Crude Oil
USOIL Trade IdeaHello Traders, Base on technical and wave analysis we see this scenario for #BitCoin for next move. let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
short term sell Crude oilCrude oil Gapped upon market opening due to Russia making a statement on Sunday stating they will potentially do a 50,000 Barrell cut a day for the month of December; amid Moscow suspended about 2/3 of its main export grade of crude from parts due to a storm and scheduled maintenance on Fridays.
Oil gapped to 72.47 touching our first TP on the pivot point.
Looking for a sell to P as I look for confirmation of which direction the market will be going this week
on the 30 minute time frame price is below R! indicating a price correction another confirmation of a sell to 70.63 and breaking of the minor structure trend line. If price respects the P expect price to go to R1 and possibly R2. If prices breaks P then expect price to fall to $70.63
Looking for sell entry around 72.15 area
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Technical Outlook & Trading Plan 🛢
Crude Oil is currently testing a solid horizontal supply area on a daily.
Analyzing a 4H time frame, we can spot that the market is currently weak & consolidating.
I see an example of a classic inside bar formation.
71.4 is the lower boundary of the range of the mother bar.
Its breakout - a 4h candle close below will be a strong bearish confirmation.
A bearish movement will be anticipated to 70.1 level then.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined resistance will push the prices higher.
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Crude Oil Is Looking For A RecoveryCrude oil is coming down now making five subwaves down from 80.00 so there can be some support not far away as higher degree corrective decline from October highs can come to an end soon. There is also a potential leading diagonal, which is a bearish structure, but still suggests that the market can stabilize a bit. RSI divergence also suggests that bears are losing strength. However, any short-term low is not confirmed, unless we see an impulsive move back above 72.60. But if you look at the current price move, we can already see price turning sharply today, which can be an indication for a higher rally.
CRUDE OIL Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is making a bullish
Correction while trading in a
Downtrend so we are bearish
Biased and I think that after
The price hits the horizontal
Resistance above at 73.50$
We will see a further move down
Sell!
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US Oil ~ Macro Headwinds > Market Intervention (1H)TVC:USOIL chart mapping/analysis.
Crude Oil reversing all gains manufactured by OPEC+ production cuts & Middle-East conflict premiums, while threatening to further capitulate due to growing macro headwinds leading into 2024..
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Bullish resurgence = rally above horizontal resistance line (yellow dashed) into 23.6% Fib & upper range of descending parallel channel (white) / re-test ascending trend-lines (green dotted) confluence zone.
Bearish continuation = break below previous low (~68.80) towards ~67 horizontal line (yellow dashed) / descending trend-line (light blue / lower range of descending parallel channel (white) confluence zone.
Neutral scenario = further sideways chop until next OPEC+ catalyst / key macro economic development.
Crude Oil Retracement? 13.12.2023Today Crude’s price went even lower than yesterday reaching 68 USD/b and it now seems that this is the turning point to the upside.
We might see a retracement completed after this long and rapid fall, back to the 61.8 Fibo level as depicted on the chart.
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Crude Oil (WTI) Prepare to Short Next Week 🛢️
Crude Oil is very close to a broken support of a daily horizontal range.
72.2 - 73.0 is the area, from where I will anticipate the next bearish wave.
Let the price test the underlined yellow structure and wait for a confirmation
to sell from there.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Intraday Bearish Signal?! 🛢️
WTI Crude Oil keeps falling.
After a completion of a correctional movement, the market dropped again
and violated a key horizontal support.
After a breakout, the price formed a narrow horizontal range on an hourly time frame.
Its support breakout is an important intraday confirmation.
We can anticipate a bearish continuation to 67.3 level now.
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A rebound in USOIL might not be done yetLast week, West Texas Intermediate crude oil reached our price target of $70 and slid as low as $68.83 per barrel. After this route, USOIL has slightly rebounded and currently trades near the $71.50 price tag. In the very short term, we acknowledge a potential for the price to continue higher. Indeed, this would be consistent with a natural occurrence of the price retracing toward its moving average, particularly the 20-day SMA. Yet, if the price breaks above this level and starts to consolidate there for a certain period, it might foreshadow even higher price tags; we will reassess our view if we get there. Beyond this short-term speculation about the prospects of further rise in USOIL, we stay bearish. Accordingly, our price target of $65 per barrel for the next year remains valid.
Illustration 1.01
The image above shows the daily chart of CL1!. Red arrows highlight the decreasing price accompanied by falling volume (suggesting the selling pressure might be decreasing as well).
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily graph of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from particular troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Trend Continues 🛢️
Crude Oil dropped yesterday, as I predicted.
In fact, the market is trading in a bearish trend on a daily.
A breakout of a horizontal support of a wide horizontal range
was a strong trend following signal.
The next support that I see on a daily is 67.5.
It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers.
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WTI OIL Channel Down bottom buy signalWTI Oil (USOIL) eventually hit our 71.00 target we set last week (see chart below) upon the dotted Channel Up break-out:
The price is now attempting a rebound following the breach of the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which is a typical procedure throughout 2023 and delivers a strong rebound. However, we we will our perspective short-term until the Channel Down breaks, and will only target 73.50, which is where we expect contact to be made with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). We reserve a spot for an additional buy at 67.00 (June 28 Low), in case the price makes one last pull-back to price a Lower Low on the Channel Down.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bearish Trend Continues 🛢️
Crude oil is trading in a bearish trend on a daily.
After a long-lasting consolidation within a horizontal range,
the market violated its support on a daily and set a new lower low.
Retesting the broken structure, the market started to coil within an intraday range.
Its support breakout gives us a strong intraday confirmation.
A bearish movement is now expected at least to 70.7
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Below the 1W MA200. Critical Support to hold.WTI Crude Oil crossed today under the 1W MA200, which is a level that, even though it broke on occassions this year, hasn't closed a 1D candle under it since February 1st 2021. Those occasions are marked by circles on your chart and as you see despite breaking under it, the price rose intraday closing the candles over the 1W MA200 at the end of those sessions, essentially holding it as long term Support.
It is now critical therefore for buyers to hold the 1W MA200 and push the candle above it before the closing bell today. The 1D technical outlook is strongly bearish (RSI = 31.049, MACD = -2.590, ADX = 35.758), which is normal considering that the commodity has been trading inside a Channel Down since the September 28th High. However having touched the 30.000 oversold level on the 1D RSI, it makes the case for a rebound stronger, since every time it gold oversold during this (almost) 2 year span, an aggressive rebound followed.
Consequently, as long as the 1D candles close over the 1W MA200, we will be buying and aming for the top of the Channel Down (TP = 76.50) and potentially the 1D MA50. If however the candle closes under it, we will aim for the 1.786 Fibonacci extension (TP = 66.50) as the November 8th Lower Low did.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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so we have 72.60 as today major supporting area, keep close#USOIL... market just placed his supporting area in yesterday, and hold it sofar,
day closing above that area 72.60 mean there is something,
now if market hold it then again bounce expected from here otherwise sustained breakage will leads you towards further downside areas,
keep close and don't hold your buying positions below 72.60...
trade wisely
good luck