Altseason 100% started!Altseason has definitely STARTED! My btc.d idea is processing correct, my usdt.d idea is processing correct and now this pattern broke up and is ready to make total 2 and 3 fly up to the sky! a falling wedge in total2 has been broken and the target is the top of the falling wedge which is 1.7 trillion. Ofcourse in my opinion its gonna go higher this time and make altseason more epic! this idea is linked with my btc.d and usdt.d idea if you haven't read them please do below! Altseason is right now happening! Buy more alts quickly!!!!
Crpyto
#btcstarburst The Bull is on!!Follow up!! As the map is playing out. The blue territory is going to suggest a cool off time for BTC. Maybe? If we can get across the red river of death, we have a smaller part to cross. Typical we spike up in it but we never hold support over it… There is a first for everything. The purple broken lines can be made in parallel up and down the chart, these are channels that would be assumed in time frames on every level. IF we have another major fall in MAY… July should be the month for All time high… BUT THIS IS A STUDY>>>>>>> into GANN. The lines show the Support And Resistances 33k in MAY could come again before 100K in JULY… DCA Safely. Laser eyes needed
Bitcoin long term analysisI'm thinkin if its not September pump. it will 100% in August. Tis' what i'm thinking just from a TA stand point. + i don't think the Russian and Ukraine war isn't all bad for the markets, you can see previous charts even on the stock market where the markets take a small dip then raise back up from War and Invasions. + again Russia has to use something as payment to transact out of Russia, they won't be using gold because the country needs it to stay alive, they won't be using the Russian Rubble because who wants that lmao. And their assets outside of Russia has been banned etc, and banned from swift. so yeah. what else will Putin use? Paypal? lmao. You guessed it! Crypto!
Its also a thing Ukraine can do, let's be honest here. I don't think a Ukrainian with a brain will be buying up gold because people at borders can take advantage and say ''Hey! ima need half of that or no go'' and they'd lose half. Meaning it's better for them to use crypto because it gives them 100% full control and security.
UNI/USD Swing Trade BuySupport at 10.31 was previously strongly held on the Daily time frame and was lost upon the initial market reaction to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Upon news that Russians are finding means of avoiding the sanctions through cryptocurrency, price action surged and is aiming to reclaim this level of support in addition to the Daily 20 EMA and flip trend resistance into support (both of which it had previously rejected twice). If successful, this would be an ideal R/S flip and generally a solid area to enter a position, also considering that the Daily 20 EMA and Trend Line support meet for confluence.
Weary of the .618 fib level (drawn from the short-term High: 12.94 and Low: 7.5), this would also have to be reclaimed to further establish a bullish perspective and can generally also be a more conservative level of entry. Alternatively, there is the potential for a rejection from this level. In saying this however, the bullish divergence on the RSI indicator could indicate underlying buying-pressure which could be the volume needed to reclaim this level and head towards the 50 EMA , which had been rejected 3x previously as depicted in the chart, so a close above the 50 EMA would be required to breeze through free-air until heavy resistance in the zone around 14.10. Alternatively, price can reject off the 50 EMA and retest the .618 fib level.
A remaining wick down to 9.51 still lingers in the background and also falls in line with the .382 fib ratio. So with sustaining a risk/reward ratio of 5.6, a stop loss at 9.32 should suffice for any wicks down to wipe out traders or retest trend line support.
A fundamental catalyst to a coin such as UniSwap specifically could be fuelled by the requests from the Ukrainian Vice Prime Minister to Crypto exchanges Binance, Kraken, and Coinbase to block and freeze all Russian crypto exchange accounts. Although they refused, cryptocurrency is a market of speculation, and the fact that the availability of 'decentralised finance' has the potential to be cherry-picked to different countries by centralised exchanges, could call for a stronger attraction to and reiteration for the need of Decentralised Exchanges such as Uniswap to be utilised for the motive of DeFi. Among others such as Pancakeswap, Sushiswap, and Curve, Uniswap is one of the most popular decentralised exchanges in the crypto atmosphere.
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Bear Market RoadmapThe bear market has been underway for a while now ever since the top in April 12th 2021 I believe we have been in a bear market and in a distribution phase, even though we did make a higher high later on the year I still have come to the conclusion that we are indeed in a bear market.
The TA i posted a while back “The satoshi Prophecy” while still not technically invailded because in that TA my thesis is that May 2022 is the top for the cycle based on a Fibannaci time sequence of Chain Link, I still think it will eventually it will be invalided coming May 2022 as not the cycle top but as the bottom of the bear market ,you can check that out below.
