Ready to short crude oilThere are still concerns about the banking crisis in Europe and the United States in the market. Some investors are even worried about the arrival of a new round of global economic crisis. Moreover, the market is still worried about the oversupply of crude oil, and the future of oil prices is still biased towards bears.
It was mentioned in the article shared yesterday that once crude oil is established to be effective in breaking below the 70 mark, it is likely to fall further below the low of 66.15 on December 20, 2021 and the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Near the position.At present, since crude oil fell below the low of 72.3 in the shock range, it has fallen sharply again. The lowest has reached near 65.6, and there is only room for 3 US dollars from the low of 62.46 on December 2, 2021. Now the short market is very strong, even in a small cycle, after a short pause or rebound in the falling market, it will choose to fall again, and the bulls have no resistance.Therefore, the current thinking about crude oil is still based on emptiness.
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Crudeoilshort
Crude oil continues to fall, where will it stop?After the recent bankruptcy of Bank of America, the pessimism of global investors lingered, and the increase in API crude oil inventories was greater than expected. It is expected that oil prices will still be at risk of further decline in the future.
In the trend of crude oil, the short-term decline continued during the day. The current lowest point during the day reached near 69.82, which broke the support near 70.09 at the bottom of the shock box for the past four months since December 9, and fell below the 70 integer mark, which means that oil prices have broken the shock trend for the past four months and have the possibility of accelerating the decline. Once it is established that the fall below the 70 mark is effective, further strong support refers to the low of 66.15 on December 20, 2021 and the low of 62.46 on December 2. Near the position.
In addition, this trading day also needs to focus on the EIA crude oil inventory series data and the IEA monthly crude oil market report.
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WTI Crude oil : Last chance to buy before new ATH? 18.05Inflation, inflation, inflation.
In China, 15/16 districts have zero Covid cases and all restrictions are set to be cancelled by June.
Globally, the disease is under control - Pretty much insuring a very busy summer for travel.
So fundamentally - Crude oil has plenty of room to rise in the short-term and mid-term.
When we look at the technicals we see :
1) Clear breakout and retest above triangle consolidation which led to strong bullish movement and bull trend ongoing now.
2) Clear close above key support/resistance zone of 108-109.
3) Probable immediate term target is resistance zone of 112.90 to 114.80.
4) A break above 114.80 could be strong confirmation for rally back to previous high and above.
5) Range trading between 108 to 114.80 is also very possible.
Bottom line -
Good chance for strong rally, downside to 108 is possible.
A close below 108 would be bearish in the immediate term.
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Crude OIL (XTIUSD) AnalysisTechnical Facts: Considering Technical analysis, Crude Oil already touched the second highest price in this week. now it’s high time for retrace. The Immediate support level is 117.80 to 118.20. A Strong break can lead the oil price till 114.18 which is the strongest support of 114.18.
Fundamental Facts:
Russia is one of the largest producer of Crude Oil in the world. a recent ban was imposed on Russia in 3rd June, 2022 by European Union. When supply decreases, demand increases and the price goes up. if EU cant convince Saudi Arabia to produce more oil and make a balance of the demands, the price might go up till 130 as well. therefore, the analysis might be invalid.
Signals:
CRUDE OIL
SELL STOP 117.80
SL# 119.61
TP# 114.18
Long-term oil analysis #oilsome notes:
1_In World War II, because the United States won the war, it said that my dollar should be the reference currency
2_The United States did not fulfill its contract and did not store gold against the dollar
3_European countries realized and wanted to buy gold under the same law for every $ 35 an ounce of gold
4_Meanwhile, Arab countries imposed sanctions on Europe and oil prices rose
5_Now European countries needed dollars to buy oil
6_If oil prices are low, it is very dangerous for
the United States because negative inflation in the United States will form and stagnate.
Because the United States runs its country with
debt, it's the best inflationary position
7- America wants a lot of production so that the
industries will stop working and there will be an increase