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CRWD

$CRWD: $75 Short Target ExpectedFirst off, please don't take anything I say seriously or at face value. As always this is on opinion basis. Also, as of the time I am making this analysis, there may be a conflict of interest in the fact that I don't hold any CrowdStrike stock and may or may not be tied to software competing against them in their market segmentation. That being said, let me get into my key points in the most unbiased way I can. I believe realistically, even though CrowdStrike is below its peak point, the stock is very early into the market and already performing quite well in general. I do believe, it is about to pass the $75 price point given its large market spread and more people giving it buy ratings over sell ratings. It also seems to have some potential for a long hold position, but I am yet to say for certain.
NASDAQ:CRWDShort
by gamer456148
CRWD – Bullish Breakout, Bullish EMA Cross & 10WeekMAActively trading in CRWD. See entry details below. Bullish pattern breakout with cyber-warfare benefits from Iran issue. www.bloomberg.com Trade Entry Jan. 10 Expiry - 54.5/57.5 Put Credit Spread. Risk $120. Reward $180. Credit of $1.80 or more. CRWD above $57.50 at expiry keeps entire $180 credit. Exit at 50% profit or your risk tolerance. Keep if CRWD looks to be over $57.50 at expiry. 4 day hold. Stops – $52.58 consider exit. Below $51.79 we lose the 10Week cross, exit for sure. Chart Details Flat bottom wedge is a bullish pattern. Price has broken out bullish. Full bodied daily candle with small topping tail tells me price wants to go higher. Bullish EMA cross on Daily view with 10WeekMA bullish price cross. This always provides positive returns on a weekly basis when both EMA and 10Week cross occur. Gaps to fill up to $92. Price will probably take breaks at previous resistance (pink lines $60 and $69). About Me Thank you for liking, commenting, throwing up a chart, following, or viewing. I am not a financial advisor. My comments and reviews are based on what I do with my personal accounts. Website will be ready for launch mid-January 2020. Thank you for your patience while I try to juggle everything and maintain the same standards. Disclosure - I am long BTCUSD, GBTC. Short term GDX Bullish, SPXS Bullish, CRWD Bullish short term.
NASDAQ:CRWDLong
by MoneyPatterns
2
CRWD potential reversal! CRWD expected to rise up to 1st resistance at 63.68 where it could potentially react off and drop down to 1st support at 51.77. *Disclaimer.* Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.
NASDAQ:CRWDShort
by Pepperstone
1
Crowdstrike Possibility...Let Me Get My Crystal Ball Out...CRWD Pretty self-explanatory idea on chart. Levels where I think CRWD can go, eventually ending around 130 area. In my opinion likely to see low 70's and possible gap fill before moving on up, in an effort to complete corrective wave. Obviously tons of things can happen to negate this, horrible or outstanding earnings being just one of them. I do like the stock, and look forward to making money on it, whichever way it goes. Happy hunting and GLTA!!
NASDAQ:CRWDLong
by UnknownUnicorn1314136
3
S&P Failed Breakout of Trading RangeIn a previous post I talked about this being a risky time to buy for a long term investment in the S&P , Emini, SPY , or MES . Despite what the media may want you to believe - this market is no longer in a strong bull trend. If it was, prices would break out strongly above previous highs. But what is happening instead? Prices go mostly sideways to down, signalling bull profit taking. This is because the strong bulls bought lower; they know what is happening. They do not want to buy high because the risk is too large and the probability is too low. This is also where strong bears start looking to sell and will scale in higher if they need to. They understand the probability is in their favor. What happens when both strong bulls and strong bears sell? Well, there is only one direction for the market to go.. The bulls who bought the all time high (last weeks close) are currently trapped. The bulls who bought the breakout on July 12th are also trapped on the daily chart . This is very similar to the Jan 22, and Sep 17 bull closes. Look and see what happened next. Sharp selloffs as the bulls exit in a panic. It took months for prices to get back to a level where they could get out at break even, and they had to sit through a long enduring pullback in order to avoid a loss. Furthermore they risked money to essentially break even, which is extremely dangerous. This is what is known as the "thank you god price." Where those bulls are thankful just to get out without a significant loss. If this week closes as a bear bar, it will be a bear setup for a wedge reversal and failed bull breakout of a trading range. If it fails, and there is another new all time high, the bears will likely try for a second entry in the coming weeks. In either case, the bulls only have a 40% chance of a strong bull rally and measured move up based on the trading range. The bears have a 60% chance of two legs sideways to down and a test of the middle of the current trading range, or the bottom of the trading range around 2400. If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions. See more at my website on how to learn to identify probabilities, create an edge, and develop your traders mentality.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by tradersmentality
