Don't Miss the Second Wave of AI Opportunities!Are you still regretting missing out on NVIDIA's 10x growth? This time, you may not need to worry. The second wave of AI is forming, and this time, the opportunities are not limited to hardware, but are fully penetrating enterprise-level applications. For investors, this is an unparalleled new window of opportunity.
A Look into the Future: The Development Patterns of AI
Reviewing history, from the power revolution a century ago to the internet revolution in the 1990s, we see similar development patterns. Each revolutionary technology wave will go through three key stages. Let's take the internet revolution as an example:
Infrastructure Construction Stage
In the late 1980s and early 1990s, the internet was just emerging, and its applications were still very limited. The companies that benefited most were those in the foundation layer, such as Cisco and Intel.
The first stage of AI development was similar, with chip giants like NVIDIA driving the construction of AI infrastructure.
2. B2B Application Rise Stage
In the mid-1990s, the internet gradually entered the enterprise-level application field, with CRM and supply chain management software emerging, improving corporate production efficiency.
AI is currently entering this stage, with companies optimizing operational processes using AI technology to achieve cost reduction and efficiency improvement.
3. C2C Consumer-Level Application Popularization Stage
In the late 1990s, various C2C killer applications began to emerge, such as Amazon, PayPal, and Yahoo!, which became familiar companies.
Now that the first wave has stabilized, the question is: when will the second wave arrive in B2B applications?
Many ordinary people have a feeling that AI applications are limited to chatbots like ChatGPT, and that true killer applications have not yet arrived or will take a long time to develop.
As a result, some people believe that AI investment is still too early, and that what's being blown up now is just a bubble.
Indeed, we can see that C2C applications are still in development and will take a long time to mature. However, in B2B applications, AI has already been widely deployed and has shown significant effects in certain specific fields. It's just that ordinary people haven't yet felt it.
As investors, we must be more sensitive than ordinary people because corporate changes will be critical to the second wave of AI.
The Second Wave of AI: The Golden Era of Enterprise-Level Applications
The following graph is a summary of the top-ranked industries in which AI-driven companies are most likely to benefit.
As for software companies like ETFIGV, we can see from their financial reports that AI is driving significant improvements in corporate operating efficiency.
The following graphs show the gross margin and EBITDA margin of three typical software companies: Shopify, Salesforce, and ServiceNow.
Explaination:
Gross margin reflects the main product profit of software companies, while EBITDA margin reflects the company's operating profit after deducting depreciation and interest.
In other words, it represents a company's ability to generate profits from limited resources.
We can see that these three companies have seen significant improvements in their EBITDA margins over the past two quarters while maintaining stable gross margins.
Data does not lie; this may indicate that AI is already seeing effects in enterprise-level applications.
• Shopify: By optimizing internal processes using AI, it maintained stable gross margins while improving EBITDA margins and directly driving stock price growth by 30% after reporting earnings.
• Salesforce: It launched its "INS Instant" AI tool to automate 370,000 tasks, saving 50,000 hours of labor time and significantly improving employee efficiency.
• ServiceNow: Its AI accelerated data extraction speed by 53%, work flow efficiency by 27 times, and RPO growth by 26%, providing more powerful workflow optimization services for enterprises.
These data clearly show that AI is not just a buzzword but brings actual efficiency and profitability improvements to enterprises.
Snowflake: A Breakthrough in Enterprise Data Analysis
Snowflake's case is more representative. This data analysis platform focuses on providing intelligent operational support to enterprises using AI technology.
This quarter's RPO increased from $52 billion to $57 billion, reflecting enterprise trust in its AI capabilities. CEO's "All-in-AI" strategy not only drives data mining efficiency but also drove its stock price up by 30% after reporting earnings.
Insurance Industry Digital Transformation: AIFU and BGM's Strategic Cooperation
The insurance industry is an important target area for AI transformation due to its information-intensive nature. It is at the forefront of digital transformation, especially with AI technology driving it forward.
AIFU's smart future has already achieved insurance industry transformation through its core product "Duxiao" platform.
