Is CL Preparing For A Big Bounce?Technical Analysis:
- Crude Oil(CL) is still doing a ((W)) ((X)) ((Y)) correction structure in Daily Chart
- We present two possible Paths
- For Path 1 in Black with 65% probability. We expect that the correction will be completed at around HKEX:53 -56 where the smart buyers can appear
- For Path 2 in Blue with 35% probability, We expect that the correction will be completed at around HKEX:40 where the smart buyers must appear
- In short term, It's doing wave ((X)) in black once it's done we can forecast the buy area more precisely
- H1 right side is up
- H4 right side is turning up
- In orange decision area, the Path 1 will increase the odds if H4/Daily RSI divergence are erased
- CL is still not preparing for a big bounce really
Technical Information:
- Don't sell CL in short term
- As a swing trader, you must wait for the correction to be completed in wave II in red in order to buy at around HKEX:53 -56 in Path 1
Crudeoilanalysis
After the oil is completed to fill the gap,can we go long on oilBecause of the impact of the banking crisis and the U.S. debt ceiling issue, the risk that the economy may fall into recession has been exacerbated, and U.S. data show that consumer confidence is insufficient, which is a very big blow to the demand for crude oil, causing crude oil to plummet in the short term and completely make up for the technical gap. Can crude oil be bought with confidence?
In fact, according to the structure of crude oil, crude oil fell sharply and fell below the flag finishing structure, which laid the foundation for the short trend of crude oil, and there is currently no signal to stop the decline completely, so there is room for crude oil to go further down.
However, from the point of view of the short-term structure, crude oil fell below the flag-shaped finishing structure for the first time, and completely filled the technical gap in one fell swoop. In the case of a short-term plunge in crude oil, there is a need for technical upward repair.And there is 50% support for Fibonacci below the short-term line, so for the first time in this position, you can try to long crude oil in the short-term.
In trading today, the trading signals I announced on the channel for shorting gold around 1999-2000 and 2006 all reached the take-profit target of 1995. The trading signals in the last two weeks have achieved a comprehensive victory, and the result of 0 losses is enough for us to reap satisfactory profits.In trading, whether it is gold or crude oil, I have the ability to satisfy your desire to make money. I have announced detailed trading signals about crude oil in the channel. Please pay attention to the trading signals in the channel.
Don't Buy CL Now!Technical Analysis:
- Crude Oil(CL) is doing a ((W)) ((X)) ((Y)) correction structure in Daily Chart
- We expect that the correction will be completed at around HKEX:50 -55 where the smart buyers will appear
- In short term, It's doing wave ((X)) in black once it's done we can forecast the entry area more precisely
- H1 & H4 right side are turning up
Technical Information:
- Don't sell CL in short term
- Wait for the correction to be completed in wave II in red in order to buy
Can crude oil continue to rise?On the news side, the IEA monthly report on Friday was released. The International Energy Agency said in its monthly report on Friday that world oil demand will grow to 2 million barrels per day in 2023; on the supply side, OPEC+ production cuts may lead to supply shortages in the second half of the year, which also restricts the decline in oil prices to a certain extent.In addition, the current entry of daylight saving time, more travel demand itself has reached the peak season of oil, and oil prices will be boosted by demand from many aspects and will usher in a new wave of increases.
Judging from the recent trend of crude oil, crude oil stepped back to 81.6 twice on Friday and was steadily caught by the bulls, indicating that the support below is strong and the rise will continue, so for the short term, continue to maintain the bullish thinking.Moreover, under the current pressure on oil prices, the strength of the pullback is limited, and oil prices have been fluctuating below 83.5 for the past five months. Once the resistance in this area is broken, it is expected to accelerate the rise and enter a new trading range.
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Buy CL(Crude Oil) in Short TermTechnical Analysis:
- As you can see in the chart, the medium term correction is finished in the wave II in red. Now we expect that CL(Crude Oil) goes up at least in 3 waves to around $105
- H1 & H4 Right Side are Up
- CL seems strong in short term
Technical Information:
- We like to buy CL in wave (2) in blue around $77 as hedging
With multiple positive support, oil prices are expected to rise?Although the major oil-producing countries have implemented production cuts to give some support to crude oil, the demand for crude oil is not too strong because the economic recovery may be much slower than originally expected.Because when market demand surges, OPEC does not need to cut production significantly, so oil prices may not rise further, but will continue to fall.
