Decision Time For Crude OilLight Crude Oil Futures (CL1!)
- Potential Break out of parallel channel (TBC)
- Above 200 week SMA
- Several bounces off the 200 week
- Long Term Stiff Resistance Overhead
Amazing how compressed price is between the 200 week & overhead resistance. Its like a pressure pot about to spring or roll over.
Turning the overhead resistance into support would be ideal IMO.
I'll be watching and will update if we breach any significant levels.
Crudeoilforecast
Time to enter Crude longs again? Perfect entry point from technical point of view, I suggested this trade before too.
You should target $71 and $74 as TPS.
The market will tighten in the second half of 2023 partly due to ongoing OPEC+ supply cuts and Saudi Arabia's voluntary reduction for July. The combination of robust demand reduced exports, and a larger-than-expected drawdown in inventories suggests a positive outlook for the crude oil market.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 6/23/23For Friday, the 67.08 level can contain selling through next week, above which 73.28 attainable within a full week of activity, possibly yielding 76.98 within 2 - 3 weeks.
Upside Friday, 70.80 can contain session strength, while closing above 70.80 signals 73.28 within 2 - 3 days, able to contain buying through the balance of next week and the point to settle above for yielding the more meaningful 76.98 within 3 - 5 more days.
Downside Friday, closing below 67.08 indicates 62.14 longer-term support as a 1 - 2 week target, where the broader market can bottom out through summer activity.
Directional view on CrudeoilmMCX:CRUDEOILM1! trading near resistance and 50% fibonacci retracement level. may come downwards if made a reversal successfully between 59010-5880.
Disclaimer - This chart analysis is only for educational purpose. Do proper research before trade/investment or consult with your financial advisor. This expressed opinion/view/analysis isn't a trade/investment advice/recommendation.
--SEBI unregistered independent trader/analyst.
Crude Oil Continues to Gain ProfitsCrude oil fell sharply at the beginning of last week and fell to 63.6. The main reason for this abnormal phenomenon is that the demand for crude oil was affected by the economic recession. Based on the previous news, the main reason for the decline of US oil may be related to the recent news. Too light. After OPEC announced its production cut plan in early April, the expectations of the market bulls did not receive further support from the news. Last Friday, U.S. oil also rebounded and returned to above 70. Although technically it is expected to stop falling and rebound, the daily average system has crossed downwards, and the medium-term bearish trend has been strengthened. Therefore, it will be relatively difficult for U.S. oil to rebound technically in the future , If you want to rebound strongly, you must have the support of fundamentals, such as OPEC's further implementation of the production reduction plan.
Combined with the trend of the daily line and the hourly chart, U.S. oil may choose to fluctuate strongly within the range at the beginning of the week. The lower part will first focus on the 70-line competition before testing. If it does not break through 70 at the beginning of the week, the tone will be stronger during the week. 72, and around 73 on the 10-day line, and even fell below 74 last week. But this also requires the support of favorable fundamentals. If the fundamentals do not come out with good news for a long time, then the bulls' expectations will fail, and the market may return to a weak state in advance.
In terms of operation, this week, U.S. oil is conservative or chooses to wait and see. If you are aggressive, you can conduct short-term low-long and high-altitude operations around the 70-73 range.
So let’s get down to business, every day we push real-time current price orders to prove our strength. At present, the daily operating profit is increasing. I believe that friends who come from experience have discerning eyes. After a period of communication and experience, as well as the verification of the market, I believe that the accuracy of the list can conquer all doubts and ideas. Contact me for free experience
Detailed Trading Signal Sharing of Crude Oil on MondayIn terms of crude oil, the daily line rebounded on Friday, and the previous low of 64.1 had strong first-line support, forming a double-bottom pattern. Crude oil on Monday focuses on the position above 70.0, with a stop loss of 69.2, and the target is above 72.6-73.0; sell backhand empty orders near the pressure line of 73.8 above!
