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CRPTOCURRENCY

Potential bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 97,706.94 1st Support: 91,311.03 1st Resistance: 101,849.75 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
2
The elusive alt season... Is QE coming soon?The magical Alt season never seems to come. Most have thrown in the towel or lost all their money, which is a good sign the bottom is in. The secret here is paying close attention to the FED's (FRED:WALCL) Quantitative tightening and easing. Since the start in 2008, we have always either had QE or some sort of pause like you see in the 2016/17 bull run, but as soon as the FED flips to tightening, what happens? BTC pauses. It is true that Bitcoin has performed very well during tightening cycles, as massive corporations like BlackRock and MicroStrategy are eating through the supply. As for the altcoin market, it has been a bloodbath. One thing that’s clear to me is that altcoins need the FED to flip to QE in order to get things really going. Going over the latest FED's Monetary Policy Report that came out yesterday, it hints that they are close to ending their tightening cycle and easing off a bit. **WHICH IS HUGE NEWS!** We can now see that this is true indeed because the red line is now starting to flatten out, just like in 2020 before the FED flipped to QE. As far as the technicals go, the altcoin chart has now formed an ascending triangle and, for now, is still printing higher lows. 20 days left for this monthly candle to close. If, let's say, this monthly candle breaks ATH and closes above it, it could signal the start of the alt season, and if history repeats, we’re looking at a run-up from March 2025 to September/October 2025. So the next FOMC meeting from the FED is the most important of the year. Now that this report hints at the end of the tightening cycle, is it possible that at the next FOMC meeting on March 18th, 2025, they will announce the end of tightening and trigger the start of the alt season? Pretty heavy upper wick for now on the BTC.D. It’s currently on the .702 retracement. Is this the top? A chart I use a lot. Really want to see this monthly candle close back into this triangle. **Alts/USDT.D** This chart is one of the most important ones I’m looking at right now. Currently forming a bump-and-run reversal, and again, very bullish if we hold the neckline. The USDT.D chart will always lead the way. It’s always one step ahead, never fails me. Until we see a break of this green support line, we won’t see ALT season. The bear flag pattern target is the same target as April 2021, which is interesting. As I published on my ETH TA, if we close the weekly in this channel, it will be very bullish. ### Conclusion I'm extremely bullish right now. Leverage has been reset, greed has been reset, and everyone is throwing in the towel. On social media, "it's over" talk is everywhere. This is the kind of depression I'm looking for to tell me it’s the start of ALT season and not the end. **Invalidation of this thesis would be the following:** - ETH closes weekly under the channel - Bump-and-run reversal fails to hold the neckline - FED does not flip to QE in the FOMC meeting on March 18th If all these things happen, I will flip bearish. Until then, I'm extremely confident that this is the bottom, and you should go all out, lay all the cards down, take out loans, put all your chips on the table—it’s time to go hard or go home!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by Sporia
2
The Bitcoin Peak: When Will the Cycle End?Been a while since I published a TA. I’ve been digging deep trying to decipher when the cycle top will come in for Bitcoin. Some say it’s an impossible feat. Well, let’s give it a go. There are two major dates and one minor date for a possible cycle top: May 2025 **Volume Flow**: 1157 Days **From June Bottom**: 1064 days **ETH clear bottom**: June 2022 **Bar Pattern Fractal**: From 2015 bottom **221k Price Target**: Target crosses with the model in May. September 2025 **From November Bottom**: 1064 days **Major Macro Time Fibonacci** **Chainlink Fractal** **Chainlink Time Fib** March 2025 **Small Time Fibonacci** **Bull