BRIEFING Week #16 : ObservationHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Crypto-trading
Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?BTC/USD H4 Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Resolution: Breakout or Breakdown?
📊 Technical Outlook – 4H Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently consolidating within a clear symmetrical triangle, with price tightening ahead of a potential major breakout. The chart shows price testing the upper boundary of the triangle, supported by MA13 and MA34 from below.
Key resistance zones: 86,594 and the extended target zone at 88,753. A successful breakout above this region could trigger a strong rally toward 90,000+.
Key support levels: 81,397 – 78,725 – 75,102, acting as critical retracement zones in case of downside rejection.
The structure suggests two primary scenarios:
Bullish breakout to 86,594 → 88,753, followed by a pullback and continuation higher.
False breakout or breakdown, leading to a sell-off toward 78,725 and possibly down to 75,102 if market sentiment deteriorates.
🌍 Macro Context & Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment remains fragile, impacted by ongoing geopolitical risks and the Fed’s cautious stance on monetary policy.
Altcoins are underperforming, signaling that capital rotation remains limited – often a precursor to short-term correction or distribution in BTC.
Volume is fading as price coils inside the triangle, typically a precursor to a sharp move in either direction.
🧠 Trading Strategy Ideas
Watch closely for price action near 86,594 – 88,753. If rejection or wick rejections occur, short-term pullback trades may be viable.
A breakdown below the triangle support (~84,000 area) could open up downside targets at 81,397 and 78,725.
A clean breakout with volume confirmation? Look for retest buys around 86k with continuation potential.
⚠️ Caution Advised
BTC is in a “calm-before-the-storm” zone. This is not the time to chase moves or overleverage. Let the market confirm direction and trade based on structure, not emotion.
💬 Are you leaning bullish or bearish on BTC’s next move? Will we see 90k or a drop back to 75k? Share your thoughts below! 👇👇👇
Stafi Long-Term PREMIUM Full Trade-Numbers (PP: 2063%)Stafi is now trading at bottom prices after hitting a new All-Time Low and this is a great place to enter. This is the perfect chart setup for spot traders.
Here I will share the full trade-numbers for this pair, FISUSDT, and share some of the chart technicals with you that reveal the upcoming change of trend.
Let us start with how to predict a bottom based on the chart structure and the candles.
Notice the "bearish wave" on the left side of the chart. Notice the size of the wave, the length, strength and duration. A "bear market." Simply a long-term correction.
Now, notice the "bottom wave" on the right side of the chart (orange). Notice the size, the length and duration. It is very steep. It goes very fast and it is small thus short-lived.
» The first one is a market phase/cycle while the second one is a market reaction.
» The first one led to a sideways market while the second one will lead to a change of trend.
There are two sets of numbers. Here I am only using one for the trade below but I would still like to explain this method that I use in case you want to learn to do your own numbers by looking at charts.
The first set of numbers uses the All-Time High and the bear market bottom. In this case this would be the peak price 01-March 2021 and the low set 09-May 2022. The low is the zero and the peak the one using the Fibonacci extension tool. The 1.618 is the standard ATH projection. If you are feeling confident, the market is producing strong higher lows, the pair is good, there is strong volume, etc. You can also consider the 2.618 level which is not shown on this chart. Of course, if you move the chart up a little bit you can easily see it.
The second set uses the current market bottom, in this case the low 7-April 2025 and the previous high, 09-Dec 2024. This will give you a set of numbers that you can use to extract also some short-term targets. The first set would only have long-term targets.
When a trading pair produces new All-Time Lows we say that a new All-Time High is not likely but this isn't necessarily true, this is a technical assumption. The truth is that anything is possible and not even the insiders and exchanges who control the bots that control the price of a chart know how far up a pair can really go. When the euphoria phase of a bull market starts it is hard to maintain control.
A bullish wave can be neutralized with massive selling pressure. This is done all of the time. If any trading pair starts to grow organically for whatever reason on any exchange, the bots owned by the exchange immediately start selling and balance thing out, they just don't like things moving in ways that they do not control.
