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Crude Oil

Crude - Testing the waters...We saw our weekly target hit yesterday, I have a hunch as on the Daily we are constantly going back to the middle of the range that bsl of some form is in the eye of the market before we would want to move down. I ask myself.... Why would we want to go all the way back (weekly ssl level) if we have been here and raided Sell Stops... If I was the market I would want some breakfast first before I head down for lunch and dinner right? So for PRE 0930EST im watching to see if price respects the 4hr FVG's. This will indicate some bsl to be taken.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by IamThattrader
Crude Oil WednesdaySo as per previous forecast for Crude we are bearish bias. We have come to the weekly wick ce again and come CME or NY open I am anticipating a retracement that respects the FVG marked in the chart... Sure sometimes price might 'mowhawk' above like sense says. Be patient and wait for price to make a MSB on at least the 5min before using your entry model to target the INTERNAL SSL as your main objective. If price wants to get outlandish then the WEEKLY SSL'S are the next POI.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by IamThattrader
Monday Crude Oil ForecastWith no news injections today I would stay on the side lines. We have Daily Wick level in conjunction with a 1hr FVG which if Crude Oil is substantially bearish should respect leading upto NY open and CME open. The overall bias for me is still bearish with weekly ssl in the lower half of the charts marked with a magnet. This is the draw and what I will be waiting for / a setup to form. You do have to stay dynamic however as the Daily candle on Friday took BSL inside of a Daily FVG. This is respecting the bias. EQH's where left in its wake so if the 1hr fvg and Daily wick is closed above on the 1hr TF we should start to consider that the market has other short term plans. Stay Dynamic and if your bias doesn't match you can always stay out of the market! Money preservation is very important. GLGT- ;)
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by IamThattrader
WTI CRUDE OIL: Selling until the end of the month.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.492, MACD = -1.060, ADX = 41.641) as it got rejected on the 1D MA200 today. The longer it remains under the 1D MA50, the stronger the selling will be. Being inside a Channel Down similar to October-November 2023 that extended all the way to the 1.5 Fibonacci level, we are expecting selling for the rest of the month. The 1.5 Fib is now just over the S2 level and that is our medium term target (TP = 71.50). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
3
Crude Oil | BULLS MAY DOMINATE THE NEXT DAYSMay is not always a good month for crude oil. When you look at the last 40 years, there is a positive change rate of less than 50%. However, Crude oil is moving to the support resistance point, and its performance in the last 8 election years, from the beginning of the may to the 21-22 of May during the election years, is 7 years positive and an average return of 12%. That's why I'm very BULLISH on Crude oil, which is below last year's opening level and at a significant support-resistance flip point.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by XU3Trades
Oil setting itself up for a rebound after six days of sellingAmid a quick change in the market sentiment in mid-April 2024 and subsequent weakness in stocks, West Texas Intermediate crude oil (USOIL) retreated from its highs to $78 per barrel. In the process, USOIL broke below the lower bound of the ascending channel, and the daily time frame turned bearish, with MACD crossing below the midpoint, Stochastic falling into the lower area, and RSI approaching 30 points. The weekly time frame also turned slightly bearish, with MACD, Stochastic, and RSI reversing; nevertheless, it must be noted that MACD remains in the bullish zone, and ADX contains a relatively low value, hinting at a neutral or very weak trend on the medium time frame. As for the monthly time frame, technicals indicate a sideways-moving market as well. From a bigger perspective, USOIL appears in the range that has been under development since early 2023, defined by roughly $83 on the top and $70 on the bottom. In the smaller picture, USOIL experienced a decline of approximately 11% just within the past six trading sessions, potentially setting it up for a rebound; should it occur, close attention will be paid to the resistance level at $79.72, which has acted as a barrier on multiple occasions throughout the past half year. In the event of a failure, the attention will be shifted to the support at $76.82 and $75.56, where buying interest might emerge. Illustration 1.01 The image above shows USOIL’s daily chart. The yellow arrow indicates a breakout below the lower bound of the channel. Illustration 1.02 The illustration above depicts the daily graph of MACD. The yellow arrow highlights a crossover through the midpoint, normally a bearish development. Technical conditions Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Slightly