Crude Oil Correction - Bearish Scenario (4H)Brent Crude Oil Forecast 🛢️ TVC:UKOIL
Recent sessions saw a surge in Brent crude futures, hitting the top of a descending channel and undergoing huge correction currently. This paves the way for potential fall from 82.00 to 80 then 79.
The bearish trend remains strong as price got rejected from the 100-day moving average (4H timeframe). A break above 83 could signal bullish move.
Note: Keep an eye on unexpected movements due to Fed's meeting minutes and ongoing conflict between Palestine and Israel.
Support lines: 80.00
Resistance lines: 83.00
Comment down below your thoughts about my analysis, Thank you!
Crudeoil!
4H OIL: Thoughts and Analysis Today's focus: USOUSD
Pattern – Continuation 4H
Support – 76.77
Resistance – 77.64 - 78.20
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update. Today, we are looking at USOUSD on the 4H chart.
Today's video asks if USOUSD can continue to hold above support and start a new continuation backing in the last leg higher. We have reviewed price action and a few different scenarios in today's video.
Will we see a new short/medium uptrend develop on USOUSD, or could we see resistance rule out and price break lower, testing the support?
Good trading.
Oil continues to slide within the channelThe price of WTI crude oil continues to rise ahead of the OPEC+ meeting scheduled for Sunday, during which cartel members will discuss policy regarding production. The group will likely decide to lower the output in response to more than a 20% decline in the oil price since September 2023 highs (now, closer to an 18% decline). While a drop in supply is normally bullish for oil, it is important to note that some of it will get offset by the United States trying to ramp up its domestic production. Furthermore, the prices are already rising in anticipation of the cartel’s decision. Nonetheless, our outlook stays unchanged, with a price target of $70 per barrel for 2024.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from peaks and troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
BUY USOIL !!! TIME TO RETRACE hello traders as i can see its a great entry point for oil to caught some easy pips oil had created a good support zone on last daily low in shorter TF its seems more upside to test broken support zone Saudi and Russian are stick on their cut policy and war is also creating more demands
trade with ur on risk its just and trade idea if ur like our prediction we appreciate ur support it help our trader community stay tuned for more updates
Crude Oil Found The Support?Crude oil is trading lower, currently showing blue wave C in late stages of a corrective wave B pattern. We can also see now five subwaves down within C from 88/89 zone, where final subwave (5) of C can be now coming to an end with a huge volume increase. We can actually already see a sharp bounce from the support that can be signal for a minimum three-wave recovery back to 80 area. If we get a five-wave impulsive recovery back above channel resistance line and 80.00 level, that's when we may call a bottom for crude.
Crude Oil Futures ~ November TA V2 (4H Intraday)NYMEX:CL1! chart mapping/analysis.
Note: TradingView chart B-ADJ adjusted for contract changes.
What's on the chart:
Converging parallel channels (light blue) aka diamond box pattern, framing price action into a pennant formation on higher timeframe.
Descending parallel channel (white) emphasizing current downward trend since late September peak.
Fibonnaci levels highlight key support/resistance zones.
Short-medium term outlook:
Sharp reversal (short-squeeze?) from over-selling after breaking out lower range of parallel channel (white).
Bullish reversal = rally back above 50% Fib.
Bearish continuation = further selling below previous low towards 78.6% Fib / lower range of parallel channel (light blue) confluence zone.
Watch for commodity trading trend/sentiment in either direction - leading into upcoming OPEC+ decision re: 2024 supply cuts, TBC.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
CrudeOil Still In Downtrend Despite H4 Pullback!USOIL pullback on H4 likely targeting the trendline where sellers are waiting to push the price down again!
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
Oh Crude!!What's with all this volatility!To begin with, if you did see my earlier post on Crude, I would want to admit to have counted the waves wrongly.
What i expected to be a third wave top was in fact a wave v top and the pullback i was considering to be wave iv pullback turned out to be a much deeper wave II pullback. If you follow Elliot waves you would have gotten an idea what i am talking about, if not then do not bother.
Here is what is important thing to focus on.
Where is the crude standing on this chart? It is at the most important spot that it could be at right now.
i. this area of 73-75$ zone is a previously tested horizontal support/resistance zone.
ii.$74.09 is the 61.8% retracement level of the May-Sep rally.
iii. this is also a area of support from the lower boundary of the rising channel.
This therefore is the most important confluence zone for crude and the level that will determine whether it will head to the 60$ mark or the 100$ mark from here.
I have made the necessary changes to my wave counts and I am definitely on the $100 team and not the 60$ team.
Wave iii will achieve wave i equality at $107(Elliot wave projection).
On the downside the swing low of 72.22 is the crucial support level to watch out for.
Are Recession Fears Still Looming? Gold is Flying
Gold has enjoyed an impressive rally over the last 5 weeks - up 6% in the month of October. Historically, gold has always been the quintessential “flight-to-quality” asset. Whenever there are geopolitical or macroeconomic fears permeating financial markets, gold has outperformed. As it stands, December gold is on the brink of retesting the psychologically significant $2,000/oz level. So is the recent price strength evidence of investors’ fears of a looming recession? What other evidence would support this?
www.tradingview.com
Crude Oil is Crying
Crude oil has fallen as sharply as gold has rallied. Since the swing high to 89.85 on October 29th, crude oil prices have fallen more than $13/barrel - settling at $72.90 on Thursday. Price contractions of this magnitude are typically demand driven, which would be another feather in the cap of demand growth fears on behalf of market participants. But, how could you explain the recent performance of the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000? In short - interest rates. As we near what is expected to be the end of the Fed’s rate hike cycle, equities have performed very well in anticipation of rates eventually coming down. The primary reason that the Fed would halt rate hikes, or begin lowering rates would come as a result of economic slowdowns.
Stocks Are Strong
All in all, the American economy has proven resilient. The rally underway in the equity markets has been substantiated by strong economic data, and disinflationary CPI readings. The proverbial “canary in the coal mine” could be consumer credit and lower-than-normal personal savings rates. However, there are very few signs of a robust economic breakdown coming in the immediate future in the United States.
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Disclaimers:
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
WTI Crude oil front expirationOverview: with today's fall in price, having reached $73.80 support area, and with a divergence on RSI, we consider close the corrective structure ABC on the daily time frame.
Strategy: Moderate bullish position's delta ,
Our current position's delta: +0.30
Bullish first target: $75.00/$75.30
Bullish second target: $76.00
Mandatory rebalancing level / Stop loss: on breakout of the daily's low
Bearish first target: $73.00
Bearish second target: $72.20
WTI Crude oil front expirationOverview: Stochastic in oversold area suggest that a technical rebound is possible.
Our current position's delta: +0.20
First target: $77.40/$77.50
Second target: $78
Stop loss/mandatory level of rebalancing: on breakout $76.30
First target: $75.50/$75.30
Second target: $74.90