As soon as we lost the 8/1 Gann on Bitcoin I new things were about to get rocky but I still pushed and thought we were in a bull market because I kept finding things that backed my May 2022 cycle top case for example I posted the blue fibonacci log theory which you can check below .
Weeks later we would break the blue fib log after that there was no case for the bulls anymore , historically breaking the blue fibonacci log confirms a bear market.
In reality breaking the 8/1 Gann and not holding as support should have been the line but I was so focused on the Chain Link Fibonacci count that I did not see things coming, check out below on how we broke support the week of new year.
Normally to trigger a Bull market or continue an uptrend we hold 8/1 as support and break higher like below in 2020.
So what comes next, well looking at the golden multiplier trend lines we can see whenever Bitcoin follows below the last orange line we enter a bear market , right now we have been under it for a while now.
Once below Bitcoin normally bottoms on an average of about 120days and breaks above the orange line in an average of 270 days which would put us in September to break out and amazingly May 2022 for a bottom , amazing that it lines up with May 2022 So what can we expect is a retest of the orange line at one point that ends up in a failed rally happens every time in history in a bear market
2011
2015
2018
Present Day
Showing a possible outcome for this year 2022
So now we come to the most important piece of evidence that we are in a bear market and that would be the June 2018 bear market fractal that has played out 1:1 almost perfectly .
Present Day with June 2018 Fractal
June 2018 pattern
Also cover this in the TA below
It is a mirror pattern , mind blowing stuff and during June 2018 we also had a MACD bearish cross on the monthly which has happened now as well!
So if the June 2018 bear market fractal plays out we retest 33k and create a double bottom sometime in the next 10days maybe and then have a rally to the orange line we talked about before which more or less lines with the 0.618 you can see that in the main chart above . There is this 3/1 Gann which I have been following for a while that Bitcoin can’t seem to break take a look at the TA below .
I believe Bitcoin will most likely fail to break this gann line until we form that double bottom and finally to finish off volume , we had no capitulation volume come in , every time we have a major bottom or top there is a huge spike in volume.
So how I think 2022 plays out
1- Revisit 33k form double bottom
2- Rally to 0.618 or orange line(Golden Multiplier) anywhere from 45k-56k to Mid-late March 2022
3-Get nuked down into May maybe capitulation wick down to 25/27k before closing at 30k
4- Come out of Bear market September 2022
5-Cycle Top June 2023
XLM To New HighsHere is a beautiful swing trade opportunity with multiple confluences on XLMUSD.
After stop hunting equal lows on the daily, we can see smart money accumulating orders for a few days and impulsively breaking the range, indicating that they are ready to go long again.
This morning they returned to there accumulation to mitigate orders before going long.
My target is new uncharted territory and the old daily highs, with the ISO20022 protocol, as well as the future of crypto as a whole, this is realistic in my opinion.
You can find reentries based on institutional concepts.
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Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.
Bitcoin Break Inbound? Bitcoin - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 39978 (stop at 40555)
Daily signals are bearish. A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum. There is no indication that the selloff is coming to an end. Trading close to the psychological 40000 level.
Our profit targets will be 38303 and 37404
Resistance: 41000 / 42000 / 43000
Support: 40000 / 39000 / 38000
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XRPUSD / AT MAJOR SUPPORTXRP has dumped back to its major support level - It might liquidate a number of buyers before taking its next big move up (or down)
I would wait for the daily highs to be broken and retested before jumping in for a buy
There is a weekly doji that has formed which indicates an indecision - This is a strong possibility for a buy setup but may also be a fakey candle - lets wait for price action to show us whats happening
BTCUSDT ANALYSIS#BTCDAILY 22.01.22
Its not all bad news, its mainly bad news but its not all bad news. Here's some positive things I've noticed today;
Technicals
Sure its been referenced in the chat and noticed by most of you but the RSI is popping at what I can only describe as Super Oversold. Hard to get excited I know but the last time we went under 20 on the RSI (March 12th 2020) we bounced 25% in 4 days.
OnChain
Total supply in profit held by short-term holders-
This is an indicator which divides the total supply of BTC by two measures;
1) The difference between current and paid price i.e a positive measure is a profit, negative a loss.
2) The type of owner long or short term. 155 days + is a Long Term Holder (LTH), less a Short Term Holder (STH).
Currently almost 99% of STH are in loss. Traditionally this has been an indicator a short term bottom in the BTC price and preceds strong upward moves.
Spent Output Profit Ratio-
This is a ratio between BTC realised value (the price it was sold at basically) and the value at the time purchased. It gives us an estimate of whether most market participants are selling their BTC at a profit (value over 1) or at a loss (value below 1).
The SOPR for short-term holders again looks at positions <155 days.