Anyway, let's continue; Full trade-numbers below:
_____
FISUSDT (PP: 2063%)
CURRENT PRICE: $0.1263
ENTRY:
1) $0.1420
2) $0.1150
3) $0.0999
TARGETS:
TP1: $0.1852
TP2: $0.2361
TP3: $0.3206
TP4: $0.3889
TP5: $0.4571
TP6: $0.5543
TP7: $0.6781
TP8: $0.8888
TP9: $1.0356
TP10: $1.2566
TP11: $1.4140
TP12: $1.6141
TP13: $2.1926
TP14: $2.7711
STOP: Close monthly below $0.0990
_____
No stop-loss. When trading spot you should be ready to wait for years. That's the mindset. If you are not ready to wait for years, well, you can do whatever you want of course but with this mindset you can never go wrong. There are many ways to approach a trading pair but sometimes we are ready to wait 3 months for a bullish wave and yet it takes 6 months for the wave to develop. Next time we are ready to wait 6 months to see prices go up but the wave starts in 12 months and so on. So always be ready to wait 4-5 times longer than what you initially think is the necessary time for the market to change course. Never place a stop-loss in an exchange because that is just bad for the market, the bots will sell just to active your stop.
Stop-loss orders should be avoided at all cost if you are a beginner or a spot trader. Simply buy and hold.
You can use a stop-loss trading short-term and in many different systems but I am talking about reality here, it is not the same.
Never close a trade out of a whim. Either you do it or yo don't. Either you plan or you don't trade.
If you plan you will be successful and you will achieve success. If you don't plan, you can make money but you will be gambling and this gambling will end up in negative results in the long-term. So, if you are not ready to plan/prepare then just wait, the market is not going away. When you are ready, enter with a plan and you will win for sure.
The plan is easy, what to do when the market moves in a certain way. If it rises, will I sell or hold? If it drops, will I sell or hold? If you decide the answer is to hold then, for how long? If you decide the answer is to sell, how much? Just prepare for all scenarios. You don't have to do anything really other than buy low (now) and sell high (later), but doing the mental exercise will save you from stupid mistakes when excitement (or anxiety) grows.
Just practice.
Success is yours.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
If you enjoy the content, just follow.
Namaste.
BRIEFING Week #15 : Arbitrages on the lookoutHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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BRIEFING Week #14 : What a Mess !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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ADA Spot Trade Setup – Support Level OpportunityCardano (ADA) is currently sitting at a key support zone, presenting a solid risk-to-reward long opportunity if bulls can hold the level.
🛠 Trade Plan:
Entry: $0.63 – $0.70
Take Profit Targets:
$0.78 – $0.84 (First Target)
$0.96 – $1.02 (Extended Target)
Stop Loss: Just below $0.58
BRIEFING Week #13 : ETH offers perfect opportunityHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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BITCOIN BEARISH WEDGE BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅BITCOIN made a bearish
Breakout of the bearish wedge
Pattern which reinforces our
Bearish bias and we will be
Expecting a further move down
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSDTo the bitcoin lovers, investors and traders, this is my forecast on BTCUSD.
With all the news that are circulating about the crypto world, bad or good. Currently BTC is looking bearish. I will be looking for buy at the 71,671 level if BTC will find support.
Please tell us what you think. Is BTCUSD going down or up ?
ETH/USD – Bullish Breakout & Buying OpportunityEthereum has broken out of a descending channel and is consolidating near a key support zone. The price action suggests a potential bullish continuation, with a buying opportunity forming above the $2,000 - $2,100 support level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: ~$2,000, ~$1,800
Resistance Zone: ~$2,250
Target: ~$2,530
Trading Plan:
Buy Entry: On breakout and retest above $2,250
Stop-Loss: Below $2,000
Take-Profit: $2,530
If Ethereum successfully breaks resistance with volume confirmation, it could rally toward $2,500+, making this a strong bullish setup. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation. 🚀
BTC at a Critical Crossroad – Buckle U🤯 BTC at a Critical Crossroad – Buckle Up! 🚀
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to "Bitcoin Wrestling Mania!" 🎤💥 BTC is currently stuck in a high-stakes battle with the legendary 200 EMA resistance 🥊🔥. We've conquered the 20 EMA, but let’s not pop the champagne just yet – the daily candle hasn’t closed! 🕰️ Expect surprises! 🎭
📊 Resistance Levels Ahead:
🔹 First Boss: 50 EMA Resistance 🏰
🔹 Final Boss: The 89,773.0 Fortress 🚧
Now, we're seeing some short-term bullish vibes 🟢, but wait – the market makers might have other plans 🕵️♂️💰. The smart money hasn't entered the ring yet, which means... well, expect plot twists! 😵
🔻 Possible Correction Zones:
💥 Support 1: 80,548.0
💥 Support 2: 76,123.0
So, will BTC power through the resistance like a champion 🏆, or are we about to witness a dramatic correction 🤕? Drop your thoughts below – let’s piece together the puzzle! 🧩👇
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Bitcoin 🚀
BRIEFING Week #12 : Alt-Season might be coming soonHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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BTC | USD - The Crypto Rodeo with PipGuardBTC | USD - The Crypto Rodeo with PipGuard
Hello, fellow financial misfits! Already regretting not closing your trade when you were in profit? Don’t worry, you’re in excellent company.
