WTI Crude Oil: Analyzing Rebound PatternsThe WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude oil market has shown resilience, staging a recovery subsequent to a pullback retracing between the key Fibonacci levels of 50% to 61.8% from the preceding major swing. Notably, the current price action exhibits a divergence pattern, notably intersecting with the levels of prior support. Moreover, a discernible confirmation pattern emerged following a retest of this support, serving as a pivotal factor in our decision to initiate a trade. Furthermore, it's noteworthy that the current price trajectory remains positioned above the 200-period Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP), reinforcing our conviction in the potential for a sustained bullish impulse to unfold.
Crude Oil
CL1! (CRUDE OIL) ... BULLISHBullish.
After forming a new peak high,
price retraced to the +FVG.
Friday's "news wick" tapped the
-FVG above and quick returned
the +FVG. Should the +FVG hold,
expecting price to move toward
the highs, as price moves from
Internal -> External liquidity.
The LRLR to the lower left is a
draw on LQ that bears watching.
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Oil / Crude Oil Heading into end of WeekSo we are on the Daily Not moving with much drive and lets say... obvious direction when it comes to day to day bias (Overall Bearish)
I am ONLY focusing on PDH and PDL as targets today with any signal to buy or sell into the market being in a discount before I place a trade.
Range day - yes
To consider that Thursday's have seen good movement on Oil recently so keep this in mind.
Consider also that the Daily wick CE is also aligned with the weekly ifvg.
I will be looking to enter positions today as I am a scalper however anything on the 15min or above I would side with caution as prolonged moves may not be on the cards esp going on the last two weeks of PA.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bullish Move From Key Support 🛢️
On a today's live stream, we spotted a very bullish pattern on WTI Crude Oil:
inverted head and shoulders formation after a test of a key horizontal support.
We see a confirmed neckline breakout of the pattern.
It increases the probabilities that the market will go up now.
Target - 84.5
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Crude Oil WednesdayToday On the Daily I am in confliction with bias meaning that it could be changing soon if we repeat another bullish closing day.
For this I have dropped down onto the 4hr TF and the most recent 4hr -ob is what I will be referencing as to Bullish or Bearish intra day PA.
Scalpers Market atm
If you un sure, sit still.
We did close above the Daily v.i as I have mentioned in my previous posts... so my bias for 80.50 is in jeopardy but as a trader your mind must be dynamic.
As I said sit still or scalp but not in the middle.
US Oil By HesamUNT ( New update )hey traders
we had this move befor and its already Done
what u think about the nxt move ?
if price can break up the bearish channel and stabilize above the 78.51$ which is 0.5 Fib, there s high chance we go back to the 95$
Also ichi confirmed this move in 1H 2H and 4H TF
break up is important
Oil/Crude oil - TuesdaySo we have achieved one target for price and that was to reach the Daily V.i and so far London has rejected going higher...
Would like to see price head down post 0930est
My target is still 80.50 just waiting for price to align with my thoughts is what is most important before pressing the button.
At minimum PDL would be a bearish target
I don't see why we would want to go higher until proven wrong - Closing above the Daily V.i...
Thanks
Oil Pulls back off the Daily LowsOil decreased during London session as we were anticipating from our last Analysis. We are still anticipating a further decrease in the medium term but in the short term here we may pullback. This is what the price action is telling us as we have pin Bar candles on the 1hr and 4hr charts that printed at our 2 daily support level's 81.22 and 80.64. This suggests some bullishness in the short term and a possible retracment towards our 4hr resistance zone 82.52. Factors that support a Risk-On push include a decreasing Vix on the day, a intraday downtrend on the Gold price suggesting risk on sentiment.
Crude Oil - DXY ComparisonThe Dollar Index & Crude Oil are creating very similar price action & structures on the weekly timeframes. We previously saw huge bullish moves to the upside from 2021 - 2022 during peak Covid, followed by a consolidation phase (resting period) for the past year. It now looks like both markets are done resting & ready to sore back up🚀
Will you be buying these asset classes?👀
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Crude Oil retraces on Conflicts🛢️Hello traders.. WTI Crude Oil has been dropping since the beginning of the conflict this past weekend between Iran and Israel. We are trending bullish so far on the year and are up 14%. Price is pulling back this week and we recently touched into a Daily support level 81.25 where we observed a bounce. I dont believe sellers are completely out on this bearish retracement and am looking for a retest of the Daily level 81.25. We have a 4hr resistance zone at 82.30 that may aid in facilitating a move back down.