"Duxiao" is an AI-driven insurance platform developed jointly by AIFU and Baidu. By combining big data and AI technology, it can provide personalized insurance solutions for customers.
The platform analyzes customer health insurance needs, education planning, and wealth management needs in depth and generates highly customized insurance configuration plans. This has significantly improved agent productivity and accuracy while reducing operating costs.
As of December 2023, AIFU's revenue reached $31.98 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 14.98%. Net profit was $2.89 billion with a year-on-year growth rate of 237.25%.
AIFU's PE ratio (TTM) is only 3.5 times. In comparison to industry giants such as Prudential (PUK) and AXA (AXAHY), which have PE ratios above 12 times or even higher than AIFU.
AIFU's strategic acquisition of two subsidiaries by BGM on Friday includes core technology assets such as "Duxiao" platform. BGM is a global pharmaceutical and chemical company that has actively promoted its AI strategy in recent years.
By integrating AI with data analysis, BGM is reshaping its business model towards a more intelligent future.
How to Seize Opportunities in the Second Wave of AI?
What kind of companies will ultimately succeed? I can share with you my thoughts on what kind of companies need to possess these characteristics:
Strong Competitive Moat: Companies that can continuously strengthen their competitive barriers through AI.
Data Monopoly Advantage: Companies that build models using high-quality private data rather than public data.
Flexible Business Model: SaaS platforms with pay-as-you-go pricing models have more scalability and profitability potential.
Strong Execution Ability: Agile and decisive management teams that can quickly deploy technology.
Conclusion:
The future belongs to those who dare to layout!
CRM
10% December slide for Salesforce (CRM)
Despite raised guidance, we see a 10% correction ahead for Salesforce. This doesn't mean it won't experience a next leg up. Near-term short opportunity! Wave 5 ending and overbought. The stock's rapid ascent may have led to overvaluation, making it susceptible to a pullback as investors take profits.
We see a 10% reversal to the $320 price range this December.
Keep your charts clean and easy to understand.
Your strategy should look for easy-to-identify repeating patterns.
Be alert.
Trade green.
Salesforce - $CRM - Set to FLYSalesforce is primed for a major move higher, and here’s why:
1️⃣ H5 Indicator is GREEN
2️⃣ Hasn't reach bull flag measured move yet
3️⃣ Massive 3-Year Cup-and-Handle Pattern Breakout with a retest. Now NYSE:CRM will move higher!
4️⃣ Wr% consolidation box is thriving
5⃣ All Time High Free Range 🐔
6⃣ Impressive FCF Growth: Driving higher margins and profitability. Intrinsic Value (Fair Value): $419 - 21% higher
🎯 $383 (Aug 2025)
📏 $502 (Before 2028)
Are you sold on this H5 Setup?
NFA
Salesforce (CRM): Decision Point ApproachingNYSE:CRM has risen higher than anticipated, but we are still holding on to our bearish scenario. Initially, we expected another leg down following the wick that we identified as wave ((a)), but the stock surprised us by pushing to a higher high, surpassing the levels of wave 1 and wave B at $348.86.
This move invalidated our first bearish scenario, activating our secondary outlook of a flat correction where wave ((b)) exceeds wave 1, which aligns with the current structure.
From here, our outlook is straightforward: if our bearish scenario holds, NYSE:CRM should drop below the wave ((a)) level, which is yet to be determined. However, if the stock rises above $360 and sustains trading at that level, the bearish outlook will be invalidated, requiring a complete re-charting of $CRM.
A decision point is approaching, and we will monitor the stock closely for further developments.
SALESFORCE $CRM | STRONG TREND UP TO EARNINGS Dec. 3rd, 2024SALESFORCE NYSE:CRM | STRONG TREND UP TO EARNINGS Dec. 3rd, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $338.75 - $400.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $331.00 - $338.75
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $250.00 - $250.00
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
1H: Bearish
NYSE:CRM releases earnings today, Tuesday Dec 3rd, after market close. Price ranges up to previous earnings on Aug 28th. This range finally breaks out and creates a bullish trend that has held strong leading up to today's earnings. High timeframes show bullish trend (my trend determining indicator), along with current chart trend bands (my channel/bands directional bands). ATM Straddles suggest the expected move to be around 7.25%, or $24.00 in either direction. This is on pace with it's average and historical earnings moves (previous 8 - 12 quarters).
