODOLLAR!THE EURODOLLAR FUTURES CONTRACT REFLECTS THE L.I.B.O.R. INTEREST RATE (A BENCHMARK FOR THE INTEREST RATE AT WHICH MAJOR BANKS LEND TO EACH OTHER)! WHEN THE PRICE OF THE CONTRACT INCREASES, THE L.I.B.O.R. INTEREST RATE IS DECREASING, WHEN THE PRICE FALLS, IT IS INCREASING! THE PERIOD I HAVE HIGHLIGHTED IN THIS POST IS THE PERIOD OF DOLLAR ILLIQUIDITY THAT OCCURRED IN THE LATE 00s-EARLY 10s! AS THE FEDERAL RESERVE INTERVENED AND PROVIDED LIQUIDITY, L.I.B.O.R. WAS SUPPRESSED, AND THE SIZE OF THE INTERVENTION ALMOST PUSHED THE RATE TO 0! THE SIZE OF THE INTERVENTION IS IMPORTANT IN THAT IT REFLECTS THE SIZE OF THE PROBLEM, INDICATING THAT THE GLOBAL LACK OF DOLLARS WAS SEVERE! WHILE THE INTERVENTION SUCCEEDED IN SUPPRESSING L.I.B.O.R. OVERALL, THERE WERE SEVERAL PERIODS DURING WHICH THE LACK OF AVAILABLE U$Ds CAUSED LENDING BETWEEN FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS TO CONTRACT, INCREASING L.I.B.O.R., CAUSING A NUMBER OF PROBLEMS AND FORCING FURTHER ACTION BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE! THE 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS WAS NOT NECESSARILY CAUSED BY A REDUCTION IN U.S. HOME PRICES, BUT BY A SYSTEMIC BANKING DOLLAR SHORTAGE! THE LACK OF U$Ds REMAINS, AND HAS EVEN INCREASED, HOWEVER ENTIRE NATIONS ARE AT RISK OF SUFFERING THE CONSEQUENCES, NOT ONLY THEIR BANKS! NOW THE IMPORTANT QUESTIONS ARE: 1. IS THE GLOBAL ECONOMY NOW DEPENDENT ON THE FEDERAL RESERVE PROVIDING NEW U$Ds TO AVOID A COMPLETE DEFLATIONARY COLLAPSE? (MOST LIKELY YES) 2. IS THE FEDERAL RESERVE ABLE TO SATISFY THE INTERNATIONAL DEMAND FOR U$Ds, NOT IN TERMS OF AMOUNT, BUT IN TERMS OF DEPTH, REACHING FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS AND CORPORATIONS NOT DIRECTLY TIED TO THE MAJOR U.S. BANKS? (QUITE POSSIBLY NO, BUT THEY WILL TRY THEIR HARDEST) 3. IF WE ASSUME THIS IS THE DEATH RATTLE OF THE DOLLAR'S WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY STATUS, WHICH IS THE MOST LIKELY OUTCOME, THAT IT IS INFLATED AWAY OR THAT IT IMPLODES ON ITSELF? (I WOULD ARGUE GIVEN THE FED'S ACTIONS, THAT IT WILL BE INFLATED AWAY) 4. REGARDLESS OF HOW THE LOSS OF RESERVE CURRENCY STATUS OCCURS, A CONSEQUENCE OF THIS PROCESS WILL BRING ABOUT A COMPLETE SELL-OFF IN THE U.S. TREASURY MARKET, FORCING THE FEDERAL RESERVE TO COMPLETELY MONETIZE THESE BONDS TO PREVENT INTEREST RATES FROM RISING: IF THIS UNFOLDS, CAN ANY OTHER POSSIBILITY BUT HYPERINFLATION BE CONSIDERED? (NO)
GEducation
by UnknownUnicorn4195243
5
GLOBAL EQUITIES BULL TRAP | FURTHER DOWNSIDE EXPECTED Often in downside and upside moves of large magnitude, a phase is present where a large correction occurs. This is known as a Bear or Bull trap, respectively. It is reasonable to say that we could be in a bull trap right now with stocks up by almost 30% An average market cycle high to low has been in the region of 50-60%. This would bring price to strong support and a reasonable area for a rebound (Buy Zone) This assumes that this downside cycle will be of the same level or worse than the previous downside cycles. The reason for such an expectation is due to the extremity of Covid-19 in terms of unemployment, trade, demand shock and other macro-economic metrics/indicators. Also the fact that the pandemic indicates a more longer/severe cycle due to the nature of the event being so complex and impactful. VERDICT: Signs of a bull trap are becoming increasingly more noticeable and this, along with the extremity of Covid-19, indicates that the crash is expected to continue further.
SP:SPXShort
by JayanVarsani
S&P 500: Is It the Time To Invest or Will The Crisis Continue?Hi guys, this is a continuation of my previous idea: Here is a more in-depth multitimeframe analysis, starting on the monthly: 1. bearish divergence 2. broke level but reintegrated above it 3. Since 2009 subprime crisis we always stayed above RSI 40 4. If we did broke below this level it would have meant a bigger market amplitude. This means we didn't get the long term sell signal yet, here on the monthly. Did we got out of a crisis situation ? Still not. On a weekly timeframe: 1. Again a Beautiful divergence 2. We are hitting the bottom area 3. Salvage rebound Now if we retrace the drop, we see that we are now around a .382 2H is the chart we want to keep an eye at for short term buy signals. There is a possibility to continue the rebound a bit but to me it is too risky. I want to see more strengh than in this red circle. We are playing against the global trend... We will not see the end of the crising until the lockdown is released and economy restarts. Until then, we can expect everything to happen. For investors, patience will be key. If you think this is a life opportunity, alright. I'm staying cool for now personaly, I'll wait. We see the FED and institutions BUY A LOT to sustain the markets. The question is: after this crisis will the markets still be here?
AMEX:SPY
by cyatophilum
1
$EVBG can fall in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. The demand for shares of Everbridge looks lower than the supply. The company provides event management software. Due to the spread of COVID-19, the demand for the company's services fell. This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price in the next days. So I opened a short position from $97,90; stop-loss — $102,75. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
EShort
by KozakHlib
$FVRR can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. The demand for shares of Fiverr International looks higher than the supply. The company operates an online marketplace worldwide. Its platform enables sellers to sell their services and buyers to buy them. Due to the spread of COVID-19 and lockdown, the demand for the company`s services rose. This and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days. So I opened a long position from $29,99; stop-loss — $28,65. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NYSE:FVRRLong
by KozakHlib
2
$LVGO can rise in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. The demand for shares of Livongo Health looks higher than the supply. The company provides an integrated suite of solutions for the healthcare industry. Due to the spread of COVID-19, the demand for the company's services rose. This and other conditions can cause a rise in the share price in the next days. So I opened a long position from $29,35; Information about take-profits and stop-loss will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
LLong
by KozakHlib
$MGM can fall in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. The demand for shares of MGM Resorts International looks lower than the supply. The company owns and operates an integrated casino, hotel, and entertainment resorts. Due to the spread of COVID-19, the demand for the company's services fell. This and other conditions can continue to cause a fall in the share price in the next days. So I opened a short position again from $10,49; Information about stop-loss and take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NYSE:MGMShort
by KozakHlib