Crudeoilforecast
Oil Short SetupOIL Short Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $82.95
🟢 Take Profit: $79.49 (2.22)
⛔ Stop Loss: $84.51
Reasoning:
1) Yesterday's trades went as planned, unfortunately, I wasn't behind my desk to assess the volume and take them, but If you did, good for you. We are approaching the middle trendline, so I expect a small retracement after that point.
2) I am also expecting a divergence to form somewhere around the entry level.
3) Stop Loss is pretty loose since I want to give the trade some space to breathe With that being said, bear in mind the spread and the weekend fees, which may eat up your profits.
Oil Long SetupOIL Long Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $80.60
🟢 Take Profit: $82.84 (2.8R)
⛔ Stop Loss: $79.80
Reasoning:
1) Apparently the two trades from yesterday failed and we went much lower than expected. The price is currently resting on the lower trendline of the ascending channel, so I am expecting a slight move up.
2) Target is set at the middle trendline in the ascending channel
Oil Long SetupOil Long Setup - 3 Levels
🔵 Entry Level: $82.89
🟢 Take Profit: $85.29 (2.26)
⛔ Stop Loss: $81.83
🔵 Entry Level: $81.21
🟢 Take Profit: $84.35 (3.78)
⛔ Stop Loss: $80.38
🔵 Entry Level: $80.31
🟢 Take Profit: $82.83 (3.27)
⛔ Stop Loss: $79.54
Reasons:
1) I've marked the three levels of interest that I have for opening long orders. I will be monitoring each one BEFORE opening a trade, so I don't have them set as limit orders yet.
2) For Level 1 I would like to see a double bottom forming. If it doesn't I am inclined to set a limit for Level 2.
3) I am certainly setting a limit order for Level 3 if I see the other two levels fail, since that diagonal trend line in the ascending channel so far has been well respected. If it doesn't hold up, I will be looking for opening shorts only.
Oil Short SetupOIL Short Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $84.72
🟢 Take Profit: $80.03 (3.58R)
⛔ Stop Loss: $86.03
Reasons:
- I'm expecting the price to bounce off the first level (marked for a long position) and continue trending up until it reaches the upper trendline again.
- So far the price has been respecting this ascending channel
- I am not taking the long position, but I've marked it so that I have more confidence in my short if the price does behave in the above-described way
Usoil Double Top Monthly pattern/likely to test the 65 handle 76.50 level monthly resistance/top looks like a strong rejection level ,profit booking like pattern has already formed after the OPEC meeting and indications are clearly visible in the weekly chart. Speculative sentiment index is around 50/50 hence we are expecting the price to drop and test the 65 handle monthly support .
Signal : Sell every rise
Target ; 65 Handle
Stop loss / Buy stop : Above 76.50
Cruse Oil (WTI) - SHORT; SELL it here!! ........ for the better part of "Eternity". (Well, at least for the foreseeable future.) A soon-to-bottom U$D also will not help WIT's cause. This market was, is and remains, at these levels, nothing more than just one part of the global speculative bubble. We shall meet again at $30.
Wednesday: Crude Oil - Week 19It definitely looks like a big complex regular flat is in play. We have made a 3-wave corrective structure, so I'm looking for price-action to break the top 1 more time and then drop. I'm looking for the drop because of how the structure is developing, and the divergence in MACD and volume, which is indicating buyer-weakness.
I will update my idea as the trade progresses if any changes occur and my analysis is wrong, or need to be adapted to the new development of price-action.
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