My estimated moves:
Downside: ~$300
Upside: ~$360
(30-45 DTE)
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, crm, NYSE:CRM , salesforce, salesforce earnings, earningsplay, salesforcetrend, salesforcetrade, crmtrend, crm earnings, crmtrade, crmstrongbullishtrend, salesforcestrongbullishtrend, options, optionstrading, atmoptions, atmstraddles, atmstrangles, willcrmbeatexpectedmove, expectedearningsmoves,
CRM potential Breakout to 424+CRM is setting up for a classic bullish breakout trade, showing multiple strong technical patterns that align with a high-probability long setup. The short-term moving average has crossed above the long-term moving average, a strong bullish signal indicating sustained momentum. CRM has shown strong bullish momentum, confirmed by multiple technical patterns. Look for increased volume on the breakout above $348 to confirm the move. The trade offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:3, depending on the stop placement.
Ascending Triangle
Higher lows are forming as buyers step in at increasing levels, while resistance remains flat at $348. This shows accumulation and strong bullish sentiment.
Breakout Target: $348 + $76 = $424
Targets:
First Target: $ 400 (psychological level).
Final Target: $ 424
Trail stops once the first target is hit to lock in profits.
I will enter this week a position (options) and will update this post accordingly.
SALESFORCE $CRM - 5/17 - THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! ⚔️🛡️ THE STOCK GAUNTLET CONTINUES! ⚔️🛡️
STOCK/ TRADE SETUP UPDATE: 5/17
5⃣ NYSE:CRM - SALESFORCE
Video Analysis:
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NFA #tradingstrategy #HIGHFIVESETUP
NYSE:CRM
Reversal Incoming CRM Sells Are PossibleWhat do you know about Gravestone Doji?
The Gravestone Doji candlestick pattern can be interpreted as a bearish reversal when it occurs at the top of uptrends. The Gravestone Doji can help traders see where resistance to a pricing increase is located. It is typically used with other technical indicators to identify a possible uptrend. What Does a Gravestone Doji Look Like? The Gravestone Doji chart pattern is an inverted “T”-shaped candlestick created when the open, high, and closing prices are nearly equal. The most important part of the Gravestone Doji is the long higher shadow.
Why Is the Long Upper Shadow Important?
Technicians generally interpret the long upper shadow as meaning that the market is testing to find where supply and potential resistance are located. Bulls Rejected by Bears The construction of the gravestone doji pattern occurs when bulls press prices upward. However, an area of resistance is found at the high of the day, and selling pressure pushes prices back down to the opening price. Therefore, the bullish advance upward was rejected by the bears.
Limitations of the Gravestone Doji
Although the Gravestone Doji can indicate the coming of a bearish price change, traders should not rely on this indicator alone: True Gravestones are rare since open, high, and closing prices are seldom the same. Successful traders will typically wait until the following day to verify the possibility of a downtrend after a Gravestone. If the Gravestone appears after a pricing downtrend, it can indicate that a price increase may follow. A Gravestone accompanied by higher-than-usual volume is more reliable than one with low volume.
Salesforce Set to Soar: Here’s Why!NYSE:CRM
Salesforce Set to Soar: Here’s Why!
Salesforce is primed for a major move higher, and here’s why:
1️⃣ #HIGHFIVESETUP: Our proven trading strategy signals bullish trends.
2️⃣ Bull Flag Breakout: Already breaking out, heading toward the next key point.
3️⃣ Massive 3-Year Cup-and-Handle Pattern: NYSE:CRM is on the verge of a significant breakout.
4️⃣ Impressive FCF Growth: Driving higher margins and profitability.
🎯 Price Targets:
First Price Target: $383 (Aug 2025)
Second Price Target: $500 (2028)
What do you think of this trade setup? Are you adding it to your watchlist?