2
Entry 1/2Crowd Strike, although an incredible company that is rapidly growing, is a complete rip off right now. If you multiplied the total Class A and B shares by $ 70.00 high you would get a valuation of $14,135,982,257. This is obviously outrageous, even by historically low-interest rates/Trump Bull Run standards. You can imagine the typical reaction you’d get if you said this to somebody who bought it; “It doesn’t matter, it’s a great company, just buy and hold and all those wrinkles will eventually flatten themselves out”. Think about it this way, a Mercedes Benz is a great car, but is it worth $10 000 000? Of course not. Please, wait for this company to come back down to reality before you jump over the deep end. 60% of the fully diluted outstanding shares are owned by 3 entities…That should ring some alarm bells. Once those shares start freely trading, the price will probably tank. Not good for the average mom and pop investor, that’s for sure. With only 18 000 000 Class A shares, the addition of 178 688 971 new shares would result in almost 90% dilution in the secondary markets… Okay, brace yourselves people, we are going to do something that might seem rather unconventional; we are going to divide the total additional paid in capital prior to this offering by the total Class B stock………… $493 000 000 Divided by 178 688 97 EQUALS…………..$2.75!!! Let’s do some more fun little math problems. What was the closing price today? 64? Okay, let’s divide 64 by 2.75. What do you get? 23.2727272727. That means the average gain on the Class B shares, if they were sold today, would be 2327.272727%!!!!! Now that’s not completely fair. Yes, the average price is $2.75, but, the Series A-1 shares were priced at 50 cents, which is a bit of an outlier compared to the rest of the preferred shares. The image below is a table of each class of redeemable preferred stock Lets us, just for fun, see what the implied profit would be for each letter in this varied alphabet of stock The A’s………………………………. 12900% in profits For the B’s………………………………………4571% And for the C’s! 1422% in gains!! Starting to understand why this valuation is ridiculous? Okay, now let’s take a look at the book value. Even though this isn’t as relevant to this company since most of the value is intangible (i.e., people, know-how, intellectual property), it still sheds light on the extreme amount of dilution one would face if they were to buy this stock at the current price. Pro Forma dilution is $30?….on a $34.00 stock?…….Makes sense. In order for profit margins like this to occur, almost always, there has to be a counter-party who loses big time, or else where is all this profit going to come from, especially when it is obtained without the receiver of these profits lifting so much as finger, as is the case here with Warburg Pincus, Accel, and “Capital G” (formerly Google Capital 2016, L.P…. so Google) At least they warn us. A small remnant that is still remaining from the blue sky’s laws created way back following the Great Crash of 1929. Can you imagine the theatrics that went on back then?! Gross profits of $162 million. That’s a pretty penny, right? Not so fast. The valuation of the company is 14 billion remember? Like we said before, we go against the grain here, do things others don’t do, so we are going to calculate how long it would take to break even if you were to buy the stock right now. …………….Here comes the magic people. Are you ready for this? 14 billion……………………………………………………………………………….. divided by……………………………………………………………………………………. 162 million……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ………………………………………………………………………………………………… …………………………………………………………………………………………………………….. ………………………………………………………………………….. …………………………………………………………………………………….Equals 86 YEARS!!!!! Yes!!! Just a little over the average life span for an American Citizen. Think about it. If you bought a business that was priced 86 times higher then its yearly earnings, how long is it going to take to pay it back? 86 years right? You see, it’s not that hard to understand. None of this is. Finance is very simple; it’s 2 + 2 =4, not rocket science. It’s just the people who control the industry; the bankers, the lawyers, stockbrokers, the fund managers; they all like to guard their knowledge, just like in any profession, so they use all this bullshit lingo to keep you ignorant so you keep coming back, like your local mechanic. Oh, we left out one small detail. That number we just mentioned, it’s not their net income, it’s their gross profit, meaning the money they make BEFORE they pay their bills! You see that number at the bottom, that $140 077? Yeah? That’s their yearly earnings, not the 193 million we talked about before. It’s NEGATIVE, not positive, NEGATIVE 140 077 MILLION…… Which is completely OK!! They are an AMAZING company experiencing RAPID GROWTH, but $14 billion!?! That’s a little much. They even tell you that you can’t vote!!!
NASDAQ:CRWDShort
by InteractiveSwingTrading