Flag End** **Average % move and time since 2019** As you can see, there is a lot of evidence to unpack here, so it’s going to be a long one. Let’s start with the first date: May 2025. --- May 2025 Volume Flow on Heikin Candles on the Monthly shows that from the Bearish cross to the cycle top is 1126 days, which ends up being May. Every cycle, Bitcoin has always put in a double bottom to mark its cycle low. As you can see, in 2022 we had two major crashes, and even though it’s not 100% clear here, we got a double bottom. The amazing thing about the first bottom in June 2022 is that it mirrored the first bottom of the cycle low of 2015. That fractal was a mirror, showing the importance of this first low in Bitcoin in June 2022. If we overlay the 2015 fractal, we get the top coming in May. For anyone who doesn’t know, the last two cycles, Bitcoin has taken 1064 days from Cycle Low to Cycle Top. 1064 days from the June 2022 low is May. ETH has a much clearer bottom than Bitcoin this cycle. It also took 1064 days, which puts it in May. So you can see, there is a lot of evidence pointing towards a May 2025 Cycle Top for Bitcoin. --- September/October 2025 1064 days from the second bottom in November 2022 would be October 2025. For years, I have been using this Major Macro Time Fibonacci sequence that shows me important moments in Bitcoin’s cycles. The last pointed to a move down to 48k in August 2023, which is hard to see on the 2Week chart. As you can see, it comes close to pinpointing moves, so the next date is the end of September 2025, which lines up with the 1064 days from November 2022. I have been following this Chainlink fractal for more than a year. We traded LINK using this fractal back in October 2023. You can check my TAs from that period. The fractal is still valid and tops in September 2025. Chainlink Fibonacci Time Sequence has been hitting home runs time and time again, from pinpointing the top all the way down to the bottom. The next date is late August 2025, very close to September 2025. --- March 2025 This date has far less weight for a cycle top but could be part of a major local top and correction. A small Time Fibonacci sequence taken from this level shows that March 31st is the next date, and the one after that is late August 2025, the same as the Chainlink fractal. 240% over 162 days is the average that Bitcoin moves up since 2019. If we just overlay the average, we get 127k by mid-February 2025. A mirror move from October 2023 to March 2024 puts us in March 2025. --- Elliott Wave Section I’m not an expert in this field but will throw in some takes. Could we possibly be in Wave 4 out of 5? Or could we be finishing Wave 3 right now and in for the first large correction of this bull market? The fact is, the last time we hit this band on this model was January 2021. After that, there was a 31% correction lasting 31 days. Sometimes 5 waves are very clear. Take GOLD, for example: there is a clear 5-wave pattern at max Fibonacci extension. This is a massive macro sell signal, in my opinion. Crazy how GOLD hit this level on Wave 5 as Bitcoin breaks 100k. --- ### **Price Targets If we take the first cycle and overlay to 2015 cycle, it gave us the cycle top in 2021. If we do the same for this cycle and overlay the 2015 cycle, we get a price target of 221k, which puts it at the top of my model in May 2025. Just discovered this—that’s one more point for May 2025. As you can see, in the last two cycles it worked. Will it work this time? Who knows. --- Pi Cycle Indicator If we just run a rough projection on when the next cross will be, it crosses in April 2025, very close to May. Keep in mind this is a very rough idea of when it could cross. --- Conclusion We have 5 points in favor of May 2025, 4 points in favor of September 2025, and 2 points for March 2025. As always, the path is never clear for Bitcoin. Until we get much further down the road, I won’t conclusively know which date it will be. This model I have been using has been so accurate thus far. We are so high up the last bands that we are most likely going to get some sort of long consolidation period with a correction soon, which would give the altcoin market a run.