Crude oil is about to return to the upward pathAt present, oil continues to fluctuate in the 70-83 region. Last month, OPEC suddenly announced a production cut and opened higher. After a month of fluctuation, the gap was finally filled last week. Then the top-bottom conversion to the 75.7-75 region has become an important support in the short term. As for crude oil short orders, there is no rush to participate for the time being, and the technical outlook is rising;
News that lower oil inventories are also a factor in the rise in crude oil; in addition, Saudi Arabia and Iraq will reduce production at any time to protect oil prices and revenue, and the probability of a sharp decline is very small, so today's crude oil trading is mainly based on low-level long positions.
So our trading strategy and signals are very clear. I have published the detailed trading signals in my channel. You can enter to receive them.
Has crude oil stopped its decline?Can we buy crude oil?Because of market concerns about the recession, the demand for crude oil has been hit to a large extent. Then the acceptable price of crude oil in the cycle of slow economic development is in the 70-65 area. People familiar with the crude oil market must know that crude oil basically fluctuated in the 70-82 area in the early stage. Judging from this, crude oil still has room to continue to fall.
Judging from the current crude oil trend structure, crude oil has fallen sharply and broken below the flag-shaped consolidation structure, and the bearish trend is obvious. Although the current downward trend has paused, there is no signal to stop the decline completely, and the rebound here is extremely weak, so the pause here may be to build a downward relay structure.
In addition, in the ultra-short-term structure, crude oil has repeatedly tested the support near 74 without breaking below, so in the case of a short-term plunge in crude oil, there is a need for technical upward repair.And there is 50% support for Fibonacci below the short-term, so crude oil may also use this to launch a small-level rebound.Therefore, pay special attention to the defensive situation near 74 in the short term.
In trading today, the trading signals I announced on the channel to go long gold around 1980 and 1976 all reached the take-profit target of 1986. The trading signals in the last two weeks have achieved a comprehensive victory, and the result of 0 losses is enough for us to reap satisfactory profits.In trading, whether it is gold or crude oil, I have the ability to satisfy your desire to make money. I have announced detailed trading signals about crude oil in the channel. Please pay attention to the trading signals in the channel.
Is CL Preparing For A Big Bounce?Technical Analysis:
- Crude Oil(CL) is still doing a ((W)) ((X)) ((Y)) correction structure in Daily Chart
- We present two possible Paths
- For Path 1 in Black with 65% probability. We expect that the correction will be completed at around HKEX:53 -56 where the smart buyers can appear
- For Path 2 in Blue with 35% probability, We expect that the correction will be completed at around HKEX:40 where the smart buyers must appear
- In short term, It's doing wave ((X)) in black once it's done we can forecast the buy area more precisely
- H1 right side is up
- H4 right side is turning up
- In orange decision area, the Path 1 will increase the odds if H4/Daily RSI divergence are erased
- CL is still not preparing for a big bounce really
Technical Information:
- Don't sell CL in short term
- As a swing trader, you must wait for the correction to be completed in wave II in red in order to buy at around HKEX:53 -56 in Path 1
After the oil is completed to fill the gap,can we go long on oilBecause of the impact of the banking crisis and the U.S. debt ceiling issue, the risk that the economy may fall into recession has been exacerbated, and U.S. data show that consumer confidence is insufficient, which is a very big blow to the demand for crude oil, causing crude oil to plummet in the short term and completely make up for the technical gap. Can crude oil be bought with confidence?
In fact, according to the structure of crude oil, crude oil fell sharply and fell below the flag finishing structure, which laid the foundation for the short trend of crude oil, and there is currently no signal to stop the decline completely, so there is room for crude oil to go further down.
However, from the point of view of the short-term structure, crude oil fell below the flag-shaped finishing structure for the first time, and completely filled the technical gap in one fell swoop. In the case of a short-term plunge in crude oil, there is a need for technical upward repair.And there is 50% support for Fibonacci below the short-term line, so for the first time in this position, you can try to long crude oil in the short-term.