bearish (weak trend) Monthly time frame = Neutral OPEC’s workshop As a result of the directives of the OPEC’s meeting held on 3rd April 2024, member countries with outstanding overproduced volumes were required to submit detailed compensation plans by 30th April 2024. In accordance with that, OPEC held a workshop on 3rd May 2024 to share compensation plans for Iraq and Kazakhstan for their outstanding overproduced volumes for the months of January, February, and March 2024, which totaled about 602,000 barrels per day for Iraq and 389,000 barrels per day for Kazakhstan. Houthi’s aggression Yemen's Houthi attacks on commercial shipping are escalating and spreading beyond the confines of the Red Sea. After the targeting of the MSC Orion on 26th April 2024, positioned 600 kilometers (375 miles) off Yemen's coast, another assault occurred merely two days later, on 29th April 2024, hitting the ship Cyclades near Mokha, Yemen. This increasing aggression highlights the region's growing instability, compounded by the United States and its allies' failure to curb the situation through airstrikes on Yemeni targets earlier this year. Hamas-Israel negotiations After months of stalled negotiations, Hamas representatives arrived in Cairo, Egypt, over the weekend for another round of ceasefire talks with Israel. Major media outlets reported that a truce is closer than ever before. Nonetheless, significant hurdles remain beneath the surface as both sides hesitate to make concessions. Hamas is adamant about the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza and obtaining a guarantee from the United States that Israel will not launch a ground invasion of Rafah. Meanwhile, Israel maintains its stance that it will proceed with the invasion regardless. In addition to that, Israel’s hawks are vocal that even if a ceasefire deal is reached, it will not mark the end of the war. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
2
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
FX:USOILShort
by ShahedZare
Crude Oil Weekly Analysis- 06th May to 10th May 2024MCX:CRUDEOIL1! Weekly TF Crude oil had great ride from beginning of this year and paused from previous month. Fortunately this was necessary for having further movement. We can consider the previous month process was retracement thus by expecting further movement in upcoming weeks. Recent swing and bigger swings are at crucial level in Fibonacci retracement. Any small bounce from this level would be great bullish indications for good week ahead. Should wait for Monday day candle should reject these crucial level. Then big bullish momentum expected for few weeks. Day TF Trend: Upward range with 3 consecutive support(HL 01, HL 02, HL 03) Key Levels: Prices were again approaching towards support there by expecting HL 04. If HL 04 reacts and prices bounced then good sign for bulls. Need to watch out 200 EMA to get react before trade entry Fibonacci is also at 50% level in recent swing Buy: Entry 01:6682 Entry 02: 6962 Final Target expected: 7235 Recommended to wait on Monday. Some consolidation is required before reversal
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Long
by Swinging_Inside_the_BAR
Israel strikes Iran againIsrael retaliated against Iran overnight, which saw the price of WTI crude oil jump nearly 4.5% before giving up some of its gains. Per media reports, three large explosions were heard in the country's south, and the U.S. official announced Israel successfully hit some of the targets, something Iran was quick to deny. Without regard for damages, it is already apparent the two adversaries entered a spiral of reciprocatory aggression. Unless there is any form of effective mediation between the two sides (which is, by the way, unlikely), the conflict could enter a stage of regional war, with Israel potentially fighting on multiple fronts. Needless to say, this has enormous implications for the region, which is responsible for a significant portion of the global oil supply and, thus, influences oil prices (at this point, the only counterweights for the rising price of oil could be OPEC’s willingness to bring production online, protraction of global economic slowdown, and potentially more releases of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves by the USA). Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bullish (stalling/turning neutral) Weekly time frame = Bullish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
Technicals On Crude Post FOMCWednesday we saw Crude make a nice substantial move downwards as the previous forecasts have shown. A large range day isnt normally followed by another day with a extremely large range and you can think of it like a runner running 800meters and couples minutes later having to run another race shortly after... energy needs to be recouped. I am staying bearish and would like to see the Daily FVG and PDL liquidity taken and Daily FVG to be filled/spiked to. 30min fvg CE aligns with Daily ifvg which I believe should hold price lower. Watch these levels post NY open.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by IamThattrader