NFA
#trading #QQQ #SPY
CRM’s Bullish Setup: Inverted Head & Shoulders BreakoutSalesforce Inc. (NYSE: CRM) continues to innovate and maintain its position among the leading players in the cloud space, as highlighted in recent financial reports. The company’s growth has been driven by its focus on customer relationship management (CRM) technologies and its expansion into artificial intelligence, which has bolstered its offerings. Despite broader market headwinds, Salesforce has managed to navigate the tech sector’s volatility with strategic initiatives and solid earnings performance.
Technical Outlook: Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern
On the weekly chart, Salesforce stock shows the formation of a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The key resistance level stands at $314.70 , which the stock attempted to breach earlier this year, experiencing rejection in February, marking the stock’s all-time high. A retest of this key resistance appears likely in the near term.
If the stock manages to confirm a breakout above this zone, our target price is set at $339.48 , a level that aligns with historical resistance and bullish momentum projections. To manage downside risk, we suggest placing a stop loss at $259.75 , a lower support level that provides solid technical backing in case of market reversals. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio (RR) of 1.5, making it an attractive option for traders seeking a medium-term position.
Quantum Probability Indicator: Strong Momentum Signals
Our proprietary Quantum Probability indicator, W.ARITAs , further strengthens the bullish outlook on CRM stock. The indicator points to strong technical momentum, suggesting a high probability of the stock moving toward our target zone. This momentum aligns with Salesforce's broader market positioning and favorable investor sentiment.
Conclusion: Positive Short-Term Outlook for CRM
Salesforce Inc. has demonstrated resilience in a challenging market environment, and its technical indicators now suggest a potential breakout. With a target price of $339.48 , a stop loss at $259.75 , and a 1.5 risk-reward ratio , this setup presents a favorable opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on bullish market conditions. As always, investors should remain cautious and monitor key resistance levels for confirmation of a breakout.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and market observations. It is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Salesforce (CRM): Potential bearish flag formingOne of our members asked for an analysis on Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ), and we've taken a closer look at it. Initially, it's a bit challenging to see the full picture, but if our Elliott Wave count is accurate, we marked the end of wave (2) at $115.29 after establishing wave B, which was exactly between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci levels.
It appears that wave 1 was put in with a new high slightly above wave B, taking out the resting liquidity (likely due to profit-taking and closing of long positions). Following this, there was a 33% drop, and here's where it gets tricky. Normally, we would expect this decline to continue, suggesting that the current rise is merely a relief pump. However, wave ((a)) perfectly touched the HVN POC, which indicates a slight chance that this could be the bottom. That said, we still believe that a continuation down to the 61.8-78.6% Fibonacci level is more likely.
Zooming in on the blue-circled area, we notice a textbook bear flag pattern developing. While we don't typically trade based on chart patterns, it is difficult to ignore this one given its clear structure. It becomes even more significant if there is a wick above the upper trend line of the flag, which could trigger another sell-off by taking out the liquidation levels. Such a wick would also fully close the gap and enter our targeted area where we anticipate a possible reversal.
To be clear, we are not trading this bear flag pattern or the targeted area just yet. Instead, we are using this setup as a means to validate whether our bearish outlook is correct or not. We’ll continue to monitor the development closely and provide updates as we gain more clarity.
Salesforce (NYSE: $CRM) Surge on Strong Earnings ReportSalesforce.com Inc. ( NYSE:CRM ), the global leader in customer relationship management software, has witnessed a notable 4.8% jump in premarket trading, trading at $271.25, following its robust second-quarter earnings report. The company’s impressive performance and upgraded full-year profit outlook have set the stage for a potential breakout from its current technical formation, signaling a promising trend for investors. Let’s dissect the fundamental strengths driving Salesforce’s stock and explore the technical factors that could influence its future trajectory.
