CRUDE OIL (WTI) Technical Outlook & Price Action 🛢️
Hey traders,
I received a lot of questions about WTI Oil.
Analyzing a daily time frame,
since 77.0 level - current year's high was reached,
the market started a nice correction cycle.
Trading in a local bearish trend from the beginning of July,
the price managed to form multiple bearish impulses setting lower lows and lower highs.
From 20th of July though the price is stuck on 65.0 level.
Setting two equal lows there, for now, the price didn't manage to break that.
However, the lower highs that the price keeps setting, signify a bearish accumulation.
Be prepared for a breakout attempt of the underlined yellow support
and sell the market after a daily candle close below that.
Next support will be 62.0 level.
For now, I wouldn't trade OIL,
Be patient and wait for a breakout first!
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Crude-oil
On OPEC & OILSince May 2021, S&P 500 has gained almost 10%, while Copper/Oil ratio has lost 52%; which means oil prices are relatively higher than the Global economic growth capacities.
IEA reported the same idea on Global OIL demand this week, which is totally in contrast with OPEC's demand assessments noted in it's August report.
Since these high prices are weighing on U.S. Trade Balance & causing inflationary pressures, White House has already reached OPEC for lower prices.
While OPEC is counting on strong Global growth to reach it's basket pricing, a failure on that could force the Cartel to cut it's prices; The bad scenario is a continued divergence between OPEC basket pricing & the global growth capacities, which could at last end in a pressure on World Economies which are already in ultra low Interest Rates & looming Tapering stages.
I believe the above divergence scenario has a little chance to happen, But still a possibility since OPEC miscalculation isn't new.
Whether OIL prices lower to match the world growth capacity or world recovery reach the high energy prices according to OPEC's anticipation, is to be judged by the unveiling Fundamental Factors including Delta variant outbreak & vaccines effectiveness.
However any prolonged divergent policy, despite being unlikely, could cause recessionary pressures.
CRUDE OIL - Detailed Video Analysis!Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Here is the top-down analysis for CRUDE OIL, feel free to request any pair/instrument or ask any questions in the comment section below.
Best of luck!
WTI POTENTIAL LONG SCENARIOCRUDE OIL is trading in a kind of a massive wedge
And now oil is falling down to retest the rising support and trendline around 68.00-69.00$
From the Support line expecting a local pullback
With the final target being the horizontal resistance above around 71.00 $!
Today is NON=Farm Payrolls and traders can see big movements.
If the OIl breaks the support on 68.00 , next target would e 63 $
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Crude Oil (CRUD) UpdatesQuick update on crud oil (the investment is on the "CRUD" ETC as you well know).
No fundamental news from OPEC, so let's analyze the chart, because we have reached an important point.
After the retracement practically lasted from 6 to 20 July, the price with a classic "V shape" is returning to the 5.80 area.
I highlighted a similar situation in the past when in May, after some profit-taking, there was a double top in the € 5 zone.
It is not certain but it is highly probable that such a situation will repeat itself when the price touches the previously mentioned level.
As far as I am concerned, I have already said that I consider the level of 8 € the real target, but obviously, we are talking about a raw material, very linked to what is happening in the world, in a moment of recovery, but recently threatened by the Delta variant. of the virus.
A very uncertain picture and the markets generally don't like uncertainty.
We must constantly follow the news and check that the price does not fall below the level of 5. 05 that I recently traced. In fact, this could mean a trend reversal and for many who may have an entry price close to that level (possible since it was a breaking point of an important resistance). a risk of a possible loss.
But by far, August 1st, the price has returned to the uptrend channel clearly visible on the chart, which I have drawn. This we know.
In an ideal scenario, there should be a strong break with a daily candle closing above 5.80. If accompanied by volumes it would be a clear signal of continuation of the trend.
In the event of a retracement, for those who have been investing for a long time, the most interesting levels to add positions are 4.577 (green line on the chart) and the SMA 200 moving average.
I remember that we are talking about a commodity, so the scenarios could change radically at a fundamental level, so if you were long, follow the economic calendar, the trend of the dollar, and the seasonality very carefully. however importance.
Lazy Bull
USDWTI H4 - Short SetupUSDWTI H4
Nice trading zones highlighted here. Clear bear trend on the H4 and D1, so we are trading the zones in line with the overall market trend.
