Confluence buy area on crude. Long swing trade. Hello again friends!
Today we see that price crossing into a potential reversal area where we see many things have been lining up. First and foremost, notice this steady uptrend. Price has come down in the form of a complex pullback. A fibonacci inversion was taken from the center of this pullback and price has just hit the all-important 1.618 extension, given the context. In addition, a double bottom is starting to form in the same area as a bullish bat pattern completion.
Stops are taken 1 ATR from the swing low, which will equate to roughly 2 ATR from the minimum allowable entry candle area to unsure nothing less than a one to one risk to reward ratio on the first contract. The targets are based on a projection of .382 and .618 retracements based on our knowledge of stops and the absolute minimum area which we can become involved in. Should target one be attained, stops then roll to break even on the second half of the position.
Also noteworthy is the possible hidden divergence (note the blue lines) between price action and my oscillator. This is nice, as we use hidden divergence in connection with trend continuation, which is what we have here.
I do require an entry reason to execute orders. No limit orders here. I will require RSI to enter an oversold condition, and a bullish engulfing candle, or a higher high higher close candle. I will also start to peek around my lower trading time frame that my plan allows for down on the 15 minute to see if I can time my entry in a similar fashion. As of this writing, I'm showing a combined technical score on this bullish trade of 6.
Stay thirsty my friends,
Benny Manieri
Crudeprice
Oil Prices Rise over 5% amid Russia and Saudi Arabia Production Crude Oil was saved on Friday soaring over $1 to trade at 44.22 while Brent oil saw a gain of $1.18 soaring to 46.63. Both benchmarks closed the week with significant losses down by 7% each. However, Monday morning saw volatile trading action despite the US markets on holiday. Crude oil soar 4.37% trading at $46.03 while Brent oil is trading at $48.82 up 4.99%. Comments from Russia that they see no need to attend the OPEC producers meeting later this month as they are now happy with prices seemed to pull the rug out from under the feet of speculators. Oil took a huge hit on Thursday falling over 3.45% in a single session hitting a low of 43.00.
AnybOdy 2 bUy BALCK GOLD!!!!The red line is a historical resistance line. The green line is the new buy or support line. CRUDE is in a position to buy and hold for some long term. May be till end of the year or even may be early next year and before 2017 summer comes or even during spring 2017 may sell.
looking for possible long hereWe are still following the downsloper but coming up on three major supports: the uptrendline from the rally going back to january, the lower TL of the big falling wedge and the horizontal support off the 45.80 area). Also price action is becoming wedge-like and squishy. If we bounce back and retest i might become a buyer here. Prerequisite would be a zoom and succesfull retest of the (small) falling wedge upper TL.
Crude Oil Wolfe Wave Completion, 1-4 Line TargetHere we have a Wolfe Wave for Crude Oil, CL1!. Price broke the 1-3 trend line but did not quite reach 5'. Therefore, we look at the 1-4 line as a target. The arrow pointing to the 1-4 line does not signify the path price will be taking. It is simply a visual tool.
I should also mention, I do not have a stake in Crude Oil. I am comparing the movement of this chart to the related ideas below.
Crude Oil High Significance Elliott Wave Analysis
hi Readers,
The Chart deals with weekly time Frame
As we now Know that the wave Y in Grand Super Cycle degree & hence the initiation of X wave after Y has pushed it to new highs, say to the current levels. The important idea is that the W within the current X wave in one lesser degree has been progressing as w,x,y,x & z within which waves W,X & Y are completed. so , after an intermediate downtrend for completing the X wave, the market resumes its upper trend to the areas of 55.12 $
For analysis below this degree, that is on daily time frame click here ,
Thanks for reading
Feel free to contact us in need of any assistance
Happy Trading
Dinesh -senior Technical analyst
LeadBrains FSL - www.mytradingcourses.com Trading education & training firm
Oil to go higher. Part 1This is part one (1) of two analyses. This is
of course on daily basis. You should pay
attention to the number 2 on indicator and
on graph. The price where took a lower low
but MACD took a higher low. A positive divergens.
What to expect? Saudi Arabia will only free oil
production if Iran joins. This fundamental news
puts pressure on oil. It is likely we will see
a rebound on prices of 32-33 USD/per barrel.