On the daily chart of crude oil, in view of the surge and fall of oil prices on Monday, and the failure to break through the pressure of the strong resistance area upward for a long time, oil prices at this position are at risk of short-term volatility and peak, and the phased replenishment of the gap has not yet been completed, so compared with the top, there is still a lot of space below, so once the upward energy of crude oil is exhausted, you need to seek new technical support downwards.
Short-term trading reference:
Sell crude oil above 80.2, take profit level 79.4
I will share specific transactions and operations in real time on my channel based on intraday details.In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Crude Oil Outlook - USD106 as major resistance 02 Apr 23 OPEC+ made a surprise announcement to reduce its production starting May.
The direction of the commodities price is always about supply and demand.
With the China opening, there will be an increase in the demand for crude. The reduction on its production will likely cause crude to trend much higher.
Video explained why crude to break above USD106.
3 types of crude oil for trading:
• Crude Oil Futures
0.01 per barrel = $10.00
Code: CL
• E-mini Crude Oil Futures
0.025 per barrel = $12.50
Code QM
• Micro WTI Crude Oil
0.01 per barrel = $1.00
Code: MCL
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
OPEC announced a production cut,how much upside is there for oilSaudi Arabia and other OPEC+ oil-producing countries announced further production cuts of about 1.16 million barrels per day on Sunday, which provided strong upward momentum for oil prices. They opened directly higher during the day and are currently slightly lower, trading near US
80.47.
Judging from the trend of crude oil, the high price this morning just touched the important pressure level at the top of the platform in the early stage, so there is demand for a technical decline in the short term.The current rebound of crude oil has exceeded expectations, and the structure has also undergone variables. If the pressure continues, we will first look at the phased replenishment action.
Short-term trading reference:
Try to sell crude oil in small batches near 80.5, with a take profit level of 79.4--79
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Will oil prices continue to rise?The decline in U.S. crude oil inventories and the suspension of exports from the Kurdistan region of Iraq have supported the upward trend in oil prices, overshadowing the smaller-than-expected pressure on Russia's supply cuts.At the same time, five OPEC+ representatives said that the alliance may stick to the existing oil production reduction agreement at Monday's meeting.
On the technical side, WTI crude oil fluctuated and fell after the opening of the market, and slowly recovered after reaching a minimum of 73.74. The current price is trading near 74.7. Although crude oil is currently facing strong technical pressure, which has led to a small decline in the current situation, but the short-term upward structure has still not been effectively destroyed, so it can maintain a low bullish pattern in the short term.
Short-term trading reference:
1.Buy crude oil near the 73.7 position, stop loss level 73.3, take profit level 75.2
2.Try to sell crude oil in small batches near 75.3, with a stop loss level of 75.6 and a take profit level of 74.3
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
The rise of crude oil bulls is unstoppable?Because the banking crisis has temporarily eased, supply disruptions in northern Iraq have exacerbated supply tensions, and signs of increased demand from China have provided stronger support for oil prices.
Judging from the trend of crude oil, after yesterday's sharp rise in oil prices, it rebounded to above US 70, and the technical bullish signal was significantly strengthened.However, although the current oil price has returned to the range of the box, on the whole, the current price has basically touched the vicinity of the pressure zone of the box shock in the early stage, and it has also touched the pressure position of the channel in the short term.Oil prices are under pressure at the point of pressure, and the strength of today's rebound is not as strong, so the rebound that tends to be on the daily line in the short term may be almost gone, then the short-term trend may face a certain level of adjustment.On the other hand, after the last wave of the 4-hour-level trend rose, the price temporarily remained at a high level of narrow volatility. On the hourly-level trend, after a continuous narrow sideways movement, the technical pattern began to gradually weaken, so there may be a trend of spatial correction in the short term.
Short-term trading reference: sell crude oil near 73.80, stop loss level 74.2, take profit level 73.1-73
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
views in dcb for CRUDEOIL MCXMCX:CRUDEOIL1! broke down a major support zone and now that support zone acting as a major resistance zone . upcoming strong support zone 4705-4200. upcoming trend will be sideways to downtrend.
