CRM
SALESFORCE $CRM - 5/17 - THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! ⚔️🛡️ THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! ⚔️🛡️
STOCK/ TRADE SETUP UPDATE: 5/17
5⃣ NYSE:CRM - SALESFORCE
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NYSE:CRM
Salesforce Set to Soar: Here’s Why!NYSE:CRM
Salesforce Set to Soar: Here’s Why!
Salesforce is primed for a major move higher, and here’s why:
1️⃣ #HIGHFIVESETUP: Our proven trading strategy signals bullish trends.
2️⃣ Bull Flag Breakout: Already breaking out, heading toward the next key point.
3️⃣ Massive 3-Year Cup-and-Handle Pattern: NYSE:CRM is on the verge of a significant breakout.
4️⃣ Impressive FCF Growth: Driving higher margins and profitability.
🎯 Price Targets:
First Price Target: $383 (Aug 2025)
Second Price Target: $500 (2028)
What do you think of this trade setup? Are you adding it to your watchlist?
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#trading #QQQ #SPY
CRM’s Bullish Setup: Inverted Head & Shoulders BreakoutSalesforce Inc. (NYSE: CRM) continues to innovate and maintain its position among the leading players in the cloud space, as highlighted in recent financial reports. The company’s growth has been driven by its focus on customer relationship management (CRM) technologies and its expansion into artificial intelligence, which has bolstered its offerings. Despite broader market headwinds, Salesforce has managed to navigate the tech sector’s volatility with strategic initiatives and solid earnings performance.
Technical Outlook: Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern
On the weekly chart, Salesforce stock shows the formation of a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The key resistance level stands at $314.70 , which the stock attempted to breach earlier this year, experiencing rejection in February, marking the stock’s all-time high. A retest of this key resistance appears likely in the near term.
If the stock manages to confirm a breakout above this zone, our target price is set at $339.48 , a level that aligns with historical resistance and bullish momentum projections. To manage downside risk, we suggest placing a stop loss at $259.75 , a lower support level that provides solid technical backing in case of market reversals. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio (RR) of 1.5, making it an attractive option for traders seeking a medium-term position.
Quantum Probability Indicator: Strong Momentum Signals
Our proprietary Quantum Probability indicator, W.ARITAs , further strengthens the bullish outlook on CRM stock. The indicator points to strong technical momentum, suggesting a high probability of the stock moving toward our target zone. This momentum aligns with Salesforce's broader market positioning and favorable investor sentiment.
Conclusion: Positive Short-Term Outlook for CRM
Salesforce Inc. has demonstrated resilience in a challenging market environment, and its technical indicators now suggest a potential breakout. With a target price of $339.48 , a stop loss at $259.75 , and a 1.5 risk-reward ratio , this setup presents a favorable opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on bullish market conditions. As always, investors should remain cautious and monitor key resistance levels for confirmation of a breakout.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and market observations. It is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Salesforce (CRM): Potential bearish flag formingOne of our members asked for an analysis on Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ), and we've taken a closer look at it. Initially, it's a bit challenging to see the full picture, but if our Elliott Wave count is accurate, we marked the end of wave (2) at $115.29 after establishing wave B, which was exactly between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci levels.
It appears that wave 1 was put in with a new high slightly above wave B, taking out the resting liquidity (likely due to profit-taking and closing of long positions). Following this, there was a 33% drop, and here's where it gets tricky. Normally, we would expect this decline to continue, suggesting that the current rise is merely a relief pump. However, wave ((a)) perfectly touched the HVN POC, which indicates a slight chance that this could be the bottom. That said, we still believe that a continuation down to the 61.8-78.6% Fibonacci level is more likely.
Zooming in on the blue-circled area, we notice a textbook bear flag pattern developing. While we don't typically trade based on chart patterns, it is difficult to ignore this one given its clear structure. It becomes even more significant if there is a wick above the upper trend line of the flag, which could trigger another sell-off by taking out the liquidation levels. Such a wick would also fully close the gap and enter our targeted area where we anticipate a possible reversal.
To be clear, we are not trading this bear flag pattern or the targeted area just yet. Instead, we are using this setup as a means to validate whether our bearish outlook is correct or not. We’ll continue to monitor the development closely and provide updates as we gain more clarity.
