Crude
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci supportWTI oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards a pullback support level at 75.89 that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level which has been identified as a pivot point. Could price bounce off this level and potentially climb higher towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 75.89
Support: 73.45
Resistance: 80.79
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (XTIUSD) is falling towards a pullback support level at 77.21 which has been identified as a pivot point. Could price bounce off this level and potentially climb higher towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 77.21
Support: 75.84
Resistance: 80.04
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) has just bounced off a pullback support and could potentially climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 77.293 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 75.600 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 79.914 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Huge sell long term and this is why.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its technical outlook across the three different long term timeframes 1D, 1W and 1M (RSI = 50.461, MACD = 2.330, ADX = 15.020). The latter is the timeframe that we are looking at on this chart and as you can see, Oil is inside a Triangle pattern, which inside the 17 year Channel Down is the pattern that consolidates the price before a major selloff to its bottom.
The similarities on the RSI sequences is further proof, so on the long term we are bearish on WTI (TP = 10.00), whose upside is limited to the 95.50 Resistance.
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Approaching overlap supportWTI oil (XTIUSD) has ranged between 78.09 and 80.79 since 28th February. It is falling towards an overlap support level at 78.09 which has been identified as a pivot point. Could price bounce off this level once again and potentially climb higher towards the 1st resistance?
Pivot: 78.09
Support: 76.26
Resistance: 80.79
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 78.007 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 76.800 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 80.834 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USOIL getting positioned for more gains? Yesterday, OPEC and its allies announced plans to extend a voluntary oil production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day through June 2024. Currently, the USOIL trades near $80.20 per barrel, and its structure is undergoing a significant change. Since late November 2023, the USOIL has traded predominantly sideways between $70 and $80 per barrel. However, last week, it broke above the resistance at $79.25 and established a new high in more than three months. By doing so, the USOIL formed an ascending channel, which is a bullish structure. In addition to that, the ADX started to tick slightly higher on the daily chart, suggesting the trend might be gaining bullish momentum. On top of that, technical indicators (on the daily chart), including RSI, MACD, and Stochastic, all turned to the upside, which is yet another bullish sign. Finally, it looks like the USOIL might be awakening and getting positioned for more gains in the short-term and medium-term future.
Illustration 1.01
While OPEC and its allies are cutting oil production, the United States is doing the opposite; in fact, the U.S. crude oil production rose approximately 10% in 2023.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bullish (weak trend)
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Decision Ahead 🛢️
Crude Oil is currently testing a wide horizontal supply area.
Its bullish breakout may trigger a strong bullish movement.
Daily candle close above 80.8 will confirm a violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 82.4 level then.
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WTI Oil H1 | Approaching pullback supportWTI oil (USOUSD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 79.694
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 79.048
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 80.963
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CRUDE OIL Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL broke a strong
Key horizontal level of 79.61$
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are now bullish biased
And I will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
Buy!
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WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 77.912 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 77.000 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 79.523 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI OIL: Bearish more likely long term.WTI Oil is neutral on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 51.426, MACD = -0.040, ADX = 21.884) as it is about to close the third straight week trading sideways on the 1W MA50. On this long term chart, we can clearly see that the price hasn't crossed over the R1 level (79.75) since November 13 2023. As long as it keeps closing the 1W candle under it, we are bearish aiming at the 1W MA200 (TP = 73.50), which has been the ultimate Support in tha past few years, closing all 1W candles above it (see the circles). If on the other hand the 1W candle closes over the R1 level, expect a 83.50 test of the Symmetrical Resistance and 1W MA100, which is a Resistance level only crossed once since December 2022.
The 1W RSI trend looks like October 2022 (over the RSI's MA), which was a pattern that was followed by a strong decline. Consequently, we will sell one more time if the 1W candle closes under the 1W MA200 and target near the S1 Zone (TP = 65.00).
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WTI Oil H1 | Potential bullish bounce off overlap supportWTI oil (USOUSD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 78.046
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 77.322
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that sits under the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 79.694
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Futures market backwardation suggests a sluggish outlookDefying our expectations, the West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose above $75 and began to form a rectangle pattern between $76.16 and $79.25 (following a breakdown of negotiations between Israel and Hamas). Currently, the USOIL is trading near the lower bound of this range, which also coincides with the 20-day SMA that acts as an alternative support level. On the daily timeframe, the MACD performed a bearish crossover, and RSI with Stochastic reversed to the downside. Simultaneously, the ADX continued lower, indicating a lack of any trend. Yet, despite that, the futures contracts continue to trade backward, which suggests the market’s sluggish outlook for the oil’s future price.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the USOIL’s daily chart and simple support/resistance levels.
Illustration 1.02
The MACD line and signal line performed a bearish crossover. However, they are still within the bullish area above the midpoint.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Neutral
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.