Before we dive in, let’s get one thing straight: if my analysis is saving you from ending up like FTX , then do yourself a favor— drop a boost, follow me, and leave a comment!
🚀 LET’S GO:
- Analysis to compare with the previous one that gave us a sweet 6K move, from 82K to 76K. Well done, colleagues! No Ferraris this time either, but at least you won’t have to sell your cat to cover your margin call. 🐱💸
CURRENT SITUATION: THE MARKET CIRCUS
Here we are, fresh update just for you, because I know that without my guidance, you’re staring at your charts like a confused goldfish. 🐟
Meanwhile, while Bitcoin figures out whether to go up, down, or just mess with us all, the real world keeps delivering its fair share of nonsense. Trump (a.k.a. the blond guy with a ramen wig) 🍜 is still keeping us entertained, while geopolitics is tangled up like a pair of earphones in your pocket.
And now, get this: Russia is using Bitcoin to trade oil with China and India.
🔹 Mother Russia’s Trick:
1. China and India pay for oil in yuan or rupees.
2. Everything gets converted into Bitcoin and other cryptos.
3. Russia cashes in and smirks while sipping vodka. 🍷😏
Meanwhile, we’re stuck dealing with KYC, banks blocking our withdrawals, and regulations changing every five minutes, while Putin is out here trading like a Wall Street shark. And us? Just trying not to get wrecked by the market.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - BITCOIN’S MAZE
📈 General trend: Still bullish, but with the emotional stability of a trader on 50x leverage in a pump & dump. 🎢
📌 Current price: 83K
📌 Key level: 84K, possible bearish rejection.
📌 Warning! It might push up to 87-86K to grab liquidity before pulling a textbook dump.
📌 Fun fact: If it closes above 87K on a higher timeframe, we could see a bullish reversal signal. Otherwise, grab your helmet, because we’re going down. 🪂
PRICE TARGETS
📉 Bearish targets:
1. 80.140K
2. 76.600K
3. 74.000K
4. 70.000K
5. 66.000K (if we hit this, light a candle for crypto) 🔥
📈 Bullish targets:
1. 86.700K
2. 89.000K
3. 92.000K
4. 95.000K
5. 102.000K (if we get there, big party and we all buy a Lambo… toy version) 🚗
If you enjoyed this analysis, support PipGuard , because financial information served with sarcasm and expertise is the only kind worth reading. Follow, boost, and comment, or I’ll send you a chart with invisible candles on a white background. 🎭
Until next time, may volatility be with you!
PipGuard 🚀
Secure profits of SHORTBitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis – March 10, 2025
Chart Overview & Key Insights
This is a daily timeframe BTC/USDT chart on Bybit, showcasing a confluence of indicators including the BitcoinMF PRO signals, standard error bands (not Bollinger Bands!), Fibonacci levels, and support/resistance zones. Below, the Fisher Transform indicator is displayed for trend confirmation.
🔍 Current BTC Price Action & Key Observations
Price: $79,404 (-1.60%)
BitcoinMF PRO last short signal hit take profit (TP) → This often results in buy pressure as shorts take profits and exit, creating demand.
