Shib path to November 2024 - 2025 Hola Shib-inu fans, I have been getting request while I was away - asking what's the next move for Shib in this current market today.
Along with questions such as:
Why is it crashing so much?
Should you buy, hold, or sell?
Where do you see the market in the next year?
To answer that question is simply put I can not answer that directly at this time. Reason being, the market is currently influenced by the United States political and economical climate and is likely going to make an even greater impact based on which candidate wins office.
Republicans🐘 vs 🐎Democrats
Currently control the market movement, and if you don't believe me, after Donald Trump was shot, Republicans believed that this would land Trump a landslide victory, so Whales and influencers to the market flooded the main crypto wallets BTC and ETH among others with rally that led the price of bitcoin from a 56k lost back to a 70k return. Another example of how the US as well as China has a major controlling factor on how the market moves, is the fact that this most recent crash is based on the US CPI report being unsatisfactory forcing both the crypto and SnP market to crash from that outcome alone.
This is mostly the results of Bitcoin and its holders trying desperately to have ETF's take center stage and by doing so gave much of the control over financial growth to the banks and the governments that control them. That's the price we paid to have ETF's we are now apart of the regulatory stock market which is mainly control by the US market base.
So to understand where the next move for shib may lead is basically impossible to tell depending on who wins in November, so to help with this issue, I made a pathing map, and possible areas of concern for holders to look out for on a modified day chart converted to a weekly chart.
This path starts and end in November of 2024 to 2025 where if the republicans win, it will influence buying power from whales looking to capitalize on the returning president trump and the republican party new policies that want to put in place that is more beneficial to those with wealth they which to extend further.
vs
Another democratic win where policies may not change to much but will be a greater impact on the financial markets as a whole which will not rally whales if any at all and will likely cause a selloff in much of the markets not just in crypto.
So hopefully this map helps guide you to a positive path to riches or avoid a possible path to ruin.
Crpytocurrency
Why we're bullish on $BTC despite weakness over the past weeksThe INDEX:BTCUSD ATH can act as a strong key level, being strong resistance when price is under it and strong support when price is above it. Regardless of what the current market factors are at play now, we know one thing for sure, Bitcoin's break of ATH has without fail been a strong indicator of a bull market every single time since it's inception.
Now this does not mean that once we cross the ATH this means we are going straight the moon, we have to remember that a bull market is supposed to last for months, not weeks. What we are seeing now on Bitcoin is not an up-trend or a down-trend, it is a consolidation at it's previous cycle's ATH. Many investors and traders were probably thinking that once Bitcoin passes it's ATH, the asset magically becomes super bullish and that investors will never see a single red candle again for the next year. This however, is untrue as seen on the charts recently and also during previous breaks of ATHs.
From a statistical POV, the break of the ATH on Bitcoin is bullish, and that the price can continue to consolidate further before making it's way up, this is completely normal and the best move sometimes, is to do nothing and just be patient. We continue to be bullish as per our Crypto Bull Thesis and we will continue to send updates on the crypto market.
BTC: Crypto Bull Market Appears to Take HoldCME: Micro BTC ( CME:MBT1! )
A month’s ago, I published a trade idea titled “S&P 500: Expensive but Not Overpriced.” The S&P index closed at 4,409.16 on June 16th, placing it at one standard deviation above the three-year mean (µ) of 4027.2 at the time.
On July 14th, the S&P settled at 4,505.42, up 100 points and +2.2% within a month. Market data has confirmed my bullish assessment. However, higher prices also mean that the index is getting more expensive now and edging closer to the “overpriced” territory.
The S&P reached its all-time high of 4796.56 on January 3rd, 2022. Current price level is just 5.7% below this record. It takes a lot to make the case for a new high. Everything needs to work out just right – inflation, employment, GDP, etc. It probably could happen somewhere down the road when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates.
Meanwhile, there are “less expensive” financial instruments to consider if you are looking for ways to allocate your asset.
On March 29th, I issued this trade idea – “Crypto Staged a Strong Comeback in Q1”. Cryptocurrencies rebounded strongly amid turmoil in the financial markets. Bitcoin and ETH gained 71% and 39% in Q1, respectively. The main driver was flight-to-safety when a series of US bank failures shocked the financial markets.
On July 16th, BTC/USD closed at $30,394, up $2,300 since I wrote the report, and gained 83% year-to-date. While this year’s crypto rebound has been remarkable, spot bitcoin price is still -$38,395, or -55.8% off its record high of $68,789.63.
Plotting BTC and E-Mini S&P 500 futures in a 5-year timeframe, we find that both reached their all-time high in the last two years. The S&P experienced a 20% drawdown last year, driven by high inflation and Fed rate hikes. It regained 26% from its October low when the fundamentals were reversed – lower inflation and the potential of Fed Pivot.