In trading today, the trading signals I announced on the channel for shorting gold around 1999-2000 and 2006 all reached the take-profit target of 1995. The trading signals in the last two weeks have achieved a comprehensive victory, and the result of 0 losses is enough for us to reap satisfactory profits.In trading, whether it is gold or crude oil, I have the ability to satisfy your desire to make money. I have announced detailed trading signals about crude oil in the channel. Please pay attention to the trading signals in the channel.
Don't Buy CL Now!Technical Analysis:
- Crude Oil(CL) is doing a ((W)) ((X)) ((Y)) correction structure in Daily Chart
- We expect that the correction will be completed at around HKEX:50 -55 where the smart buyers will appear
- In short term, It's doing wave ((X)) in black once it's done we can forecast the entry area more precisely
- H1 & H4 right side are turning up
Technical Information:
- Don't sell CL in short term
- Wait for the correction to be completed in wave II in red in order to buy
Can crude oil continue to rise?On the news side, the IEA monthly report on Friday was released. The International Energy Agency said in its monthly report on Friday that world oil demand will grow to 2 million barrels per day in 2023; on the supply side, OPEC+ production cuts may lead to supply shortages in the second half of the year, which also restricts the decline in oil prices to a certain extent.In addition, the current entry of daylight saving time, more travel demand itself has reached the peak season of oil, and oil prices will be boosted by demand from many aspects and will usher in a new wave of increases.
Judging from the recent trend of crude oil, crude oil stepped back to 81.6 twice on Friday and was steadily caught by the bulls, indicating that the support below is strong and the rise will continue, so for the short term, continue to maintain the bullish thinking.Moreover, under the current pressure on oil prices, the strength of the pullback is limited, and oil prices have been fluctuating below 83.5 for the past five months. Once the resistance in this area is broken, it is expected to accelerate the rise and enter a new trading range.
I will share specific transactions and operations in real time on my channel based on intraday details.In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Buy CL(Crude Oil) in Short TermTechnical Analysis:
- As you can see in the chart, the medium term correction is finished in the wave II in red. Now we expect that CL(Crude Oil) goes up at least in 3 waves to around $105
- H1 & H4 Right Side are Up
- CL seems strong in short term
Technical Information:
- We like to buy CL in wave (2) in blue around $77 as hedging
With multiple positive support, oil prices are expected to rise?Although the major oil-producing countries have implemented production cuts to give some support to crude oil, the demand for crude oil is not too strong because the economic recovery may be much slower than originally expected.Because when market demand surges, OPEC does not need to cut production significantly, so oil prices may not rise further, but will continue to fall.
On the daily chart of crude oil, in view of the surge and fall of oil prices on Monday, and the failure to break through the pressure of the strong resistance area upward for a long time, oil prices at this position are at risk of short-term volatility and peak, and the phased replenishment of the gap has not yet been completed, so compared with the top, there is still a lot of space below, so once the upward energy of crude oil is exhausted, you need to seek new technical support downwards.
Short-term trading reference:
Sell crude oil above 80.2, take profit level 79.4
I will share specific transactions and operations in real time on my channel based on intraday details.In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Crude Oil Outlook - USD106 as major resistance 02 Apr 23 OPEC+ made a surprise announcement to reduce its production starting May.
The direction of the commodities price is always about supply and demand.
With the China opening, there will be an increase in the demand for crude. The reduction on its production will likely cause crude to trend much higher.
Video explained why crude to break above USD106.
3 types of crude oil for trading:
• Crude Oil Futures
0.01 per barrel = $10.00
Code: CL
• E-mini Crude Oil Futures
0.025 per barrel = $12.50
Code QM
• Micro WTI Crude Oil
0.01 per barrel = $1.00
Code: MCL
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
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OPEC announced a production cut,how much upside is there for oilSaudi Arabia and other OPEC+ oil-producing countries announced further production cuts of about 1.16 million barrels per day on Sunday, which provided strong upward momentum for oil prices. They opened directly higher during the day and are currently slightly lower, trading near US
80.47.