BNC:BLXLong
by Sporia
15
BTCUSD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup list time post signals 💯 reached target 🎯 point now post NEW analysis setup BTC USD. Tast diamond zone orderblok take. Bullish trend 📈 🚀 patterns 109k target 🎯 point ☝️ Key resistance level 101k) 105k)107k) 109k) Key support level 98k) 97k) Mr SMC Trading point Support 💫 My hard analysis setup like And Following 🤝 me that star ✨ game 🎮
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
3
Alikze »» TONCOIN | Corrective scenario of ending wave 3💎 In the daily and weekly time, it is moving in an ascending channel, and currently the current wave of the 3rd ascending wave has started from the bottom of the channel. 💎 Scenario 1: Currently, it is placed in an important resistance, which according to the shaded area in the confirmation of its correction process, we can wait for the candle to confirm that this correction can continue until the green box area, which is also in the midline of the channel. 💎 Therefore, it is not recommended to buy at the moment and you should wait for the range break to continue the process. 🔔 Scenario 2: otherwise, correction should be seen up to the green box area. In case of a break, this upward trend can continue up to the channel ceiling. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Sincerely.❤️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Short
by alikze
Bitcoin prediction from 2 decades experienced multi-millionaireI've been daytrading for 2 decades, made myself a multi-millionaire from trades like these. Even though my expertise is in stock market, charts are still charts. Bitcoin chart analysis is showing possible further extension into $110,000 range then drop and slide off to $60,000's area by the end of 1st quarter 2025 as the excitement about Trump/Musk/SEC/etc hits reality. Where we go from $60,000 we'll discuss once we're there and collect more data.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ProfitTradeRoom
2
BNB AT MONTHLY RESISTACE!! BREAKOUT COULD BE MASSIVE!!Technical Analysis: #Binance (monthly update): BNB looks too bullish in monthly time frame. Everything explains in chart above. 🥰If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in Tradingview😍. Please show your support back🙏, Hit the 👍 LIKE button, Drop some feedback below in the comment✍️! ❤️🤝 Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️🤝 💎 Want me to help you become a better Crypto trader? Now, It's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let me know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Trade well, 💪 #BNBCOIN #CRYPTO #BULLISHRUN #BINANACE #ALTCOIN #UPTREND
Long
by Bitking786
Cryptocurrency ADAUSD CARDANO: Next to break out. I bought into this one recently but it was weighing heavily since the purchase in terms of price not quite breaking-out enough, but that all changed today as Cardano moves out of its squeeze and into climbing and rallying mode. Earlier in 2024 it entered a Supply-downtrend but in recent months buying entered into Cardano and the charts stated to expand with some volatility to upside prices. A breakout "jump" is what ADAUSD set-out to do in 2024 and with supply switching mostly over to demand and with Bitcoin now very close to 71,000, that time is near.
EIGHTCAP:ADAUSDLong
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Its Time , Bitcoin 160k by March or September 2025?We are in the early stages of the next bull market. The question was never "if" but rather "when." The probability has shifted significantly to the upside in the last two months. Really, nothing much has been going on, and I’m waiting for my confirmation markers to trigger before making a technical analysis. In my view, we are in a pretty large bull flag, and a mirror move like the one we saw from September 2023 to March 2024 could push Bitcoin to $160K by March 2025. There are two major dates I’m focusing on: March/April 2025 and September 2025. The clearest sign of a change in trend is that we stopped putting in lower lows and formed a triple bottom with bullish divergence on the daily chart. The puzzle for the rest of 2024 and 2025 is not whether we will have a bull market but where and when the cycle top will occur. It's more of a question of timing, and that’s what I’m focusing on. **March/April 2025 - Possible Top** As you can see, since 2019, the average duration of major Bitcoin rallies has been 147 days. Even the longest rallies of 196 days would reach May 2025. Looking at my time cycles, we also have a hit around March 2025. The USDT dominance chart is currently in a bear flag. A mirror move similar to September 2023 to March 2024 would bring dominance levels down to the November 2021 cycle top, around April 2025. **September 2025 - Possible Top** For those who don’t know, Bitcoin’s last two cycles took exactly the same time from cycle low to top, 1064 days. If we overlay 1064 days from this cycle's low, it puts the cycle top in early October 2025, which is very close to my Fibonacci time date in September 2025. I know there’s a lot on this chart to digest, but just focus on the red and yellow circles. Do you see the pattern? Every other sine wave peak is a cycle top. The next sine wave peak falls between September and December 