Earnings Beat and Strategic Initiatives
Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) exceeded expectations with its second-quarter results, revealing strong performance in both revenue and profitability. The company reported better-than-expected earnings and raised its profit forecast for the fiscal year ending January 2025. This upbeat report was fueled by increased customer spending on Salesforce’s suite of cloud products, particularly as companies invest more heavily in AI-driven solutions.
The enterprise software giant also announced a strategic push into artificial intelligence (AI), integrating these technologies into its products like Slack. This move is seen as a significant growth driver, positioning Salesforce as a potential leader in AI-enhanced CRM solutions. Despite a challenging environment marked by leaner corporate budgets and intensified competition, Salesforce managed to deliver better-than-anticipated results, showcasing its resilience and strategic foresight.
Moreover, the company’s market capitalization is set to increase by $14 billion if the premarket gains hold, bringing its valuation to approximately $248 billion. This reflects strong investor confidence in Salesforce’s growth prospects, bolstered by its AI initiatives and ongoing restructuring efforts aimed at expanding margins.
Technical Outlook: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
From a technical perspective, Salesforce’s stock is at a critical juncture. The shares have been trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern since mid-May, with the recent earnings-related pop positioning the stock for a potential breakout above the pattern’s top trendline. This trendline, currently at $265, has previously served as a resistance level but could now flip to act as future support, particularly with the nearby upward-sloping 200-day moving average reinforcing this level.
The key price levels to monitor include $287, $311, and $340:
- $287: This level represents a potential area of overhead selling pressure, stemming from a trendline that connects April 15’s gap day high with a period of consolidation in May.
- $311: A move above $287 could see the stock advance to this level, which aligns with trading ranges from March and early April, just below the record high.
- $340: Based on the symmetrical triangle’s measuring principle, adding the distance of the triangle to the top trendline projects a target of $340. This level represents a significant upside potential and could mark a new high for Salesforce.
The breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern, if confirmed, could signal the start of a new upward trend. However, investors should be prepared for potential retracements and monitor the $265 level for support, as this area is critical in determining whether the breakout will sustain.
Strategic Considerations and Future Catalysts
Despite the positive earnings report, some analysts caution that sustained rally potential may require additional catalysts. Upcoming events such as the Dreamforce conference and new AI solution launches could provide further impetus for growth. Salesforce’s planned introduction of the Agentforce platform, still not commercially available, might also play a pivotal role in driving future growth.
Goldman Sachs analyst Kash Rangan highlights Salesforce as an “under-appreciated AI winner,” thanks to its differentiated data and early success with GenAI agents. This recognition underscores the company’s potential to leverage its AI investments for continued market leadership.
In conclusion, Salesforce’s strong earnings and strategic AI focus have positioned the stock for a potential technical breakout. While the current bullish trend is promising, investors should keep an eye on key price levels and remain vigilant for any emerging catalysts that could further drive the stock’s performance.
CRM Bullish Signal Bearish SentimentCRM recently posted their Earnings but had a huge over reaction and fell down almost 20%
in a long term chart you can see a clear formation of cup and handle which is a very bullish pattern for a long term horizon
CRM has strong fundamentals
Right now CRM is in bearish trend can fall up to 200 but this is where the opportunity arises
Start accumulating at current prices until 200 drop
STOP LOSS @ 195
Entry @ now until 200 drop
TP would be amazing as it will bounce back to its previous top of 315
Salesforce Slumps 45% in Pre-market Trading After Earnings PostSalesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) shares plunged more than 44% in pre-market trading on Wednesday after the company reported its first quarterly revenue miss in 18 years and issued weak annual guidance. The cloud software maker's current Remaining Performance Obligation (cRPO) metric, which combines deferred revenue and order backlog, indicates slowing momentum. Salesforce CEO Brian Millham told analysts on the earnings call that the company saw budget scrutiny and longer deal cycles than usual during the quarter.
Salesforce ( NYSE:CRM ) shares trended steadily higher for 12 months following the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day MA in March last year to form a bullish golden cross pattern. However, since topping out in March this year, the price has fallen below the 50-day MA, with the indicator also acting as a line of resistance during a recent countertrend rally earlier this month.