Judging from the trend of crude oil, the high price this morning just touched the important pressure level at the top of the platform in the early stage, so there is demand for a technical decline in the short term.The current rebound of crude oil has exceeded expectations, and the structure has also undergone variables. If the pressure continues, we will first look at the phased replenishment action.
Short-term trading reference:
Try to sell crude oil in small batches near 80.5, with a take profit level of 79.4--79
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Will oil prices continue to rise?The decline in U.S. crude oil inventories and the suspension of exports from the Kurdistan region of Iraq have supported the upward trend in oil prices, overshadowing the smaller-than-expected pressure on Russia's supply cuts.At the same time, five OPEC+ representatives said that the alliance may stick to the existing oil production reduction agreement at Monday's meeting.
On the technical side, WTI crude oil fluctuated and fell after the opening of the market, and slowly recovered after reaching a minimum of 73.74. The current price is trading near 74.7. Although crude oil is currently facing strong technical pressure, which has led to a small decline in the current situation, but the short-term upward structure has still not been effectively destroyed, so it can maintain a low bullish pattern in the short term.
Short-term trading reference:
1.Buy crude oil near the 73.7 position, stop loss level 73.3, take profit level 75.2
2.Try to sell crude oil in small batches near 75.3, with a stop loss level of 75.6 and a take profit level of 74.3
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Can the oil price recovery last?Judging from the trend of crude oil, since crude oil rebounded above 74, the technical bullish signal has been significantly strengthened.However, although the current oil price has returned to the range of the box, on the whole, the current price has basically touched the vicinity of the pressure zone of the previous box shock.In addition, judging from the strength of the recent rebound, it has not been as strong, so the trend may face a certain level of adjustment in the short term, and there is a technical need to step back on the midline of the channel to confirm the demand.After the last wave of the 4-hour level trend rose, the price was temporarily.The narrow volatility that remains at a high level weakens the strength of the upper attack, so there may be a trend of spatial correction in the short term.
Short-term trading reference: Sell crude oil near the 74.3 position, stop loss level 74.7, take profit level 73.2
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
The rise of crude oil bulls is unstoppable?Because the banking crisis has temporarily eased, supply disruptions in northern Iraq have exacerbated supply tensions, and signs of increased demand from China have provided stronger support for oil prices.
Judging from the trend of crude oil, after yesterday's sharp rise in oil prices, it rebounded to above US 70, and the technical bullish signal was significantly strengthened.However, although the current oil price has returned to the range of the box, on the whole, the current price has basically touched the vicinity of the pressure zone of the box shock in the early stage, and it has also touched the pressure position of the channel in the short term.Oil prices are under pressure at the point of pressure, and the strength of today's rebound is not as strong, so the rebound that tends to be on the daily line in the short term may be almost gone, then the short-term trend may face a certain level of adjustment.On the other hand, after the last wave of the 4-hour-level trend rose, the price temporarily remained at a high level of narrow volatility. On the hourly-level trend, after a continuous narrow sideways movement, the technical pattern began to gradually weaken, so there may be a trend of spatial correction in the short term.
Short-term trading reference: sell crude oil near 73.80, stop loss level 74.2, take profit level 73.1-73
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
views in dcb for CRUDEOIL MCXMCX:CRUDEOIL1! broke down a major support zone and now that support zone acting as a major resistance zone . upcoming strong support zone 4705-4200. upcoming trend will be sideways to downtrend.
Disclaimer - This chart analysis is only for educational purpose. Do proper research before trade/investment or consult with your financial advisor. This expressed opinion/view/analysis isn't a trade/investment advice/recommendation. SEBI unregistered independent trader/analyst.