Salesforce (NYSE: $CRM) Surge on Strong Earnings ReportSalesforce.com Inc. ( NYSE:CRM ), the global leader in customer relationship management software, has witnessed a notable 4.8% jump in premarket trading, trading at $271.25, following its robust second-quarter earnings report. The company’s impressive performance and upgraded full-year profit outlook have set the stage for a potential breakout from its current technical formation, signaling a promising trend for investors. Let’s dissect the fundamental strengths driving Salesforce’s stock and explore the technical factors that could influence its future trajectory.
Earnings Beat and Strategic Initiatives
Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) exceeded expectations with its second-quarter results, revealing strong performance in both revenue and profitability. The company reported better-than-expected earnings and raised its profit forecast for the fiscal year ending January 2025. This upbeat report was fueled by increased customer spending on Salesforce’s suite of cloud products, particularly as companies invest more heavily in AI-driven solutions.
The enterprise software giant also announced a strategic push into artificial intelligence (AI), integrating these technologies into its products like Slack. This move is seen as a significant growth driver, positioning Salesforce as a potential leader in AI-enhanced CRM solutions. Despite a challenging environment marked by leaner corporate budgets and intensified competition, Salesforce managed to deliver better-than-anticipated results, showcasing its resilience and strategic foresight.
Moreover, the company’s market capitalization is set to increase by $14 billion if the premarket gains hold, bringing its valuation to approximately $248 billion. This reflects strong investor confidence in Salesforce’s growth prospects, bolstered by its AI initiatives and ongoing restructuring efforts aimed at expanding margins.
Technical Outlook: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
From a technical perspective, Salesforce’s stock is at a critical juncture. The shares have been trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern since mid-May, with the recent earnings-related pop positioning the stock for a potential breakout above the pattern’s top trendline. This trendline, currently at $265, has previously served as a resistance level but could now flip to act as future support, particularly with the nearby upward-sloping 200-day moving average reinforcing this level.
The key price levels to monitor include $287, $311, and $340:
- $287: This level represents a potential area of overhead selling pressure, stemming from a trendline that connects April 15’s gap day high with a period of consolidation in May.
- $311: A move above $287 could see the stock advance to this level, which aligns with trading ranges from March and early April, just below the record high.
- $340: Based on the symmetrical triangle’s measuring principle, adding the distance of the triangle to the top trendline projects a target of $340. This level represents a significant upside potential and could mark a new high for Salesforce.
The breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern, if confirmed, could signal the start of a new upward trend. However, investors should be prepared for potential retracements and monitor the $265 level for support, as this area is critical in determining whether the breakout will sustain.
Strategic Considerations and Future Catalysts
Despite the positive earnings report, some analysts caution that sustained rally potential may require additional catalysts. Upcoming events such as the Dreamforce conference and new AI solution launches could provide further impetus for growth. Salesforce’s planned introduction of the Agentforce platform, still not commercially available, might also play a pivotal role in driving future growth.
Goldman Sachs analyst Kash Rangan highlights Salesforce as an “under-appreciated AI winner,” thanks to its differentiated data and early success with GenAI agents. This recognition underscores the company’s potential to leverage its AI investments for continued market leadership.
In conclusion, Salesforce’s strong earnings and strategic AI focus have positioned the stock for a potential technical breakout. While the current bullish trend is promising, investors should keep an eye on key price levels and remain vigilant for any emerging catalysts that could further drive the stock’s performance.
CRM Bullish Signal Bearish SentimentCRM recently posted their Earnings but had a huge over reaction and fell down almost 20%
in a long term chart you can see a clear formation of cup and handle which is a very bullish pattern for a long term horizon
CRM has strong fundamentals
Right now CRM is in bearish trend can fall up to 200 but this is where the opportunity arises
Start accumulating at current prices until 200 drop
STOP LOSS @ 195
Entry @ now until 200 drop
TP would be amazing as it will bounce back to its previous top of 315
Salesforce Slumps 45% in Pre-market Trading After Earnings PostSalesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) shares plunged more than 44% in pre-market trading on Wednesday after the company reported its first quarterly revenue miss in 18 years and issued weak annual guidance. The cloud software maker's current Remaining Performance Obligation (cRPO) metric, which combines deferred revenue and order backlog, indicates slowing momentum. Salesforce CEO Brian Millham told analysts on the earnings call that the company saw budget scrutiny and longer deal cycles than usual during the quarter.
Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) shares trended steadily higher for 12 months following the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day MA in March last year to form a bullish golden cross pattern. However, since topping out in March this year, the price has fallen below the 50-day MA, with the indicator also acting as a line of resistance during a recent countertrend rally earlier this month.
Amid uncertainty over the macroeconomic environment, enterprise customers continue to spend cautiously on software. Salesforce's AI-focused data cloud business contributed to 25% of the deals valued above $1 million in the first quarter, unchanged from the prior quarter. It did not disclose more financial details about the business, which was nearing $400 million in annual recurring revenue in its last fiscal year.
Some brokerages warned that Salesforce's forecast also meant software demand had slowed further in April. The selling environment got worse from the end of March and more pronounced in April, which could explain why off-cycle names, like Workday or Salesforce, suffered more than ServiceNow or Microsoft. Salesforce could turn to large deals to accelerate growth and would consider them if they were "accretive" and had "the right metrics."
Activist investors pressured Salesforce last year to prioritize profitability, after years of growing its business through big deals, including the $27.7 billion acquisition of Slack in 2021. RBC analyst Rishi Jaluria said that investors wouldn't react well to most large deals at this point, given growth is slowing down, a big acquisition would be viewed as buying growth.
At least ten brokerages lowered their price targets on the stock following the results. D.A. Davidson's PT of $230 was the lowest among 49 analysts covering the stock.
Salesforce's Earnings Call: 4 Key TakeawaysSalesforce's recent earnings call revealed insights into its current challenges and future opportunities. Despite reporting lower-than-expected revenue and conservative guidance, the company remains optimistic. Here are four key takeaways:
1. Measured Buying Behavior : Salesforce observed cautious spending among customers, influenced by economic uncertainties, leading to elongated deal cycles and increased budget scrutiny.
2. Confidence in Fiscal 2025 Guidance: Despite weaker guidance for the next quarter, Salesforce maintains confidence in its full-year fiscal outlook, driven by strategic AI investments.
3. Data as AI Foundation: Salesforce's extensive data assets position it well to capitalize on the growing demand for AI-powered tools, enhancing its competitive edge.
4. Opportunistic M&A Strategy: Salesforce remains open to acquisitions that align with its strategic framework, focusing on shareholder value and long-term growth.
✏️ Weekly Report: Volatility makes Cash the King againGENERAL COMMENTS
Today, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates unchanged, highlighting the ongoing challenges in curbing inflation. Initially, this announcement propelled the markets upwards, but a sharp downturn occurred in the final hour, leading to a decline as the day concluded.
The erratic market behavior demonstrated today makes it increasingly challenging to maintain positions in momentum stocks, and the majority of this quarter's earnings reports have been underwhelming. This situation underscores the strategy that cash remains paramount, complemented by selective, quick trading opportunities, as depicted in the following charts.
I will begin tonight's chart analysis with the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ).
NASDAQ:QQQ
The Qs are forming a bearish formation. What is worrying is that this is below the 50D Simple Moving average. As trading is a probabilities game, we can conclude that this leads to probabilities being lower that we continue to the downside. However, the direction of the general market indexes are very well influenced by the fundmental story of the economy health.
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NASDAQ:SMTC
SMTC is up $4 from the $33 Buy Point (alerted in previous versions of this idea - go and check. Believe and Follow). This peaked yesterday with about +20% profit since the alert last week. Of course the way I manage this is never to let this to turn into a loss. My general go to tool is to take half here.
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NASDAQ:KLAC
KLAC fell back to $687 after missing earnings. This of course stopped me out - but at no loss, since I move stopped up to break-even.
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NASDAQ:SMCI
The stock missed its earnings and suffered a severe reaction of a gap down and drop -20% on the intraday.
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NASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA slashed below the 50D SMA and this stopped me out. Waiting and watching this TML during its base building period.
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NYSE:GS
Up $7 from the $419 buy point with stop raised to $416 just in case.
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NYSE:CRM
CRM is prone to go lower if the market continues falling. A break below $266.50 is great place to short.
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NYSE:LLY
Gapped up on good earnings. The next technical buy point is $801 accommodated with heavy volume.
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NASDAQ:MRNA
Earnings are due out tomorrow. If earnings are good then zooming through the $116 on good volume is a great technical buy point
Salesforce & Informatica Unable to Agree on PriceNegotiations between Salesforce Inc. ( NYSE:CRM ) and Informatica Inc. regarding a potential acquisition have stalled due to the parties' inability to agree on a suitable price. The source, who requested to remain anonymous, disclosed that the matter is confidential.
The Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday that the talks were losing steam, but representatives from both companies declined to comment on the matter. Pre-market trading on Monday saw Informatica shares plummet by up to 7.6%, from its Friday close of $35.19 in New York, which valued the firm at approximately $10.5 billion. Meanwhile, Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) shares rose by as much as 3.3% in early trading, having closed at $270.37 previously.
Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ), the leading AI CRM, has announced a collaboration with IHG Hotels & Resorts, one of the world's largest hotel companies with over 6,000 hotels across 19 global brands, to enhance guest loyalty through its IHG One Rewards program. The collaboration aims to achieve deeper personalization, unlock efficiencies, and inspire faster innovation.
As customer expectations evolve, with 65% of consumers indicating that they will remain loyal to businesses that offer more personalized experiences, IHG is standardizing its NYSE:CRM on the Einstein 1 Platform. This platform integrates CRM, AI, data, and trust on a single, unified platform to foster customer loyalty, more personalized guest experiences, and greater efficiencies.
Heather Balsley, Global Chief Commercial & Marketing Officer at IHG Hotels & Resorts, stated that "As we continue to enhance the IHG One Rewards loyalty program, one of our top priorities is ensuring our guests have a booking and stay experience that is customized to their individual travel needs." She also emphasized that the collaboration with Salesforce would enable the company "to provide personalized content and offerings that ultimately drive a deeper connection to our most valued guests."
Jeff Amann, EVP & GM, Salesforce Industries, noted that "By bringing more data into Salesforce, IHG Hotels & Resorts is able to garner greater insights that will contribute to an unparalleled experience for guests and hotel owners." He added that "With the Einstein 1 Platform, IHG is delivering joy for its guests today while setting itself up to leverage new technologies like AI that help optimize guest interactions in the future."
By adopting Loyalty Management and the Einstein 1 Platform, IHG is expected to attract stronger relationships with guests and increase its loyalty membership with predictive AI capabilities. The company also leverages Data Cloud and Service Cloud to quicken innovation and create more tailored customer service.
IHG Hotels & Resorts will create a single source of truth for millions of customer profiles by expanding the use of Data Cloud, unifying data from multiple external systems, and creating a seamless guest experience across its 19 global hotel brands. The company is also laying the foundation to use generative AI to help guests manage their stays more effectively, with the support of Salesforce and other technology partners.
Moreover, IHG Hotels & Resorts will use Marketing Cloud to effectively target customers through channels of their preference, including email, SMS, or push notifications. When a potential guest visits an IHG Hotels & Resorts booking page but does not complete a booking, a segment is created in Data Cloud and sent to Marketing Cloud for activation to encourage the member to return and complete the transaction.
Finally, with Service Cloud's 360-degree view of its guests, IHG Hotels & Resorts will be able to offer more tailored customer service and provide more accurate and quicker resolutions to guest inquiries.
Salesforce Set to Acquire the Data Cloud Company InformaticaIn a bold strategic maneuver, Salesforce.com ( NYSE:CRM ) finds itself at the precipice of a transformative acquisition, with reports emerging of advanced discussions to acquire data-management software powerhouse Informatica (INFA). As the rumor mill churns and investors brace for potential ripple effects, the landscape of cloud computing and artificial intelligence stands poised for seismic shifts.
The Deal in Context:
The revelation of Salesforce's courtship of Informatica comes against the backdrop of a shifting paradigm in the tech industry. The convergence of data management and AI capabilities has emerged as a linchpin for enterprises seeking to harness the power of digital transformation. Salesforce's potential acquisition of Informatica represents a strategic gambit to fortify its foothold in this burgeoning landscape.
Market Turbulence:
News of the impending deal sent shockwaves through the stock market, with both Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) and Informatica witnessing a sharp decline in their share prices. Salesforce's stock ( NYSE:CRM ) plummeted 7.3% in Monday's trading session, closing at $272.90, but the stock is up 0.66% on in Tuesday's early market trading with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 28.92 indicating a bullish uprising. The monthly price chart indicates a hammerhead pattern further accentuating the bullish thesis, while Informatica saw a 6.5% dip, closing at $35.98.
