A potential buying opportunity in oilOil broke through another resistance level and now faces another resistance level at 73.00, which is also the meeting point of the upper trend line of the local ascending channel. Wait for it to rebound to retest the previously broken level at 71, where it will also meet the 38.20 Fibonacci level and a local upward trend line. If any signs of a reversal appear from there, it could be a buying opportunity up to 74.30.
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Crude
CRUDE OIL Another Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL has confirmed
Our bearish outlook on the
Price direction because
Oil broke a support cluster
Of the rising and horizontal
Support levels which is now
A supply cluster therefore
More downside on oil
Is to be expected in
The coming weeks
Sell!
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Crude Oil (WTI): Massive Zone to Watch Next Week 🛢️
Crude Oil has recently broken a massive horizontal demand cluster.
70.0 - 74.0 is the zone that was a key structure support and that was respected multiple time in the recent past.
After a breakout, the underlined area turned into a supply zone.
Probabilities will be high that the next bearish wave will initiate from that.
Goal - 66.3
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WTI Crude Oil - Prospective positional short tradeWTI Crude Oil has completed a nice Head and Shoulders pattern breakdown in the weekly chart and has retested the breakdown zone. Currently cruising at around $67. It is comfortably placed below yearly pivot. Currently the developing yearly CPR is posing a big resistance which possibly could push the price lower. It has also gone down below the yearly virgin pivot and poised to move towards the next yearly virgin pivot at around $37 which is possibly my first target. The target based on head and shoulders pattern is around $23-$25 zone. A move above $82 will invalidated this view and will be out of my position.
⚡️UPDATE: OIL PRICE, 21 March 2023My last update was over 1.5 months ago.
I was looking for a continuation of the downtrend in the price of Oil down to the mid-60s area. I expected this to happen soon or after a period of side-ways movement.
Subsequently, Oil proceeded to trade sideways and in recent days has reached the support level as outlined in the chart.
We should expect strong support around this area. Extending back to 2019, this area has acted as both support and resistance on numerous occasions.
📉 A strong move below this area could see an acceleration in the pace of the downtrend with Mid-40s being the next stopping point. The narrative/rationale for such a move would be a collapse in inflation expectations/demand destruction due to the current banking crisis and flow on effects.
📈 A bounce higher is also possible. An outsized bounce would signal a change of behaviour that may result in a trend reversal. On the other hand, a minor bounce would not change the bearish trend and we should expect 📉 as outlined above.
Last time: 7th Feb 2023
No change of opinion. Looks to be headed lower. Currently moving in a choppy sideways pattern (horizontal green arrow) . There are currently no reversal signs such as a large bullish candle or significant bounce - the scale of which will need to surpass the Oct 2022 short-term rally.
In the short-term, prices can move higher to the upper range of the current side-ways movement or just simply fail to the downside. I don't forsee a long period of consolidation.
The medium-term price target is still the mid-$60s. That's the strongest immediate support zone.
DYOR, not investment advice.
UKOIL🛢️ macro movesBrent Crude Oil : Multiyear(2015-2022) inverted Head and Shoulders triggered at the beginning of this year. Price broke the major downtrendline and subsequently iH&S neckline at 87 (lime) and then skyrocketed to 138. Now pulling back down to the neckline. We could actually see the backtest of the major downtrendline and dip into the S/R Zone 76-68. This would be great buying opportunity. Price shouldn't get much below right shoulder (65.8), otherwise the setup would be invalidated. Will set SL to 60, Target 157.
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⚠️Disclaimer: I'm not financial advisor. This is not a financial advice. Do your own due dilingence.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Found Support on the 1W MA200.WTI Crude Oil has been on a long term downtrend since March 2022 and the heights of the Russian/Ukraine war. The 1W time frame technically turned bearish (RSI = 39.105, MACD = -5.090, ADX = 26.852) but the price just entered the S1 Zone, while making contact with the 1W MA200 for the first time since February 2021.
This is a heavy Support Zone and the fact that last week's candle closed over the 1W MA200, amplifies it. Target a little under the 1D MA50 (TP = 75.00).
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gold market strategic outlook bulls will target 2500 usdHello traders, today let's review a higher tf gold price chart.
Noteworthy compression into expanding triangle setup
in progress on 4days/candle price chart. Normally, this
is a bullish continuation pattern, since previously we
were in strong uptrend.
So overall, strong bull run in progress,
and the bear scenario was recently invalidated after heavy
reversal off the double bottom formation near 1625 USD.\
Heavy resistance overhead at 2 000 USD will likely provide
a pullback opportunity for the bulls, however this resistance
was tested twice already, so final re-test and then expect
resistance to break.
Based on measured move projection, bulls will target 2500 USD,
which is 40% gains setup after the pullback (entry near 1700/1740 USD).
Bulls should remain patient and not chase the current move,
short-term traders can focus on buying dips targeting 2000 USD.
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Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Oil prices start to rebound, go long?Oil prices bottomed out and rebounded on Thursday, ending a three-day decline. Earlier, there were reports that Saudi Arabia and Russia met to discuss how to strengthen market stability. The two countries continue to promise to abide by the decision to reduce their production target by 2 million barrels per day by the end of 2023; helped by a strong rebound in the financial sector, US stocks closed sharply higher and also boosted oil prices.
However, the risk of spread between banks still makes investors nervous, suppressing their appetite for assets such as commodities, because they fear that further rout may trigger a global recession and reduce oil demand.In addition, market concerns about oversupply still cast a shadow over the outlook for the oil market.The IEA said on Wednesday that commercial oil stocks in developed OECD countries have hit an 18-month high, and Russia's oil production in February remained near the level before the war in Ukraine, despite sanctions on maritime exports.
From the trend point of view, oil prices have recorded a longer downward K-line for two consecutive trading days, suggesting strong downward support. On Thursday, a doji was recorded. The technical indicators are close to issuing an oversold signal. There is still a possibility of short-term volatility in oil prices. Bottoming out; however, before regaining the 70 mark, oil prices as a whole are still running in the air.At present, the initial resistance is near 70. If this position can be further recovered, it will increase the bullish signal in the future.
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OIL STILL TO REDUCE PRICE TO LAST YEAR'S LOWWhy this?
Price is approaching a high resistance zone and might surpass February's high, then move to the yearly highs of 82.50 giving a false bullish move and then sell more.
We can also spot the continuation pattern that shows price agreement tothe downside.
Where am I expecting price to sell to?
Well the lows of 2022 which is 70.00.
Please do share, and give a follow to support.
US Oil - Last downward leg - Pt.3Hello traders!
In previous posts (links in description) we argued about how we believe Oil to be in a cycle corrective wave after big impulse from covid low.
We believe this corrective move is unfolding as a triple three targeting the GZ, and confluence zone, in the 56-63 area.
This is a big picture of this macro view
A great long opportunity will later come in oil, that we will be able to discuss in the future.
But first, we expect another leg down.
As showed in the main chart, we believe the last ABC of the triple three to be in the making, with a triangolar wave B that may be concluded. We will update here for possible short setups.
Bests
GMR
ukoil 8h chart broke down 15% correction warningUKOIL 8hour chart review/outlook. Broke key s/r recently
so expecting weakness next 4-8 weeks. Previously compression
intro triangle pattern and sequence of higher lows was
invalidated recently with break of 83.50 USD.
sequence of higher lows at 76.50 and 79.85, but broke
down with recent sell side pressure mounting due to
US banking crisis. Based on measured move price projection
bears will target 69.50 USD, so this is a 15% correction off
the base of the triangle patter setup.
Recommended strategy: short sell rips/rallies and exit
final TP at 69.50 on sell side.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.