Crudeoilwti
Monday evening Pondering - Crude OilSo as I stated in my last post, we would have a short range day as per previous large ranged day.
We did attack the SSL as target 1 however Im looking at price heading higher to the BSL and 1hr FVG before we head down...
Lets see what Asia and early London does..
Will update nearer to NY for Turbo Tuesday...
NFP FrYday Crude OilMy ultimate target for this week is the BSL marked with a magnet.
The main internal Liquidity I am looking at is marked with arrows.
Which ones get taken first near or at NFP is very important for the intra day BIAS
And I will be watching this.
Mainly Tape reading today, I have no interest in Engaging in the market
Daily Timeframe suggests Bearish Price ActionWe are currently inside a 12$ Range on Crude Oil on the monthly timeframe. Support being 71.32 and resistance being 83.22. After two weeks of trading in June, Oil is up roughly 2/3 of 1 Percent. The First week being quite bearish but which was corrected, plus an additional some to the upside on the second week. Price came awfully close to the weekly resistance level ( about 25 cents) on Wednesday but coincided with US weekly Inventories and dropped on a higher than forecasted number. Weekly Bearish Target for Crude this week I have 75.36 Weekly support level. Weekly Long target for crude this week I have 79.58 Weekly resistance Level. What's interesting is that after the initial climb on last Monday, Crude simply consolidated for the rest of the week. It actually printed 3 Daily candles that had a larger top wick than the body of the candle. My Bias is bearish to kick off the new trading week and short term targets are 77.30 for the upcoming session.
Crude Oil peaks on OverSupply of Commercial Held Barrels?Hello Traders.. Today Crude Oil went up and up and up and was beginning to resemble a small cap crypto.. this was until US Inventories data release showed an oversupply of 2/3 items. The number of barrels held by Commerical firms was forecasted to decrease by -1.2 million barrels in this weeks readings. Maybe this is why we saw crude hiking up and up (+1.15$) throughout Asian session and London session. The Actual reading, released 30 minutes prior to London close, showed an increase in the number of barrels held by commercial firms. 3.7M is the number. This increase is signnifcant , especially since the last 4 releases have been forecasted to show a decrease in the number of barrels held . With an oversupply, price naturally dropped , abiding to the laws of supply and demand. In our previous forecast we were anticipating a retest of 77.8 and consequential increase. We indeed observed this after price dropped dramatically. We saw 77.8 1Hr Zone hold firm. The Monthly, Weekly and Daily timeframes are still screaming buys and I'm still thinking there is some momentum bullish in the market. These are the prices that I like for scalping in the upcoming sessions. 78.80 1hr zone, 77.8 1hr zone. 77.30 is target for sells for upcmoming session while 79.25 is the target for longs in the upcoming sessions.
Monday/Tuesday Bullish.. Continuation on Wednesday? Hello Traders. The Monthly candle has flipped bullish and the weekly candle is pushing for new highs as the 3rd Asian session of the week kicks off here. Monday was super bullish and today's tuesday candle closed bullish after a late NY bullish push. We observed (4) 4hr candles print bearish consecutively only to be overshadowed by a large bullish candle that began it's ascent at around London close today. The Market is bullish and so continuing to look for longs up to the next 4hr level (79.00) is a scenario for the next session. Another scenario is we push to the 78.50 4hr level and then rollover towards (77.30) 4hr level. The market totally changed behavior after dipping into 73 Weekly Level. The last crude oil inventories, which was forecasted to see a decrease by 2.1m barrels, instead saw an increase and this lined up with a low in the market . The news was About 1.13$ off the low and has been a catalyst for this bullish momentum in the last few days. Interest rates, CPI and Inventories tomorrow will surely send the markets into an uproar so careful trading ahead.
Crude Oil - Turbo TuesdayWell yesterday all targets where hit and some!
Today we have more targets to meet and London has not dissapointed so far
NY we will see what happens but for now I have Monthly ssl and weekly CE of wick and the Daily SSL as 3 main draws that will act as Bearish Bias.
That is the Forecast!
Crude oil trade analysis
International oil prices fluctuated slightly on Thursday (May 30), with U.S. crude oil currently trading around $79.13 per barrel. Oil prices fell about 1% on Wednesday on worries that weak U.S. gasoline demand and economic data could lead the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer. High interest rates aimed at countering high inflation could drag on economic growth and reduce demand for oil.
Crude oil persisted despite the headwinds yesterday. Both short positions at 79.4 and short orders at 80.2 made profits. Today's white market resistance is 80 and yesterday's high of 80.6, while support is 78.5 and 77.7. At present, the 4-hour SAR indicator has completed the top-to-bottom transition and appears at a high level. Today, Thursday, the trend continues to rebound high and bearish. Crude oil strategy: short after rebounding at 79.7, covering short positions at 80.3, stop loss at 80.7, target 78.5-78, hold if it breaks below;
WTI Crude Oil: LONGToday's session marks the beginning of the bullish move higher to test the April 2024 WTI highs. The ultimate target seems to be around the 85.00 - 87.00 region. This move begins now and may possibly extend to the end of June or early July.
The stop loss should be around the at least be 77.90.
Stay tuned for updates.
Black Gold Judgment Says Huge Challenge Is Just One Step AheadGlobal shares rose while the dollar retreated on Wednesday, after a hot reading of U.S. wholesale inflation set a nervous tone for trading before a consumer price report that could prove decisive about when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates.
The frenzy in so-called meme stocks entered a third day, with shares in AMC and GameStop soaring by more than 25% at one point in premarket trading before retracing some of those gains.
Price action was more subdued as investors were reluctant to push any market too aggressively one way or another ahead of the monthly U.S. consumer price index later in the day.
The boom has drawn parallels with the meme-stock craze that gripped markets in early 2021, where retail traders, using trading platforms and social media investment advice pumped up the value of stocks that many large investors had bet heavily against.
Technical graph for Brent crude oil says, right here is a similar challenge like in 2021.
Crude Oil | BULLS MAY DOMINATE THE NEXT DAYSMay is not always a good month for crude oil. When you look at the last 40 years, there is a positive change rate of less than 50%.
However, Crude oil is moving to the support resistance point, and its performance in the last 8 election years, from the beginning of the may to the 21-22 of May during the election years, is 7 years positive and an average return of 12%.
That's why I'm very BULLISH on Crude oil, which is below last year's opening level and at a significant support-resistance flip point.
Crude Oil WednesdayToday On the Daily I am in confliction with bias meaning that it could be changing soon if we repeat another bullish closing day.
For this I have dropped down onto the 4hr TF and the most recent 4hr -ob is what I will be referencing as to Bullish or Bearish intra day PA.
Scalpers Market atm
If you un sure, sit still.
We did close above the Daily v.i as I have mentioned in my previous posts... so my bias for 80.50 is in jeopardy but as a trader your mind must be dynamic.
As I said sit still or scalp but not in the middle.
Crude Oil Technical Analysis
The crude oil market is as expected. The Asian and European markets are falling. The US market continues to be optimistic about the bulls. The market has tested as low as 80.7. Our stop loss is placed at 80.5. The US market still maintains low and long positions. The lower defense is placed at 80.5. The target is first. See if 82.5 breaks. If it breaks 82.5, it will test the high point of 86.4-87.7. We are optimistic about the range between 80.5 and 86.7. Before breaking through 80.5, keep the overestimation and underestimation within the range, and pay attention to the rational use of your own positions.