Strategic Imperatives:
At the heart of Salesforce's pursuit lies a dual imperative: bolstering its data cloud capabilities and positioning itself as a formidable player in the realm of generative artificial intelligence. With activist investors breathing down its neck, Salesforce faces the delicate task of striking a balance between growth aspirations and financial prudence.
Analyst Insights:
Analysts dissecting the potential ramifications of the deal offer nuanced perspectives. Deutsche Bank's Brad Zelnick highlights the potential for near-term dilution to growth but anticipates accretion to operating margins, underscoring the strategic calculus at play. Arjun Bhatia of William Blair emphasizes Salesforce's strategic focus on empowering customers in deploying generative AI, positioning the acquisition as a pivotal step in this trajectory.
Unlocking Synergies:
The marriage of Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) and Informatica holds the promise of unlocking synergies that transcend mere financial gains. With Informatica's expertise in data management complementing Salesforce's existing arsenal, the combined entity could wield unparalleled prowess in bridging disparate data silos and fueling AI adoption across enterprises.
NOW is a buy after a down tech stock day LONGNOW is on 15 minute chart with a volume profile overlaid and relative volume and volatility
indicators below the chart. NOW had a good earnings beat late January. It is halfway to the
next earnings. I think right now software stocks are hotter than hardware/ networking stocks.
NOW got dragged down by technology headwinds into its support and the fall got rejected
by buyers near to the close of the regular market hours. The lower VWAP bands are confluent
with the support zone and confirm deep oversold and undervalued stock price.
I believe this is excellent for a long trade perhaps lasting until the run-up before earnings is
6-7 weeks through the buy of a small lot of shares or a call option expiring at the May or June
monthly in the range of $750 ( OTM). This will complement existing positions in CRM
CRWD and PLTR.
CRWD VWAP bounce earnings coming LONGCRWD reports on March 4th in the meanwhile in it is shown here on a 15 minute chart with
a Bollinger Band overlay. Price has trended from the upper bands down through the middle line
into the lower inner and outer bands where a reversal took place at the level of the mean
anchored VWAP band where the price fall was rejected with good support and wick touches
on the lower time frames. I see this as a set up for a new trend up in the run to earnings.
I will take a long trade of shares and call options. My easy target is the upper BB
bands but expect more than that in the upcoming week.
SNOW - buy the disappointment discount sale LONGSNOW beat the earnings estimates by 150% and slightly exceeded revenue estimates. Price
dropped in printing a bear flag in a 22% move yesterday at the close. Buying from the bottom
has begun and I have the idea that I should join. My pre-earnings play was closed going into the
earnings in the high liquidity that proceeds it. I got my ask price on that position. The chart
shows today's buyng volume and volatility. On the slow resumption of bullish price action, I have
taken a long trade from the near bottom after this morning's reversal and call options
ITM for the July monthy.
Salesforce Sees Annual Revenue Below EstimatesSalesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) expanded its stock buyback program by $10 billion and announced a new dividend, but its annual revenue forecast that was below estimates pushed its shares down around 2% in after hours trading.
The company's downbeat forecast signals a likely slowdown in cloud and tech spending as clients struggle with high interest rates and rising inflation, making them to keep a lid on costs.
The company sees revenue between $37.7 billion to $38 billion for full-year 2025, compared with analysts' estimate of $38.62 billion.
Warnings of a slow economy prompted Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) to cut about 700 employees, or roughly 1% of its global workforce, last month, adding to the slew of layoffs across the tech and media industry.
"Salesforce is guiding for only 8-9% growth (for the full year), which moves it out of the high growth category. In order to make up for that, it is introducing a dividend, which is appropriate for the lower level of growth," said Gil Luria, analyst at D.A. Davidson.
However, Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) beat revenue estimates for fourth-quarter revenue and profit as it benefited from higher cloud spending, joining other cloud giants like Amazon.com and Microsoft.
The company reported revenue of $9.29 billion for the quarter ended Jan. 31, beating analysts' estimate of $9.22 billion.
On an adjusted basis, the company earned $2.29 per share compared with estimates of $2.26 per share.
In early 2023, Salesforce had become a target for activist investors to push for changes resulting in cost cuts, increased share buybacks and a dismantled mergers and acquisition committee.
Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) expects adjusted profit between $9.68 to $9.76 per share for the full-year, compared with estimates of $9.57 per share.
CRM Salesforce Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CRM ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CRM Salesforce prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 280usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-3-1,
for a premium of approximately $5.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.