CRON gap-up & profit taking ruin a great chart setupCRON was the one setup I was most looking forward to this morning with it's multiple daily inside bars and triple bottom in the $10.80s range. That setup was ruined with a higher open, and profit taking all day. While the daily candle is very bearish, CRON did hold key support and broke the hourly lower high pattern. To fully shift momentum back to their favour, the bulls must hold low of day 11.05 and break high of day 11.99 (call it 12.00 even). That would confirm an hourly uptrend, but I would still anticipate a daily lower high somewhere around $12.75 at best. The hourly MACD bull move is very week and keeping me skeptical of any ability for significant followthrough, and the daily MACD extended even further down today despite the higher trading range compared Friday.
Keep an eye on CGC here - the sector leader if very close to a significant daily bear break and the correlation to the sector leader will favour the CRON bears.
Key range to watch is 10.82 - 14.00.
Cronos
CRON tight range likely to break on MondayCRON formed its second daily inside bar on Friday as the range tightens up and the volume drops off. I'm looking for a break of range and a volume spike on Monday. I like inside bars because they signal equilibrium (pennant) patterns on a lower timeframe. Sure enough if you zoom into the hourly chart you can see a beautiful equilibrium playing out within our daily multiple inside bars.
Having pulled back 30% from all time high over the past seven trading days I'm anticipating a bull break as more likely that not, but correlation to sector leader Canopy Growth and the overall market will be worth keeping an eye on.
The range I'm watching is the low of Friday and the high of Friday, 10.86 - 11.40. Key daily support is 10.82, so any attempts to make an early entry by bottomfishing this range should have a stop loss just below that level.
On a bull break I would expect CRON to top out around $12.50-13.00 and then look for a tightening range on the daily chart. On a bear break we're looking down another 14% before our next support at 9.26.
For anybody playing CRON on the Canadian ticker, the setup is a little different. The range to break is 14.11 - 14.77. Key daily support is 14.05 so your stop should be just under that. On a bull break I would expect to top out around 16.00 and on a bear break we're looking down to test $12.05 support.
LONG on CRON - Parallel Channel and Falling WedgeI just took my gains on the short idea that I published on CRON -2.79% a couple days ago. Right now I believe the stock can bounce on the channel and price shows a falling wedge pattern. MACD is crossing as well and shows sign of a bullish opportunity.
I believe that the general sentiment on pot stocks is still fairly positive. However, there is a lot of speculation around it and I believe most pot stocks are way overvalued
Short on CRON - Divergence Technicals - CRON 9.78% broke out of a strong resistance today but failed to hold. Price is back within the parallel channel . In addition, RSI is diverging from price action. These are really simple, but strong bearish signals.
Fundamentals - Following the success of Tilray 38.12% , CRON 9.78% soared two days in a row, breaking new highs. However, no significant fundamental news within the company justifies such a jump in prices. I believe that the 560% change in price in 52 weeks is clearly an overreaction and could lead to a massive dump. Institutional investors are massively short on Cannabis stocks in general; CRON 9.78% is overpriced and will drop back down to the $9.13-10 level.
Cron high on WeedOur stock pick for today will be Cronos. Looks like a decent buy considering the hype around pot stocks.
As the dates gets closer to the Canadian Marijuana legalization(expected Oct 17), positive sentiments may drive this stock up. With alot potential growth and a rumours on Coke + Marijuana(Wild Dreams) this stock is one to watch.
Another counter from the same sector that interest us is Aurora Cannabis. Looks bright long term but high risk due to high speculation.
On a TA point. rebounded above $8 and looks like a potential break out. We will not put all our eggs on this but to diverse a small portion for big growth.
CRON bounce was by far the weakest of the major sector namesCRON low of Friday was just below the .5 retracement from low of consolidation to all time high 13.39. It had the weakest bounce Friday out of the big four, rejecting hard from the .382 dump retracement whereas other names hit the .5 or in the case of APH hit the .618. Watching the hourly chart for a break of it's tightening range to indicate short term momentum for this week, and helping to define levels for the daily tightening pattern on a macro level
CRON - Wait and See...CRON is in a Bull Pennant formation and could go either way. News is big factor with weed stocks right now. Legalization has been delayed, prices are going sideways. If this breaks up, looking at $15 for resistance at ATH's. If Pennant breaks down then green box is the buy zone.