Bitcoin followed the same general trend as the S&P but is more speculative in nature. Bitcoin rose ten times in one year, only to crush by 80 percent in the following year. Since its November low, bitcoin price has nearly doubled, but it is only halfway to its recent high.
The Crypto Market Shrugged off its Biggest Fear
In the March 29th trade idea, I expressed concern about the unique risk in the Crypto market – the failure of systemic important infrastructure that could doom the entire market.
Last year, the collapses of stablecoin terraUSD, the No. 2 crypto Exchange FTX and crypto lender Silvergate sent spot bitcoin price from FWB:67K all the way to $16K. The entire Crypto market lost $1.4 trillion in market valuation.
Last month, the SEC sanctioned the largest crypto Exchange Binance for violations of US securities laws. Bitcoin pulled back a few percentage points and then quickly recovered. Why the market reacted coolly this time around? Unlike the sudden demise of FTX, the SEC charges to Binance were well anticipated. Investors absorbed the news and took actions in an orderly fashion, escaping a market panic.
In my view, investors have regained confidence in the crypto market, following all the turmoil.
Supporting my view is Coinbase’ YTD performance ( NASDAQ:COIN ). The publicly traded US Crypto Exchange has received multiple regulatory charges and lawsuits. However, its stock is up 214% YTD. Coinbase reportedly had 108 million users in 2022, up from 56 million in 2021.
The news headlines around BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF prospects boost institutional investor sentiment, too. Last Thursday, BlackRock's application to offer a spot Bitcoin ETF has been added to the official docket of the SEC as part of its proposed rule change process.
The large investor base in both individual and institutional markets will be a big catalyst to lift bitcoin higher in a secular bull market.
Micro BTC Futures
CME Micro BTC futures (MBT) is a low-cost trading tool to participate in the crypto market. Contract notional is 1/10 of 1 BTC. Initial margin is $760. What this means is a 400% leverage built in the futures contract. At market price of $30,235 per bitcoin, the $760 margin is equivalent to about 25% of the contract notional value of $3,023.50.
Micro BTC is trading in US dollars that tracks the bitcoin price index. Both the initial investment and the returns are in dollar terms. Traders do not need to worry about the security of their Crypto wallet or forgetting their privacy key.
While investing in the CME market, investors could rest assured that their money is free from default risk and counter-party risk. In its 175-year history, there was never a case of clearing member default resulting in a loss of customer fund.
Happy trading.
Disclaimers
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
ETH 2 Day TFIn the past 34 days, Ethereum has risen by 54% without experiencing a significant correction. It is predicted that there may be a 20% pullback before the price continues to rise. It is expected that the sell zone between 2297.3 and 2483.6 may trigger this pullback.
There are several factors that suggest Ethereum could experience significant price growth by the end of the year.
Decentralized Applications: Ethereum is not just a cryptocurrency, it's also a decentralized platform that allows developers to build and deploy decentralized applications (dApps) on top of it. This has led to a flourishing ecosystem of decentralized finance (DeFi) applications, non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and other innovative use cases.
Smart Contract Functionality: Ethereum's smart contract functionality enables developers to create and execute self-executing contracts that automatically execute when certain conditions are met. This has revolutionized industries such as supply chain management, real estate, and even gaming.
Strong Network Effect: Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization and has a large and active community of developers and users. This strong network effect means that Ethereum is likely to continue to be widely adopted and used, which could increase its value over time.
Scalability Improvements: Ethereum is undergoing a major upgrade called Ethereum 2.0, which aims to address some of the scalability issues that have plagued the platform. This upgrade is expected to make Ethereum faster, cheaper, and more efficient, which could make it an even more attractive coin to hold.
Overall, Ethereum's versatility, functionality, strong network effect, and ongoing improvements make it a good coin to hold for the long term. However, as with any investment, it's important to do your own research and consider your own risk tolerance before making any decisions.
BTC at the moment :Since October 26 until now, the price has varied between $20,000 and $29,500, with respect to the areas highlighted in the image. the price will go down to 20000 $ resist it or breaking it to the downside reaching 19350 $ as last resistance, for this to happen the price must break the last support shown in red, it will return to 20000 $; if the price tests the last resistance shown in red, it will break 20950 $ and rise and continue going higher . There is a big divergence on the RSI indicator as the price reaches the support of the price range. We must wait for the price to break previous lows.
UNFI - Making another breakout attemptHello, dear TradingView members.
This idea is a UNFI analysis.
UNFI made a 16% ascending move today, and now it's facing the resistance level.
The resistance level is the upper band of the same descending channel we once tried to break out.
There are two targets on the way up in case a breakout happens.
Scenario One:
The price will pass the channel and then get rejected once by resistance to make a confirmation.
Scenario Two:
The price will get rejected by the upper band and fall back on support.
The Speedometer indicator shows Buy volumes on the market for UNFI on a 1D interval.
Now have in mind: ANY news about this coin can cause a big pump or dump at this moment!
Let me know if you guys have any questions;
I will be more than happy to help.