2025. The Chainlink fractal from last year is still playing out. If it continues, the top is projected for August 11, 2025, again very close to that September 2025 date. KDA is also an interesting chart for me because it’s mirroring the last cycle closely, which again puts the cycle top in September 2025. **Conclusion** USDT dominance is in a bear flag, which is a clue. I’ve been in this position many times before, and USDT dominance has often signaled the way. If this bear flag follows through, it will trigger the first wave of the bull run. **So, March/April 2025 Cycle Top:** - 147-day average Bitcoin rallies - USDT dominance chart mirror move - A time cycle hit **September 2025 Cycle Top:** - Chainlink fractal - KDA fractal - Sine line peaks - 1064 days from cycle low to top If it’s March/April 2025 and we get a PI cycle cross, we’re out, that’s for sure , we most definitely not taking that chance that "this time its different" Euphoria Blindness
BNC:BLX
by Sporia
4
BULL MARKET### USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Short-Term Trading Analysis and Bull Market Correlation #### **1. Chart Pattern and Candlestick** On the **USDT.D** chart, we can observe a **rising wedge** or **ascending channel** pattern, which indicates a potential downside breakout. This pattern often leads to a bearish move, implying that if USDT dominance decreases, more liquidity is expected to flow into risk assets like altcoins and Bitcoin, signaling a potential **bull market**. In terms of **candlestick analysis**, the last few candles have shown weak upward momentum, suggesting that while there is still some bullish sentiment in USDT.D, it is weakening. #### **2. Fibonacci Retracement** Key levels from the Fibonacci retracement include: - **61.8%** at around 5.96% — currently acting as a resistance. - **38.2%** at 7.30% — this level was a prior strong resistance. - A breakdown below 61.8% would likely lead to a test of the **100% level** at 3.78%, a significant long-term support. If USDT.D fails to break above the 61.8% level, it suggests a possible reversal. A drop in USDT.D usually correlates with a **bullish run** in the broader cryptocurrency market. #### **3. MACD and Stochastic RSI Indicators** - **MACD**: The MACD histogram shows weakening momentum, and there's a possibility of a **bearish crossover**, which would confirm a bearish outlook for USDT dominance. - **Stochastic RSI**: With Stochastic RSI hovering at **overbought** levels (81.99), a reversal downward seems likely. This could further push USDT.D down, boosting risk appetite for cryptocurrencies. #### **4. Divergence** Currently, there’s no significant **divergence** between the price movement and the momentum indicators, but the overbought signals from Stochastic RSI suggest that a short-term reversal is likely. #### **5. Market Probability and Economic Catalysts** - **Short-Term Outlook**: The combination of a bearish **rising wedge** pattern, overbought **Stochastic RSI**, and a potential MACD cross suggests a high probability of a short-term correction in USDT dominance, which could ignite a **bull market**. #### **Bull Market Correlation** A decrease in USDT dominance indicates that investors are moving capital out of stablecoins (such as USDT) and into higher-risk assets like altcoins and Bitcoin. This shift in liquidity is often a precursor to the start of a **bull market** in the cryptocurrency space. #### **Macro-Economic Catalysts** - **Global Market Sentiment**: If inflation decreases and central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, adopt a dovish stance (pausing or reducing interest rate hikes), it can bolster investor confidence and increase liquidity flows into cryptocurrencies. - **Monetary Policy**: A less aggressive Fed would likely reduce the demand for safe-haven assets like USDT and boost demand for riskier assets like Bitcoin and altcoins. - **Geopolitical Uncertainty**: In times of reduced global uncertainty, investors tend to shift from stable assets like USDT to riskier assets, further reducing USDT dominance. In summary, technical indicators point toward a potential drop in USDT dominance, which historically correlates with a crypto bull market. Additionally, macroeconomic factors such as monetary policy shifts will play a significant role in shaping this trend.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by betebangetgue
2
Bitcoin Weekly Analysis: Potential LONG ! (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around the $59,500 level. The key level to watch tonight is whether Bitcoin can hold above $58,700. In my opinion, Bitcoin is likely to soon rally towards $63,400. However, once it reaches this level, we might see a negative reaction. After observing this reaction, we can better assess Bitcoin's next potential move. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban ((2+4+7+13+15+18+26+36+38+69+87+101+183+209+1000+1002+1000000000+1000000001+ 1000000853)^♾️*69) + 1 !
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
Bearish reversal?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as an overlap support. Pivot: 2,807.45 1st Support: 2,538.15 1st Resistance: 3,086.37 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDShort
by ICmarkets