A new short signal is forming, but it’s in a riskier position:
Shorting too late into a move can be dangerous, as the market tends to reverse to hunt late shorts.
Price is already near key support zones (~$80,133 and lower at $73,240).
Linear Regression (LR) Channel: Price is currently testing the lower boundary, which often acts as support.
Volume Analysis: Increasing red bars show strong selling pressure, but potential buyer defense near key levels.
📉 Fibonacci & Support/Resistance Levels
🔻 Key Supports:
$80,133 (Short-term support)
$73,240 (Stronger support)
$65,485 (Major support)
🔺 Resistance Levels:
$86,163 (First target if price rebounds)
$92,957 (Major resistance)
🛠 Fisher Transform Indicator (Bottom Panel)
The Fisher Transform is deep in the oversold zone, which historically indicates a high probability of reversal.
If the blue line starts turning upward, it can indicate a bounce incoming.
Right now, Fisher is at extreme levels, meaning that while more downside is possible, a reversal could be forming soon.
📉 CME Gap Around $70K – What It Means
CME gaps occur when Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) close for the weekend and reopen at a different price.
A well-known market phenomenon is that Bitcoin tends to "fill" these gaps over time.
There is a gap in the $70K region, meaning Bitcoin may be magnetized toward that level before a major reversal.
🔍 How This Affects the Current Market?
Current BTC Price: $79,404
CME Gap Zone: $70,000–$72,000
Major Support Zones: $73,240, then $65,485
🛠 Possible Scenarios
1️⃣ BTC moves down toward $70K to fill the CME gap before bouncing.
This is a logical move, especially as Bitcoin is already in a downtrend.
Traders should be cautious of a liquidity grab below $73K.
2️⃣ If BTC doesn’t drop immediately, a short squeeze could come first.
Many late shorts have entered the market (as seen in open interest data).
A squeeze up to $86K– GETTEX:92K could trap them before Bitcoin eventually moves down.
📊 CME Gap Probability in the Current Context
🔹 Likelihood of BTC filling the $70K CME gap: 8/10
🔹 Before that, BTC could see a bounce (short squeeze): 7/10
🧠 What’s the Next Most Probable Move?
📊 Probability Scale (1-10)
Next Move Probability: 7/10 for a bounce before further downside
📉 While BTC is in a downtrend, several factors indicate that shorting now is riskier than before:
Last BitcoinMF PRO short hit TP → Buy pressure from short profit-taking.
Extreme oversold Fisher Transform.
Price sitting near critical support ($80K zone).
🔹 Possible Scenario:
Short squeeze to $86K before any further drop.
If $86K gets rejected → A continued downtrend to FWB:73K or lower.
📢 Conclusion & Trading Strategy
If you are short: Secure profits or set a tight stop-loss in case of a short squeeze.
If you are long: Look for signs of Fisher Transform turning up before entering.
Shorting here is riskier as the market may hunt late shorts before going lower.
⚡ Watch for a relief bounce! While more downside is possible, liquidity grabs often happen before continuation moves. Be strategic with stops and TP zones.
📜 Ancient Wisdom – Patience & Timing in Trading
There’s an old Jewish saying:
"Gam zu l'tovah" – "This too is for the best."
A great trader, much like a wise man, waits for the right moment instead of rushing into moves impulsively. If the market is preparing a short squeeze, traders who chase shorts too late may find themselves trapped. Timing is everything.
🔹 BitcoinMF PRO users caught this downtrend early – consider using it for future trades!
🚀 Get it on TradingView today! 🚀
CRYPTO10 buy surely bullish mode big move pattern 1. (CRYPTO10) False Breakout Risk – The price might not sustain a breakout above 18,000, leading to a rejection below 17,500 before attempting another push.
2. Volume Confirmation – The volume seems inconsistent; a true bullish breakout would require increasing volume at key levels.
3. Trend Structure – The rounded bottom formation suggests a potential recovery, but a failure to hold above mid-range levels (~18,000) could result in sideways movement or a breakdown.
4. Macro Factors – External market conditions (interest rates, liquidity, BTC/crypto sentiment) could invalidate the upside scenario.
5. Bearish Retest Possibility – If the price breaks down below 17,343, we could see a deeper retracement instead of the expected move higher