Long CRON Swing TradeNASDAQ:CRON has been consolidating in this range for months now, creating a very noticeable Bullish Triangle.
Will be looking to enter at around $5.75 (triangle support).
Possible Outcomes:
- Triangle Breaks and follows thru to +- $8 area with a huge profit of +40%.
- Triangle fails to break , we fall back to the $6 (would sell before going bellow $6.30) where we sell for a small profit or breakeven. Do not hold on and make this a losing trade.
Share your opinion, comments and questions. Good Luck!
Risk Level: High.
I will keep updating this post.
CRON getting ready to bounce off lower points of resistnace and Cron might be about to 'get high' it looks like it is losing downward momentum on the MacD indicator, the RSI line is nearing the bottom and it is also getting closer to the bottom bollinger ban. It might still have a few days to go in order to hit bottom but price looks like it is already starting to level off from the down swing. Might be a good entry point. They recently reported Q1 earnings which didn't seem to blow investors minds very much, they were probably hoping to see a profit (turns our investors like profit) but there was massive growth in sales, just large growth in capex as well that ate away profit. So I'm not really seeing long term concerns that others may have, in fact the company is expanding operations. Unfortunately it just costs money to do that. The high PE ratio is a little icky, but they have pretty good liquidity. Over a hundred mill in assets. Debt to equity looks pretty good.
Cronos GroupCronos is a great test-case for what happens when a Speculative OTC stock goes to the big time market. They shot up 30% in the days after it went from OTC to the NASDAQ on some HUGE volume.
I personally like Cronos a lot. Mike Gorenstein seems like an excellent CEO and they are setting themselves up really nicely in terms of the international picture.
HOWEVER. They haven't truly DONE anything yet, at least compared to the other big names in the Canadian cannabis industry.
In their most recent financial statement, their Q3FY17 revenue was C$1.3M with a YTD revenue of C$2.5M a SMALL FRACTION of even the less-than-popular MedReleaf who had a Q3FY17 sales of C$11.35M and FY17 of C$31.6M
I guess what I am ultimately getting at is that, IMO, Cronos is grossly over valued in terms of Market Cap and I expect that to catch up to them sooner than later if they can't produce financial results on par with the rest of the industry.
I can imagine the share price breaking below the lower bounds of the triangle, falling fairly sharply to the Weekly 9EMA and potentially even correcting further.
Just my $.02
CRON bounces off support hard.After taking a tumble, hoping for it a bit sooner, we can see that TSXV:CRON has bounced off support just north of the 61.8% Fibonacci retrace. This and strong buyer volume, leading to a strong close at +12.41%, with a green candle with no top shadow. There may be a bit of resistance and possibly slight pullback at ~11.74, but if volume stays the way it does, I can't see it being a problem. What we would like to see happen is for it to pop above that resistance line and close in the next re-trace zone, allowing us to turn the resistance into support, consolidate along or above and possibly think about looking at a new uptrend.
Broke my neck.. looking for some support.Stocks are the only time breaking your neck can be a good thing. But it is usually scary for a bit afterwards. Some big volume came in and sent us shooting right past the 78.6% retrace, but right back down again as volume petered off and we look for support. Today did close with a minuscule green candle, sporting a small shadow. This could mean we might test the somewhat weak support level at 11.80, possibly falling where the MACD13 hits this line. If it goes below there, we are most likely going to test ~10.90 lightly. Let's hope it bounces off current support, consolidates along the 78.6% as it re-tests the zone it shot past earlier, and then up towards 13.10.
Thank you for viewing my charts!
Cronos breaking through channel MJN breaking through falling channel after being added to the Nasdaq.
Good chance to continue upward trend. Look for pullback entry point