Oil could go to $90 and higher if this happens...Since the eruption of the war between Hamas and Israel in early October 2023, we have been occasionally reporting on some of the developments in the oil-rich region. In one of the more recent articles, we outlined how Israel’s deadly airstrike against Iranian generals in Damascus, Syria, was likely to provoke retaliation from Iran and its proxies. On Saturday, Iran followed through and launched a large-scale attack on Israel. Per media reports, Iran sent approximately 170 drones, 120 ballistic missiles, and 30 cruise missiles, most of which were intercepted outside of Israel’s airspace with the help of Israel’s allies, including the United States. The attack sparked a discussion of retaliatory strike against Iran within Israel’s war cabinet, with officials not being able to agree on a timeline. Initially, it was announced Israel would reciprocate aggression in a window of 24 to 48 hours. However, just shortly before the futures market opened on Monday, Israel’s officials backtracked their plans, noting the country was not looking for significant escalation of the conflict while leaving a possibility of payback on the table.
Besides the attack, there was also news concerning Iran’s seizure of the Israel-linked MV MSC Aries cargo ship (operated by Geneva-based Mediterranean Shipping Company and owned by Gortal Shipping) off the Strait of Hormuz. At the moment, it does not seem very probable there will be some sort of disruption to cargo or tankers transiting through the area, but keep in mind that about 21 million barrels per day were transiting through here in 2022, which is about three times more than oil passing through the Red Sea before the start of the Israel-Hamas War. All in all, the geopolitical situation in the region progresses from bad to worse, carrying many unknowns. But judging by how things are unfolding, there is a high chance of a conflict passing beyond a point of no return, which, in turn, has profound implications for the oil market and could see the oil price rise above $90 per barrel (and potentially to the upper $90 per barrel).
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Bullish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Oil In Corrective Wave, Likely Facing Rejections Below 84.80!Any rejection on crudeo oil at current price level will likely cause price to rally above 86.86!
N.B!
- USOIL price might not follow drawn lines . Actual price movement may likely differ from the forecast.
- Let emotions and sentiments work for you
- ALWAYS Use Proper Risk Management In Your Trades
#usoil
#crudeoil
#wti
#brentoil
The Crude Oil SetupCrude Oil (May)
Yesterday’s close: Settled at 85.41, down 0.25
Crude Oil futures have traded in a quiet range, going back through last week, outside of an early Friday morning geopolitical spike. A slate of economic data from China last night printed better Q1 GDP results at 5.3% versus 4.8%, but Industrial Production and Retail Sales whiffed. However, U.S. Retail Sales yesterday came in much stronger than expected, leading to a revision higher in the Atlanta Fed’s GDP forecast from 2.4% to 2.8%. It is important to note that Crude Oil has reacted favorably to surprisingly resilient and strong U.S. economic data, especially that which highlights the consumer.
Waves of weakness over the last week have helped define a floor at $84 and just above, while the gap settlement from April 1st sits just below at 83.71. This establishes a line in the sand in which the bulls can become more comfortable leaning against. However, a break below could quickly open the floodgates.
Bias: Bullish/Neutral
Resistance: 85.72-85.86**, 86.09-86.29**, 86.81**, 87.34-87.67***, 88.37-88.64***
Pivot: 85.32-85.35
Support: 84.69***, 84.04-84.33***, 83.71***, 83.12-83.25***
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*Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services.
Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bullish Move From Support 🛢️
CRUDE OIL formed a nice double bottom pattern
after a test of a key intraday support.
The breakout of the neckline of the pattern is an important bullish confirmation.
We can expect a bullish movement at least to 86.0 level.
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West Texas Oil:🔴Bearish scenario🔴As you can see, the price reached a daily bearish FVG and had a bearish reaction, so we are looking for a sell position.
I am searching for a premium entry, there is buy-side liquidity below FVG which aligns with the balance price range.
Until we don't close the candle body above the Daily FVG, I am bearish.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️15/04/2024
🔎 DYOR
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