Disclaimer - This chart analysis is only for educational purpose. Do proper research before trade/investment or consult with your financial advisor. This expressed opinion/view/analysis isn't a trade/investment advice/recommendation. SEBI unregistered independent trader/analyst.
Crudeoil bears are working hard again, where will crudeoil fall?There may not be a shortcut to success, but there must be a way.Give up what should be given up, grasp what can be grasped; only insist on investing in your own investment standards.
Yesterday's short crude oil orders reaped very good profits, and the current crude oil is creating favorable trading opportunities for us.
At present, the U.S. Secretary of Energy has hinted that the country is in no hurry to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), exacerbating concerns about oversupply in the market.In addition, Russia's continued supply of crude oil to the global market has also increased the pressure on the oil market, causing oil prices to fall again.
At present, crude oil has fallen as low as 66.8.Judging from the trend of crude oil, the rebound of crude oil has been blocked for two consecutive trading days, and a longer upper shadow line has been left, forming a secondary pressure, so the suppression of resistance above the 71 position is still relatively obvious.I also mentioned in my article yesterday that if oil prices are delayed in regaining the 72.4 position, there is a technical need for a second bottoming demand, which will increase the short-term bearish signal.
In the short-term treatment, the upper side initially pays attention to the pressure near 69, and the lower side pays attention to the support near 66.8.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Crude oil rebounded strongly, opening the way to rise?At present, it is in the process of rebounding after a volatile decline, and the short-term trend is relatively volatile. On the one hand, oil prices have initially bottomed out, which is a bit like a sign of inverted V reversal; on the other hand, oil prices seem to be undergoing a correction after breaking the level and falling.At present, the short-term rebound is relatively strong, but before regaining 72.4, it is still necessary to beware of the possibility of oil prices returning to the downward trend. If the 72.4 position can be recovered, it will be determined that the V-shaped reversal is established and increase the bullish signal in the future.If oil prices are delayed in regaining the 72.4 position, there is a technical need for a secondary bottoming demand, which will increase the short-term bearish signal.
In the short-term treatment, the bottom pays attention to the support of the 69-70 line, and the top pays attention to the resistance at the 72.4 position.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
The decline in crude is supported,ushering in short-term bullsRoman Roland once said that people often feel that the stage of preparation is a waste of time. Only when the real opportunity comes and they are unable to grasp it, can they realize that their usual lack of preparation is a waste of time.
Recently, it is mainly due to people's concerns about the global economy that have dragged down oil prices. However, the current market worries have eased, and oil prices bottomed out overnight, and there are some opportunities for short-term oil prices to rebound and adjust.In addition, from the trend point of view, after crude oil got rid of the downward channel, it bottomed out yesterday and rebounded to a stabilizing signal, indicating that the previous stage of the decline is almost over, and it is currently entering the cycle of shock and rebound.
In the short-term treatment, the lower support is near 67.9, and the initial pressure above is near 69.8.
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Crude oil continues to fall, where will it stop falling?Crude oil prices continued to fall today, and are currently trading near US 65 per barrel.On the fundamental level, the supply and demand structure of the international crude oil market is still a small oversupply. Unless OPEC has a significant production reduction, it will be difficult to achieve much growth on the demand side.
Although UBS reached an agreement to acquire Credit Suisse over the weekend, and the Federal Reserve and other six major central banks jointly acted to enhance liquidity to appease and stabilize global financial markets, U.S. crude oil once rebounded by more than 1% to US 67.4 per barrel, but worries quickly picked up again, and the United States still has unresolved banking problems. The market is worried that the banking crisis will develop into a global financial tsunami, which in turn will drag down crude oil demand. U.S. crude oil quickly took back gains and continued last week's decline. It is currently down more than 2%, with a minimum of US 64.4 per barrel, which is December 2, 2021. A new low since then.
From the trend point of view, oil prices broke down after a wide-ranging shock at the daily level, and continued to fall after losing the important support of the 70-integer mark. Even if the 70-integer mark was not recovered during the subsequent rebound and the decline continued, the downward break was basically determined. The technical side is biased towards bears, and the future market of oil prices is inclined to further test the support near the December 2021 low of 62.46, and even look at the 60-integer mark.The initial resistance above is near 67. If this position can be recovered, it will increase the possibility of low oil price shock adjustment.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Crude oil bears are not finished, predict the trend of crude oilAs the banking crisis hit the global financial and oil markets, NYMEX crude oil and Brent crude oil both fell more than 9% this week, and oil prices will record their largest weekly decline since the week of December 9 last year.
