CRUDE OIL Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CURDE OIL made a pullback
From the horizontal resistance
Level of 79$ and then broke
The rising support line
So we are locally bearish
Biased now and we will
Be expecting a move down
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Crudeoil!
Oil: Thoughts and Analysis. Resistance Continues!Today's focus: Oil
Pattern – Resistance re-hold
Support – $77.21, $76.30
Resistance – $78.85
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Oil on the daily chart.
Today, we have broken down how we see price and key levels. Once again, we have seen resistance re-hold and a new move lower after tests failed. Will we see a new move lower traders as we have seen in the past after buyers failed to break resistance? Or will we see the current trend hold and a new test and break of resistance eventuate?
Good trading.
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?😳 (2D TF UPDATE)Oil moving very smooth in our predicted direction! While it'll be a loss for majority of the public who suffer from higher Oil prices, we'll be profiting as we've managed to get in on the right side of the market📈
Buyers still holding strong, making sellers fail in taking out the previous Wave 4 low. GET INTO LONG TERM OIL POSITIONS NOW!
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?😳 (12H UPDATE):Oil moving very smooth in our predicted direction! While it'll be a loss for majority of the public who suffer from higher Oil prices, we'll be profiting as we've managed to get in on the right side of the market📈
Buyers still holding strong, making sellers fail in taking out the previous Wave 4 low. GET INTO LONG TERM OIL POSITIONS NOW!
#202408 - a weekly priceaction market recap and outlook - oilGood evening and i hope you are well.
I try to keep it simple stupid (KISS) here with my chart this week.
bull case: bulls created a credible bottom around 70 and the buying pressure is there to get to 80 for the first time since 2023-11-07. There is a measured move target from the first leg i drew to around 82, the upper wedge trend line goes there and the big bear trend line starting from 2022-03 goes into that area as well. Decent enough probabilities if bulls can trade above 80 to also get to 82.
bear case: Bears see it as a trading range and bulls did not have a weekly close above 80 since 2023-11. They want a continuation of the range and sell everything above 78 because it has been working for 4 months now. Their first target is to trade below 77 and then a retest of the daily 20ema at 75. Bears have confidence in their assessment, because the bull legs in this trading range look much weaker than the bear legs.
outlook last week: “sideways (odds favor a small pullback) then up for targets 79-81”
→ Market was at 76.61 and is now at 78.46, so a good outlook since we got a decent dip to 75.6 before a big rally to 78.46
short term: sideways to up - invalid below 75
medium-long term: sideways inside the big triangle, above 80 odds favor bulls to get to the upper bear trend line around 82-84
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
WTI OIL on critical crossroads long-term. Rejection or breakout?WTI Oil (USOIL) is being rejected once more on the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). Even though we are constructing this analysis on the 1W time-frame, in order to utilize the long-term dynamics and stress the importance of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) as the long-term Support for exactly 3 years (since the weekly break-out of February 01 2021), the key that makes all the difference on the medium-term is the 1D MA100.
The reason is that with the exception of the April 03 2023 and July 10 2023 1W candles, all other tests on the 1D MA100 were emphatically rejected, closing the weekly below it and kick-started multi-week downtrends.
As a result, as long as WTI is closing below the 1D MA100, we are bearish on the short-term, targeting the 1W MA200 again at 73.00. Those who want to take more risk can extend selling to the top of the 3-year Higher Lows Zone (green circles) at 69.50, even though that would be the long-term buy entry with the lowest risk.
If the price closes a candle above the 1D MA100, we will buy the break-out and target the bottom of the (red) Symmetrical Resistance Zone at 82.50, which is marginally below the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the (blue) consolidation pattern. Similarly, if 1W closes a candle above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which has only broken and closed above once since November 2022, we will buy that (2nd) break-out and target the bottom of the upper (red) Symmetrical Resistance Zone at 92.50 but with moving the SL constantly higher.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
a daily price action after hour update - oilGood evening and i hope you are well.
wti crude oil
This chart is obviously the hardest because big trading range for a long time where market is absolutely neutral and both sides have all the arguments for their case.
bull case: Strong enough rally to 78 and they want to print 80 for a higher high. They will probably give up below 75.5 and try again around 70. Again.
bear case: Bears did what they had to and kept it under last weeks high to form a lower high. They now need follow through below 75.5 to make a lower low and that’s where the stop for most bulls is and another short signal for the bears.
short term: down - invalid above 79.3
medium-long term: sideways until clear break of range between 70-80
trade of the day: shorting the double top with yesterdays high 78.47 and adding on to shorts on pullbacks. 15m 20ema was money today
WTI Crude OilHI Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
The way I told you, you have to trade like this and you will have more profit always and you will not be a loss.
a daily price action early hour update - oilGood morning and i hope you are well.
wti crude oil
bull case: Bulls still have the 80 target in sight and they are buying all pullbacks. The uptrend is weakening but i think then can get there. The 1h 20ema is holding pretty good and we are right at it. So it's a buy. The drawn wedge could get us there but bulls have more trend lines below which can hold. Last time bulls got near 79, bears surprised and trapped many late bulls. I don't expect something different for now.