Good luck, and thank you.
Ripple Trend Briefing - 26th March. 2022When looking at a combination of indicators on the 15-minutes chart for recently 48 hours that best represents Ripple's recent volatility, A kind of resistance lines was found. When examining the minimum threshold for MACD and RSI, it shows strong support at the $0.823 level near the drawn red line. Using the red line as a stepping stone, stock prices are currently active around the yellow line at the $0.827.
So, The red line ($0.823) is the latest line of resistance to price and is also the minimum safety line. The closer the price is to the red line, the more careful you will have to invest.
Currently, Red line and yellow line are close to each other, so the volatility of news can be maximized.
BTCUSDT Long2021 was year of crypto adoptation. With more than 60% of current market cap being institutional investment, it is unlikely to see btc plunge below 30k.
However, due to institutional involvement, we can now expect more fundamental impacts such as Nonfarm payroll, Consumer Price index, FOMC meeting minutes towards crypto market due to more mature investors being in play.
Far as what we can see, every level of critical support levels in btc was still respected before the drop. This can be observed at 57k, 52k, 46k, 40k and now 34k.
Recent swing low at 33k we saw immediate price action and a bounce back towards 37k within 24 hours. %K , %D made a upward cross over just above 10% stoch level. This can be a sign of possible recovery.
Things to look out for on January 26 and 27, FOMC meeting minutes and interest rate decisions may play a key role in keeping up the current recovery phase.
Hoping to see our weekly candle close above 38k, and previous fib level 23%, and I will re-evaluate my Dollar cost averaging .
**BTC** updateAs I have been mentioning for a few months now( refer to links below) , Bearish Bias remains and these are still my levels. Order flow is bearish MIDTERM, short term short scalps are acceptable, just be sure to have in on a tight leash, because overall order flow is Bearish on Breakouts or on PB's
Crypto Market Slides as Stocks Get Hammered, Bitcoin Falls BelowThe crypto market continued lower over the past 24 hours following a selloff led by technology stocks in the US on Thursday. The falling prices were accompanied by liquidations across the crypto market, with one analyst saying the leverage flush-out could potentially set the market up for a “relief rally.”
Here I show you my Reading expectations. Pur always stops. And Targets. Remember: After Trade is before the next trade.
You can be free. You can live and work anywhere in the world. You can be independent from routine and not answer to anybody.
ETHBTC Dang, I really did not expect an ETH break just yet.
This makes me have different thoughts about the extension of this bull run (see my BTC.D graph for that quick wrap up).
So anyway, I have my resistance levels as seen on the graph.
I expect BTC maybe to have a chill out time, for the moment, whilst ETH takes the show away for a bit here.
That's all for now fam. :)
UNIQLY (UNIQWETH) (HIGH RISK COIN)Hello folks,
Here at the lovely LE CLEC CAFE.
So, I got another small cap coin which I like the look of.
Their roadmap looks strong, with big words like METAVERSE, POLYGON and new CEX listings to come in this quarter and early next.
Higher Lows are a great sign at the moment on the daily. And a slight pick up in volume also. :)
Follow my remarks on the graph for very basic ideas with timestamps etc.
As always,
Have an extraordinary day, ladies and Gentlemen.
POLCUSD Just another Le Clec announcement.
So I'm really happy with Polka City at the moment! It is resting above the 1.5-1.8USD trending range which is a good bull sign. And this makes sense, considering the project has a couple of big CEX listing announcements to come this quarter, as well as the game launch 'in December'.
I recognise I am pretty emotional about this one, considering I bought at .1USD, and the team behind it are legends.
I will be taking out profits when we get to 7.5USD. (fingers crossed)
I think this may happen around the 8th of December according to what I see on the graph with the 'log' graph trend highs. Also, this I think is a good time for NFT markets to chill out a little, consolidate before having another shorter burst up with hype.
Finally, my strategy to get out of the market will be considered with an uptrend I confidently suspect we will see in December, with the CEX listing and/or the game launch... Maybe we don't hit 7.5USD, but we will likely hit an up thrust before breakdown (if we do) (with retail entering the market from the news)... So I will look here to take a large part of my position out if we break down below the overall 50% 1.5USD after seeing high volume wick up.
Thanks fam, good luck!!
XRPUSDT MAY GO LONG ACCORDING TO MY TECHNICALS (07/10/2021)Educational Analysis says XRPUSDT may go LONG according to my technical.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concern with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why long?
On 4HR AND 1HR timeframe pair is making lower high and higher high which make break of previous structure.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS.
ADDITIONAL CONFIRMATION FIB RATIO PRICE IS 0.5
AND FIB TREND RETRACEMENT IS 0.38
ENTRY 1.17035
STOP-LOSS 1.12067(0.04968 SATOSHI)
TAKE PROFIT 1.29147 (0.12112 SATOSHI)
RISK TO REWARD RATIO IS 1:2.45