Crude-oil
Crude oil - another warning message for the marketsAfter almost two month period of consolidations, CL1! is breaking down from bear flag, indicating high probability of significant decline (10-20%) to 30$ level ahead.
But what is more important I think, breakdown in crude oil acts as another hint of what to expect from risky assets going forward, and clear warning sign that more downside in equities should be expected.
Crude Oil bounces at 36.63 to retest the 38.66 zoneLast week Crude oil closed bearish for the week, retesting 36.63. This week I’m lookin for more bearish momentum and possible continuation to the downside. If price can close below 36.63, next target will be 34.51.
If you have any questions please feel free to comment below.
Crude oil On the top, we can see a rising wedge and we already break out the resistance line.
waiting for 23.6-32.8% level Fibonacci
The additional shift of workers to remote work is a bad prospect for the oil industry. This means that tens of millions of people in developed countries will greatly reduce the movement of their cars.
Only this factor for 2021 means a decrease in world oil demand by 0.4-0.8 million barrels per day (or 0.4-0.8% of oil consumption).
Best regards EXCAVO
Brent Crude: Watch recovery for sellThe long awaited correction in oil has kicked off as we got beautiful impulse down with all 5 waves visible and clear.
It could be a wave A of (2). And I expect some recovery soon as another short opportunity.
The next leg target will be updated upon completion of the wave B.
The wave 5 of A is still in progress and could drop lower.
Bearish Idea on Crude Oil Consider this just an idea, IF the scenario happens, we will have an interesting setup to take, and if not, we don't do anything, and that's always good for your trading capital.
Main items we can see on the chart:
a) The price was inside a compression
b) Currently, we can see a bearish breakout of the previous structure
c) This doesn't mean that the price should start a new bearish trend. The price has been on a bullish movement since APRIL; we need confirmations first.
d) That's the reason we will wait for a clear pullback to the broken structure. IF that happens, we will trade towards the next support zone.
WTI Crude Oil: Long-term Buy OpportunityOil just broke the 4H MA200 which hasn't been touched since May 3rd. The chart is close to turning oversold (RSI = 29.01, MACD = -0.170, ADX = 32.681) so it is natural to see some buying now, especially as the Higher Low trend-line of the June Channel Up was almost touched (the dashed Channel). If it holds, we expect 42.00 - 42.50. If it breaks, we will halt buying until the price tests the top of the 37.50 - 37.00 Support Zone. Also, as you see the 4H RSI follows a very specific Channel Down pattern, and if that test happens to be within the RSI 24.90 - 19.00 levels, then the buy will be even stronger.
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