TWTR: Sell puts until December 16 or buy stockWe can reenter TWTR longs safely at the open tomorrow here.
After Disney and Google backed off from bidding to acquire TWTR, the stock sold off drastically but now landed on a key earnings support level, so it's logical to expect a technical rebound here. We can enter longs at market open tomorrow, risking a drop to 15.70. I would stick to 0.5% risk for this one, or consider selling puts (or using a risk/reversal option strategy) to profit from the expected rally.
CRM is still in the table, so, we might see some positive news come out, and buyers step in to support TWTR here asap.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
CRM
GOOGLE 2 GET A GOOGLY SPINProbably GOOGL topped out around $820. Once a TWTR TWITTER thing settles down we can get a clear direction where it is heading. But if it has been really topped out then we can look for short side play. So wait for next few weeks/months. but a pattern is developing and it is in a very early stage. Google CEO Sundar Pichai NEEDS TO WORK HARD LITTLE BIT MORE WITH HIS GLASSES ON. When companies grow large, yes sometimes it is tough to maintain several portfolios. It needs to streamline.
How GOOGL will play out? Well first it has to break $680. Then next target is around $550. The next one is around $300 zone. Let see how it is playing out for next few months. Charts will be updated later. But a good candidate to keep an eye like APPL.
WHY BUY TWITTER???TWTR , a big name in social media. But who wants to buy Twitter and why? Well what ever the reason is I am not buying it as it doesn't make sense to me how a general everyday service product should have such high valuation? I would but TWTR if it's under $10. Actually let me take it back. My valuation is around $1-$3 at best. Because Twitter didn't add value other then just like news media but more like in a personal level. But it didn't change significantly either. Also think it has more opportunities to work in collaboration with GOOGLE GOOG rather just buying out or selling out the whole industry. It can work out in conjunction to Google Hangout out. But better future of TWTR is with FB. It would be a great tool if FaceBook can buy it as FB already has so many user which functions almost like twitter. You should also see CRM SALESFORCE too, as a short candidate. I will publish a chart on Google too soon.
Ok guys, other then random thoughts let you know that when it reaches the upper read resistance line around $30-$28 or below, then it will be a good are to go short again with TWTR
I hope when I am going to twit this post, Twitter is not going to take it off from my post :)
Who wants to sell Salesforce???CRM Salesforce is gone. Even though it is trying to buy Twitter but don't think it will be successful as Goggle and other hungry birds are out there. Even if CRM buys twitter still there stock are sale because it's a falling knife. And if there is a bounce that means more to upload with short side. There are 2 green support lines from 2009. One has around $60 as a temporary support but think it may well go down to $30 zone which is a second green support line. But if it breaks that line then it may go well below under $5 if CRM cant fix revenue streams and profits.
$CRM Bounce?CRM is currently leveling out around the $73 mark. The past pull back was only to $73. This is a key level of support for the stock. Also, the MACD is curling and could break through. Either way this is a key level. Bounce = Buying opportunity, Drop = wait/selling opportunity
www.trendyprofits.com
CRM -- EARNINGS PLAY: MAR 4TH 54/72 SHORT STRANGLECRM announces earnings tomorrow after market close, so look to put on a play in the waning hours and minutes of the NY session to take advantage of any volatility crush that occurs post earnings announcement.
Here's the setup, which naturally might have to be tweaked depending on how much CRM moves tomorrow intraday:
March 4th 54/72 Short Strangle
Probability of Profit: 75%
Max Profit: $122/contract
Buying Power Effect: Undefined
Notes: I played with doing a defined risk strategy, but I just can't get the 1.00 credit/contract I would want out of the play.
THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS PLAYS -- HD, FSLR, CRM, LOW, TGT, BIDUHere's are next weeks earnings plays that I'm thinking of playing via options, assuming the implied volatility rank "stars" line up correctly ... :
HD: announces on Tues 2/23 before market open.The rank is 55, the implied 32, neither of which is that great. If IV doesn't pop, I'll pass.
FSLR: announces on Tues 2/23 after market close. With a rank of 72 and an implied of 69, it's good to go .
LOW: announces on Wed 2/24 before market open. Its rank is 65; implied, 35, so it's kind of the edge. Like HD, its volatility needs to pop a bit for me to play.
TGT: announces on Wed 2/24 before market open. Rank: 57; implied 33. Needs to pop.
CRM: announces on Wed 2/24 after market close. Also good to go with a rank of 71 and an implied of 60.
BIDU: announces on Thurs 2/25 after market close. It's good to go with rank at 72, implied at 60.
EOG: announces on Thurs 2/25 after market close. Good to go, but I don't think I've played this one recently, which is surprising because it's an oil and gas play, and that sector's been hot volatility wise.
HLF: announces on Thurs 2/25 after market close. Also good to go, rank and implied volatility wise.
I'll post setups the day immediately preceding the announcement if it looks like they're still good plays.
CRM-Know What I Like About Earnings Gap Ups? The Pullbacks3-6 Know what I like about issues that gap up on earnings?
More often than not once the dust settles they tend to build
a pullback pattern offering a lower risk entry vs chasing the
gap. A lot of times they'll pullback to a support zone. As
you can see that is what's happening with this issue.
The blue lines are support zones for stop loss and risk
management purposes. You've got choices. You can think
about buying here then manage the blue support zones. Or
you can wait for an upside crossover of the green line then
manage the blue lines.
For informational and educational purposes only, trade at your own risk
CRM break up of consolidationThis cloud company was in descending channel in the first half of the year and erased most part of gains from 2013 but then regrouped and regained all key moving averages. With big, ignited, green candle it borke this short period of indecision and have built nice upper level base. Break above $58.63 could trigger an entry with stop below support of consolidation at $56.63. Target could be $63 where previous up trend was broken.