Crude-oil
Crude looks bearishClues
(1) ascending wedge in downtrend is bearish (but agreeably the next major trend is bullish)
(2) price where a large resistance line exists and a former support line is now acting as resistance
I think it would be wiser to wait and buy when price goes back down to the stronger trend support line (in black).
That said, any short position here should have a tight stop.
Bear
Here is how I envision the short trade to go if you were to take it right now.
Bull
Here is the bullish case - buying the breakout retest.
Crude Oil Fib LevelLast week Crude Oil sentiment was a bearish one. Looking at the chart, we can expect a continuation of bearish sentiment going into next week. Perhaps on the latter part of the week, we could reach demand level; Therefore we expect price to push back to $73 in the following week.
Have a great weekend, folks!
Cheers!
Will Crude Retrace its Surprise Gains?Crude made a surprise bounce on Wednesday, despite a big build in offical inventory data. There are some fundamentals that weighing on the supply side. However, on a technical level I feel we are now bearish in the short-term.
The two high volume areas are $68 and $71.
Price will react sharply at $69.50, and as such I'm looking for a test of $69.50, before a retrace back to $68 in the next 48 hours.
Crude Oil Settle at the low $70.60 T'was a bad day for the bulls in crude. But the good news is the uptrend still intact. Hence, why I believe in the old adage: "The trend is your friend", or the like, "It's only a trend until it bends". Today crude fell after what seemingly appear as a bullish report. Let's not talk about fundamentals at all, but looking at the crude chart we see that it found support at $70.60 level - also in a buy zone. As volatile as this market, anything can happen. "Be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy" ~ W.B.
Happy Trading, folks!
Cheers!
Crude oil projectionIt seems we are going to have some steep runs...I project a steep run to 84 dollars per barrel, then a drop to retest head and shoulders neckline (as it did so in the past pattern), second run up to the fib circle and Gann angle. And then a fast drop to 30 dollars per barrel (trendline) down through the neckline. Many clues have been drawn from the past pattern behaviour. I locked the scale, as its important all the drawing tools and lines stay in the same place. You can move the chart around though.
A Good Day To Trade WTI Crude Oil - EIA Report & OPEC Meeting UpI'm speculating that the inventory draw by 2.1 million is already priced in. Therefore, the oil prices may drop on the release of EIA report. That being said, I will be looking to stay bullish above $65.02 to target $66 before the release of news today. All the best and stay tuned for updates. Keep following!
WTI Crude oil. Don't miss this Bear Flag!Crude oil broke below long term support (white) and we see the healthy pullback in the making.
This move shaped the favorite Bear Flag pattern with a Low Risk / High Return potential.
Wait to sell on the breakdown.
Target area is set within the orange box per Fibbo levels.
I guess it's 5 of (1) in terms of EW.
Take care!
ESV Going For The 8.3$-8.4$ Range Short TermESV looks like is starting the fifth impulsion wave, already gone through the 0.382 and 0.618 retracements of the previous high. Using both the levels of 1.618 retracement and 1 extension, my guess is that ESV will be trading in that range short term.
Brent (UKOIL) - Targets For The Next 2 Days: 77.81$ to 78.95$After failing my targets for today, I am pushing them with some slight modifications for the next couple of days. The day covered action between the 0.382 and 0.618 retracement levels of B to C, and finished right above the 0.618 of 5 to C. My target zone is now between the level 1 of B to C, 0.618 & 0.786 of 5 to C, and the 0.236 extension of 1 to 5. A reversed H&S also seems to be forming. Mid-term analysis remains in play, I think we are already the first impulse wave of a new cycle which should take us above 80$ again.
Brent Crude Oil: Possible Ending Diagonal at Triple ResistanceBrent Crude reached the triple resistance area around 80 level.
I spotted Ending Diagonal EW pattern for you to highlight the possible finish of the current upmove.
Watch the support of the pattern.
Once the price breaks below it then it could be a nice selling opportunity.