From the chart (I'll drop these in as images below as Telegram is limited in sending pics in text) we can see similarity between the summer and today.
The black arrows are showing a bullish divergence between the SOPR (for short term holders) and the falling BTC price (the black line on the chart).
If the similarities are maintained then we should see a strong rebound as we saw in the summer.
Fundamentals
Not likely to be good over the next few days. Mainstream media will be bathing in this 'Bloodbath' and every dickhead with the inability to understand new ideas will be 'told you so'ing' on every platform available, so, you know enjoy that 🤣
Critical Moment of Ethereum! Hello All!
As you can see we are still holding onto the channel. We are at a critical moment with Ethereum & Bitcoin as they consolidate near our important zones. A breakdown from these support levels would indicate to re-test our previous support zones. If we hold we will push towards all-time highs.
Short Trade Setup:
A break and close under 3600 and retesting the support as a new resistance along with similar price action from Bitcoin we can expect lower moves. Most likely these moves will be followed by fast price action so for traders it is important to set your alerts.
Long Trade Setup:
If we hold this support zone and have a strong move in the bitcoin price, I will be looking to buy along support and again if we break and close above the minor resistance forming. We will then most likely see $5,000 Ethereum.
What happens Next? (Version 2)Is the Bitcoin price boring you?
It seems like nothing is happening with Bitcoin just boring sidways movement , or is it possible we are setting up for a launchpad to 100k. The October 2020 breakout took Bitcoin 48 days to regain 12500 dollars from where it dropped. At the moment its only been 29days where will price be on the 48th day? will the pattern repeat? , I will link below same idea with a line chart instead of bar chart.
Money Flow Index Flashes Rare SignalThis is the 5D timeframe on Helkin Ashi.
It seems that the Money flow index has flashed a very rare oversold signal now these green and red circles should not be used for trading as the creator of the indicator explains but we can have a look past to see what happened when these signals flashed in the extreme oversold zone.
So the green circles in the oversold area have only flashes 5 times in Bitcoins history, a very rare occurrence.
These are 5D candles so the dates below are the starting dates of the candles.
18th October 2011
08th September 2014
15th July 2018
15th July 2021
27 December 2021
So just because this signal flashes in the oversold area doesn't exactly mean we going up , 08th September 2014 and 15th July 2018 we went down and 18th October 2011 and 15th July 2021 we went up so right now it's a 50/50.
So even it failed to call the bottom every time all these signals had an impulse move to the upside except 08th September 2014 .
So now it brings me to the most interesting find which gives yet us another clue into the future . Whenever price comes down into this oversold area we always form some sort of bullish divergence that triggers massive moves to the upside and right now we could be doing just that repeating a divergence fractal from 15th July 2018/Dec 2018 and 15th July 2021/27 dec 2021 , if you notice both hit the oversold area at 20 then about 150 days later hit a lower low, this could be in fact the same divergence playing out , on sunday we will get a better picture once the candle closes.
Also at this very moment we are printing what seems to be a heikin reversal candle. Check out the picture below.
Check out TA's below to see where the market could top for 2022
Money Flow Index Weekly DivergenceThe money flow index is an amazing tool to spot divergence on higher time frames doesn't work that well on lower.
On the weekly time frame with the close of the candle on the 27th of December 2021 we have confirmed bullish divergence. Just take a look at the chart and see all the massive moves that follow when weekly divergence on the money flow plays out.
Remember this is a weekly chart on Heikin Ashi ,momentum can take time to move.
What Happens Next?Everybody is still debating if we are going into a bear market or are we in a bear market , the only thing these questions do is distract you from what is about to happen .
Look at the facts in the charts :
October 2020 Breakout
Green Box - Pump breaking 8/1 Gann
Yellow Box - False Rally (Distribution)
RedBox - Price coming back down and holding 8/1 Gann as support and reaching Max Pain on market sentiment.
Orange Box - Disbelief Rally
Present Day
Green Box - Pump breaking 8/1 Gann
Yellow Box - False Rally (Distribution)
RedBox - Price coming back down and holding 8/1 Gann as support , also reaching Max Pain on market sentiment.
Orange Box -????
We can see things clearly playing out like the 2020 breakout same pattern as before . It is designed that way to create as much confusion and false signals as possible before the rally and when it comes most traders will be at a point of disbelief so they won't enter the market till much higher.
Just take one step back and look at the whole picture and market sentiment , traders are the most divided now , everyone has their own idea on what's going on and what's about to happen but nobody is really paying attention to the chart.
The fact is you can clearly see the same pattern playing out that fooled everyone in 2020 thinking Bitcoin was just ranging with that drop from 12500 to 10000 , when in fact it was the best entry in trading history , could this be the second ?