We also have our D1 and H4 supply, depending on which instrument you're trading brent/crude.
Quite and attractive 6R potential on this one too. Hopefully resistance/supply holds and we start to see a nice bear continuation.
Crude Oil 4 hr chart.For more than a year, we can see where Crude Oil has been moving and it latest price. Our 160 WMA and smoothed technical indicators can show a beautiful trace over the chart. A nice daily chart can also be plotted to see its great trend. While no statement of continuation or a change in trend, just illustrating the general view of some recent history.
CRUDE OIL Swing Forecast! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in an uptrend
Making a spectacular recovery after the COVID crash
And there is still some way to go
However, a massive monthly resistance level is ahead
And it looks ironclad to me
Which makes me think that we will see a correction
That is long overdue, and judging by the nearest strong support level
The correction might be as big as 15% from the highs
Sell!
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🏛CRUDE OIL STRONG RESISTANCE|SHORT🔥
🏛CRUDE OIL has breached the broken trendline
That I mentioned in my previous analysis
Thus making it invalid within our analysis framework
Now, we can see that oil has almost hit a strong horizontal resistance
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the final target being a new rising wedge support
SHORT🔥
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CRUDE OIL Breakout Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL broke the rising support
As well as the horizontal support level
And now we are seeing a retest of the level
After which I think a further bearish move will follow
To the lower demand levels
Sell!
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Crude Oil Bulls Have Overstayed Their WelcomeCRUDE OIL has just completed an impulse-corrective wave cycle and has the potential to decline to $53/Barrel. That's a 15% decline from the current market price.
The advance the bulls enjoy from wave (A) low unfolded as a double ZigZag correction.
According to wave theory, the market will resume in the direction of impulse (five-wave) once a correction is completed.
The correction also perfectly enclosed within a parallel channel (flag) and the price has broken the market structure.
Any further rally must stay below the $67.03/barrel invalidation level.
It seems the bulls have really overstayed their welcome..
What's your view on Crude Oil? Let me know in the comment.
Thanks for reading,
Veejahbee.
CRUDE OIL Will Fall From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in a rising channel
And is retesting the horizontal resistance level
From where I am expecting a retracement
Back to the rising channel support
Sell!
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Crude oil. Wait for price to come to you.Whenever price for an instrument is accumulating we make to setups, long and short. Because let’s be real, no one know which direction it going to break. We can have a bias as I do,but really just never know. When a trend is happening this is different. You can be more successful picking direction and say trend is your friend in ick a reversal. But consolidation is more or last a crap shoot.
So here crude is accumulating. So I set up dondition where I enter long or where I enter short these levels are 65.60 and 65.14 respectfully. Also shown is tp 1 for both sides. My bias is short ( yea, I know) because condition overbought and price needs to get past strong Hull MA. But either way I am ready for a front entry (long) or rear entry (short) as they are called for contingent setups.
Safe and happy trading!
💜 Ms Bunny.
#WTI $66.80 to $65.80 in an instantThe EIA Crude inventory came out at 7:30 am.
Actual -7.990M Forecast -2.346M Previous 0.090M.
Very bullish for crude prices, reacted as expected until it hit $66.80 then slammed down. Overall...I expect the market to take out the $66.80 as we are now recovering. Still...one wild ride that happened in an instant!
CRUDE OIL Will Go Up Along Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading along the strong rising daily support
In what seems to be a narrowing channel
I am bullish on oil and I think it will retest the local high
And perhaps might go even higher
Buy!
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First an second target hit for Crude oil.See prior link below
I found that that making a setup with a trigger for both long and short makes me to not have a bias. I do what my set up says. In this trade my long trigger was hit so I took the trade and it worked out great. It is hard to go wrong with doing a short and long setup. Then you don’t worry about direction.
Let me know how you decide when your trigger is pulled.
❤️ Puckbunny
WTI Crude eyes a move above $62Crude is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle, as seen on the 4-hour chart.
A breakout looks likely as repeated failure on the part of the bears to keep prices below $59 since March 18 indicates the pullback has run its course.
A triangle breakout would open the doors for a move above $62.
A triangle breakdown should be viewed with caution due to persistent bear failure below $59 seen in recent weeks.