Rising CornThe season has begun - seems like corn has bottomed, broken the downward correction, and is now beginning to overcome the different MAs.
According to the seasonality, we should see the high in corn around June-July next year. I expect therefore at least the reaching of the former high at 3.15 EUR.
But you should of course take a deeper look at the underlying asset (ZC1!) and not only on this leveraged derivate.
CROP
Soybeans - Short IdeaI have "bean" watching Soybeans for sometime now. I see price has entered an area of resistance, has hit a whole number of $12 and my heatmap indicator is showing divergence.
Price has fallen through my trendline.
I will be going short.
On the daily charts, a couple of shooting stars are present.
Enjoy!
Wheat market is now at the weakest stage. Time to short.We are long the PUT options since 535 - we wanted to limit our risk. Now it is safe to short the futures, as the market is very weak technically and fundamentally. Sell on a CLOSE below 492.25, stop loss on a CLOSE above 507. 435 is the price target.
I have been travelling around the wheat region in Russia last week - observing the crops, talking to farmers. Planted area this year is very large and most of the crops survived and are looking healthy. Weather conditions are excellent. Prices as low as 416 and 381 could be reached if we see our preliminary target reached before August 31.
*Please remember that futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors.
corn trading analysisthis is an idea based on fundamental and technical analysis, we are at a potential buy setup as the fundamentals(the report referred) suggest a minor supply and bad planting timing of the crop.
it has to be remarked to read the comment of the acreage report at the end of the document and understand how the crop grows.
if focused only on the first page of the acreage report (acreage of corn +3%) you can see that at the date the market receipted as a major supply(a sharp drop of price) but it did not account for the very late planting time and it can affect the developing of the crop.
all the important reports:
USDA acreage acrg0619 pdf (28/06/2019)
USDA crop progress prog2919 pdf (15/07/2019)
(search by your self)
the setup is a buy if do not drop significantly below the parallel channel and watch the further development of the crop to maximize the profits in the closing of the positions.
the latest report of the USDA indicate an improvement of the growing stage of the corn, but it is still significantly below compared year on year, also the crop quality has this deficit.
CRXPF - 420 REIT breakout in volume readying for Oct. 17th??US Cannabis REIT Crop Infrastructure breaking out since early Sept. in heavy volume.
CRXPF IIRT
1865 Acres added this month. Several customers have submitted dried crops for testing (pesticides, THC, etc. for legal sale) and looks very promising. 15 business days to go.
october 17th is Canada legal date, Crop Infrastructure Corp, formerly Fortify Resources Inc, is a Canada-based company engaged in the Real Estate Investment Trust business Sector. The Company is primarily engaged in the business of investing, constructing, owning and leasing greenhouse projects as part of the provision of turnkey real estate solutions for lease-to-licensed cannabis producers and processors offering operations. The Company's portfolio of projects includes cultivation properties in California and Washington State, Nevada, Italy, Jamaica and a joint venture on West Hollywood and San Bernardino dispensary applications. CROP has developed a portfolio of assets including Canna Drink a cannabis infused functional beverage, US and Italian distribution rights to over 55 cannabis topical products and a portfolio of 16 Cannabis brands.
Currently cost is at 236 Fibretracement and baseline of current trajectory, yes trajectory excitement beware and still entry signal showing on daily chart.
CANNTRUST HOLDINGS - TEIR 1 STOCKCNTTF CRON CGC TLRY APHQF
* CannTrust Holdings breaking out on harvest time sales about to commence....profitability as a Top Tier Cannabis stock, usually the least favored of this group I might add.
* Buy low, sell high, don't loose your money.
* chance to get more or first half share at $9 382 retracement after buying market order, can always buy more on the dip.
* Oct. 17th coming folks
* longbuylongsell by @MarxBabu Note: CCI shows excellent agreement to blue entry timing here with day chart, so MACD left out.
Disclaimer: Sorry volume with left handed index of volume # makes chart so busy and would love to have a reducting to 1/2 or better 1/3 the size.
About: CannTrust Holdings Inc is a Canada-based company, which produces pharmaceutical-grade medical cannabis for patients. The Company is a federally regulated licensed producer of medical cannabis products. The Company operates a hydroponic facility and an onsite laboratory for testing and research on the medical use of cannabis. The Company's exclusive pharmaceutical partner is Apotex. CannTrust Holdings Inc's products are divided into the following: Products Type, such as oil, dried cannabis, accessories and patient ready; Strain Type, such as hybrid, sativa dominant and indica dominant, as well as Strength, such as strong, mild and moderate. The Company's products are sold online through its Website.
NUF . A good time to BuyNUF’s stock is now floating at around -43% below its actual worth of $15.8, at the market price of AU$8.95, according to my discounted cash flow model. This difference in price and value gives us a chance to buy low.
NUF is also a financially robust company, as current assets can cover liabilities in the near term and over the long run. The stock’s debt-to-equity ratio of 46.31% has been diminishing over time, revealing NUF’s capacity to pay down its debt.
Bearish Fundamental for SoybeansLong-term fundamental is bearish. US has big soybeans stocks, export is falling. Harvest in Brazil and potentially big crop in South America adds bearish sentiment. Weekly chart shows rejection of VAH, price moves down inside balance, so I'm waiting the continuation of price falling.