Invalid below 77.
bear case: Bears look at higher timeframes and it's a big trading range. We are in the upper third and they sell the highs because they made money the last times they did it. Until bulls get consecutive big bull bars above 80, odds favor a continuation of this trading range 70-80. I doubt bears will die defending 78/79 and we will probably at least reach last weeks high 77.29 or 80 before more profit taking by the bulls and shorting by the bears unfold.
short term: up to 79/80 before sideways to down
medium-long term: Sideways until clear break of range between 70-80
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Crude Oil May Have Found Medium Term Bottom @ 68Crude oil price showing strength!
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
OIL BULLISH MORE !!HELLO FRIENDS!!
As I can see USOIL is now trading above the uptrend line and it will be more bullish because of Asian Demand and War in Middle East Technically also it showing us clear view that it is holding above the support level and trading in bullish trend after a small reversal we expecting more buys in USOIL Trade As you can see our pervious entry on USOIL is preforming great job chart is attached in comment and we are loading more bags on this after a little Dip Friends Geopolitical Issue vs Supply & Demand is a clear view for Oil Prices It's just a trade Idea share Ur thoughts with us it help many other traders Stay Tuned for more updates.
Oil to Clear 79.00 Big FigCurrently watching Crude Futs (NYMEX) to clear an Intermediate term High at 79.00 Big Fig.
As my mentor says...
"To & Through"
Reasons:
Crude Bullish Seasonally until march/April (Possible Quarterly Shift to downside)
Commercials Net LONG
DXY Bullish
Failed to break lower on Daily (Indicating to me higher prices are in order)
HTF MMSM, however Long in play to clear Buyside before reversing above highs & clearing distribution leg Sellside
HTF (Daily):
Expecting BSL to be ran and staying Bullish until trend broken & IOF Turns Bearish (Should happen above Highs)
H4:
Expecting a retracement into Internal Range Liquidity as outlined to target External Range Liquidity (Markets are booked like this, in a form of "Handshaking")
LTF:
Tuesday Feb 13th: US CPI
Weds Feb 14th: US Crude Oil Inventories
If Bias is correct and Weekly candle is due to expand to upside, I'd be looking for Tuesday to Form Weekly Low & take Longs Wednesday NY IF my model plays out.
WTI OIL Bullish reversal very likely here.WTI Oil (USOIL) gave us one of the best bullish break-out signals two weeks ago (see chart below):
Since almost touching the 79.75 Resistance, the price pulled back significantly and hit (even marginally breached but never closed) the bottom of the 2-month Channel Up. With the 4H RSI making a Bullish Cross, which was the absolute Buy Signal on the previous two Higher Lows of the Channel Up (January 03 2024 and December 13 2023), we see the start of the new Bullish Leg very likely here.
A break above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) should complete the buy signal. As long as that's the case, we will be bullish targeting a +14.41% rise at $81.50 (such as the one that peaked on the January 28 2024 Higher High). If the recent Low breaks, it would mean that the price will be going for a bearish extension such as December 2023 (yellow pattern). In that case we will take a quick sell and target Support 1 at $69.30.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MarketBreakdown | GBPUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, CRUDE OIL
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #GBPUSD daily time frame 🇬🇧🇺🇸
The price is currently approaching an expanding supply area
that is based on a broken horizontal support and a broken rising trend line.
Probabilities will be high that we will see a bearish reaction to the underlined blue area.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The market has recently broken a major falling trend line.
We see its retest now.
We may anticipate a bullish movement from that.
3️⃣ USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The pair broke and closed above a solid falling trend line.
The last resort for sellers is a key horizontal resistance.
If the market breaks and closes above that, a bullish reversal will confirmed.
4️⃣ WTI CRUDE OIL daily time frame 🛢️
The price nicely respected a rising trend line that I shared with you earlier.
I think that we may expect a bullish continuation from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
If crude oil breaks down then USD can stop at resistanceHey guys,
Crude oil came down recently, which can help inflation to come down as well if energy market will continue to decline. In fact I see nice bearish pattern, so my assumption is that US yeilds and USD can be trading at resistance.
In this video I will also look at the chart of the 10 year US yeilds where I see greater chance for a drop to 3% rather than rally back to 5%.
Hope you will enjoy the content.
Grega
Update: Here is the fundamental and TA for Crude oil PricesWednesday we had inventory reports that showed an increase in US oil production combined with the feds hawkish interest rate sentiment which sent prices deep into discount. OPEC did announce they will be cutting oil production while US supply did increase apparently, US production has slowed down the last 18months. I believe next week this will start to reflect in the Crude oil inventory report, if economic data starts lessen it will give us a strong push to the upside amid the rising tension in the middle east (OPEC cuts and Nile attacks).
source:
www.nasdaq.com