From the perspective of the trend, crude oil rebounded weakly after breaking through the level. Whether it is the daily or weekly line, it is effectively falling below. Pay attention to the trend after a few months of volatility. The market must continue to take advantage of the trend in the short term.
Taken together, crude oil as a whole is still in a bearish trend. At the daily level, crude oil oscillates and breaks downwards, and oil prices lose important support near the 70 mark. The market tends to continue to run downwards in the Bollinger band. The target refers to the position near the low of 62.43 on December 2, 2021.Since oil prices have recorded a longer lower K-line for two consecutive trading days, suggesting strong lower support, a DOJI was recorded on Thursday, and the KD technical indicators are also close to issuing an oversold signal. There is still a possibility of volatility bottoming out in the short term; the initial resistance is near the intraday high of 70, and the short-term resistance can be reasonably lowered to near 68.6-68.8.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Oil prices start to rebound, go long?Oil prices bottomed out and rebounded on Thursday, ending a three-day decline. Earlier, there were reports that Saudi Arabia and Russia met to discuss how to strengthen market stability. The two countries continue to promise to abide by the decision to reduce their production target by 2 million barrels per day by the end of 2023; helped by a strong rebound in the financial sector, US stocks closed sharply higher and also boosted oil prices.
However, the risk of spread between banks still makes investors nervous, suppressing their appetite for assets such as commodities, because they fear that further rout may trigger a global recession and reduce oil demand.In addition, market concerns about oversupply still cast a shadow over the outlook for the oil market.The IEA said on Wednesday that commercial oil stocks in developed OECD countries have hit an 18-month high, and Russia's oil production in February remained near the level before the war in Ukraine, despite sanctions on maritime exports.
From the trend point of view, oil prices have recorded a longer downward K-line for two consecutive trading days, suggesting strong downward support. On Thursday, a doji was recorded. The technical indicators are close to issuing an oversold signal. There is still a possibility of short-term volatility in oil prices. Bottoming out; however, before regaining the 70 mark, oil prices as a whole are still running in the air.At present, the initial resistance is near 70. If this position can be further recovered, it will increase the bullish signal in the future.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Ready to short crude oilThere are still concerns about the banking crisis in Europe and the United States in the market. Some investors are even worried about the arrival of a new round of global economic crisis. Moreover, the market is still worried about the oversupply of crude oil, and the future of oil prices is still biased towards bears.
It was mentioned in the article shared yesterday that once crude oil is established to be effective in breaking below the 70 mark, it is likely to fall further below the low of 66.15 on December 20, 2021 and the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Near the position.At present, since crude oil fell below the low of 72.3 in the shock range, it has fallen sharply again. The lowest has reached near 65.6, and there is only room for 3 US dollars from the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Now the short market is very strong, even in a small cycle, after a short pause or rebound in the falling market, it will choose to fall again, and the bulls have no resistance.Therefore, the current thinking about crude oil is still based on emptiness.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Crude Oil (WTI) - Long; Load up on it!Just a near term play here on the anticipated, transitory USD weakness.
The main chart ought to be self explanatory - just follow the arrows. (The dates in the chart are only denoted because I am building a sizable option position here, one part of which consists of diagonal spreads.)
Fundamentally, Russian oil companies have already figured out - and are using to deliver -, alternate routes for most of their hydro-carbon exports, circumventing current and potential future EU sanctions. (Sales are already exceeding pre-sanctions levels!) As it turns out, contrary to EU and US delusions, Russian oil companies know their own businesses a lot better than their US or EU counterparts. - Who would've thought?! :-O
The majority of the anticipated price fluctuations are conditioned on a near term, transitory USD weakness/fluctuations.
USOUSD (Crude Oil) 3H: 22/02/2023: Bull or... ?
Main Idea:
You can see all the details on the chart.
Around 74$ (with low time frame confirmation) it can be a good area to buy.
If you have questions, feel free to ask.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️22/02/2023
🔎 DYOR
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