Amid uncertainty over the macroeconomic environment, enterprise customers continue to spend cautiously on software. Salesforce's AI-focused data cloud business contributed to 25% of the deals valued above $1 million in the first quarter, unchanged from the prior quarter. It did not disclose more financial details about the business, which was nearing $400 million in annual recurring revenue in its last fiscal year.
Some brokerages warned that Salesforce's forecast also meant software demand had slowed further in April. The selling environment got worse from the end of March and more pronounced in April, which could explain why off-cycle names, like Workday or Salesforce, suffered more than ServiceNow or Microsoft. Salesforce could turn to large deals to accelerate growth and would consider them if they were "accretive" and had "the right metrics."
Activist investors pressured Salesforce last year to prioritize profitability, after years of growing its business through big deals, including the $27.7 billion acquisition of Slack in 2021. RBC analyst Rishi Jaluria said that investors wouldn't react well to most large deals at this point, given growth is slowing down, a big acquisition would be viewed as buying growth.
At least ten brokerages lowered their price targets on the stock following the results. D.A. Davidson's PT of $230 was the lowest among 49 analysts covering the stock.
Salesforce's Earnings Call: 4 Key TakeawaysSalesforce's recent earnings call revealed insights into its current challenges and future opportunities. Despite reporting lower-than-expected revenue and conservative guidance, the company remains optimistic. Here are four key takeaways:
1. Measured Buying Behavior : Salesforce observed cautious spending among customers, influenced by economic uncertainties, leading to elongated deal cycles and increased budget scrutiny.
2. Confidence in Fiscal 2025 Guidance: Despite weaker guidance for the next quarter, Salesforce maintains confidence in its full-year fiscal outlook, driven by strategic AI investments.
3. Data as AI Foundation: Salesforce's extensive data assets position it well to capitalize on the growing demand for AI-powered tools, enhancing its competitive edge.
4. Opportunistic M&A Strategy: Salesforce remains open to acquisitions that align with its strategic framework, focusing on shareholder value and long-term growth.
✏️ Weekly Report: Volatility makes Cash the King againGENERAL COMMENTS
Today, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates unchanged, highlighting the ongoing challenges in curbing inflation. Initially, this announcement propelled the markets upwards, but a sharp downturn occurred in the final hour, leading to a decline as the day concluded.
The erratic market behavior demonstrated today makes it increasingly challenging to maintain positions in momentum stocks, and the majority of this quarter's earnings reports have been underwhelming. This situation underscores the strategy that cash remains paramount, complemented by selective, quick trading opportunities, as depicted in the following charts.
I will begin tonight's chart analysis with the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ).
NASDAQ:QQQ
The Qs are forming a bearish formation. What is worrying is that this is below the 50D Simple Moving average. As trading is a probabilities game, we can conclude that this leads to probabilities being lower that we continue to the downside. However, the direction of the general market indexes are very well influenced by the fundmental story of the economy health.
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NASDAQ:SMTC
SMTC is up $4 from the $33 Buy Point (alerted in previous versions of this idea - go and check. Believe and Follow). This peaked yesterday with about +20% profit since the alert last week. Of course the way I manage this is never to let this to turn into a loss. My general go to tool is to take half here.
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NASDAQ:KLAC
KLAC fell back to $687 after missing earnings. This of course stopped me out - but at no loss, since I move stopped up to break-even.
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NASDAQ:SMCI
The stock missed its earnings and suffered a severe reaction of a gap down and drop -20% on the intraday.
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NASDAQ:NVDA
NVDA slashed below the 50D SMA and this stopped me out. Waiting and watching this TML during its base building period.
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NYSE:GS
Up $7 from the $419 buy point with stop raised to $416 just in case.
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NYSE:CRM
CRM is prone to go lower if the market continues falling. A break below $266.50 is great place to short.
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NYSE:LLY
Gapped up on good earnings. The next technical buy point is $801 accommodated with heavy volume.
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NASDAQ:MRNA
Earnings are due out tomorrow. If earnings are good then zooming through the $116 on good volume is a great technical buy point