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BTCUSD | 1D SMC Short Setup with Refined SL and TargetsDescription: This analysis identifies a high-probability short opportunity for BTCUSD on the 1D timeframe using the Smart Money Concepts (SMC) framework. The chart shows clear bearish confluences, including market structure, supply zones, liquidity levels, and Fibonacci retracement zones. I believe the current bullish momentum is merely a manipulation driven by inflation news and the upcoming Trump inauguration. Following these events, I anticipate a significant market correction. Here’s the detailed breakdown and trade plan: Analysis: Market Structure: Break of Structure (BOS): Price has confirmed a bearish trend with BOS to the downside, signaling a continuation of lower highs and lower lows. Trendline Resistance: A well-defined downward trendline indicates selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Zones and Liquidity: Supply Zone: Highlighted in purple at $102,000-$104,000 . This zone represents an area where strong selling previously occurred, creating an imbalance. Golden Zone (Fibonacci Retracement): Located around $101,000-$103,000 , this area aligns with the 61.8%-78.6% retracement levels and offers a high-probability reversal opportunity. Weak High: The high near $104,000 represents untapped liquidity, which smart money may target for a liquidity grab before reversing lower. Equal Lows (EQL): Around $92,000 , these act as a bearish target where liquidity rests, aligning with the continuation of the bearish trend. Confluences for Short Entry: Price is approaching the supply zone and Fibonacci Golden Zone , indicating a potential reversal point. The weak high may trigger a liquidity grab to entice buyers before sellers regain control. Previous BOS and trendline resistance add further validation to the bearish bias. Trade Plan: Short Entry Setup: Entry Zone: $102,000-$104,000 (inside the supply zone and Golden Zone). Stop Loss (SL): $105,500 (above the supply zone and imbalance to account for liquidity grabs). Take Profit Levels: TP1: $97,000 – Close partial profits at this imbalance mitigation level. TP2: $92,000 – Target the equal lows and resting liquidity. TP3: $88,000 – Final target near the blue demand zone for maximum reward. Risk-Reward Ratio: With the entry at $103,000 (midpoint of supply), SL at $105,500, and TP at $92,000, the trade offers a 1:4 RR or better, depending on execution and scaling. Additional Notes: Monitor the price action closely as BTC approaches the supply zone for confirmation, such as bearish candlestick patterns or lower timeframe CHoCH (Change of Character). Scaling into the trade in smaller portions across the supply zone can improve overall entry precision. Adjust stop loss or take profit levels as market conditions evolve
Short
by CryptoTrustCapital
2
EURAUD - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels. In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower, this indicates on probable distribution Wyckoff range. But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower. Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Short
by Maks_Klimenko
Is Bitcoin Heading to $78K? Key Patterns Explained! ''BTC/USD: Key Supply Zone in Focus'' This chart highlights a significant supply zone between $94,858.98 and $95,979.83, marked by previous price rejections (indicated by the arrows). This zone represents a key area of resistance where selling pressure has historically dominated. If the price revisits this zone, there’s a high probability of another rejection, potentially leading to a downward movement. Traders should monitor this area closely for potential short opportunities or signs of a breakout. 👉 What’s your take on this supply zone? Will it hold, or are we breaking through? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! "BTC/USD: Bearish Head and Shoulders Pattern" This chart showcases a classic Head and Shoulders pattern, often regarded as a bearish signal. The price has already broken the neckline, indicating a potential continuation to the downside. The target for this pattern lies near $78,490.59, calculated based on the height of the structure. Combined with the current price action, this setup suggests further bearish momentum could be on the horizon. 👉 Do you agree with this bearish outlook? Or do you see a reversal coming? Share your analysis in the comments below!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by ProcessAndIntercept
Bitcoin 1D Pitchfork & Correlating Tops Where To Next For $BTC Basic little draw up from now just checking market sentiment with the MACD providing great analytical insight into where we are NOW and were we were MID bull run from $75k ATH to $109k. See the bearish MACD over the ATH of 75k and the same over the 109k ATH. We are back to zero on MACD we should see small dips or sideways movement but more volatile as price is higher. It will always seem more volatile as %s of BTC price are larger. So 10% drop or gain now on $93k is $9.3k where when 1 CRYPTOCAP:BTC was 9.3k 10% drop or gain was only $930! Yes same % loss or gain but more capital required to make or loose hat 10%. Still you can always order less but this is just a sentiment driver when you look at the % math of now and back in the day even 4 years ago or pre covid. Currently we sit at $93,250 USD at time of writing. Up from the down turn to $91k. IF we keep the market moving up growing and more $ flow in to longs and or buying bitcoin the better. I think also as its in a DIP phase people WONT be selling who brought in at or between 50k-80k. At least I wouldn't be. Even if it goes to any price pre Covid so under 25k~ This will take a while to occur with many chances to exit before or you will see much increase from where we are now. The market sentiment is good. Its down but its still dominant and will be for another 10 - 100 years plus. It's almost perfect and the coins doing other things BTC can mostly achieve but in directly. However it is no1 and will stay that way for some time. Love you Holders let us know you thoughts on this projection to upward of $200k within a few 6 months ? Not finical advice I trade on my own and use my own methods the post here isn't method to trade its just an assumption of what could happen with little degree of success. Thanks for reading!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk
Price Oscilattor with Entry and ExitPrice Oscillator Trend Reversal Strategy Source: commodity.com -oscillator/ Indicators: Price Oscillator (PO): Calculated as the difference between two Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Short EMA (Fast Period): 9 days Long EMA (Slow Period): 18 days Thresholds: • Overbought Level: PO >+2 •Oversold Level: PO <-2 Entry Conditions Buy Entry (Long Position): •PO crosses above the zero line from below (bullish crossover). • OR PO moves into the oversold region (<-2) and starts to increase, indicating a potential reversal. Sell Entry (Short Position): • PO crosses below the zero line from above (bearish crossover). • OR PO moves into the overbought region (>+2) starts to decrease, indicating a potential reversal. Exit Conditions Exit Long: •PO crosses back below zero line. Exit Short: •PO crosses above 0 line.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dutchnomad214
XRP – Bullish Flag Pattern Suggests Further Upside PotentialTechnical Overview: Bullish Flag Formation: XRP is consolidating within a bullish flag pattern, typically indicative of a continuation of its prior uptrend. Previous Rally: After surging from $0.60 to nearly $2.80, XRP has demonstrated strength by consistently holding support above $2.40, signaling accumulation rather than distribution. Key Levels to Watch: Breakout Point: A breakout above the flag's upper trendline, accompanied by increased volume, could confirm the bullish setup. Targets: Initial target: $3.00-$3.20, aligning with measured moves from the flag pattern. Longer-term potential: Continuation above $3.20 could open doors to further price discovery. Supporting Factors: Long-Term Base: XRP’s breakout earlier in 2024 from a long-term base adds strength to the current bullish setup. Volume Confirmation: Increased trading volume during the breakout would validate buyer interest and bolster the bullish case. Risk Management: Key Support: Maintaining support above $2.40 is critical for the bullish thesis. A breakdown below this level could signal invalidation of the pattern. Conclusion: XRP's bullish flag pattern indicates potential continuation of its prior uptrend. A breakout above the flag's trendline with volume confirmation could set sights on $3.00-$3.20 and beyond, reinforcing Ripple’s strong bullish potential heading into 2024.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Richtv_official
Ethereum (ETH) – Bullish Outlook for 2025Technical Outlook: Bullish Trend: Ethereum has confirmed a bullish trend across all time frames, indicating strength and continued upward momentum. Resistance Zones: A breakout above the $4,100-$4,200 zone, forming part of a saucer pattern, could trigger a rally toward the $5,400-$5,600 region. This marks a key resistance level, and clearing it could set Ethereum on a path to new highs. Long-Term Target: With the $8,000 target in sight for 2025, Ethereum holds substantial upside potential, especially if it continues to maintain bullish momentum in the short term. Support Levels: $3,300-$3,500: As long as Ethereum holds support above this range, the bullish momentum remains intact, with potential for further price appreciation. Key Takeaways: Bullish Setup: Ethereum's bullish trend is solidifying, and as long as it stays above critical support levels, the outlook remains positive. Next Target: A breakout above $4,100-$4,200 could signal the start of a significant rally toward $5,400-$5,600, with the potential for even higher levels in 2025. Long-Term Optimism: Ethereum is poised for strong gains in 2025, with an $8,000 target potentially within reach. Conclusion: Ethereum's technical setup suggests a strong bullish continuation heading into 2025, with a focus on $4,100-$4,200 as a key breakout point for a rally toward new highs. Holding support above $3,300-$3,500 remains crucial for the bullish outlook.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Richtv_official
Market Dominance Analysis–Bullish for Altcoins, Caution AdvisedKey Observations: Dominance Rejection: The market dominance faced a strong rejection after reaching the 58% level, aligning with key resistance at the 7 and 21-day EMAs. This suggests a bullish signal for altcoins, as the dominance pullback indicates a potential shift in momentum away from Bitcoin. Bullish Shift for Altcoins: Altcoins are positioned to benefit from this shift, especially if dominance continues to weaken. The key support for dominance lies around the 200-day EMA, and if dominance closes this week below this level, further bullish potential for altcoins could unfold. Key Levels to Monitor: Resistance for Dominance: Should dominance attempt to rise again, watch for potential resistance at 54.5% and 53% levels. These could act as key turning points, marking possible take-profit (TP) zones for altcoins as dominance struggles to break higher. Strategy for Altcoins: Cautious Optimism: While the rejection of dominance is a bullish signal, altcoins should remain cautious of dips into the danger zones around 54.5% and 53% dominance, which could pose resistance. Target Zones: The shift in momentum suggests potential for continued altcoin strength, with dominance weakening if the candle close remains under the 200-day EMA. Conclusion: The recent rejection of dominance is a strong bullish sign for altcoins, but traders should keep a close eye on the danger zones around the 54.5% and 53% dominance levels. If dominance fails to reclaim these areas, altcoins could continue to see further gains.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Richtv_official
BTC Long: 200D SMA Bull Regime & RSI SignalsWe are now trending in overbought territory across both Monthly, Weekly timeframes. However, there is still room to go... To measure RSI strength we are leveraging our powerful Adapted RSI indicator. Whilst, the 200D SMA indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies. Key Features: - Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification - Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation - Metrics dashboard Core Signals: - Bullish Regime: Price > 200 SMA - Bearish Regime: Price < 200 SMA - Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by igreycrypto