Crudeoilprediction
Oil Long PositionOil Long Position
🔵 Entry: $62.19
🟢 TP & RR: $63.55 (2.62)
⛔ Stop Loss: $61.67
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
✔️ Resistance flipped to support
✔️ Fairly strong volume upwards
📝 I am expecting price to consolidate around the entry level and then continue trending up. Even if this long fails, I certainly don't feel comfortable shorting the trend on a move upwards (or at least until I see some divergence).
Oil Short SetupOil Short Setup
🔵 Entry: $58.73
🟢 TP & RR: $53.73 (2.91)
⛔ Stop Loss: $60.45
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
✔️ Reaching a strong resistance level
✔️ Market Flow Indicator seriously overbought
✔️ Ascending channel upper trendline resistance
✔️ 1.618 Fibonacci Level (although not plotted on the chart as it becomes a bit clustered)
📝 Stop Loss is above the $59-$60 resistance level, although if you want a more relaxed trade you may move the SL higher to about $61. The confluence of the three factors above makes me believe that the price is due for a pullback if not even trend reversion. I will be monitoring the entry level mentioned above and may open the position prematurely if I see that the price is getting ready to take a dive down.
Crude Oil Long SetupOil Long Setup
Entry: $53.68
TP & RR: $57.65
Stop Loss: $52.57
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Contrary to most expectations that Oil was overpriced, it continues to trend up. I won't open a long order at the current level, nor would I short obvious strength. However, if price retraces back to previous resistance, which is now support, I am more than happy to buy. I believe we are now in a channel and we are yet to see how we go through the awaited $55-$56 level.
With that being said, we may not get filled at all. Should this be the case, we will be targeting the upper channel with a short order.
Oil Trending Up - Long PositionOil Buy Order
Entry: $52.61
TP & RR: $53.79 (3.37)
Stop Loss: $52.26
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Price is breaking through the upper trendline and unless this is a fakeout I expect it to continue going up until the recent highest high and maybe up until the dotted resistance around $54-$55. The market Flow indicator is showing momentum up and I hate to open a position against it, so I am definitely not shorting anywhere around the current level or unless the indicator shows otherwise.
The only thing I may suggest is for you to change the SL if you are afraid you might get stopped. I have the tendency to place it quite far from the entry, but this time I am taking a bit of a risk. It's your call here.
Crude Oil Wave Analysis After a strong show in the last weeks, crude oil needs to make an obvious correction.
We expect the correction to be of ABC structure and it has already completed waves A and B.
Further, the structure resembles a bullish flag pattern and the price is at the upper parallel now.
Currently, the pair is forming a bearish flag pattern in the short-term charts and a break below could guarantee a safe entry to bears.
PS: Aggressive trades, refer to the resistance at 40.41 for the stop.