Its time to stay focused and not get distracted with small 5% moves this is all noise.
The Satoshi Prophecy The final run of the bull market has begun!
Ever since June 2021 I have had two scenarios playing out for a Bitcoin cycle top.
December 2021 and April/May 2022, The TA below shows just that , two Cycle peak zones.
By the end of July I came to the conclusion that it was highly unlikely for December 2021 to be the cycle top so I focused more on my second cycle peak zone April -May 2022.
Why April-May 2022? , how on earth did I even come up with such a timeframe? The reason is Chainlink ,I have been using the same Chain Link/Bitcoin dominance chart for 3 years for trades with 100% success right , 100% how is that even possible? Well I play around with fibonacci time sequences alot and even link sequences together that have not even triggered yet in the future and in doing so sometimes you get sequences that play out to the exact day.
What you see below is a Fibonacci sequence that has played out perfectly on every count since I discovered it late 2019. Since then every trade based on this Fibonacci time sequence has resulted in massive moves.
Fib Time Counts :
2 Feb 3 2020 - 71%
3 June 23 2020 - 345%
5 March 29 2021- 88%
8 May 23 2022- ???
So what does the next count bring? This is the longest Fib time sequence I have been following ,for nearly 3 years waiting for these Fib counts to play out and it's been extremely profitable so far. These sequences act as pivot points most of the time , if you follow my profile you know that I use this tool a lot , sometimes you get amazing reactions and sometimes you get nothing. I think the next count brings the cycle top for Chain Link on May 23rd 2022 which connects with the same Fib time sequence as the Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC! The next Fib sequence is guess what! May 16th 2022!
I can go on and on showing all the Fib sequences that line up around that time but I have chosen two of the ones that started this whole idea of a cycle peak April/May 2022. So far the Altcoin market peaked 28days after a Bitcoin cycle top in 2017 and 19 days after this Bitcoin mid cycle top this year at 64k April 14th 2021. So it is possible that Chainlink Fib sequence could be a clue into the Altcoin market top which puts Bitcoin cycle peak then possibly late April to early May 2022.
There is also a litecoin Fib sequence that could be playing out right now that again shows the next count to be 30th April 2022 or 5th of May 2022 and since litecoin mirrors Bitcoin it lines up with a cycle peak early May with the altcoin market peaking 15-20days after which connects with the Chainlink Fib sequence.
So how do I know the final leg is starting? Well what you see in the chart right now playing out is a perfect textbook 8/1 Gann ratio setup. The perfect setup has finally come , all conditions are now met for liftoff.
First attempt failure at 8/1 Gann , which normally happens on marco Bitcoin moves (RedBox)
Breaking the 8/1 Gann ratio (Green Box)
Coming back down and retesting as support(Yellow Box)
In the TA below dated October 12th 2021 I go over the idea that Bitcoin needs to come back down to test the top of the 8/1 Gann ratio but by the end of October I figured it's not coming back down. At a 65k Bitcoin and so far from the 8/1 Gann you get the idea that there is no way in earth we come back down to 46k but here we are over 60days after breaking the 8/1 Gann we came back down and tested it as support and completed the perfect setup.
As always nothing is 100% in this market but the 8/1 Gann setup like this on a macro scale for Bitcoin has an extremely high success rate.
Targets for this bullrun
Bitcoin -185-200k
Chainlink -200
ETH -14000
ECOMI -0.03(0.10 possible with they announce pokemon NFT before april 2022 and get coinbase listing )
And there it is, the perfect 8/1 Gann setup that will make human history when Bitcoin passes 100k.
“It might make sense just to get some in case it catches on. If enough people think the same way, that becomes a self fulfilling prophecy.”
— Satoshi Nakamoto
$TVK WILL PUMP BY %126If you're looking for %126 ROI long term. $TVK is here for you. Just hodl and watch
like and let me know your bias
Thanks
Matic breakout 4h tradeShort FA: Matic is a good layer 2 solution for Etherum and the gas fee are only a penny. Uniswap is also migrating to MATIC, leading to further upside for MATIC. You can now also farm SAND on the matic network, providing a LP of SAND-MATIC at 83.95% APY the last time I check
Setup: Matic has been forming higher highs and low and is now having a nice consolidation before breakout out of its ATH . It is also trending, seeing its ADX is above 25, giving further weight to its breakout.
Entry: Wait for MACD 4h to crossover
SL: 2.397( 1 ATR below ATR trailing stop loss)
TP: No TP target( ride the trend using ATR trailing stop loss)
Do consider liking and following me if you like my content as some of the trades I do are time sensitive and you will not want to miss out