Crude Oil Swing TradeThe idea here is about Crude Oil Swing Trade:
I am bullish on short term for crude oil due to the below observed technical factors.
1. Support established on a daily chart at the point of falling wedge as per below:
2. Deep Crab Harmonic pattern completed on a daily chart as per below:
3. Leonardo Harmonic pattern completed on a weekly chart as per below:
4. Trading below 20 & 200 EMA on daily chart & weekly chart.
5. RSI is at 34.67 on a Daily Chart & 34.36 on a weekly chart at the time of publishing.
6. MACD below signal line on daily & weekly chart .
Projected targets as per Deep Crab & Leonardo Harmonic provided in the chart & Weekly Image attached as above.
Stop Loss: provided in chart.
Disclaimer: “The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment”.
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Crudeoilwti
WTI oil - The downtrend is not done with the oil market Previously, we stated that we wanted to avoid setting a price target for the short-term and medium-term because of high volatility and rumors (then actions) affecting OPEC's supply. Instead, we said that we would focus on our long-term price target of 70 USD. Since then, the price of WTI oil had fallen approximately 4% before erasing some losses.
Today, we are still committed to our long-term price target and expect volatility in the oil market to stay persistent, with the U.S. and OPEC attempting to reach their own economic and geopolitical interests. In addition to that, we are growing even more pessimistic on the topic of demand because of several reasons.
First, the stock market has been in a bear market for the past few months, dramatically raising prospects of lower oil demand over the coming months (especially as the FED will continue to tighten and worsen economic conditions). Second, the OPEC recently confirmed this same narrative about the declining demand when it slashed its demand growth forecast for 2023 from 2.6 million bpd to 2.3 million bpd. Third, a likelihood of more strategic petroleum reserves being released by the U.S. to dampen the price.
Besides that, our views are also supported by technical factors, pointing to liquidity issues in the overall market. We believe this tremendously increases the odds of a stock market crash. As if it was not enough, futures oil contracts manifest backwardation. Therefore, we voice a word of caution to investors.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- performed a bearish crossover. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
We introduced the setup above yesterday when the price was near its low. Now, we believe that the time is running out quickly for the long trade. Therefore, we would like the price to break below the short-term support to support the bearish thesis in the short-term term.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and MACD are bearish. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI oil - Rumors about production cuts elevate the priceOver the past few days, rumors about the OPEC production cut started circulating in the market, with some suggesting the cut could be between 1 mil. bpd up to 1.5 mil. bpd. Subsequently, the price of WTI oil rallied above 83 USD.
This development comes in spite of OPEC's inability to reach its own production quotas and might temporarily lift the price of oil. However, at this point, we still remain relatively bearish on oil in the long term, with a price target of 70 USD.
Despite that, we will pay close attention to the rhetoric of OPEC members about future (potential) production cuts. If the cartel proceeds with further cuts on the supply side, then it might force us to abandon our price target. We will update our thoughts soon.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bullish. MACD is neutral. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ Analyze!!!Brent Crude ⛽️ Oil ⛽️ has passed the main wave W by Zigzag structure (5-3-5). Oil could finish Expanding Flat (3-3-5) or Main wave X at 138.03$ . Of course, the War can change my Scenario, but I don't expect Oil to break 177$ .
I expect the Brent Crude Oil to go DOWN at least to the upper line of Descending Channe & Support Zone .
Brent Crude Oil Analyze ( USDBRO ) Timeframe Monthly (Log Scale)
🔴 Resistance Zones 🔴 & 🟢 Support Zone 🟢 that we have in front of Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ .
🔴 Resistance Zone 🔴: 147$ until 135$
🔴 Resistance Zone 🔴: 178$ until 159$
🟢 Support Zone 🟢: 88.6$ until 83.3$
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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USOIL - Similarities between 2008 and nowLast week, our short-term price target of 80 USD was reached. Because of that, we would like to reiterate that we remain bearish on USOIL. In addition to that, we maintain our long-term price target of 70 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the similarity between the oil price pattern in 2008 and now.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOIL / Crude Oil - Bearish Trend is expected this weekUSOIL has tested the resistance and now ready to fall back to 75 to 80 levels.
Fib level tested at 0.382
Heikin Ashi is indicating a down trend
Trade Setup:
Short Oil from Current Price
TP1 80
TP2 75
SL 88
Good Luck to all Oil traders.
I will update the analysis once there is significant price movement.
Crude Oil in 1H time Frame.Hi Everyone,
Please see updated 1H chart
High Probability to test the resistance.
my updated from 4H before
i try to always we will keep you all updated . Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, i really appreciate you support !
Goodluck
i'll help you to have a great trade.
Please using good money management.
dont take any emotional trade.
Note:
Dont risk more than 0.2% on trending market
Dont risk more than 1% on ranging market
Wish good luck for all people.
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on Gold , Oil , Nasdaq, SP500 , and some American, China, Japan, Indonesia stocks.
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My swing Full Margin Setup on WTI CRUDE OILThis setup taught by my awesome teacher, a legendary trader from Malaysia, Mansor Sapari.
But man, to get this setup, you need to have a very very strong patience. Of course this setup is not my only setup to trade.
In order to get a complete setup:
Must have
-fakeout
-compression
-cap price zone
-support resistance
-supply zone
-resistance become support
-breakout
-double maru candlestick
-divergence on MACD/AO
-some times it goes well if there's a news (fundamental aspect)
Sorry, my english is not very good to explain. But I'll to explain it in video next time.
Please help me to grow my youtube channel, I would like to share and help others in trading. I also need to learn more stuff.
Search & SUBSCRIBE my channel "The Musician Trader"
WTI oil - Oil continues to drift lowerOver the past four months, we repeated that oil prices were peaking and the downside was looming over the oil market. Despite the excess of bullish calls forecasting new ATH for oil prices, we stuck to our bearish bias. Indeed, a few months ago, we set price targets of 100 USD, 95 USD, and 90 USD for USOIL. After hitting the first two price targets, we still remain bearish and maintain a price target of 90 USD for WTI oil. Our views are based upon technical and fundamental factors.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows the daily chart of USOIL. Two moving averages, 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA, reflect the downtrend.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The weekly chart of USOIL shows 20-week SMA and 50-week SMA. The 20-week SMA appears to be reversing to the downside, which is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
WTI oil - The backwardation points to the lower price of oilIn the past three months, we warned investors about the imminent trend reversal in the oil market. Accordingly, we set price targets for USOIL at 100 USD, 95 USD, and 90 USD. Yesterday, our short-term price target of 100 USD was taken out. Due to that, we would like to update our thoughts on USOIL. We continue to be bearish on the asset and expect the volatility to stay persistent throughout the third quarter of 2022. Additionally, we expect the prospect of a global recession and production hikes to impact the price negatively. Our views are also supported by bearish technical developments across daily, weekly, and monthly time frames. Because of that, we would like to update our medium-term price target of 95 USD to the short-term price target; additionally, we would also like to update our long-term price target of 90 USD to the medium-term.
Illustration 1.01
WTI oil dropped approximately 25% from its 2022 high to yesterday's low, entering the bear market territory.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. The same applies to DM+ and DM-. The ADX hints at growing bearish momentum. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above shows crude oil futures for September 2022. The market backwardation hints at lower prices for oil in the future.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.03
Illustration 1.03 shows another oil futures contract, but for January 2023. These contracts trade at far less, near the 87 USD price tag.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.