Crude-oil
OPEC Secretary-General Affirms Resilient Oil Demand
OPEC Secretary-General Affirms Resilient Oil Demand
OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais stated at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on Thursday that oil demand remains resilient. "It's crucial to stay focused on the fundamentals," he emphasized. "Economic growth, supply, and demand are what drive our decisions."
Al-Ghais noted that global demand increased by 2.3 million barrels per day in the first quarter, typically the weakest quarter due to global refinery maintenance. He anticipates continued strong demand in the coming months, particularly with the uptick in summer travel.
Saudi Energy Minister Dismisses Bearish Response to OPEC+ Deal, Confident Market Will Adjust
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman dismissed the market's bearish reaction to OPEC+'s decision to gradually phase out voluntary output cuts, expressing confidence that the market will adjust. "Give it a day or two, reality will set in," he stated at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on Thursday. He criticized some banks and media outlets for their narratives around the meeting and reaffirmed that OPEC+ made the right decision. "I know that we did the best job," he asserted.
The OPEC+ meeting initially triggered an oil selloff, exacerbated by short selling and movements in the options market, as traders worried about potential oversupply. However, Abdulaziz emphasized that OPEC+ retains the flexibility to pause or reverse production increases based on market conditions.
OIL OUTLOOK
Oil prices increased early as we mentioned, recovering from a four-month low, which was the lowest point since February. This drop was attributed to an unexpected surge in U.S. stockpiles, indicating softer demand than anticipated.
Technically:
The price has stabilized within the bearish zone, having already corrected the previous barrier which is 75.39. This suggests a continuation of the bearish trend, with potential targets at 72.500 and 70.570. A further break below 72.500 could lead the price down to 70.570.
Conversely, if the price stabilizes above 75.400, it may indicate a bullish trend, potentially reaching up to 78.070.
Pivot line: 75.390
Support lines: 72.50, 70.57, 68.12
Resistance lines: 76.80, 78.07, 79.35
The movement range will be between support 70.57 and Resistance 76.80
previous idea:
OIL (WTI) - 4H Three PushThe WTI Oil 4H chart displays a classic bullish reversal pattern, often referred to as the "three pushes" or "three drives" pattern. This pattern is characterized by three distinct attempts by the market to push lower, each attempt being met with increasing buying interest. The current setup shows that after three downward pushes, the price has started to rebound, indicating a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
The price action has recently broken above the upper boundary of the descending wedge, which suggests a weakening bearish trend and the possibility of a new bullish phase. The target for this bullish movement could be around the $84 level, where previous resistance lies. Traders should watch for continued higher highs and higher lows to confirm the upward trajectory, and consider long positions as the price action aligns with this bullish reversal signal.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Neutral on 4H but at the top of the Channel Down.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 44.657, MACD = -0.100, ADX = 42.834) as it has been trading sideways since the start of the month. Nonetheless, it got rejected yesterday at the top of the Channel Down and the 4H MA100, was where it got rejected last time on April 26th. We are short, aiming a the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 73.20).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
OIL (WTI) - 4H Sell SetupIn the past hours, OIL (WTI) experienced a sharp rise driven by news of Iran's president's death, which significantly impacted market sentiment.
This surge allowed OIL to break above the bearish channel and catch the liquidity over the resistance zone, as illustrated on the chart.
However, despite this upward spike, the price action suggests that OIL may continue its downward trajectory within the descending channel.
Traders should monitor this closely as the price looks set to resume its fall, adhering to the prevailing bearish trend.
The liquidity hunting above the resistance zone indicates potential for further declines as the market reverts to its established downward path.
CRUDE OIL Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL has made a
Retest of the rising support
Line and it is making
A bullish rebound so
Our local bullish bias
Is confirmed and we will
Be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
USO: Heading down to 200MAUSO (crude oil ETF) is trending down toward its 200-day moving average, coinciding with a previous pivot up within this range and slightly below it. This commodity tends to make dramatic moves so wouldn't be surprised if it made a sudden drop along the way and then bounced, but the channel range may serve as the upper bound. Until it can break free of this sideways or downward price action is more likely.
Why Is Today's Low Crucial For Crude Oil?Crude Oil (June)
Yesterday’s close: Settled at 82.15, down 2.68
June WTI Crude Oil futures are now front month and our levels are updated below. A sharp move, in this case the two-day drop, is not uncommon during times of roll and post option expiration as Crude Oil tends to cleanse positioning. With geopolitics front and center as the weekend approaches, major three-star support was tested head on at 80.78-81.06. This aligns with the gap close and gap open after a pennant consolidation from March 20th through March 27th.
Bias: Neutral/Bullish
Resistance: 82.70-82.82**, 83.32-83.44***, 84.01-84.39***
Pivot: 82.01-82.15
Support: 81.45**, 80.78-81.11***, 80.12***, 78.80-79.02***, 78.01-78.43
Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com
Disclaimers:
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOIL Nearing Resistance Trendline Area: Breakout or Pullback?USOIL prices have been on an upward trend in recent weeks, driven by supply concerns and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The price has approached a key resistance trendline area, where a breakout or pullback could occur.
If the price breaks above the resistance trendline area, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend, with potential targets at 93.21 and higher. A breakout could be fueled by further supply disruptions or escalating geopolitical tensions
Alternatively, the price could pull back before breaking out. A pullback could find support at the 67-70 levels. If the price rebounds from support and breaks above the resistance trendline, it would still be considered bullish.
CRUDE OIL Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is making a local
Bearish correction but the
Price will soon retest a
Horizontal support level
Around 80$ per barrel
From where we will be
Expecrting a bullish
Reaction, as Oil is trading
In an local uptrend
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
CRUDE Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & Unusual Market Volume Detector (UMVD) Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
--------------------
1-15-2024
DN trend with Red TrapZone but Green UMVD at the moment. Price has not retraced deep to the top of the TrapZone and we have RED Bars indicating strong downward price momentum